Pags' Plays 10/32

**InTheHole** · 10-09-09, 05:14 PM

Good Stuff Pags BOL Love Connecticutt

**Henry** · 10-09-09, 05:55 PM

Awesome!!

Paggs,

Excellent analysis. Thanks for sharing. I devoured every digital byte! GL my friend!

**twincities77** · 10-09-09, 06:27 PM

Thank you for the in-depth analyses pags.

**thegambler86** · 10-09-09, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by pags11

Connecticut +8.5 I’ve made a living betting games like this in the Big East for the past decade and don’t see any reason to stop doing so now. Anytime I can get a well-coached, solid defensive club who travels well getting over a TD against a talented but undisciplined team I’ve got to give the game serious consideration. Randy Edsal, many of you who claim to have a luck box, is just a really good football coach. He goes unnoticed because his style of play is very conservative and isn’t flashy, but it wins football games and covers spreads. While I think that “the Stache” has some good assistants and has recruited well in the offseason, anytime I can get points like these from one of his teams my mouth starts to water. Connecticut has a very strong defense and they are a team that has matched up well with Pittsburgh over the years. I like that they have had a week off to prepare for this game and catch Pittsburgh off a road victory at Louisville, in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated. This game will feature two very talented running backs in UConn’s Jordan Toddman (5.0 ypc., 5 TD) and Pitt’s Dion Lewis (5.4 ypc., 7 TD). What this means is there will be a lot of handing off in this game, particularly if the weather isn’t good, and there will be less clock stoppages which will shorten the game. I give the edge on defense and special teams to UConn and the edge on offense to Pitt. Just like in baseball, you are better off going with the better defense as I believe offense wins games and defense wins championships. Give me Randy Edsal and the luckbox in this one please.

Pags, I think you went through my mind and stole my plays.....
I love SMU, UConn, and Meechigan All are great plays but i like the aforementioned the best. Also, will consider CSU as they are a solid and should cover. I may tease these guys and looks even safer. I see 5-2 at worst and most like 6-1 or 7-0.

**pags11** · 10-09-09, 10:42 PM

cougar bait,

...appreciate it...

northernlights,

...we ride together with Michigan...
in the hole,

henry,

thank you sir...

twincities,

thegambler,

that's what I'm talking about!

**Cougar Bait** · 10-09-09, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by obamaismyuncle

Obama 2-0 so far in CFB this week and Fags11 is 0-1

FYI

from http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ast-night.html

**pags11** · 10-09-09, 11:39 PM

cougarbait,

I'm on it...thanks bro...

**ackem19** · 10-10-09, 12:47 AM

pags11,

thanks for the write ups. i read your write up for SC vs UK but i still have to disagree (respectively of course). I think that placing a wager on them is like placing a wager on a team that "should" perform but has to actually perform. but thanks again and BOL.

**oda11** · 10-10-09, 12:57 AM

Pags, good luck man, did I say this already?

**pags11** · 10-10-09, 01:00 AM

ackem,

agree to disagree it is sir...

oda,

you did but thanks again!

**renojoe** · 10-10-09, 01:05 AM

pags, i disagree here... like the favorite... on the road again... they made a nice comeback.. but Iowas stronger defense and Forcier youth will be too much. He doesn't remind me of fran tarkenton.... but he is an impressive kid. I'm on Iowa here... in a rout. Just my gut feelin. Good luck and let's see how it plays out. Strong linebackers and secondary will be a big test for Tate. Add in the home crowd.. I feel turnovers will kill Michigan. Final score Iowa 27 Michigan 13

**Rixsaw** · 10-10-09, 02:07 AM

Good luck Pags. I'm with you on Uconn and Wisky. I'm looking into SMU. Good luck buddy.

**pags11** · 10-10-09, 02:08 AM

renjoe,

guess we will see how it turns out tomorrow...

rixsaw,

appreciate you posting...

**odusmykal** · 10-10-09, 02:37 AM

Pags, nice write ups as usual.. Looks like a solid card this week and i'll tail you on 6 outta 7.. Just can't pull the trigger on on Kentucky.. Garcia is much improved this year and seems to be getting better every week in my opinion.. And on the defence, i believe Norwood and company will disrupt Kentucy's offence all 4 quarters.. I hate to be on the other side of any of your picks, but this week i gotta plat S.C. Best of luck this week friend, lets cash in some winners..

**clowncar** · 10-10-09, 02:51 AM

South Carolina has been treating bettors wonderfully and in spotlight games and Kentucky has treated bettors poorly and against two of the most watched teams in the nation , alabama and florida. The result of that is a lot of people unwilling to bet kentucky here.

The line has dropped roughly a FG anyway. I am no genius but I know what that usually means.

Great thread and a great looking card for tomorrow. I think four wins and three losses would be a disappointment with this card.

Best of luck to one of the most knowledgable college football handicappers around.

**MexicanStallion** · 10-10-09, 02:54 AM

Good luck Pags

**Smails Kid** · 10-10-09, 05:33 AM

Pags ---

Good luck to you this weekend. Will be with you on a couple of plays

but mostly, I'm interested to see how all these conference openers in the Big 12 and elsewhere play out.

Thanks for providing your thoughts.

**Joe Dogs** · 10-10-09, 05:39 AM

Good luck to day bud.

**G's pks** · 10-10-09, 07:52 AM

10-05-09, 07:29 AM #66 hhsilver
Joined: 06-07-07
Posts: 550
betpoints: 421
Message Me

Challenge Me

Just for fun - I think I can predict his plays this week -- he posted only 1 so far (as of 8:25 am , monday) ...

duke ,,,, conn,,,wisc,,, ky,,,smu,,,mich ..[/color]

How did this guy know your plays before you posted them? Please explain??????

**Rixsaw** · 10-10-09, 09:41 AM

Pags, any opinion on Minnesota -3? I'm liking that game

**DangerousOne** · 10-10-09, 09:45 AM

Pags,

Great stuff again this week. BOL to you & lets cash in.

**BGboothA** · 10-10-09, 10:50 AM

alright lets get'em pags

**ksufan19** · 10-10-09, 11:55 AM

smu still worth a play at +5.5??

**Bread** · 10-10-09, 12:02 PM

Pags I did KY (+9.5) ...I don't want to be homeless you sexy SOB!!!

**masr** · 10-10-09, 12:08 PM

Good stuff as usual ,Good luck this week!

**JimmyJet** · 10-10-09, 12:15 PM

Pags....was ready to pass on college this weekend but decided to play only your plays and added Arkansas +1.5. Those will be my college plays and hope we win together. Good Luck and may this be the week you (we) sweep!!

**unionfitter** · 10-10-09, 12:20 PM

pags, bol this weekend my friend. have limited time on my end to cap due to getting ready for a huge refuel and generator changeout outage here. will have limited time for next 6-8 weeks. will be checking in on ya though. really liked this weeks writeups, your insights hit me between the eyes this week. after a quick run on my end, tailed em all. my end showed col st and duke as "iffies", but decided to go with you small. enjoy the weekend, and be well.

**MickChunky** · 10-10-09, 12:46 PM

GL Buddy. Liking Mich and Col. St.

**icemantbi** · 10-10-09, 01:27 PM

Really impressed by Kentucky so far

**icemantbi** · 10-10-09, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by JimmyJet

Pags....was ready to pass on college this weekend but decided to play only your plays and added Arkansas +1.5. Those will be my college plays and hope we win together. Good Luck and may this be the week you (we) sweep!!

Great call on Arkansas Jimmy.. They are just killing Auburn. Mallett has been impressive today.

**Bread** · 10-10-09, 02:33 PM

pags what is ky doing godammit???? i did them 2nd half +6 as well!!!

went against your wi pick and took oh st -16.5. no play on uconn game.

godammit pags im gonna be broke!#$@%

**Bread** · 10-10-09, 02:54 PM

KY covers! KY 2nd half covers!

Pags11, I'ma hump yoo!!

**icemantbi** · 10-10-09, 02:57 PM

Great to get the first game under our belt! Nice call on Kentucky!

**KingKing** · 10-10-09, 03:21 PM

congrats on KY pags thanks for sharing!!!
on Mich with ya!!
best of luck!!!

**icemantbi** · 10-10-09, 03:35 PM

Really impressed with Wisky and UCONN so far.