some quant systems for week 4

gojetsgomoxies · 09-22-18, 04:42 PM

checked the ATS lists..... uconn goes in for rutgers. louisville/nebraska stay (basically had to adjust ats records for teams whose games already finished this week).. but L/N were horrible before this week. rutgers was not worst 10 ATS before this week though

gojetsgomoxies · 09-22-18, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies

thought i'd track some systems........ 100% quanitifiable before play began this week...

top power rating picks (65% confidence or higher.... random order, Not ordered by strength of signal):

psu W
iowa state L
ncs W
minn L
wk W
ohio W
louis L
stan W
ka state L
cc W
utsa L
troy W
VT L
liberty L

public picks (>60% public)

ohs W
vt L
unlv W
ga P early, loss late
msp L
clem W
app state W but didn't mean to play fcs games
syr W early, L late
cc W
mich st W
aub W
nm didn't play... maybe supposed to be nms. will check
usu W
em W
buff W
wm W

best are ohs, vt, unlv, ga, buff, wm

hot ats (i need to check this afterwards and make absolutely sure it was info from before game...best/worst vs. ATS based on points cover/miss)

ala W
appst W but fcs
usu W
van L
frst NP
kan L
nt W
vt L
fiu L
syr W e, L late
cin L

cold ats (need to check same as hot ats)

fsu W
od W
neb L
lous L
nms W
ark L
rut OUT OF LIST
fau W
ucla no play
miami ohio W

add UCONN to cold ATS..... i graded the games off the top of my head. will check them at end of night

UCONN = L early, W late

gojetsgomoxies · 09-22-18, 11:08 PM

and miami-ohio - W

so far,

cold ATS 6-3
hot ATS 2-6
power raatings 7-7
public plays 9-2 or 7-4.....9-2 if you jumped on open, but then how do you know what's a public team?

gojetsgomoxies · 09-23-18, 03:01 PM

ats cold was a winner....

public picks were anywhere from 13-2 to 12-4 (open vs. late line)......... my thought was to fade public but not yesterday