Usc -19

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  • esulima
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-20-11
    • 901

    #1
    Usc -19
    Can anyone tell me why
  • qwertvt
    SBR MVP
    • 12-04-09
    • 1419

    #2
    Originally posted by esulima
    Can anyone tell me why
    I was thinking the same thing. Is USC that much better than Cal?

    I haven't been following the Pac 12 this year but USC is giving alot of points.
    Comment
    • QuantumLeap
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-22-08
      • 6880

      #3
      I was going to start a thread on fading public perception on lage-night games but this thread fits that topic well.

      USC still has a rabid fanbase. The books are just adjusting for that money.

      This started out at -14 and is now -20. USC manhandled Arizona last week and Cal had problems with Oregon and Oregon St. So the USC faithful is pouring money into the Trojans.

      As for me I'm making this a double bet on Cal. I'm just waiting to see if the line changes a little more.
      Comment
      • intermission
        SBR MVP
        • 05-12-15
        • 2499

        #4
        -20 now
        Comment
        • omega
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-14
          • 1201

          #5
          Originally posted by QuantumLeap
          I was going to start a thread on fading public perception on lage-night games but this thread fits that topic well.

          USC still has a rabid fanbase. The books are just adjusting for that money.

          This started out at -14 and is now -20. USC manhandled Arizona last week and Cal had problems with Oregon and Oregon St. So the USC faithful is pouring money into the Trojans.

          As for me I'm making this a double bet on Cal. I'm just waiting to see if the line changes a little more.
          so you think they cover the 20? I watched their train wreck against Oregon and they're shitty, but are they that shitty?
          Comment
          • gojetsgomoxies
            SBR MVP
            • 09-04-12
            • 4222

            #6
            i can see both arguments....... USC much better than cal BUT not that high powered and Cal can score...... i tend to agree with the poster that said 48-24 or something like that. haven't checked but i would think that might be an OVER - EDIT: not that far from the predicted score which is 48-28...

            did this game really open at 13ish and move to 20ish? injury to cal QB or something like that?
            Comment
            • QuantumLeap
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-08
              • 6880

              #7
              Originally posted by omega
              so you think they cover the 20? I watched their train wreck against Oregon and they're shitty, but are they that shitty?
              I had Oregon +1 1/2 in that game and watched the whole thing. Cal's offense is good. It's their defense that sucks. I think they keep it within 20.

              I may hit the over as well.

              Also taking Buffalo as well although I bet with much less with these shit conferences. Buffalo got beat 44-7 in their last game and Akron has won 3 out of their last 4 and is 3-0 on the road while Buffalo is 0-3 at home so take Akron right? Nope.
              Comment
              • TTA_President
                SBR MVP
                • 07-14-10
                • 1434

                #8
                Tailing California
                Comment
                • gojetsgomoxies
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-04-12
                  • 4222

                  #9
                  FWIW, power ratings have USC by 13ish... so alot of value in 20 or 21........

                  my instinct says USC by low 20's........ but i do think the power rating is more correct so i think there's value in CAL
                  Comment
                  • QuantumLeap
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-08
                    • 6880

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                    FWIW, power ratings have USC by 13ish... so alot of value in 20 or 21........

                    my instinct says USC by low 20's........ but i do think the power rating is more correct so i think there's value in CAL
                    I quit thinking anymore. It just gets me in trouble like when I bet Wash St and they get backdoored by UCLA.

                    Remember Oregon against Cal? No one gave them a chance, especially after the line moved them to favorites. They were an INT in OT away from covering.

                    So I just fade the obvious.
                    Comment
                    • QuantumLeap
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-08
                      • 6880

                      #11
                      Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                      I had Oregon +1 1/2 in that game and watched the whole thing. Cal's offense is good. It's their defense that sucks. I think they keep it within 20.

                      I may hit the over as well.

                      Also taking Buffalo as well although I bet with much less with these shit conferences. Buffalo got beat 44-7 in their last game and Akron has won 3 out of their last 4 and is 3-0 on the road while Buffalo is 0-3 at home so take Akron right? Nope.
                      I don't mean to hijack the thread but I just wanted to mention that I looked into the Akron/Buffalo game. Buffalo sucks on run defense but they have a pretty decent pass defense. Akron is a better passing team than a rushing team and the weather sucks in Buffalo tonight so the passing may be somewhat limited so Buffalo has a good chance to keep it within the +19 1/2.
                      Comment
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