NCAA week 3 (sept 15-17)

[phil_abuster]

5-5-2 so far

note: in no way whatsoever am i suggesting anyone bet my plays,
but i do wish all the polite & friendly guys here success this week!


my week 3 bets so far:
(yes, i checked the injury reports first

sundevils -18 ..likely at least 3 tds better, even on the road.

louisville +3 ..imo these r near about evenly matched, which normally means the
homie is favored by 1 to 4, so a very good homie getting +3 has value to me.

nittany-lions -8.5 ..owls lost AT HOME to army by 15; psu better than army and temple
and get the game on psu home turf!

bowling-green +6 .. very good value here! even matchup! falcons at home!

badgers -34 ..after beating LSU they whacked akron by 44 last week and i still have
akron rated better than georgia st. -who lost at mediocre air force by 34!
despite the poss of a backdoor cover i still like badgers to stay focused.

orangeguys +14 ..usf beat up on 2 very weak teams at home; now take to the road
at a much stronger opponent. a 'cuse win AT HOME wouldnt be an upset imo!

charlotte +3.5 ..two equally bad teams, so i like the home team getting pts!

byu +3.5 ..very tough to win by 4 or more in provo; good homie getting pts!

[Electrons]

Good luck Phil.

Crush 'em this week.

[phil_abuster]

adding
minutemen PK .. homies should be laying 3-4 pts here in an even matchup; fl.int qb hurt!

[phil_abuster]

adding
bearcats 1stQ +.5 +120 ... 3 possibilities in what figures to be a close match: cinci ahead after 1Q, cougs ahead, or tied after just one Q, and i would win 2 of those! seems like a good value call to me. though i will lose some plays like this i should win more so its still good value imo.
good luck everyone

[phil_abuster]

adding
2h florida -13 -135

cal +7.5

[phil_abuster]

5-5-2 so far

note: in no way whatsoever am i suggesting anyone bet my plays,
but i do wish all the polite & friendly guys here success this week!


my week 3 bets so far:
(yes, i checked the injury reports first

LOSER --- sundevils -18 ..likely at least 3 tds better, even on the road.

WINNER --louisville +3 ..imo these r near about evenly matched, which normally means the
homie is favored by 1 to 4, so a very good homie getting +3 has value to me.

LOSER --- nittany-lions -8.5 ..owls lost AT HOME to army by 15; psu better than army and temple
and get the game on psu home turf!

LOSER --- bowling-green +6 .. very good value here! even matchup! falcons at home!

LOSER --- badgers -34 ..after beating LSU they whacked akron by 44 last week and i still have
akron rated better than georgia st. -who lost at mediocre air force by 34!
despite the poss of a backdoor cover i still like badgers to stay focused.

LOSER --- orangeguys +14 ..usf beat up on 2 very weak teams at home; now take to the road
at a much stronger opponent. a 'cuse win AT HOME wouldnt be an upset imo!

LOSER --- charlotte +3.5 ..two equally bad teams, so i like the home team getting pts!

???? byu +3.5 ..very tough to win by 4 or more in provo; good homie getting pts!

yuck

[phil_abuster]

adding
minutemen PK .. homies should be laying 3-4 pts here in an even matchup; fl.int qb hurt!

one of my few winners

[phil_abuster]

adding
bearcats 1stQ +.5 +120 ... 3 possibilities in what figures to be a close match: cinci ahead after 1Q, cougs ahead, or tied after just one Q, and i would win 2 of those! seems like a good value call to me. though i will lose some plays like this i should win more so its still good value imo.
good luck everyone

another one of my few winners