Lucky1's NCAAF 2016 Thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Lucky1g
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-10-10
    • 5973

    #106
    I'm around today. One of those rare days just do stuff around the house and watch football. Maybe that why so many plays today...I've been watching this one all week. Really looking forward to game. Here's my action on it

    ***Top Rated***Ohio State-10

    Ohio State & Wisconisin UNDER 46.5


    Comment
    • Bbfromgpt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-24-12
      • 6115

      #107
      Atleast you'll get a split
      Comment
      • Lucky1g
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-10-10
        • 5973

        #108
        5-3 going into OhioSt/Whisky...of course Ohio St never showed any reasons why they were DD favorites. Whisky offense played way better then I expected. I thought the total would cash and I'd walk away with a split. I partially blame alcohol for ruining my winning day yesterday. Alcohol EFFECTS DECISION MAKING...I guess I just wanted to gamble last night. Wish I showed more discipline and laid off...will get em next time. 5-5 -1.8 units on the day
        Comment
        • Lucky1g
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-10-10
          • 5973

          #109
          Overall season now 36-30-2 55% +1.3 units
          sides 23-18-2
          totals 13-12
          top rated***[2unit] 2-3
          Comment
          • Lucky1g
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-10-10
            • 5973

            #110
            friday
            Oregon+3

            Saturday
            ***Top Rated***Iowa+3.5

            Western Kentucky-13

            Stanford-2

            Georgia Southern-13.5
            Comment
            • Lucky1g
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-10-10
              • 5973

              #111
              Saturday addition

              Mississippi+6
              Comment
              • Lucky1g
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-10-10
                • 5973

                #112
                Friday night upgrade
                ***Top Rated***Oregon+3
                Comment
                • Lucky1g
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-10-10
                  • 5973

                  #113
                  Saturday Addition. Updated card

                  friday
                  ***Top Rated***Oregon+3

                  Saturday
                  ***Top Rated***Iowa+3.5

                  Western Kentucky-13
                  Stanford-2
                  Georgia Southern-13.5
                  Ole Miss+6
                  UMass & South Carolina OVER 45
                  Comment
                  • reigle9
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-25-07
                    • 17879

                    #114
                    Fan of this weeks plays. Have Oregon and Geo ST too. GL.
                    Comment
                    • RetardStrength
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-25-10
                      • 1478

                      #115
                      Hey Lucky! Can you give me some insight on the Oregon play? I want to pull the trigger but would love a little analysis here.

                      Ducks have been pretty abysmal on the road and the one place Cal has won some respectable games is at home. I'm scratching my head a little on this one...

                      Thanks and BOL!
                      Comment
                      • Renegades
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-12-11
                        • 5290

                        #116
                        All of the public is on Cal. Same with Wisconsin. He is just going against the grain. You probably wont find many stats to support either play. But thats how squares think. Why could anyone possibly play Oregon tonight? Or Iowa? The only problem is that cfb can be pretty square- you will find just as many "square" plays that hit as "sharp" plays.

                        Against the grain works much better in the NFL
                        Comment
                        • mikmik
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-13-12
                          • 5457

                          #117
                          Damn line is at a pk now.
                          Comment
                          • Smutbucket
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-14-08
                            • 3996

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Renegades
                            All of the public is on Cal. Same with Wisconsin. He is just going against the grain. You probably wont find many stats to support either play. But thats how squares think. Why could anyone possibly play Oregon tonight? Or Iowa? The only problem is that cfb can be pretty square- you will find just as many "square" plays that hit as "sharp" plays.

                            Against the grain works much better in the NFL
                            on what imaginary planet do you live on where bookies readily hand over the most valuable information to their competition, the side "the public" is on......oh thats right you read it on a website so It must be true....
                            Comment
                            • Letsgovols22
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-27-15
                              • 310

                              #119
                              Originally posted by Smutbucket
                              on what imaginary planet do you live on where bookies readily hand over the most valuable information to their competition, the side "the public" is on......oh thats right you read it on a website so It must be true....
                              Actually bookies do in fact hand over that info. And sometimes offer juice free wagers to even out the sides. Very common practice.
                              Comment
                              • Smutbucket
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-14-08
                                • 3996

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Letsgovols22
                                Actually bookies do in fact hand over that info. And sometimes offer juice free wagers to even out the sides. Very common practice.
                                if I was a bookie, I would too in fact offer out this information to anyone with an ear. whether that info is reliable is laughable. a bookie who would rather have less money is his pocket would in fact offer out credible information of how much money he has on each side and to what % of large bets, small public bets
                                Comment
                                • Letsgovols22
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-27-15
                                  • 310

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                  if I was a bookie, I would too in fact offer out this information to anyone with an ear. whether that info is reliable is laughable. a bookie who would rather have less money is his pocket would in fact offer out credible information of how much money he has on each side and to what % of large bets, small public bets
                                  The object of the "house" is to have even amounts on both sides with no risk of loss. Sit back and collect the juice. It has been very profitable for me to take the other side on such occasions
                                  Comment
                                  • Renegades
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-11
                                    • 5290

                                    #122
                                    My point was largely missed. Regardless of how reliable a site is on % wagered on each side, the fact remains that it is better to be against what most public players will pick. Do you know a book in the business of giving away money? Of course not.

                                    Pick 10 people and ask them who they would bet in the phily/minny game sunday. I guarantee 8 or 9 would say Minny. Easy right? Vegas must be missing something right? If it were that "easy" any Tom Dick or Harry could make money betting.

                                    I used to book and I could tell you almost all of the NFL games, just by looking at the line, what side we would need. GL
                                    Comment
                                    • mikmik
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-13-12
                                      • 5457

                                      #123
                                      Oregon is a mess
                                      Comment
                                      • Lucky1g
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-10-10
                                        • 5973

                                        #124
                                        Oregon pushes in double OT after awful first half. I'll take the push and move on...you guys that have followed my threads know I tend to play "against the grain" as Renegades put it...yes I'm a contrarian bettor, always have been, always will be. Follow the masses of asses otherwise known as Joe public or mush bettors that can't understand how in the hell a banged up underperforming team could EVER cover the point spread against a hot team, clicking on all cylinders etc...I always look for strong situational support in the form of trends and historical history/current events of a matchup for my plays as well as applying basic football knowledge and common sense...all this and I generally manage to stay ahead of the books and win money betting even if it's "grinding" through an entire season at 54-55% clip
                                        Comment
                                        • Lucky1g
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-10-10
                                          • 5973

                                          #125
                                          Overall season now 36-30-3 55% +1.3 units
                                          sides 23-18-3
                                          totals 13-12
                                          top rated***[2unit] 2-3-1
                                          Comment
                                          • Lucky1g
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-10-10
                                            • 5973

                                            #126
                                            Saturday
                                            ***Top Rated***Iowa+3.5
                                            Western Kentucky-13
                                            Stanford-2
                                            Georgia Southern-13.5
                                            Ole Miss+6
                                            UMass & South Carolina OVER 45
                                            Comment
                                            • oe473034
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-25-15
                                              • 722

                                              #127
                                              COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS 22.10.2016

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #1
                                              -------------
                                              TOTALS - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 12-1-1: 92.3%
                                              Air Force vs Hawaii. UNDER 61.5
                                              Nebraska vs Purdue. UNDER 61.5.
                                              Michigan vs Illinois. UNDER 55.
                                              Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion. OVER 66

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #2
                                              -------------
                                              SPREAD - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 11-0-1: 100%
                                              New Mexico vs Louisiana-Monroe. NMX -17.5
                                              Toledo vs Central Michigan. TOL -10.5
                                              Northern Illinois vs Buffalo. BUF +21.5

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #3
                                              -------------
                                              +6 POINTS TEASER - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 9-0-0: 100%
                                              West Virginia vs TCU. West Virginia from -6.5 to -0.5
                                              New Mexico vs Louisiana-Monroe. NMX from -17.5 to -11.5
                                              Toledo vs Central Michigan. TOL from -10.5 to -4.5

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #4
                                              -------------
                                              +10 POINTS TEASER - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 9-0-0: 100%
                                              West Virginia vs TCU. West Virginia from -6.5 to +3.5
                                              New Mexico vs Louisiana-Monroe. NMX from -17.5 to -7.5
                                              Toledo vs Central Michigan. TOL from -10.5 to -0.5

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #5
                                              -------------
                                              SPREAD - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 7-2-0: 77.8%
                                              Ball State vs Akron. AKRON +3.5
                                              Kansas State vs Texas. TEX +3.5

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #6
                                              -------------
                                              SPREAD - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 4-1-0: 80%
                                              Minnesota vs Rutgers. MIN -19
                                              South Carolina vs Massachusetts. SCAR -20.5
                                              UTSA vs UTEP. UTSA -9.5.

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #7
                                              -------------
                                              +6 POINTS TEASERS - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 13-1-1: 92.9%
                                              Minnesota vs Rutgers. Minnesota from -19 to -13.
                                              Stanford vs Colorado Buffaloes. Stanford from -2 to +4.
                                              Virginia vs North Carolina. NC from -9.5 to -3.5

                                              -------------
                                              TICKET #8
                                              -------------
                                              +10 POINTS TEASERS - STRATEGY USED RECORD: 14-1-0: 93.3%
                                              Minnesota vs Rutgers. Minnesota from -19 to -9.
                                              Stanford vs Colorado Buffaloes. Stanford from -2 to +8.
                                              Virginia vs North Carolina. NC from -9.5 to -0.5
                                              Comment
                                              • Lucky1g
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-10-10
                                                • 5973

                                                #128
                                                Saturday
                                                ***Top Rated***Iowa+3.5
                                                Western Kentucky-13
                                                Stanford-2
                                                Georgia Southern-13.5
                                                Ole Miss+6
                                                ***Top Rated***Umass & South Carolina OVER 45
                                                (adding 1.3unit to win 1 to play @ 45. Total 2.4 to win 2 on over 45)
                                                Comment
                                                • Lucky1g
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-10-10
                                                  • 5973

                                                  #129
                                                  My Saturday night cap. Good luck

                                                  ***Top Rated***LA Monroe & New Mexico UNDER 61

                                                  Ole Miss & LSU OVER 60

                                                  Penn State+18.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lucky1g
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-10-10
                                                    • 5973

                                                    #130
                                                    So I went 3-6 -4.8 units yesterday. 1-2 on 2unit plays. Struggling as the Donald would say "big league"
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                      • 5973

                                                      #131
                                                      Updated

                                                      Overall season now 39-36-3 52% -3.5 units
                                                      sides 25-22-3
                                                      totals 14-14
                                                      top rated***[2unit] 3-5-1
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lucky1g
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-10-10
                                                        • 5973

                                                        #132

                                                        Virginia Tech & Pitt UNDER 57

                                                        Georgia Southern+5.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mkracier
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-30-16
                                                          • 185

                                                          #133
                                                          Our boys from Wyoming are looking good this weekend...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lucky1g
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-10-10
                                                            • 5973

                                                            #134
                                                            Updated. Just can't seem to get it going. If I drop down to 10 unit mark I'm just going to pull the stop/loss order and withdraw until I try to get some back during bowls.

                                                            Overall season now 39-38-3 51% -5.7 units
                                                            sides 25-23-3
                                                            totals 14-15
                                                            top rated***[2unit] 3-5-1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lucky1g
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-10-10
                                                              • 5973

                                                              #135
                                                              Best of Luck with your action

                                                              330
                                                              Texas+3.5
                                                              TCU-9

                                                              5
                                                              ***Top Rated***Oregon-9.5

                                                              7
                                                              UTSA-3 -120
                                                              Ole Miss+4.5
                                                              ***Top Rated***Nebraska & Wisconsin OVER 42 -130
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mkracier
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-30-16
                                                                • 185

                                                                #136
                                                                Huge week ahead Lucky!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lucky1g
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-10-10
                                                                  • 5973

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Overall season now 42-41-3 51% -6.1 units
                                                                  sides 28-25-3
                                                                  totals 14-16
                                                                  top rated***[2unit] 4-6-1

                                                                  tonight

                                                                  ***Top Rated***UCLA+13
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lucky1g
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-10-10
                                                                    • 5973

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Overall season now 43-41-3 51% -4.1 units
                                                                    sides 29-25-3
                                                                    totals 14-16
                                                                    top rated***[2unit] 5-6-1

                                                                    saturday

                                                                    ***Top Rated***Georgia Southern+28

                                                                    ***Top Rated***Ohio State-17


                                                                    ​best of luck with your action
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • redsox9985
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 02-22-13
                                                                      • 57

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Wanted to say thanks for the plays as always Lucky, hoping this weekend is a big one for you!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Lucky1g
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-10-10
                                                                        • 5973

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Thanks bro. Been a struggle this year. Hopefully Buckeyes bring da ruckus tonight for a 2-0 +4 unit day..attempting to be very selective the rest of the way. Think I was playing far too many games..today these were my top 2 plays
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...