My bowl plays

thellama · 12-19-15, 04:35 PM

I might lose the under in the first quarter.

thellama · 12-20-15, 02:28 AM

6-2, I'll take it. +15u to start the bowl season thanks to 2 risky bets. Won't be doing that again. Would have been 7-2 but I forgot to bet NC A&T because it wasn't on the main college page, and placing a bet in each bowl was sort of my goal to start this thread. Oh well.

Miami Beach Bowl +2Units on Western Kentucky...
12/21/2015 2:30 PM College Football 211 Western Kentucky* -2½ -110 vs South Florida

Best player on the field will be WK QB Doughty, last game and he's motivated to go out with a win. South Florida has not impressed under Taggart despite fertile recruiting grounds, inflated offensive numbers against scrub teams... Western Kentucky is not a scrub team.

Boca Raton +1u on Temple
12/22/2015 7:00 PM Reduced Football 216 Temple* -2½ -107 vs Toledo

12/22's games... tough. Toledo/Temple - Toledo is down a coach, but that coach was not very good anyway... Temple has a more complete team but Toledo has the talent as shown by there beatdown of Arkansas St.

Idaho Potato Bowl +1u Northern Illinois
12/23/2015 4:30 PM Reduced Football 218 Northern Illinois* +8 -105 vs Boise State

Boise has fallen quite a bit, I think they'll win but I don't think they'll cover. Almost a home game for Boise, they should have most of the stadium packed with their fans... but Northern Illinois keeps it within a TD.

JayDr3am · 12-21-15, 02:03 AM

Originally posted by thellama

6-2, I'll take it. +15u to start the bowl season thanks to 2 risky bets. Won't be doing that again. Would have been 7-2 but I forgot to bet NC A&T because it wasn't on the main college page, and placing a bet in each bowl was sort of my goal to start this thread. Oh well.

Miami Beach Bowl +2Units on Western Kentucky...
12/21/2015 2:30 PM College Football 211 Western Kentucky* -2½ -110 vs South Florida

Best player on the field will be WK QB Doughty, last game and he's motivated to go out with a win. South Florida has not impressed under Taggart despite fertile recruiting grounds, inflated offensive numbers against scrub teams... Western Kentucky is not a scrub team.

Boca Raton +1u on Temple
12/22/2015 7:00 PM Reduced Football 216 Temple* -2½ -107 vs Toledo

12/22's games... tough. Toledo/Temple - Toledo is down a coach, but that coach was not very good anyway... Temple has a more complete team but Toledo has the talent as shown by there beatdown of Arkansas St.

Idaho Potato Bowl +1u Northern Illinois
12/23/2015 4:30 PM Reduced Football 218 Northern Illinois* +8 -105 vs Boise State
Boise has fallen quite a bit, I think they'll win but I don't think they'll cover. Almost a home game for Boise, they should have most of the stadium packed with their fans... but Northern Illinois keeps it within a TD.

alot of the people are on South florida.. so i got on board with the W. Kentucky pick..

thellama · 12-21-15, 02:04 PM

Adding the over for another unit because I'm a fiend despite every fiber in my body telling me to go under. Lets Go WK!

JayDr3am · 12-21-15, 05:34 PM

good shit llama!

thellama · 12-22-15, 02:55 AM

8-2 +18u - building up a nice cushion to help get through these next few. Here are the next two days bowls.

Idaho Potato Bowl +1u on Akron
12/22/2015 3:30 PM Reduced Football 213 Akron* +7 +100 vs Utah State
Utah Wins but it's going to be close.

Boca Raton Bowl +1u on Temple
12/22/2015 7:00 PM Reduced Football 216 Temple* -2½ -106 vs Toledo

Most confident about this pick, both teams had good years, Toledo's shitty coach is gone which might actually help them... but Temple has the talent. First missing coach bowl game. Let's see how that plays out.

Poinsettia Bowl +1u Northern Illinois
12/23/2015 4:30 PM Reduced Football 218 Northern Illinois* +8 -105 vs Boise State

Boise State will win, but that's too many points. N. Illinois will cover.

GoDaddy Bowl +1u Bowling Green
12/23/2015 8:00 PM College Football 220 Bowling Green* -7 -115 vs Georgia Southern

Speaking of missing coaches, neither of these teams have one. Bowling Green has better talent and more experience. I bet this down to -7... both programs are sort of floundering, this is tough but I think Bowling Green wins by at least a td.

thellama · 12-23-15, 02:49 PM

9-3 +18u... was patient yesterday and kept it conservative. Not today. I put an extra unit on BG at -5.5 and 1u -3 bg first half, also put a unit on the under of 63.5. Strong winds, heavy rain... these guys will not be scoring much. In hindsight, I should of not put an extra unit on BG... the storm which could give an edge on the under might also keep this game much closer than it would otherwise be in clear conditions.

Was going to put an extra unit on N Illionois but the line came back down so I'll keep with my original bet and not push my luck.

thellama · 12-24-15, 02:47 AM

10-6 +16... time for a bounce back day.

Bahama Bowl +1u Western Michigan
12/24/2015 12:00 PM Reduced Football 222 Western Michigan* -4½ -101 vs Middle Tennessee

Hawaii Bowl +2u San Diego State
12/24/2015 8:00 PM Reduced Football 224 San Diego State* -3 -110 vs Cincinnati U

Hawaii Bowl +1u OVER
12/24/2015 8:00 PM Reduced Football 223 Cincinnati U/San Diego State* Over 56½ -105

A long way to go for these Cinci kids, and they're going to be in Hawaii. San Diego used to sun and fun, more focused, will have more fans, good defense, Cincinnati not a good road team to begin with... 2units on San Diego to win and cover. Over the 56.5

thellama · 12-24-15, 04:36 PM

made a halftime bet on Western Michigan of 2 units (I will not count towards running total) at -4.5. I am going to let them ride on another 2 units on SDST at 1.5.

2 more units on SDST at
12/24/15 8:00pm Reduced Football 224 San Diego State -1½ -101*vs Cincinnati U

thellama · 12-25-15, 04:21 AM

12-7 +20u... that's better, if Cinci could actually muster more than one gd td I think that would have been a clean sweep. Lot of games for the 26th. After these games, I'll either be doing real good or doing real shitty.

St Pete Bowl +2u UCONN
12/26/2015 11:00 AM Reduced Football 225 Connecticut* +5 -105 vs Marshal

Uconn has a great defense, they upset Houston, Marshall had a very weak schedule and didn't look that great running through it. Also a decent defense. I think Uconn wins. Debated the ML bet here.

Sun Bowl +4u Washington State
12/26/15 2:00pm Reduced Football 228 Washington State -2½ -115*vs Miami Florida
Sun Bowl +4u Over 62.5

12/26/2015 2:00 PM Reduced Football 227 Miami Florida/Washington State* Over 62½ -102

Miami has not seen a passing attack like WSU, Faulk is healthy and he will be racking up the yards. They are way up for this game, Miami is in transition and I'm not even sure who is coaching this thing for them... I will need Miami to score some to hit the over but I think they will given that WSU gives up around 30 a game. Only WSU's 5th bowl appearance since 2000! Miami could give two shits about the Sun Bowl. Could lose my nice cushion on this one game but I don't think I will. This is a game to get fat on.

Heart of Dallas Bowl +2u Washington
12/26/2015 2:20 PM Reduced Football 230 Washington U* -8½ -107 vs Southern Mississippi
Heart of Dallas Bowl +1u Under 54.5
12/26/2015 2:20 PM Reduced Football 229 Southern Mississippi/Washington U* Under 54½ -102

Washington top 20 in scoring efficiency, lot of talent on this team, Chris Peterson's second year as head coach, I think they're starting to put it together. I think they smoke Southern Miss, and I think they'll come under 54 1/2.

Pinstripe Bowl +1u Duke
12/26/2015 3:30 PM Reduced Football 232 Duke* +2½ +106 vs Indiana
Pinstripe Bowl +4u Under 72
12/26/2015 3:30 PM Reduced Football 231 Indiana/Duke* Under 72 -105

I get both teams give up a lot of points.... this game is going under 72. Too bad they weren't playing basketball at Yankee Stadium. Duke has a better coach. No confidence in anything except the under. This game is a dog.

Independence Bowl +1u Va Tech
12/26/2015 5:45 PM Reduced Football 234 Virginia Tech* -14 -102 vs Tulsa
Tulsa is a tempo team but they're not very good at it. 5th in pace of place, 69th in scoring efficiency. Va Tech better defense, better coached... I think it's a forgone conclusion that they win, but do they cover? Yes. Yes they do.

Foster Farms Bowl +1 UCLA
12/26/2015 9:15 PM Reduced Football 236 UCLA* -6½ -115 vs Nebraska

Who wants this one? The disappointing Bruins or the disappointing Huskers? I'll just go with the UCLA.

I've got a few more bets that I'll post in this thread before I forget.

+1U
2016 NCAA National Champion - Oklahoma +208*
+1U
Football 28031 Oklahoma beats Alabama +345*vs Any other result
+2U Ok (teams must meet)
College Props Football 28016 Oklahoma +3 -120*vs Alabama

thellama · 12-27-15, 01:57 AM

15-13 +14u... I think I just need to stay away from over/unders.

Military Bowl +1u Pitt
12/28/2015 2:30 PM Reduced Football 237 Pittsburgh U* +140 vs Navy
Pitt can win this, they've got a great defense. I'll forgo the 3 points and just bet the ML.

Quick Lane Bowl +1 Minn
12/28/2015 5:00 PM Reduced Football 240 Minnesota U* -5 -105 vs Central Michigan

Go team go!

thellama · 12-29-15, 02:01 AM

16-14 +14u...

Armed Forces Bowl +1u Air Force
12/29/2015 2:00 PM Reduced Football 241 Air Force* +7½ -113 vs California

I think Cal is a mess, Dykes spent the last month looking for another job, Cal hasn't played defense since October... the triple option is going to wreck Cal. Air Force is peaking at the right moment... Cal guys are worried about the nfl draft, not Air Force. Air Force qb out but I still think they'll win, or at least keep it close.

Russell Athletic Bowl +4u NC
12/29/2015 5:30 PM Reduced Football 244 North Carolina* -3½ -105 vs Baylor
Ruseell Athletic Bowl +4u Over 68.5
12/29/2015 5:30 PM Reduced Football 243 Baylor/North Carolina* Over 68½ -108

Lot of folks are on NC, Baylor hasn't looked good in over a month. I think NC rolls. Neither team has a good defense. Lot of points scored despite Baylor having a 3rd stringer in there. They had enough time to find a way to score some points, NC will score more, tho.

Arizona Bowl +2u C. State
12/29/2015 7:30 PM Reduced Football 246 Colorado State* -3 -118 vs Nevada

Mountain West vs. Mountain West? Exciting.

Texas Bowl +2u LSU
12/29/2015 9:00 PM Reduced Football 248 LSU* -7 -110 vs Texas Tec

Texas Tech passing game vs Fournette and the LSU run game. Both defenses are down. Running will win out.

Parlay for the helluva it...

12/29/2015 5:30 PM College Football 244 North Carolina* -2 -110 vs Baylor for 1st Half
12/29/2015 7:30 PM College Football 246 Colorado State* -1 -110 vs Nevada for 1st Half
12/29/2015 9:00 PM College Football 248 LSU* -4 -110 vs Texas Tech for 1st Half

Risking $25.00 To Win $150.00

thellama · 12-30-15, 01:23 AM

18-17 +13u Rough going. Went nuts on LSU live and ended up +20u for that game alone but will not count towards my bowl total. Still feeling pretty good after that game despite coming down to about .500 in my picks.

Birmingham Bowl +1u Auburn
12/30/2015 12:00 PM Reduced Football 250 Auburn* -3½ -103 vs Memphis

Flipped a coin.

Belk Bowl +1 Miss St
112/30/2015 3:30 PM Reduced Football 252 Mississippi State* -6½ +100 vs NC State

Flipped a coin. Zack Prescott goes out a winner.

Music City Bowl +1 Lousville
12/30/2015 7:00 PM Reduced Football 253 Louisville* -4½ -109 vs Texas A&M

Cause A&M is basically a grease fire.

Holiday Bowl +1 USC
12/30/2015 10:30 PM Reduced Football 256 USC* -3½ +102 vs Wisconsin

In my bowl pools i picked Wisconsin... but I have only picked one upset so far so I'm just fading myself. USC wins it.

I am also betting the under for 1 unit on the NC State/Mississippi game.

BayArea888 · 12-30-15, 01:39 AM

All faves tomorrow???

thellama · 12-31-15, 03:43 AM

21-19 +u14... What upset did you pick? The faves won, save for USC... and even that I noted my pool $ went to Wisconsin but my bet went to usc cause I have picked one upset so far and that was Duke. Should have stuck to my guns but that's what happens when you start doubting yourself. I've bet every bowl game, which is retarded, but unless I absolutely eat shit in these next few picks I'll come out of it in the black. And if you dont' like square bets, you won't like these next bowl picks.

Peach Bowl +2u Florida St
12/31/2015 12:00 PM Reduced Football 258 Florida State* -7 +102 vs Houston U
Peach Bowl +2u Florida
12/31/2015 12:00 PM College Football 258 Florida State* -3½ -115 vs Houston U for 1st Half
If Florida shows up and feels like playing, they win and cover. The only problem is, this is the Superbowl for Houston. Will Florida show up? Most of their team is coming back next year, nobody is pussy footing around this game trying to make it to the draft healthy... that's why I think we'll get a winning Florida St team to show up. It's a young team, and they will be in the playoffs next year... that's why I think they win. And they have a killer defense.

Orange Bowl +8u Oklahoma
12/31/2015 4:00 PM Reduced Football 261 Oklahoma* -3½ -108 vs Clemson
Orange Bowl +2u Oklahoma
12/31/2015 4:00 PM College Football 261 Oklahoma* -2½ -115 vs Clemson for 1st Half

I was going to throw some bets around if I made it this far still up units. I think Oklahoma wins big. Oklahoma has been blowing people away... Clemsons margin of victory has been around 9. Oklahoma is rolling and they're going to roll over Clemson.

Cotton Bowl +1u Michigan State
12/31/2015 8:00 PM College Football 259 Michigan State* +10 -110 vs Alabama

Alabama wins, but not by more than 10.

$50.00	$109.26	Pending	3 Team Parlay
		Pending	12/19/15 2:00pm College Football 201 Arizona U -360* vs New Mexico
		Pending	12/19/15 3:30pm College Football 204 Utah -2½ -115* vs BYU
		Pending	12/19/15 5:30pm College Football 206 Appalachian State -300* vs Ohio

$325.00	$100.00	Pending	12/19/15 3:00pm Reduced Football 201 Arizona U -325* vs New Mexico
$27.00	$25.00	Pending	12/19/15 3:30pm Reduced Football 204 Utah -2½ -108* vs BYU
$26.25	$25.00	Pending	12/19/15 3:30pm Reduced Football 203 BYU/Utah Under 50½ -105*
$280.00	$100.00	Pending	12/19/15 5:30pm Reduced Football 206 Appalachian State -280* vs Ohio
$26.25	$25.00	Pending	12/19/15 7:00pm Reduced Football 208 Georgia State +1½ -105* vs San Jose State
$26.25	$25.00	Pending	12/19/15 7:00pm Reduced Football 207 San Jose State/Georgia State Under 55½ -105*
$27.00	$25.00	Pending	12/19/15 9:00pm Reduced Football 210 Louisiana Tech -1½ -108* vs Arkansas State