CFB Plays - Week 7

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    CFB Plays - Week 7
    THURSDAY, 10/15
    Stanford -5.5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 54-59-1, -6.26
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    1 CFB Addition Saturday

    THURSDAY, 10/15
    Stanford -5.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 10/17
    Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      CFB Addition Saturday

      THURSDAY, 10/15
      Stanford -5.5 -105 (Heritage)

      SATURDAY, 10/17
      Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
      Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
      Comment
      • Ratpack
        SBR MVP
        • 02-15-12
        • 4133

        #4
        you got that iowa line EARLY at heritage because its -140 now it doesnt matter iowa wins by a td and that stanford play looks good also
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Ratpack
          you got that iowa line EARLY at heritage because its -140 now it doesnt matter iowa wins by a td and that stanford play looks good also
          Yes, that is my goal with all of my plays. Plays I make this early especially are games I like that I anticipate movement on.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Iowa surprising team this year although playing angry northwestern team
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              Iowa surprising team this year although playing angry northwestern team
              Northwestern can't win if they can't run. Nobody runs on Iowa. Ergo....
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                CFB Additions Thursday & Saturday

                THURSDAY, 10/15
                Auburn / Kentucky OVER 52 -102 (5 Dimes)
                Stanford -5.5 -105 (Heritage)

                SATURDAY, 10/17
                Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
                Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
                Ohio -4 -110 (Heritage)
                Virginia Tech +6 -105 (Heritage)
                Vanderbilt +125 ML (Heritage)
                Florida +9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                Iowa State +20.5 +100 (Heritage)
                UCF +21.5 -105 (Heritage)
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  THis looks like a powerful card

                  Stanford should roll the soft Bruins tonight
                  Comment
                  • CanuckG
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-23-10
                    • 21978

                    #10
                    What are your thoughts on Western Kentucky/North Texas?
                    Comment
                    • Harry N. Lloyd
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-26-08
                      • 4810

                      #11
                      Beware the team that just fired their coach, as the Mean Green of North Texas did this week. Don't blame the AD. They lost at home last week 66-7 to Portland State (an FCS school.) Yikes!! Meanwhile the Hilltoppers are rockin' and rollin', scoring by the truckload. But do you really want to lay 5 TDs on the road with a team traveling on a short week?? Gimme a VERY small play on North Texas. I'll take the points and hold my nose.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by CanuckG
                        What are your thoughts on Western Kentucky/North Texas?
                        Just a slight lean to the Under at the monstrous total because WKy may be the only team scoring.
                        Comment
                        • FlipsideRM
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-28-11
                          • 10518

                          #13
                          Can I ask why you like auburn/Kentucky over? Total is now sitting at 56, some crazy like movement. I love the under personally as I've seen a lot of Kentucky this year. Just curious what your thinking here is?
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                            Can I ask why you like auburn/Kentucky over? Total is now sitting at 56, some crazy like movement. I love the under personally as I've seen a lot of Kentucky this year. Just curious what your thinking here is?
                            Pure model play as it has 56.86

                            I don't always know what the model is "thinking"
                            Comment
                            • brett1508
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 07-22-15
                              • 38

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              Pure model play as it has 56.86

                              I don't always know what the model is "thinking"
                              I'd say the model was pretty good tonight. Nice pick!
                              Comment
                              • sweethook
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-21-07
                                • 12667

                                #16
                                lot of dog , love the money lines too
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  CFB Additions Friday & Saturday

                                  FRIDAY, 10/16
                                  Houston / Tulane UNDER 58.5 -105 (Heritage)

                                  SATURDAY, 10/17
                                  Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
                                  Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Ohio -4 -110 (Heritage)
                                  Buffalo +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Virginia Tech +6 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Vanderbilt +125 ML (Heritage)
                                  Florida +9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Iowa State +20.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                  UCF +21.5 -105 (Heritage)


                                  YTD: 56-59-1, -4.26
                                  Comment
                                  • eddycash
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-06-13
                                    • 4529

                                    #18
                                    Does Florida still have value right at +7?
                                    Comment
                                    • Yons18
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-06-15
                                      • 324

                                      #19
                                      Ohio -4 is probably the most solid favorite to cover on the whole card. Love this play
                                      Comment
                                      • Ralphie1412
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-08
                                        • 13963

                                        #20
                                        LT can you explain the Iowa pick?
                                        "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                        Goat Milk
                                        Comment
                                        • l7ustin
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-09-08
                                          • 3914

                                          #21
                                          good luck today LT i like iowa vandy florida and iowa st
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                            LT can you explain the Iowa pick?
                                            Basically I gave a one line synopsis in Post #7.
                                            Comment
                                            • eddycash
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-06-13
                                              • 4529

                                              #23
                                              Wsup with Florida at +7?
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by eddycash
                                                Wsup with Florida at +7?
                                                I am smart.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  I am smart.
                                                  Va Tech too, saw some +3 earlier.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    4 CFB Additions

                                                    SATURDAY, 10/17
                                                    Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
                                                    Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Ohio -4 -110 (Heritage)
                                                    Buffalo +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Akron +12 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Texas A&M +4 -105 (Heritage)

                                                    Virginia Tech +6 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Idaho +11 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Vanderbilt +125 ML (Heritage)
                                                    Florida +9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                    Iowa State +20.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                    Hawaii +5 -103 (Heritage)
                                                    UCF +21.5 -105 (Heritage)


                                                    YTD: 57-59-1, -3.26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • eddycash
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-06-13
                                                      • 4529

                                                      #27
                                                      Is Florida still the play at +7 smarty?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by eddycash
                                                        Is Florida still the play at +7 smarty?
                                                        Yes but barely. Pass at 6.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          4 CFB Total Additions (17 Total Plays)

                                                          SATURDAY, 10/17
                                                          Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
                                                          Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Ohio -4 -110 (Heritage)
                                                          Buffalo +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Akron +12 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Syracuse / Virginia UNDER 53.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                          Texas A&M +4 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Virginia Tech +6 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Idaho +11 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Nevada / Wyoming OVER 54.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                          Vanderbilt +125 ML (Heritage)
                                                          Oregon State / Washington State OVER 60.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                          Florida +9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Iowa State +20.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                          TCU / Iowa State UNDER 72 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Hawaii +5 -103 (Heritage)
                                                          UCF +21.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • POOLSIDE
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-06-14
                                                            • 2839

                                                            #30
                                                            What do you have for OSU/Penn State? OSU overvalued as usual? Haven't covered a spread since week one?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SportsGEEEEK
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-26-15
                                                              • 197

                                                              #31
                                                              Love the Vanderbilt play.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CanuckG
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-23-10
                                                                • 21978

                                                                #32
                                                                Kansas +33 was big for me today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                                                  What do you have for OSU/Penn State? OSU overvalued as usual? Haven't covered a spread since week one?
                                                                  Surprisingly no. Model has 19.47
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    1 CFB First Half Addition

                                                                    SATURDAY, 10/17
                                                                    Iowa -110 ML (Heritage)
                                                                    Louisiana Tech +13.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Ohio -4 -110 (Heritage)
                                                                    Buffalo +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Akron +12 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Syracuse / Virginia UNDER 53.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Texas A&M +4 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Virginia Tech +6 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Idaho +11 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Nevada / Wyoming OVER 54.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Vanderbilt +125 ML (Heritage)
                                                                    Oregon State / Washington State OVER 60.5-105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Florida +9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Iowa State +20.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                                    TCU / Iowa State UNDER 72 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    TCU / Iowa State UNDER 36.5 -105 (First Half) (Heritage)
                                                                    Hawaii +5 -103 (Heritage)
                                                                    UCF +21.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pavyracer
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                                      • 82839

                                                                      #35
                                                                      LT is like a bloodbath for you so far. What happened? Computer model got a virus?
                                                                      Comment
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