Michigan/Northwestern over/under 34?!?

McCarthyFam · 10-09-15, 02:28 PM

two top tier defenses. Michigan with back to back shutouts. michigan offense struggles. i don't understand how Michigan is favored by a touchdown. i think northwestern has better offense going into the game. tough game to call. I'd stay away

funky · 10-09-15, 02:43 PM

Michigan and under

irishstuey · 10-09-15, 04:00 PM

Not much margin for error taking UM and under.

Eddy Munny · 10-09-15, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by irishstuey

Not much margin for error taking UM and under.

Yep, especially in college ball... all it takes is a missed assignment, pick six, kick return etc. and you're holding your breath for the rest of the game. It wouldn't be a surprise if it stayed under, but the number doesn't give you a lot of leeway. I personally like NW and the points. Make Michigan earn it with a double digit victory (eight or nine points not a high probability victory margin).

Harry N. Lloyd · 10-09-15, 08:01 PM

Guys, my model has this game coming in at Michigan 13-6. A 19 point total!!! Here's where variance comes into play. The Wolverines have just pitched back to back shutouts. It came against a road-weary BYU team and a slipshod Maryland squad. Northwestern is fresh off a goose- egg of their own (over Minny.) Clearly we have 2 really good defenses.....but sometimes a good defense sets up the offense by giving them good field position, turnovers, etc. Variance, boys--play the OVER.

funky · 10-09-15, 08:05 PM

Michigan is -10 now. Public money on nw though. reverse line movement

TheSchafe · 10-09-15, 08:31 PM

One thing I've learned after wagering for the last 8 years...if you see a low total like this, you HAVE TO auto bet the under.

Eddy Munny · 10-09-15, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by funky

Michigan is -10 now. Public money on nw though. reverse line movement

That's a sizable jump in a short amount of time. I don't know of any key injuries for the Cats. There must be some sharp late money on Michigan.