Mac's Early Leans - 2015

[Mac4Lyfe]

Wow, good damn thing my bets were cancelled. Illinois is up 28-0 in the first quarter. OMG.

The Big10 is kicking up a lot of noise. NWestern just dominated Stanford. Md, Rutgers, Iowa won big. Michigan and Minnesota had a chance to win against top tiered opponents. The Big10 is back baby...

[Mac4Lyfe]

OMG - Arkansa was 10 yards away from covering that first half. DAMMIT!!

[Mac4Lyfe]

Large Bolded play here...

---------------------------------------------------------
16 Football - 176 Texas A&M -1 -110 for 1st Half
--------------------------------------------------------

I'm really loving this play here. Sumlin is a 1st game wonder coach. He tends to always have his teams prepared for opening day. I think they put up a lot of points before AzSt knew what hit them. TAM's defense may be worn out in the 2nd half, so a play on ASU might be good as well.

[Mac4Lyfe]

9/5/15 Results...

10 Football - 157 Kent +7 -105 for 1st Half
11 Football - 157 Kent/Illinois under 27 -105 for 1st Half
12 Football - 171 Stanford/Northwestern over 48 -108 for Game
13 Football - 174 Auburn -6 -115 for 1st Half
14 Football - 166 Temple team total over 7½ -120 for 1st Half
15 Football - 194 Arkansas -20½ -105 for 1st Half
16 Football - 176 Texas A&M -1 -110 for 1st Half

2015 Updated totals
9 - 5 (64.3%)
4 - 0 (100%) on Bolded Plays

Stanford/NWU was just a bad read. Temple and Arkansas both should have covered the half. Frustrating.

[Housemoney]

Another great week, always look forward to your leans.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I'm locking and loading this game right now. Huge bet on this one. This will be a bolded play.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
17 Football - 328 Tex San Antonio +18 -108 for Game
-----------------------------------------------------------------

[Mac4Lyfe]

I will have a write up on UTSA sometime this week. This is a great spot for UTSA here. They are a scrappy bunch, especially at home. They have a lot of new guys but got rid of a lot of jitters playing against Arizona on Saturday. They beat Arizona in time of possession and total yards. 2 horrible turnovers and sketchy refs, gave the game away. If they clean up the mistakes this could be a huge upset. I'm already large on the ML. Get your popcorn ready.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Thanks bro...

Another great week, always look forward to your leans.

[restingbird]

[Mac4Lyfe]

Early lean...

UCF +18 versus Stanford - Stanford looked horrible this weekend. They couldn't pass the ball further than 10 yards. UCF can stop the run and if Stanford can't figure out the forward pass, this might be another loss.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Hmmm, UCF not getting any respect. I'm almost locked and loaded for that one.

Other leans for this week...

Football - 305 Utah State +12½ -108 for Game

Football - 307 South Florida/Florida State under 54 -108 for Game

Football - 309 Western Michigan -3 -129 buying ½ for Game

Football - 311 Buffalo U +19 -108 for Game

Football - 317 Houston U/Louisville over 53½ -108 for Game

Football - 321 Temple +6½ -108 for Game

Football - 332 Ohio State -41 -108 for Game

Football - 336 Clemson -18½ -108 for Game

Football - 337 Missouri -10½ -108 for Game

Football - 345 Oregon State +14½ -108 for Game

Football - 348 Georgia Tech -30 -108 for Game

Football - 351 Boise State -2½ -108 for Game

Football - 359 Memphis -12½ -108 for Game

Football - 362 Arkansas -21 -108 for Game

Football - 383 Oklahoma -1½ -108 for Game

Football - 385 Rice +14 -108 for Game

Football - 392 Michigan State -3½ -103 for Game

Football - 393 Florida Intl/Indiana over 56 -108 for Game

Football - 378 Texas A&M -17 -120 buying ½ for 1st Half

Nothing locked in yet but these are the games I like so far.

[Mac4Lyfe]

NFL picks... 1 Bolded
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 Football - 462 New England Patriots -7 -115 for Game
2 Football - 462 New England Patriots -5 +101 selling 1 for 1st Half
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

This game looks like a free ATM. Patriots can't wait to get back on the field and squash all the madness. Pittsburgh has zero pass rushers and horrible defensive backs and the offense is centered around Antonio Brown. No Bell, no Bryant, the Steelers seem very over matched in this one. The only thing scaring me from hammering this is why is the line so low? This seems like a double digit blow out even though that's tough in the NFL. No need to over think this. Just walk up to the ATM and cash.

[KANSAS24]

ALSO UCON LOOKS GOOD?

[McDabs]

Not sure I like the Under in the FSU/USF game... FSU will score plenty and USF will get at least 2 TDs

Nice start so far.. Good luck this season lets find some winners

[McDabs]

Oregon State ML should have a CHANCE* at +500.. +14.5 looks good

[Mac4Lyfe]

Yeah, I'm not liking it that much either. Right now it's a no play.

Not sure I like the Under in the FSU/USF game... FSU will score plenty and USF will get at least 2 TDs

Nice start so far.. Good luck this season lets find some winners

[Mac4Lyfe]

My head says Oregon State should keep this close but the numbers are saying otherwise. Now it's either Michigan or no play which for me is a no play. Putting a little on the ML just for shits and giggles is always fun though.

Oregon State ML should have a CHANCE* at +500.. +14.5 looks good

[Mac4Lyfe]

Saturday 9/12/15 games locked and loaded. 2 Bolded
------------------------------------------------------------
17 Buffalo U 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +17½ -108 for Game
18 Houston U/Louisville 9:00AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 54 -116 for Game
19 Clemson 9:30AM - (PST) Spread -19 -108 for Game

20 Georgia Tech 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -30½ -108 for Game
21 Georgia Tech 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -18 -120 for 1st Half
22 Arkansas 1:00PM - (PST) Spread -22 -108 for Game

23 Memphis 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -13 -108 for Game
24 Texas A&M 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -17.5 -115 for 1st Half
25 Michigan State 5:00PM - (PST) Spread -3 -105 for 1st Half
26 Central Florida 7:30PM - (PST) Spread +19 -108 for Game

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Mac4Lyfe]

WTF? These bastard refs are calling everything on UTSA. 2nd fukking week in a row where everytime they do something good the bitch ass refs throw phantom flags. They should be up 10 points right now. Dammit

[SBRMAN23]

Utsa looks better even though they dont if that makes sense they should do much better second half and that TE is a beast he will get to work. BOL Mac

[BiGAzn]

Mac,

I played UTSA as well. Did you play it? Saw it in your leans but didn't see it in your locked plays. I'm playing OU and MSU large today. Why the change from MSU game to first half?

[Mac4Lyfe]

Larry Coker and the play calling needs their asses kicked for this shit show today. He kept calling horse shit plays that led to them not being able to convert 3rd downs. All the damn penalties were unreal but the play calling OMG. They couldn't convert a 3rd down to save their lives. Then you're calling uptempo but you can't convert shit. The defense was out on the field for 90% of that game. Then the decision to go for it on 4th and 3 near the end of the first half when you were down 7 - 3. WTF? Kick the FG and only be down 1. Coker lost what should have been an easy cover. Damn, I'm pissed at that shit.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Yeah, I locked it in and played it very large.

I'm going to need Georgia Tech to bring it.

Oregon has historically been a slow starting team the last few years. They usually get it together late in the 2nd and to begin the 3rd. I see MSU coming out real juiced and should win the 1st quarter which hopefully carries into the 2nd. The 2nd half could be close and Oregon could actually win it, which is why I like the 1st half better. If MSU is controlling the line of scrimmage in the first half and it's a defensive game, I'll probably take MSU in the 2nd half too. If it's back and forth, then I'll probably take Oregon 2nd half as I like them more in a shootout.

Mac,

I played UTSA as well. Did you play it? Saw it in your leans but didn't see it in your locked plays. I'm playing OU and MSU large today. Why the change from MSU game to first half?

[BiGAzn]

Hmmm. I'll ride with you on the 1H play then. Rode with you on the GT 1H also made us sweat that one! What do you think about OU/Tenn? I'm an OU fan but I really think they're going to bring their A game. Stoops has been in the hotseat lately so I think they'll step up. As long as they don't decide to let TK play. Lol.

[Mac4Lyfe]

OMG - the first half was sealed then MSU throws a WTF interception with a little over a minute in the half. Unfukingreal.

[jca1i]

Got my popcorn ready.. Annnd 3 points. Damn. Tough loss.

[Mac4Lyfe]

UCF holding Stanford down until the damn QB got knocked out of the game. UCF couldn't do shit after that. Unreal how teams can't get quality backup QBs, while OSU has 3??? That loss left a mark.

Got my popcorn ready.. Annnd 3 points. Damn. Tough loss.

[Mac4Lyfe]

NFL Results
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 Football - 462 New England Patriots -7 -115 for Game
2 Football - 462 New England Patriots -5 +101 selling 1 for 1st Half
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Record
1 - 0 (100%)
1 - 0 (100%) on Bolded plays

How the fuk did the Patriots let Pittsburgh get a 2 seconds to go BS TD? Damn, I had the game line bet cashed already. Turrible.

[Mac4Lyfe]

4 NFL plays - 2 Bolded
-------------------------------------------------------------
3 Football - 489 Philadelphia Eagles -3 +102 for Game
4 Football - 478 Arizona Cardinals -2½ -108 for Game
5 Football - 482 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 +102 for Game
6 Football - 479 Detroit Lions +3 +108 selling ½ for Game
-------------------------------------------------------------

[Mac4Lyfe]

Added play
--------------------------------------------------------------
7 Football - 488 Dallas Cowboys -7 -103 for Game
--------------------------------------------------------------

[jrbacon]

Mac (or anyone!)
Do you follow big10 at all or just a little bit of everything? I feel like Indiana had 2 pretty pathetic wins yet they are favored (barely) over Western Kentucky. It's making me want to take W. Kentucky big. Both teams score a lot but over already reflects that. I feel like IU D has shown they can't stop the pass which is most of WK offense
. Right now it's floating around +105 ML. Thanks!

[Mac4Lyfe]

I've been looking at that game. I've been riding WKU the last 2 weeks but hate they lost their RB. Indiana and WKU are very similar on offense and defense. Uptempo spread but can run the rock effectively. This game feels like a coin flip to me which makes it a pass right now. I think WKU's defense is a wee bit better but IU's offense, especially the tight ends are slightly better as well. IU's running game is probably better which has me slightly leaning WKU right now but very, very close.

Mac (or anyone!)
Do you follow big10 at all or just a little bit of everything? I feel like Indiana had 2 pretty pathetic wins yet they are favored (barely) over Western Kentucky. It's making me want to take W. Kentucky big. Both teams score a lot but over already reflects that. I feel like IU D has shown they can't stop the pass which is most of WK offense
. Right now it's floating around +105 ML. Thanks!

[Mac4Lyfe]

This week leans... These plays are not locked in but what I'm looking closely at. The one's in bold I really like but still studying.


Boston College Spread +7½ -108 for Game
Illinois Spread +8½ -108 for Game
East Carolina Money Line +170 for Game
Tex San Antonio Spread +25 -108 for Game
Georgia Tech Spread -2½ -113 for Game
Colorado Spread -3 -108 for Game
California/Texas Total Points OVER 57½ -108 for Game
USC Spread -9 -108 for Game
Air Force Spread +25 -108 for Game
BYU Spread +16½ -108 for Game
Boston College Spread +4½ -115 for 1st Half
Texas A&M Spread -20½ -115 for 1st Half
South Carolina Spread +9½ -110 for 1st Half
East Carolina Spread +3 -110 for 1st Half
Tex San Antonio Spread +14 +100 for 1st Half
Georgia Tech Spread -½ -110 for 1st Half
Colorado Spread -1 -110 for 1st Half
California/Texas Total Points OVER 29 -110 for 1st Half
USC Spread -6 -110 for 1st Half
Air Force Spread +14½ -115 for 1st Half
BYU Spread +9½ -110 for 1st Half

[Mac4Lyfe]

I had 2 games listed as #17…
17 Football - 328 Tex San Antonio +18 -108 for Game
17 Buffalo U 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +17½ -108 for Game
18 Houston U/Louisville 9:00AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 54 -116 for Game
19 Clemson 9:30AM - (PST) Spread -19 -108 for Game
20 Georgia Tech 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -30½ -108 for Game
21 Georgia Tech 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -18 -120 for 1st Half
22 Arkansas 1:00PM - (PST) Spread -22 -108 for Game
23 Memphis 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -13 -108 for Game
24 Texas A&M 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -17.5 -115 for 1st Half
25 Michigan State 5:00PM - (PST) Spread -3 -105 for 1st Half
26 Central Florida 7:30PM - (PST) Spread +19 -108 for Game

Weekly Total
8 – 3, 2 – 1 Bolded

2015 Updated totals
17 - 7 (70.8%)
6 - 1 (85.7%) on Bolded Plays

[Mac4Lyfe]

Locked and loaded... 3 BOLDED
------------------------------------------------------------
27 Texas A&M Spread -20½ -115 for 1st Half
28 Texas A&M Spread -33½ -108 for Game
29 Illinois Spread +8½ -108 for Game
30 Air Force Spread +25 -108 for Game
31 Tex San Antonio Spread +15 -110 for 1st Half
32 East Carolina Spread +4½ -108 for Game
33 Georgia Tech Spread -½ -110 for 1st Half
34 Arkansas Spread -11½ -108 for Game
35 Colorado Spread -3 -108 for Game
36 USC Spread -6 -110 for 1st Half
-------------------------------------------------------------