Mac's Early Leans - 2015

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48383

    #1
    Mac's Early Leans - 2015
    Damn, that was a long summer. Football is back baby.

    I'll use this thread to post up my initial leanings towards a play and then lock and load it later when it becomes a bet.

    Tomorrow leans...

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    3:00PM - (PST) South Carolina Spread -2½ -108 for Game
    3:00PM - (PST) Central Florida Spread -12½ -108 for Game
    3:00PM - (PST) Central Florida Spread -7 -115 for 1st Half
    4:00PM - (PST) Central Michigan Spread +13½ -110 for 1st Half
    5:00PM - (PST) Western Kentucky/Vanderbilt Total Points OVER 31 -115 for 1st Half
    5:30PM - (PST) Utah Spread -4½ -108 for Game
    5:30PM - (PST) Utah Spread -3 -115 for 1st Half
    7:00PM - (PST) Tex San Antonio Spread +18½ -110 for 1st Half
    10:00PM - (PST) Hawaii Spread +7½ -108 for Game
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    South Carolina/UNC game could be a high scoring affair but I hate taking overs in the first game of the season as offenses can be stuck in the mud. I like USC first half and game but I could also see UNC get out to an early lead too.

    I expect Central Florida to lay the wood in this game at home. Bright House should be rocking, kids are getting out of school early at noon, so should be juiced up with alcohol by kickoff.

    WKU/Vandy should be a coin flip, fast paced game. Vandys offense is an unknown and could look like shit but I expect a shootout from the start. I'll most likely look at a 2nd half and game over as well.

    Meechigan is getting to much respect because of Harbaugh. This team is still ass and it will take many weeks for them to be respectable. Utah lays the whip and this won't be close. This game will most likely be a bolded play but I'm still running the numbers.

    UTSA is a scrappy bunch and a lot of pressure is on Zona this year. Can they live up to expectations? I think UTSA plays well in the first half. Last year, Zona beat them by just 3 points, albeit on the road but do you think they are 30+ points better this year? Larry Coker is a quality coach. +4200 ML looks delicious.

    I'll lock in my actual plays by lunch time tomorrow. Let's get it.
  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48383

    #2
    Locked and loaded...

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1 College*South Carolina vs North Carolina Total UNDER*63½*-108*for Game
    2 College*Central Florida Spread*-6½*-110*for 1st Half
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Comment
    • Chum Slam
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-16-12
      • 329

      #3
      Good luck with your plays sir!
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48383

        #4
        Thanks Bro.
        Originally posted by Chum Slam
        Good luck with your plays sir!
        Comment
        • Tboonepickem
          SBR MVP
          • 09-21-13
          • 1113

          #5
          Great play on UCF -6 1/2 1st half. Good instincts right there!
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48383

            #6
            2 games I really like. 1 bolded.
            Added plays...

            -------------------------------------------------
            Football Utah -3 for First Half
            Football Utah -5 for Game
            Football Tex San Antonio +18.5 for 1st Half
            Football Tex San Antonio +31.5 for 1st Half
            ---------------------------------------------------

            I also like UTSA ML for shits and giggles. It's +1450 for the first half and +4250 for the game.

            Did the Georgia Tech/Alcorn State game start yet? I really wanted to bet the over but I never saw one on Heritage. It was like 61 everywhere else. This should be a high scoring game. Maybe cover the over in the first half. lol
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48383

              #7
              Let's cash that bitch...

              Originally posted by Tboonepickem
              Great play on UCF -6 1/2 1st half. Good instincts right there!
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48383

                #8
                Dammit - GT already has 48 points in the 2nd quarter. Fukk, I couldn't get a bet down for that one.
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48383

                  #9
                  Great thing I only went with the first half. I had a feeling all day that UCF would start strong but FIU would bark. UCF offense is still hot garbage, kept FIU in the game and kept building their confidence. Blocked FG to seal the win was awesome.

                  Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                  Great play on UCF -6 1/2 1st half. Good instincts right there!
                  Comment
                  • dfish
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-17-10
                    • 2730

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                    Dammit - GT already has 48 points in the 2nd quarter. Fukk, I couldn't get a bet down for that one.
                    Not sure any book hangs totals on these games?
                    Comment
                    • Mac4Lyfe
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 48383

                      #11
                      A friend of mine who graduated from Tech played it somewhere. He's a 5Dimes guy, so I assumed it was there. I don't mess with 5D anymore though.

                      Originally posted by dfish
                      Not sure any book hangs totals on these games?
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48383

                        #12
                        Some really foul shit going on in a couple games. A damn idiot Utah player has 2 personal foul late hit out of bounds, the last one led to a UM TD. Michigan's offense was stuck in mud, about to punt and this bitch gifted them the ball.

                        And, I don't know if anyone is watching this UTSA/AZ game but UTSA has been dominating the game but the fukking refs are blatantly cheating for AZ. UTSA had a kickoff ran for a TD, ghost flag. They get a huge first down, phantom flag. Az can't move the ball, some BS hands to the face call out of nowhere. Straight up bullshit. Dammit.

                        UTSA driving again. Watch the bitches step in here.
                        Comment
                        • mikefan1034
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-29-12
                          • 2448

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                          Some really foul shit going on in a couple games. A damn idiot Utah player has 2 personal foul late hit out of bounds, the last one led to a UM TD. Michigan's offense was stuck in mud, about to punt and this bitch gifted them the ball.


                          And, I don't know if anyone is watching this UTSA/AZ game but UTSA has been dominating the game but the fukking refs are blatantly cheating for AZ. UTSA had a kickoff ran for a TD, ghost flag. They get a huge first down, phantom flag. Az can't move the ball, some BS hands to the face call out of nowhere. Straight up bullshit. Dammit.

                          UTSA driving again. Watch the bitches step in here.
                          Don't forget the unc game that qb should be investigated
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48383

                            #14
                            Yeah, the FBI should be checking guys bank accounts and their families. It's almost impossible to think a scholarship athlete could be so shitty. You actually hope that he's point shaving because he can't be that fukking bad can he?

                            Originally posted by mikefan1034
                            Don't forget the unc game that qb should be investigated
                            Comment
                            • Mac4Lyfe
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-04-09
                              • 48383

                              #15
                              Dammit... I missed UTSA +1450 for the first half by a point. If these refs were halfway fair, they would have won that half easily. They are totally outplaying these fools.
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48383

                                #16
                                This UTSA game was winnable. Very frustrating for them not to pull off the upset. Totally controlled the clock and had a better ground and passing game. Oh well. I'm going to tailing UTSA, especially at home. I'm loving them against KState next week. Arizona had a bunch of injuries tonight. I'm probably going to fade them at Nevada. We'll see.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48383

                                  #17
                                  9/3/15 Results...
                                  -----------------------------------------------------------
                                  1 College South Carolina vs North Carolina Total UNDER 63½ -108 for Game
                                  2 College Central Florida Spread -6½ -110 for 1st Half
                                  3 Football Utah -3 for First Half
                                  4 Football Utah -5 for Game
                                  5 Football Tex San Antonio +18.5 for 1st Half
                                  6 Football Tex San Antonio +31.5 for 1st Half
                                  ---------------------------------------------------

                                  6 - 0 (100%)
                                  1 - 0 (100%) on Bolded Plays

                                  Great start. My leans on Hawaii, GaTech and Central Michigan were also correct but I didn't play them.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pickem2win
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-16-11
                                    • 978

                                    #18
                                    Wow! Great start to the season!
                                    Comment
                                    • restingbird
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-31-12
                                      • 101

                                      #19
                                      way to go MAC!!
                                      Comment
                                      • KSmooth4U
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-01-13
                                        • 588

                                        #20
                                        Nice
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48383

                                          #21
                                          Early leans, nothing locked and loaded yet...
                                          -----------------------------------------------
                                          SMU +21.5 first half
                                          Western Michigan +16
                                          Western Michigan +9.5 first half
                                          Boise State -7 first half
                                          Washington +11.5
                                          Kent +13
                                          Charlotte/GaST Under 71.5
                                          -----------------------------------------
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48383

                                            #22
                                            3 plays locked and loaded... 1 Bolded
                                            -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                            7 Football - 156 Western Michigan team total over 7½ -130 for 1st Half
                                            8 Football - 156 Western Michigan +10 -122 buying ½ for 1st Half
                                            9 Football - 151 Baylor/SMU under 71 -108 for Game
                                            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48383

                                              #23
                                              Baylor/SMU 42 points in the 1st quarter...
                                              Comment
                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 48383

                                                #24
                                                2 added plays
                                                -----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                10 Football - 157 Kent +7 -105 for 1st Half
                                                11 Football - 157 Kent/Illinois under 27 -105 for 1st Half
                                                -------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48383

                                                  #25
                                                  Today leans...

                                                  Football - 173 Louisville/Auburn over 57½ -108 for Game
                                                  Football - 177 BYU +6 -108 for Game
                                                  Football - 195 Georgia Southern +17½ -108 for Game
                                                  Football - 164 Florida -21 -138 buying ½ for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 166 Temple +3½ -110 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 174 Auburn -6½ -115 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 176 Texas A&M -1 -110 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 177 BYU +3½ -110 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 186 Tennessee U -13 -110 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 194 Arkansas -20½ -105 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 195 Georgia Southern +10½ -120 for 1st Half
                                                  Football - 206 USC -17 -105 for 1st Half

                                                  I'm looking at a bunch of 1st halfs. I really like TAM and USC first half.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48383

                                                    #26
                                                    9/4/15 Results...
                                                    -----------------------------------------------------------
                                                    7 Football - 156 Western Michigan team total over 7½ -130 for 1st Half
                                                    8 Football - 156 Western Michigan +10 -122 buying ½ for 1st Half
                                                    9 Football - 151 Baylor/SMU under 71 -108 for Game

                                                    ---------------------------------------------------

                                                    7 - 2 (77.8%)
                                                    2 - 0 (100%) on Bolded Plays

                                                    Baylor/SMU under almost hit even after that 42 point first quarter. Geez
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KANSAS24
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-28-09
                                                      • 2492

                                                      #27
                                                      Wow lot of plays today
                                                      best three?
                                                      Looking for just game plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • artyfudgepacker
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-06-13
                                                        • 2205

                                                        #28
                                                        Bol mac
                                                        Comment
                                                        • theorudy
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 09-12-13
                                                          • 72

                                                          #29
                                                          Off to an awesome start. Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48383

                                                            #30
                                                            Those are just my leans for today. I'm not playing all those games. None are locked and loaded as bets yet. I'm still crunching the numbers. Once I make it a play you will see me say it's locked and loaded.

                                                            Originally posted by KANSAS24
                                                            Wow lot of plays today
                                                            best three?
                                                            Looking for just game plays
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-04-09
                                                              • 48383

                                                              #31
                                                              One early added play... Locked and Loaded
                                                              -----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              12 Football - 171 Stanford/Northwestern over 48 -108 for Game
                                                              -------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48383

                                                                #32
                                                                WTF??? Stanford/NW game looks like both coaches are point shaving? Stanford offense might as well punt on 1st down. This is a horrible shit show. 3rd and long and they hand the ball off every time, with a senior QB???
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jrbacon
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-16-11
                                                                  • 235

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Are you keeping your Illinois / Kent state plays after the game was moved to today? Doing great so far!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                                    • 48383

                                                                    #34
                                                                    3 Added Plays... 1 Bolded

                                                                    -----------------------------------------------
                                                                    13 Football - 174 Auburn -6 -115 for 1st Half
                                                                    14 Football - 166 Temple team total over 7½ -120 for 1st Half
                                                                    15 Football - 194 Arkansas -20½ -105 for 1st Half
                                                                    ------------------------------------------------
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48383

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Heritage cancelled both bets. I liked the under because of the weather, which would have helped KSU keep it close early. Not so sure what conditions look like now or when are they playing the game? I was looking for a line but nothing out there??

                                                                      Originally posted by jrbacon
                                                                      Are you keeping your Illinois / Kent state plays after the game was moved to today? Doing great so far!
                                                                      Comment
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