This is the one game that jumped out at me huge early in the week, and like a putz I waited and no surprise it went from Cal +2 to Cal -3.5. I'm still betting it big.
Not one team in NCAA respects Washington's passing offense. Cyler Miles manages the game nicely, but not anyone you'd have to game plan around. Jared Goff on the other hand for Cal has been off the charts. Sonny Dykes' system has been proven to be the real deal. We saw it at La Tech, who was an ATM for bettors that were onto them all season when Dykes was there. Dykes takes that system to a Pac-12 doormat, and now Cal is 4-1 with their only loss being a very close one to Arizona.
Cal gives up points, but they've all been to teams that can really air it out, and Washington cannot. Washington's D gave up 52 to another high-powered offense in Eastern Washington, and though they're one of the best FCS teams out there, they're still FCS, and they hung 52 on Washington. Washington's D has been impressive points-wise lately, but all against teams like Illinois, Georgia State, and Stanford who have sub-par passing offenses.
Far from a gimmie, but I was expecting this line to be in the double digits favoring Cal. If Washington DOES show a balanced attack, and if Cal DOES sputter on offense, it will be not only unlikely, but the first time either one has happened all season. That's the only chance Washington wins or even covers.
The game is in Berkeley.
Riding the momentum and taking Cal -3.5. I'd be afraid of that number in the NFL, but not in a game like this. I don't think the linesmakers have caught up to Cal just yet. It took them most of the season to catch up to Dykes' La Tech team.
I'm sure there ARE reasons Washington could pull this out, but not convincing enough to bet the other side IMO.
What do you guys think?
Not one team in NCAA respects Washington's passing offense. Cyler Miles manages the game nicely, but not anyone you'd have to game plan around. Jared Goff on the other hand for Cal has been off the charts. Sonny Dykes' system has been proven to be the real deal. We saw it at La Tech, who was an ATM for bettors that were onto them all season when Dykes was there. Dykes takes that system to a Pac-12 doormat, and now Cal is 4-1 with their only loss being a very close one to Arizona.
Cal gives up points, but they've all been to teams that can really air it out, and Washington cannot. Washington's D gave up 52 to another high-powered offense in Eastern Washington, and though they're one of the best FCS teams out there, they're still FCS, and they hung 52 on Washington. Washington's D has been impressive points-wise lately, but all against teams like Illinois, Georgia State, and Stanford who have sub-par passing offenses.
Far from a gimmie, but I was expecting this line to be in the double digits favoring Cal. If Washington DOES show a balanced attack, and if Cal DOES sputter on offense, it will be not only unlikely, but the first time either one has happened all season. That's the only chance Washington wins or even covers.
The game is in Berkeley.
Riding the momentum and taking Cal -3.5. I'd be afraid of that number in the NFL, but not in a game like this. I don't think the linesmakers have caught up to Cal just yet. It took them most of the season to catch up to Dykes' La Tech team.
I'm sure there ARE reasons Washington could pull this out, but not convincing enough to bet the other side IMO.
What do you guys think?