-
Comment -
What an incredibly awful afternoon. Apologies to anyone who tailed.
STF, you were right about Tide TT over being the angle rather than Tide minus points. Live and learn.Comment -
Shitty finish. Oh well,Comment -
And the refs aren't helping Marshall's situation either. The PI call on 4th and 3 was really a head-scratcher. Still a quarter of football to go but not looking good for the big-unit play either.
Comment -
Biff
the new couch and get the old one back .
Comment -
CFB Week Three final card
4* ML Parlay: Louisville + Alabama + Marshall (+102) - LOSER
2* Bowling Green/Indiana over 62 - LOSER
2* Youngstown State +24 - LOSER
2* Alabama -8' (-103) - LOSER
2* UCF/Penn State 1H under 24' (-105) - LOSER
2* Kansas/Rice over 59 - LOSER
2* UTSA/Arizona over 65' - LOSER
1* Air Force +23' (-105) - WINNER
1* Washington/Illinois over 63' (-104) - LOSER
1* Lenoir-Rhyne -20 (-120) - LOSER
0-9 Saturday
1-9 -18.2u CFB Week Three
Worst. Week. Ever.
Sincere apologies to anyone who tailed.
18-19 -6.38u CFB YTD
Bah.Comment -
If 4 strike-outs in a game is the Golden Sombrero, I'm guessing that 0-9 Saturday is the Fecal Sombrero.
Week One of CFB was one of my best weeks ever. Week Three definitely the worst. It's weird that i'll now always remember Saturday the 14th as an awful day akin to a horror movie.
Oh well, back to fetal position!Comment -
adding
1* Vikings team total under 17.5 (-105)
agree with Bank's take on this. also eying Titans TT under.
NFL Week Two
2* Jets/Patriots 1H under 21' (-115)
1* Vikings TT under 17' (-105)Comment -
that means today you should go 9-0 ish....what you got cookin for NFL?Comment -
oh nice, didnt look at TT's but now that you mention titans I think im gonna play that one....
so far got saints and 49ers locked in, also liking panthers at -3 and dolphins at +3....not much else though....working on maybe a teaser or 2 with a combo of texans/packers/eaglesComment -
oh wow and just noticed oakland down to -4.....think I like at that number
chad hennes a disastorComment -
adding
1* Titans team total under 17 (-105)
NFL Week Two updated card
2* Jets/Patriots 1H under 21' (-115) - WINNER
1* Vikings TT under 17' (-105)
1* Titans TT under 17 (-105)Comment -
adding
1* Chiefs -3 (-105)
NFL Week Two updated card
2* Jets/Patriots 1H under 21' (-115) - WINNER
1* Vikings TT under 17' (-105)
1* Titans TT under 17 (-105)
1* Chiefs -3 (-105)
pondering teaser options. Pack, Dolphins, Texans, Rams all look like solid possibilities.Comment -
And how. And thanks. I'm very fortunate that i've had a pleasant enough life devoid of true tragedy that yesterday really is the kind of awful, horrific day that i'll never forget. Humbling though, and a reminder that i'm never truly going to figure anything out when it comes to this avocation. Need to manage my risk better (20u+ at stake on CFB card this week, but what do you do when 95% of games are in a 12-hour period?).
Oh well, onward and upward. BOL to you today pal.Comment -
adding
1* Teaser: Dolphins +7'/Rams +10' (-105)
NFL Week Two updated card
2* Jets/Patriots 1H under 21' (-115) - WINNER
1* Vikings TT under 17' (-105)
1* Titans TT under 17 (-105)
1* Chiefs -3 (-105)
1* Teaser: Dolphins +7'/Rams +10' (-105)
BOL to all today.Comment -
Biff, check this out
Tennessee +17.5 @ Florida
Auburn +17.5 @ LSU
Just wow! Have these 2 programs fallen so far they deserve to be 17 pt dogs. I realize new staffs, rebuilding in process but I'm not so sure. Florida's D is great and won't give Tennessee much but with Florida's O they probably shouldn't be +17 vs any SEC team even in the Swamp. Tennessee got embarrassed in Eugene but I expected that. I don't believe they were looking ahead but reality Florida is a much bigger game for Tennessee for a number of reasons. I expect to see improvement from Tennessee on the D side against a power, run heavy Florida O that's prone to turnovers. Game probably won't feel that close but not sure it ever gets away either. Maybe 24-10/27-14 type game. Keep eye on the under.
Auburn/LSU another huge game and 17pts is a lot of pts. I see Auburn building confidence. If they can hang early and not have a back breaking early turnover I think they can be in it going into the 4th qtr. First 15min we should know a lot about how this game will look going into 4th qtr. this could be a nice over game or LSU team total over although I've not seen a total. 38-24 type game.
I have a few comments about Colorado St @ Bama that I will post later. I'm hoping this gets to +41/42.Comment -
Here may be an important tidbit regarding that game..CSU's coach, McElwain spent four seasons as Alabama’s offensive coordinator under Nick Saban before coming to CSU. Also, Rob Ezell, a grad assistant who works with CSU’s receivers, was an Alabama receiver during that time. Alabama’s current receivers coach is Billy Napier, who was CSU’s quarterbacks coach last season.Comment -
Rambo you stole most of my thunder. lol. Bama coming off an emotional, leave it all on the field game vs A&M. Could be a nice spot for a let down. Lets be honest Bama could beat Colorado St by 50 and it doesn't matter who they played the week before. However there is an interesting angle here to take the pts and Rambo mentioned it above. Coach McElwain former O coordinator under Saban at Bama. Bama drums Colorado St but Saban calls off the dogs in the 3rd qtr. He won't run it up on his former coach who is trying to build a program. Saban plays a lot if younger guys to keep it within the spread. Really hoping it gets to +42.Comment -
Good work Fox- I'm with you, getting spotted 42 (6 TDs) would be nice.Comment -
This probably means very little and actually I was hoping the number would be bigger:
14 Tennessee players from FL
6 of the 14 are on the two deep depth chart
3 of the 6 are starters; could probably call it 4 starters bc TN RB Lane plays a lot of minutes
0 Florida players from TN
*state of FL has all the high school talent in the world; no reason to recruit outside borders so this doesn't surprise me.
However those 6 TN might give just a little more effort if you know what I mean.
On the flip side, TN has not beaten FL since 04, I believe. And all but one of UF's wins were double digit wins. TN has been really bad vs FL in the last 7/8 years. I still believe TN should have enough defense to not allow this to get ugly. FL will line up, pound the rock, control clock and protect against costly turnovers & settle for fgs. At least that's my hope. Now hope TN can score 10-14 pts and I like my chances catching 17.5 pts.
Good luckComment -
NFL Week Two final card
2* Jets/Patriots 1H under 21' (-115) - WINNER
1* Vikings TT under 17' (-105) - LOSER
1* Titans TT under 17 (-105) - LOSER
1* Chiefs -3 (-105) - LOSER
1* Teaser: Dolphins +7'/Rams +10' (-105) - WINNER
2-3 -0.1u
NFL YTD: 5-5-1 +0.78uComment -
Hey, fellas, good to see the discussion going on. Went out of town for work for a few days and going through my big pool for second time right now. Here are current thoughts on the 11 games in pool with the pool numbers (some have moved a ton). 100 confidence points on 5 of the 11 games.
NC State +14' ----- like NC State, have Clemson winning by 7-10
Boise +4' ------ wouldn't bet the side in this game
Georgia Tech -6' ------ like the Paul Johnsons a lot here.
Florida -14' ------ good number, but no confidence points; gonna have to read your thoughts on this one more closely STF. maybe UT even at bad number (where does UF find the points to cover 3 scores?)
Sparty +6' ------ wouldn't bet side in this game; under/1H under is the play (or maybe either TT under); this has 17-13 written all over it
Utah State +7' ------ like it
Arizona State +7' ----- no strong feeling
UConn +17' ----- 0 confidence points
Auburn +16' ----- no strong feeling but hard to fade LSU at home at night at decent number; LSU has UGA next week & this number probably requires Lester to prick it up. he probably can but i don't know that he will with a big trip to Athens on deck
Indiana +5' ------ book it with conf points at that price given the move to +2
Utah +7' ------ good number in a rivalry game; 0 conf ptsComment -
Like Colorado State angle, agree that Saban isn't likely to issue a beatdown to McElwain here.Comment -
Tough to take tide. Bama guy here and even late pounding the ball and grinding clock, backs can go the distance. Remember the name Kenyon Drake.Comment -
CFB Week Four
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60
2* Maryland -5
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71Comment -
In the end, like GT -6 but like over better. Have that one something like 40-27
Still looking to fade WVU every week. Big public play but it's the right play. Terps, 33-21
Fading IU's defense. Last week vs BG, they held an opponent without an offensive TD for the first time in 61 games. They still can't tackle, but BG couldn't stop tripping over themselves last week. Play IU +5' for the 50 max on my pool, muthafugginduh. Guessing i won't be the only one. IU, 41-40.Comment -
other leans
Sparty/ND under 42
WMU +16'/game under 47'
Wisky -24/TT over
Colorado State +39
like Marshall but penetrate themComment -
missed the good numbers on the likes of Utah, USU, Arizona StateComment -
Whats thoughts on Army, Baylor, Michigan St, Georgia Tech, Washington St, and FL Atlantic?Comment -
Biff - what score is your model spitting out for the Vols/Gators & War damn Eagles/Tigers? I'm leaning more towards Vol under team total & Tigers (LSU) over team total. Probably staying away from Bama game.
Im going to ride your plays tomorrow as I don't have much time and kids got another soccer tourney. BOLComment
