CFB 2013 (and some NFL)

BigBoi · 09-20-13, 01:32 PM

My favorite total is IU and Mizzou over. Also like Baylor over too. ULM still have the same cats from last year?

BiffTFinancial · 09-20-13, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

Biff - what score is your model spitting out for the Vols/Gators & War damn Eagles/Tigers? I'm leaning more towards Vol under team total & Tigers (LSU) over team total. Probably staying away from Bama game.

Im going to ride your plays tomorrow as I don't have much time and kids got another soccer tourney. BOL

Gators, 28-16/30-17
LSU, 41-23/43-27

LSU TT over is intriguing, may have to give that a closer look. Can't argue with UT TT under either. Have fun at the soccer tourney. BOL!

BiffTFinancial · 09-20-13, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by BigBoi

My favorite total is IU and Mizzou over. Also like Baylor over too. ULM still have the same cats from last year?

ULM has 8 offensive starters back including QB and most receivers. I think their RB is new starter but that's biggest change

Vinnie Paz · 09-20-13, 02:06 PM

Any angle for tonights game?

BigBoi · 09-20-13, 03:12 PM

Is over in Auburn not a good play with the numbers you have?

BiffTFinancial · 09-20-13, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Any angle for tonights game?

Lean Boise, under. Like under better. Pass for me.

BiffTFinancial · 09-20-13, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by BigBoi

Is over in Auburn not a good play with the numbers you have?

Considered it but worried that I don't have a good enough understanding of what Auburn has offensively. I do think that LSU will hang 40.

Smutbucket · 09-20-13, 06:37 PM

im gonna be on the auburn team total under actually.....dont think they will be able to put up anything offensively against this caliber defense...look at past 2 years whenever they played any of the top tier sec defenses they struggled to even get to 14 so im comfortable with 17.5 right now....

to a good weekend

BiffTFinancial · 09-20-13, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by Smutbucket

im gonna be on the auburn team total under actually.....dont think they will be able to put up anything offensively against this caliber defense...look at past 2 years whenever they played any of the top tier sec defenses they struggled to even get to 14 so im comfortable with 17.5 right now....

to a good weekend

BOL Smut

Yeah, something tells me that Auburn scores less than model says. Glad you agree!

BigBoi · 09-21-13, 12:59 AM

What's the deal with nc gt total move? Down to 57.5 at pinny.

2daBank · 09-21-13, 01:25 AM

2nd week in a row where i have a pathetic looking list of even leans, cant remember last time i had less than 10 side/totals wrote down for sat b2b weeks! i mean seriously i prefer to have more plays than i do leans these last 2 weeks, blah...

think i like gtech better than the total but i just cashed with them last week and tech has a way of screwing me when i trust them for more than a week (wish i was joking),, they have owned this series of late tho..troy looks ok catching couple tds. almost certain ill be on trees and really not much else.. maybe ill piggy back few totals as i look a little longer but starting to shape up like a day to find something else to do, lol...

2daBank · 09-21-13, 04:45 AM

took all night but found a few worth playing i suppose..

fiu/ville un 55...7 point gm last yr and still didnt touch this total, doubt fiu scores much of anything this time around and is ville really capable or willing to put up 45+?

vandy/umass ov 54.5.. vandy prob score 40+ w ease after playing scary and getting offense going in 2nd half. figure umass should be good for some garbage home points maybe? vandy d been abused enough not sure they pitching any shutouts..

maybe play mizzou. arky, ull? i dunno. like i said im reaching for plays..

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

What's the deal with nc gt total move? Down to 57.5 at pinny.

Weather. Supposed to be thunderstorms. I'm not all that concerned. Opened at 57 offshore, and the reasons for liking over here (GT's rushing attack, UNC's pace, both team's inability to tackle) aren't affected as much by rain as if two pass-heavy teams were playing. I'd be more concerned about rain being forecast for Missou/IU than UNC/GT.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 08:31 AM

Starting to take a shine to Western Michigan +15'/game under 47'/Iowa TT under 31'. Hawkeyes off rivalry win over Iowa State and travel to Minnesota for B1G opener next week.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

took all night but found a few worth playing i suppose..

fiu/ville un 55...7 point gm last yr and still didnt touch this total, doubt fiu scores much of anything this time around and is ville really capable or willing to put up 45+?

vandy/umass ov 54.5.. vandy prob score 40+ w ease after playing scary and getting offense going in 2nd half. figure umass should be good for some garbage home points maybe? vandy d been abused enough not sure they pitching any shutouts..

maybe play mizzou. arky, ull? i dunno. like i said im reaching for plays..

i think that i'm going to take a closer look at STF's two team totals right now (Vols TT under, LSU TT over). both look tempting.

gonna check out your Vandy total, that sounds intriguing.

not touching Missou after that big line move. i think that game is around 40-40. if anything, i'd play Missou TT over over Missou -1. BOL whatever you decide.

BigBoi · 09-21-13, 08:37 AM

Rain didn't cross my mind. I love two hours from atl and it's supposed to rain all day here.

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

i think that i'm going to take a closer look at STF's two team totals right now (Vols TT under, LSU TT over). both look tempting.

gonna check out your Vandy total, that sounds intriguing.

not touching Missou after that big line move. i think that game is around 40-40. if anything, i'd play Missou TT over over Missou -1. BOL whatever you decide.

I got under 14.5 pts Tenn & over 35 pts LSU

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 09:08 AM

Iowa TT is 31'. Iowa hasn't scored more than 31 since October 22, 2011 vs Indiana.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

I got under 14.5 pts Tenn & over 35 pts LSU

nice. i can get Vols under 14' but LSU is 35' so will have to wait on that one.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 09:15 AM

adding

1* Western Michigan +16 (-105)
1* Tennessee team total under 14'

CFB Week Four updated card
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60
2* Maryland -5
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71
1* Western Michigan +16 (-105)
1* Tennessee TT under 14'

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 10:51 AM

adding

2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108)
1* Wisconsin team total over 35

CFB Week Four updated card
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60
2* Maryland -5
2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108)
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71
1* Western Michigan +16 (-105)
1* Tennessee TT under 14'
1* Wisconsin team total over 35

BOL to all today.

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 02:37 PM

Announced Tenn not starting qb Worley and going w/ a freshman. First start in the swamp, just added more to my under Tenn team total. Got it at u14.5 & added more at u16.

Tar Heels 0 pts 2nd half killed any shot at the over.

Terps line ine dropped some but still like it.

Lets get some winners!

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

Announced Tenn not starting qb Worley and going w/ a freshman. First start in the swamp, just added more to my under Tenn team total. Got it at u14.5 & added more at u16.

Tar Heels 0 pts 2nd half killed any shot at the over.

Terps line ine dropped some but still like it.

Lets get some winners!

could've been better, but after 0-9 last Saturday and 0-2 start today, no way will i complain about a positive day. 3-3 +0.65u with Missou/Hoosiers over 71 pending.

we got a little screwed on the Vols TT. Vols offense never would've sniffed 17 without that pick six by Driskel.

Terps line looked was fishy but it was easiest winner of the day.

taking a look at potential late adds right now.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 06:11 PM

CFB Week Four updated card
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60 - LOSER
2* Maryland -5 - WINNER
2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108) - WINNER
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71
1* Western Michigan +16 (-105) - LOSER
1* Tennessee TT under 14' - LOSER
1* Wisconsin team total over 35 - WINNER

3-3 +0.65u start

Vinnie Paz · 09-21-13, 06:29 PM

Eyeing anything on the night games Biff? Feeling Wsh st just as an Idaho fade really. Let me know either way man.

BiffTFinancial · 09-21-13, 06:36 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Eyeing anything on the night games Biff? Feeling Wsh st just as an Idaho fade really. Let me know either way man.

tonight, i'm on Missou/IU over and like both Wazzu and UCLA. both are big square sides, but i think they're the right sides and the faves name their respective numbers. also like Utes.

not crazy about the other 8:00ish games. like LSU TT over but a friend of mine who is big LSU fan has game under as his play of the week so i'm a little nervous about that. have also considered adding 1u to Missou/IU over.

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

I got under 14.5 pts Tenn & over 35 pts LSU

Les Miles is content just handling the weather, letting his defense control the game. Going to need a few turnovers leading to short field or a few long runs to get over LSU team total. F U Miles run it up!

Regret not taking Colorado St

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

adding

2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108)
1* Wisconsin team total over 35

CFB Week Four updated card
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60
2* Maryland -5
2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108)
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71
1* Western Michigan +16 (-105)
1* Tennessee TT under 14'
1* Wisconsin team total over 35

BOL to all today.

Luv Baylor. That don't give a fuk and never take their foot off the pedal. Wish more teams would play that why (wink wink Leslie Miles).

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

I got under 14.5 pts Tenn & over 35 pts LSU

F U Leslie Miles up 28-7 and fakes a chip shot FG. I get the push but cost me a winner. Such an idiot.

SilverTongueFox · 09-21-13, 10:37 PM

Ball bounced our way in the Mizzou/IU game. Due to be on the right side of an over. Nice day Biff!

Vinnie Paz · 09-21-13, 10:39 PM

Wow, unreal finish to the Indiana game!! This is why I love the college ball, you're NEVER out of it!

BiffTFinancial · 09-22-13, 06:15 AM

CFB Week Four final card
2* North Carolina/Georgia Tech over 60 - LOSER
2* Maryland -5 - WINNER
2* UL-Monroe/Baylor over 74 (-108) - WINNER
2* Missouri/Indiana over 71 - WINNER
1* Western Michigan +16 (-105) - LOSER
1* Tennessee TT under 14' - LOSER
1* Wisconsin team total over 35 - WINNER

4-3 +2.65u

CFB YTD: 22-22 -3.73u

BiffTFinancial · 09-22-13, 06:19 AM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

Ball bounced our way in the Mizzou/IU game. Due to be on the right side of an over. Nice day Biff!

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Wow, unreal finish to the Indiana game!! This is why I love the college ball, you're NEVER out of it!

Phew and phew. You are right about that's why college football is great, Vinnie. Thanks guys. Lost 11 straight plays between last Saturday and this week's early games. Brutal. Time for the pendulum to swing back.

BiffTFinancial · 09-22-13, 06:21 AM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

Les Miles is content just handling the weather, letting his defense control the game. Going to need a few turnovers leading to short field or a few long runs to get over LSU team total. F U Miles run it up!

Regret not taking Colorado St

Glad that you ended up with push on that TT over. Lester normally likes to pile it on, but you're right, weather made a difference there.

Yeah, bad pass on CSU. Obvious that Saban wasn't going to run it up here.

BiffTFinancial · 09-22-13, 06:26 AM

Originally posted by SilverTongueFox

Luv Baylor. That don't give a fuk and never take their foot off the pedal. Wish more teams would play that why (wink wink Leslie Miles).

love backing coaches who prick it up. Saban and Urban are the best in my book, and Briles, Lester, Pelini, Gundy, Leach, Bielema, Holgorsen and Mora all have the gene. Looks as if Helfrich will continue the tradition at Oregon.