Looking at 5 games tomorrow

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  • Bbfromgpt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-24-12
    • 6115

    #1
    Looking at 5 games tomorrow
    Probably will take

    UCF -21 against Akron. (buying a point) USF beat them by 42 last year and that has little bearing on this year. However, Akron was the worst team in the MAC and while I do think they will be better than last year I can't find where they will be 21 points better against a UCF team that will be really really good this year. UCF will be very strong on D and their offense will finally be able to be as good as they are on D. They return their stud QB in Burltes and 5 of their top 6 WR including their top two. They were really stingy and solid on D last year and almost all top players return on that side of the ball. The Zips QB was pretty solid last year in a pass happy O but he his gone, they haven't really seemed to find the guy they are truly confident in according to reports. Their top WR is gone as well. Their D was 107th last year and lost their top two tacklers. Their team cannot help but be better because they were one of the worst teams in college football last year.

    UNC +12. Now this is coming from a SEC lover. I live in the South so I am always invested in SEC football. However, I am not sold completely on this SC team in certain games. UNC is better than a lot of people think according to what I read at times on here. Clowny will be incredible again for SC but the way to slow this guy down just a little is the fast up tempo offense. The quick passes, draws, and screens is basically the only way to get this guy off his incredibly fast and steady motor just a bit late in the game. That high powered offense for UNC (40.6ppg) last year will be good again, but they will be slowed down big time in this one. I think they have some success against SC though. SC has some injuries at WR and TE for this game so I expect them to pound the rock and try to get Connor Shaw on the edges with the option, read option, and roll out passes. SC will be incredibly tough this year, but I think they will feel their way through this one and win a close one late.

    Utah State +3. I honestly think this team has a Heisman candidate at QB. He has weapons all around him on offense, a solid defense, and a good sp teams. Not to mention their well coached. Utah will be solid, but I honestly just feel that Utah State is the better team right now. What happens down the stretch this year could be another story, but I think Keeton has a HUGE game for Utah State and although revenge factor is in play for UTAH at home I still think they lose this game.

    Ole Miss -3. Ole Miss is going to be one of the darlings this year in the SEC. They have put together a very solid team and they will absolutely be much improved on D this year. They return 11 starters on O and 8 on D. Vandy is 4-48 SU at home as a dog. Since 1980 the revenge seeking team from the year before is 30-21 ATS and 12-5 ATS when the spread is 3 or less. Ole Miss was one of the best teams in the Nation last year ATS going 9-3 and probably will be the same again this year. I look for Ole Miss to win by 10

    Fresno -10 Bad spot here for Rutgers to travel across country to open up the season. Fresno State will be a top 25 ranked team after this game and they will be very dangerous this year. David Carr will have another great year, his top two WR are back as well. Their D was 2nd best in the country against the pass and 22nd overall last year. Rutgers will attempt to use the passing game more this year with their offense and this isn't the best spot to be attempting to work on that. Rutgers returns 4 starters on O and 6 on D. They lose their best player on D but still should have a formidable unit. The Bulldogs are one of the Nations best teams at home ATS. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home, 14-2 ATS in their last 16 at home. Look for a big game out of Fresno and a big win with big numbers being put up. They will score often putting RU in a bad spot.



    GL
  • TheFlash
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-29-12
    • 694

    #2
    I like all of these except UNC. But there's going to be an upset somewhere tomorrow
    Comment
    • doctordeuce
      SBR Hustler
      • 08-02-13
      • 65

      #3
      I'd switch your UCF and Ole Miss picks to the overs in both games.
      Comment
      • MTek
        SBR MVP
        • 11-18-08
        • 1381

        #4
        Good write-ups. Nice job
        Comment
        • Bbfromgpt
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-24-12
          • 6115

          #5
          Thanks
          Comment
          • stefan084
            SBR MVP
            • 07-21-09
            • 1490

            #6
            Originally posted by doctordeuce
            I'd switch your UCF and Ole Miss picks to the overs in both games.
            my god who is that in your avatar?
            Comment
            • stefan084
              SBR MVP
              • 07-21-09
              • 1490

              #7
              also ty for the write ups bbfromgpt
              Comment
              • guy Fawkes
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-21-11
                • 333

                #8
                Originally posted by Bbfromgpt
                Utah State +3. I honestly think this team has a Heisman candidate at QB. He has weapons all around him on offense, a solid defense, and a good sp teams. Not to mention their well coached. Utah will be solid, but I honestly just feel that Utah State is the better team right now. What happens down the stretch this year could be another story, but I think Keeton has a HUGE game for Utah State and although revenge factor is in play for UTAH at home I still think they lose this game.
                Be careful here, Utah State lost Coach Gary Anderson to Wisconsin, hard to say "well-coached" just yet. Last year Utah started Jordan Wynn at QB against Utah State which allowed USU to jump to a 13-0 lead before the Utes brought in Hayes and tied the game 20-20 to head into overtime. I do agree Keeton is an amazing QB for the Aggies and likely the most talented player on the field in this one.

                I have a little more research to do on this game right now, but despite living in Logan I'm leaning Utes to cover here.
                Comment
                • hougigo
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-01-12
                  • 3665

                  #9
                  What do you think of the under for USU and Utah?
                  Comment
                  • RavensFan2k3
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-12
                    • 17378

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stefan084
                    my god who is that in your avatar?
                    This is what I must know too
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #11
                      Good quality write ups man
                      Keep them coming
                      Comment
                      • hougigo
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-01-12
                        • 3665

                        #12
                        Hey man, I'm taking USU straight up.
                        Star is gone, USU got the edge in QB and I just think their D and overall team is better.
                        I'm a newb so I'm prone to crash and burn... but hey... I like it
                        Comment
                        • guy Fawkes
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 333

                          #13
                          Originally posted by guy Fawkes

                          I have a little more research to do on this game right now, but despite living in Logan I'm leaning Utes to cover here.
                          Finished the research on this one earlier than expected to see if I could find the ray of hope...nope. Without restating from above or throwing too many numbers into this little reply (I'm not convinced early season posters read responses anyway), the biggest statistic I'll throw in is: The Aggies are losing 74.9% of receiving yards and 78.8% of receiving TDs from last year.

                          Utah -3 (-105 @ 5Dimes) is probably going to be my biggest play tomorrow and likely the weekend. That being said, I'm always stepping lightly at the beginning of the season and can still wish the other side luck.
                          Comment
                          • Bbfromgpt
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-24-12
                            • 6115

                            #14
                            If you're making your biggest play of the year on this particular game I wish you BOL. There's at least 7-10 better valued games for either side on the weekend.

                            USU is better at QB, skilled positions, and on D. They lost their coach of course everyone knows that, but yes they're well coached. Their O coordinator takes over and the players there were all coached by Anderson and the new coach for the duration of their collegiate career. The Utes could certainly cover, but no where near the best bet on the board for the weekend.
                            Comment
                            • crackerjack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-06
                              • 3366

                              #15
                              I was ready to jump on Utah too but Utah St on paper has the better team. This will be a good game.
                              Comment
                              • Bbfromgpt
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-24-12
                                • 6115

                                #16
                                Will post the amount I am putting on each shortly. However, it doesn't matter to anyone I am sure haha. I am just keeping up with things.
                                Comment
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