2013 Mac's Early Leans
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Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#631Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#632while i understand liking that total cause clearly the defenses are both better than the offenses in this one i think you gotta take into consideration that both teams have world class punt and kick return teams that will either score or set up a few scores in this gm. zona has some serious ball hawking dbs that will prob get a few picks off bradford that either get taken back to the house or set up short fields, cards oline is a mess and rams front will be all over palmer either getting a few sack/fumbles or forcing him into some bad throws into another really good secondary.. so yea while i dont think these offenses can put together a lot of long scoring drives i do think defense and special teams will set up scores, throw in both teams have guys capable of making a big play on offense and think you have you r reason for why this line been ticking up..Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#633NFL games added... 3 first half lines, 5 bolded plays.
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Browns ML -115 first half vs Miami
Tampa Bay -1.5 first half vs NYJ
New Orleans Saints -2.5 first half vs Atlanta
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Cowboys -3 -130 vs Giants
Tampa Bay -3 -130 vs NYJ
Cincinnati +3 vs Chicago
San Fran 49ers -4 -118 vs GB
New Orleans Saints -3 vs AtlantaColts -10 vs Oakland
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I really love Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Jets are a hot mess. I can see Geno Smith imploding very quickly in this one. The only reason I'm not hammering this is first game of the season and the line should be higher.
I also like the Cowboys and Saints both being at home. Those venues are going to be rocking.Comment -
atltsxSBR Hustler
- 06-23-13
- 82
#634
I with you 100% on the Tampa game though.
GL this weekendComment -
9ersPrideSBR High Roller
- 08-21-13
- 186
#635Mac..heres my 5 teams FL ,ORG, S MISS, K STATE and WASH..any opinions?Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#637Giants are a mess to me right now. I dont like what ive been seeing. If it wasnt the first game id have more confidence in them. I really like home teams this week too which is why I'm high on Saints.
Both of those games are a toss up. Hard to go against the Giants. Cowboys have the team to win the game but Romo will need to show me something before I back them. As for the saints game, i'll wait until they play again 11.21 to bet that game. Falcons didn't show me much in preseason but then again it's preseason.
I with you 100% on the Tampa game though.
GL this weekendComment -
9ersPrideSBR High Roller
- 08-21-13
- 186
#638Thanks for ue input..good luckComment -
brandcorytobySBR High Roller
- 11-29-10
- 172
#639Have been following your College plays.
How have you done in the past on your NFL plays?Comment -
wassupSBR Hustler
- 05-08-13
- 65
#640---------------------------------------------------
Browns ML -115 first half vs Miami
Tampa Bay -1.5 first half vs NYJ
New Orleans Saints -2.5 first half vs Atlanta
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Cowboys -3 -130 vs Giants
Tampa Bay -3 -130 vs NYJ
Cincinnati +3 vs Chicago
San Fran 49ers -4 -118 vs GB
New Orleans Saints -3 vs AtlantaColts -10 vs Oakland
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gojetsgomoxiesSBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 4222
#641Mac, i tallied it up and it looks like you were 10-3 ATS on your early leans last week (and that includes an ATS loss - UNLV - where the yardage and score differentials were completely distorted).....
thank you very much again!!! i think i blindly tailed one of your games and you gave me confidence on my own picks on a bunch of others.Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#642Historically I've done much better on college..last week was a train wreck though. I know a lot of kids and coaches coming up through HS' pipelines in Texas, Florida, Georgia, SC, Ohio, and California. I follow a lot of those area colleges as a result. I've hoestly not lost money in the last 8 years (now I've jinxed myself to all hell). The books are catching up in CFB though. Its becoming a lot harder to find softlines. Especially early Iin the season.
I use to be real good at NFL but the lines are so tight now and info so hard to get that its pretty much a coin flip. I did well last year but the previous 2 years I lost money. Its like me in the casino. I usually win on Blackjack but give it back on craps :-(
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Kklee11SBR Rookie
- 09-01-13
- 32
#643NFL games added... 3 first half lines, 5 bolded plays.
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Browns ML -115 first half vs Miami
Tampa Bay -1.5 first half vs NYJ
New Orleans Saints -2.5 first half vs Atlanta
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Cowboys -3 -130 vs Giants
Tampa Bay -3 -130 vs NYJ
Cincinnati +3 vs Chicago
San Fran 49ers -4 -118 vs GB
New Orleans Saints -3 vs AtlantaColts -10 vs Oakland
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I really love Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Jets are a hot mess. I can see Geno Smith imploding very quickly in this one. The only reason I'm not hammering this is first game of the season and the line should be higher.
I also like the Cowboys and Saints both being at home. Those venues are going to be rocking.Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
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Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#645More like 2.5 to 3x.
But games I love are a lot higher. 5x to 20x. I stopped posting units because I dont want to highly influence a pick when money management is always paramount. Plus I rather spend time on the games versus keeping up with data. If I like a high ML dog, I'll play it and count it a loss if it doesnt hit. Same way I'll by the hook and count it as a win. I'm not trying to manipulate numbers. I just don't want to spend the time focusing on things that don't make me money.Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#646Yeah, it was shaping up to be an epic day until I backed lousy Kentucky. I know better to not be in deep on shit teams and I kept telling myself to have self control but the numbers on paper looked too good to pass up.
I always look for your insight. I see your killing it.
Mac, i tallied it up and it looks like you were 10-3 ATS on your early leans last week (and that includes an ATS loss - UNLV - where the yardage and score differentials were completely distorted).....
thank you very much again!!! i think i blindly tailed one of your games and you gave me confidence on my own picks on a bunch of others.Comment -
9ersPrideSBR High Roller
- 08-21-13
- 186
#647Tonite liking BOS college -2.5 and UNDER 48.5Comment -
ghetto1SBR High Roller
- 10-13-09
- 174
#648Is that mean u picking michigan -3? I'm new to this and I'm use my bro acct.^I should also say that you should sprinkle a little on Sam Houston St for shits and giggles. TAM has had a media circus surround them and they have a lot of freshman out there playing football. That can always spell disaster if they start feeling pressure that can burst pipes.
Another bolded play...
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Michigan -3 -118 vs Notre Dame
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I had a long write up but my computer crashed. Dammit. I don't trust Notre Dame's offense. I don't see them putting enough points on the board in this one. Michigan threw 5 interceptions last year plus lost a fumble and still was within 7 points last year. I can't stress how much of an upgrade getting rid of Denard is. I don't think this game will be close. I'm liking UM by about 15 points. I think the Under is a good play as well.
This is a big booty play...
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Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#649Boston College looks to be the right play. I'm still not sure if I'm going to play it simply because it's on fukking Friday. Friday is for HS football. There's some awesome teams playing tonight here in Houston. Last night was Katy. Tonight, Kingwood, Memorial, Lamar and North Shore are all playing. Lot's of D1 kids in action. I'm going to one of those games which will be more interesting than this one.
Yep, first team listed is who I favor...
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ghetto1SBR High Roller
- 10-13-09
- 174
#650Ty MacComment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#651Adding 1 NFL and 1 College game
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NFL Football
Selection : New England Patriots 9/8/2013 10:00AM - (PST) Spread -13 +130 for Game
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College Football
Selection : Washington State 9/7/2013 7:30PM - (PST) Spread +16 for Game
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Patriots bolded play...
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Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#652Boston College looks to be the right play. I'm still not sure if I'm going to play it simply because it's on fukking Friday. Friday is for HS football. There's some awesome teams playing tonight here in Houston. Last night was Katy. Tonight, Kingwood, Memorial, Lamar and North Shore are all playing. Lot's of D1 kids in action. I'm going to one of those games which will be more interesting than this one.
Yep, first team listed is who I favor...Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#653Yeah, but I hate college treading on HS and I hate HS treading on college. A lot of HS games are now on Thursday and WTF Saturdays. That's bullshit. I refuse to go to a HS game on a Saturday, like I would never go to a college game on a Friday. Screw that.
Good thing I have a slingbox and a Monsoon Vulkano. They both allow you to stream your home tvs to anywhere with an internet connection. I'm usually at the games with my phone and ipad watching games live. Plus, I'll post to several forums. Talk about multitasking.
I used to catch as many GHA games as I could on a weekend... especially come playoff time. (I miss the megathons they had at the Astrodome.) However, a few years ago (once ESPN started having games on weeknights), I decided pursuit of cash was more important than catching a high school game. I approach sports betting differently than most... I view it the same as day trading, which is why I live/die via Live Betting.Comment -
dolla-dollaSBR High Roller
- 02-07-13
- 121
#654Adding 1 NFL and 1 College game
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NFL Football
Selection : New England Patriots 9/8/2013 10:00AM - (PST) Spread -13 +130 for Game
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College Football
Selection : Washington State 9/7/2013 7:30PM - (PST) Spread +16 for Game
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Patriots bolded play...
like wash state to cover as well.Comment -
thunderousSBR MVP
- 06-05-12
- 1870
#655Why is it so quiet in here boys?? Mac....wake up!! Games about to start we need ya buddyComment -
wackedSBR Wise Guy
- 01-13-09
- 719
#656Go Gators! =)
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ghetto1SBR High Roller
- 10-13-09
- 174
#657Following Mac on gators pick...go gators! Mac wake up..we need more picksComment -
wackedSBR Wise Guy
- 01-13-09
- 719
#658Here's basically everything Mac4Lyfe said in the previous posts for this week.
(4) for sure NCAAF picks, and the other is just info.
Some Early Leans...
Oklahoma -20 -116 versus WVU
Cincinnati - 7 -124 versus Illinois
South Carolina +3.5 versus UGA
SDSU +28 versus Ohio State
Oregon -21 -125 versus Virginia
So Miss +28.5 versus Nebraska
Eastern Mich +23 versus Penn State
Michigan -3 -128 versus ND
Wash St +15 versus USC
Toledo +17.5 versus Mizzou
I've already booked Florida -3 which I absolutely love. Only play so far.
I love UF, Oregon, and like SMiss. I do not like KState at all.
Slight lean on Wash state.
Sam Houston State +38 -118 versus Texas A&M
Michigan -3 -118 vs Notre Dame
Florida -3 vs Miami
Selection : Washington State 9/7/2013 7:30PM - (PST) Spread +16 for Game
I like Arky State +12.5 vs AuburnComment -
UrbanwildlifeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-06-11
- 5958
#659@Mac4Lyfe, See you at the pay window!Back at my home in Colombia this week my friend.
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Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#660Added plays for the morning games... 2 Bolded
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Football - 395 Eastern Kentucky/Louisville over 55 -110 for Game
Football - 315 Houston U -3 -103 for Game
Football - 389 Missouri State +27 -122 buying 1 for Game
Football - 314 Tex San Antonio team total under 17 -130 for Game
Football - 309 South Florida +24 -124 buying 1 for Game
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Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#661Sorry for the late adds. Long, long night. I'll have the rest of the day posted in a but.Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#6622 more added....
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Selection : Utah 9/7/2013 11:00AM - (PST) Spread -27½ -110 for Game
Selection : Boise State 9/7/2013 12:00PM - (PST) Spread -34 -110 for Game
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Kap KappersonSBR Rookie
- 06-22-13
- 31
#663Done for the day or got some more coming, Mac?Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#664Another bolded play...
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Football - 424 Texas State -31 -115 buying ½ for Game vs Prairie View A&M
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Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48445
#665I knew when the line didn't move on the UF/Miami game I was fukked.
Gators had 3 times the yards, 3 times time of possession. 6 trips in the red zone and 6 points. 5 turnovers and still was in the game. You can't cap red zone blunders.
and in the same type of game. Houston was dominating Temple all over the field. Had first and goal at the 1 yard line 3 times and came up with just 3 points. How does that shit happen? It took everything and a lot of luck for UH to cover in the last minute in what should have been an easy cover.
You have to have a strong heart playing this shit.Comment
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