2013 Mac's Early Leans

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  • dolla-dolla
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-07-13
    • 121

    #561
    how could we have lost that?!!! they only had to hang on for another minute and jackass fumbles. WHAT. THE. F*CK?!!
    Comment
    • dolla-dolla
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-07-13
      • 121

      #562
      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
      Final score... Texas 56 - NMSU 7
      LMAO. UNREAL. that one hurt, a lot.
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48431

        #563
        I really wish I was watching that game. It seemed as if every play Texas was piling up yards in chunks. That was incredible. They were scoring at will in the 2nd half. Unreal.
        Comment
        • jakeloftin2186
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-06-11
          • 595

          #564
          How you doing today mac
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48431

            #565
            I won a lot more games than I lost but I'm down for the day because of one fukking team. Kensucky.

            I had 2 four teamers and a 5 teamer, huge parlays riding on them. Would have been up huge. But now I'm down for the day.

            I'm also on UGA who's losing but If LSU and Northwestern covers, I'll be up a little after a wild ride.

            Originally posted by jakeloftin2186
            How you doing today mac
            Comment
            • dolla-dolla
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-07-13
              • 121

              #566
              the day started out so strong and it ends on a garbage overrated team like Texas running the score up after a shut out in the first qtr.
              hahahahahhahahahahahah

              that's all i can do rite now is laugh at the rollercoaster ride that is gambling.
              Go LSU. after losing this NMSU game, we need a W. baaaad lololololol
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48431

                #567
                Yeah, you couldn't even script this shit... I'm too emotional for these type of days. LOL

                Originally posted by dolla-dolla
                the day started out so strong and it ends on a garbage overrated team like Texas running the score up after a shut out in the first qtr.
                hahahahahhahahahahahah

                that's all i can do rite now is laugh at the rollercoaster ride that is gambling.
                Go LSU. after losing this NMSU game, we need a W. baaaad lololololol
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48431

                  #568
                  Northwestern leading comfortably to end the half and in 3 plays, Cal just scored with 22 seconds on the clock. I'll probably push on the 1st half bet now?

                  Then at the same time. LSU fumbles the handoff and TCU gets the ball back and score a TD. Muthurfukker. Shit has gone stale.
                  Comment
                  • FearTheBeard
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 05-28-13
                    • 62

                    #569
                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                    Final score... Texas 56 - NMSU 7
                    Let me tell you, I'm a huge Texas fan and I went big on NMSU +44. Thought it was Ez money after the 1st quarter. Hell it was still going to cover until Texas FOURTH string RB scores on a 50 yard TD run with the game far out of reach, and ends up breaking the entire school record for total yards of offense...

                    That's how college football goes sometimes,
                    Comment
                    • pintsonice
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-18-13
                      • 123

                      #570
                      Dammit that uncoordinated fatt fuk Thomas couldn't hold on to the fumble!!! Shit is just not going our way man, that was absolutely brutal
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48431

                        #571
                        That must have been one unreal 2nd half offensive show? I can't remember the last time I've seen a team rack up so many yards in such a long stretch. Every play was like at least 15 yards and many were like 30, 40, 50 yard romps. Some of the TDs were being described as amazing, jumping over peeps, spin moves, playstation like. I hope they show it again this week.

                        Originally posted by FearTheBeard
                        Let me tell you, I'm a huge Texas fan and I went big on NMSU +44. Thought it was Ez money after the 1st quarter. Hell it was still going to cover until Texas FOURTH string RB scores on a 50 yard TD run with the game far out of reach, and ends up breaking the entire school record for total yards of offense...

                        That's how college football goes sometimes,
                        Comment
                        • Mac4Lyfe
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-04-09
                          • 48431

                          #572
                          He jumps on it like he's in WWE. All he had to do was lay on it real softly. Or just scoop it up.

                          LSU defenders falling like flies right now. Not good.

                          Originally posted by pintsonice
                          Dammit that uncoordinated fatt fuk Thomas couldn't hold on to the fumble!!! Shit is just now going our way man, that was absolutely brutal
                          Comment
                          • FearTheBeard
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-28-13
                            • 62

                            #573
                            Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                            That must have been one unreal 2nd half offensive show? I can't remember the last time I've seen a team rack up so many yards in such a long stretch. Every play was like at least 15 yards and many were like 30, 40, 50 yard romps. Some of the TDs were being described as amazing, jumping over peeps, spin moves, playstation like. I hope they show it again this week.
                            Yeah I watched it... weird thing is it's not like Texas was grinding out the yards and TDs on methodical drives... NMSU would get stops here and there but then would give up a big play right after that for like 50 yards. And it just kept happening OVER and OVER again. UT had their way with them and then put in 2nd stringers and still racked up more big plays while the defense was stingy as hell. UT's running back depth this year is unreal even the 4th stringer Overstreet looks pretty legit and the o-line is looking a lot better than last year. We'll see how they do in conference competition but I actually don't think Texas is overrated this year. I put 2 units down on Texas futures over 9.5 wins at -130. I might just be a homer but I think UT is actually underrated after underachieving past 3 years in a row, I could see them getting 11 wins this year maybe even running the table since they are returning 19 starters. Just my 2 cents who knows though, injuries can derail any season.
                            Comment
                            • FearTheBeard
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 05-28-13
                              • 62

                              #574
                              Also took TCU o58 live after the third quarter, with the way the game was going thought it was a pretty good bet to hit. Made up for my stupid Georgia -1 bet.
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48431

                                #575
                                One game really fukked me today... Why the hell did I put up a ton of money on a shit team like Kentucky. I deserved to get my ass kicked. Sorry for anyone that tailed.

                                I don't even want to admit ow much money UK caused me in parlays and what not. That game left a mark.

                                1 Football - 165 No Illinois +3 -108 for Game
                                2 Football - 187 New Mexico State +44 -114 buying ½ for Game
                                3 Football - 191 Toledo +14 -115 for 1st Half
                                4 Football - 191 Toledo +24 -120 buying ½ for Game
                                5 Football - 191 Toledo/Florida under 30½ -110 for 1st Half
                                6 Football - 177 Kentucky -3 -105 for 1st Half
                                7 Football - 177 Kentucky -5 +101 selling 1 for Game
                                8 Football - 167 Temple +30 -118 buying 1 for Game
                                9 Football - 189 Rice +28 -128 buying 1 for Game
                                10 Football - 205 Georgia -3 -103 for Game
                                11 Football - 349 McNeese State +21 -120 buying ½ for Game
                                12 Football - 183 UL Monroe +22 -114 buying ½ for Game
                                13 Football - 171 Alabama -12½ -110 for 1st Half
                                7-5 on the day... 4-2 on bolded plays.

                                Updated Record

                                16-13 (55%)
                                8-4 (67%) on bolded plays


                                Games have been going like I expect but I'm backing teams that are shooting themselves in the foot and I'm not getting much help from the refs. Poor QB play, stupid penalties, awful FG kicking. I have to really look more into the intangibles.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48431

                                  #576
                                  Texas is one of my favorite teams. I'm here in Houston and a bunch of friends, some family played there. I'm also a Florida fan (played there) and both teams seemed to go to shit at the same time the past few years. Both offenses are so unpredictable. I've faded them both to some nice profits but will have to wait and see what UT's offense will become.

                                  Today was impressive.

                                  Originally posted by FearTheBeard
                                  Yeah I watched it... weird thing is it's not like Texas was grinding out the yards and TDs on methodical drives... NMSU would get stops here and there but then would give up a big play right after that for like 50 yards. And it just kept happening OVER and OVER again. UT had their way with them and then put in 2nd stringers and still racked up more big plays while the defense was stingy as hell. UT's running back depth this year is unreal even the 4th stringer Overstreet looks pretty legit and the o-line is looking a lot better than last year. We'll see how they do in conference competition but I actually don't think Texas is overrated this year. I put 2 units down on Texas futures over 9.5 wins at -130. I might just be a homer but I think UT is actually underrated after underachieving past 3 years in a row, I could see them getting 11 wins this year maybe even running the table since they are returning 19 starters. Just my 2 cents who knows though, injuries can derail any season.
                                  Comment
                                  • wacked
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-09
                                    • 719

                                    #577
                                    Are you playing any of the games today? I'm looking at Ohio covering against UL.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48431

                                      #578
                                      I've been going back and forth on this game. So many questions. Fade or tail Bridgewater? Will he come out flat with so much expectations or will he light it up early? Ohio should have a good offense but Charlie Strong is a defensive guru. I could easily see him slowing this team down, which makes the over/under a question mark.

                                      My gut tells me UL first half... Ohio 2nd half. That was UL's MO last year. They would get out to huge leads and hang on for dear life last year. Strong also isn't one to run up the score BUT will he be forced too trying to get votes for a title run?

                                      I wouldn't put a bunch of money on this one. I'm going to go with UL first half -12 very small and wait for the 2nd half. Probably take Ohio 2nd half.



                                      Originally posted by wacked
                                      Are you playing any of the games today? I'm looking at Ohio covering against UL.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48431

                                        #579
                                        What am I missing? How/why is Colorado State only a slight fave? This line is off and should be the play of the day.

                                        Jim McElwain is in his 2nd season as coach of the Rams. I did mention that I like 2nd year coaches? The team was young but got better as the season progressed. CSU has a good offensive line, quality running backs going against a very young/poor Colorado LB crew. QB is questionable but who cares when your Oline can protect you and you have 3 backs that can gash the defense. The receivers are green but with a good line and RBs, it makes a QB and his receivers look much better than they really are. Colorado has depth issues on both sides of the ball but with poor LB's I expect guys like Crockett Gillmore and Kivon Cartwright to light them up in the middle of the field as a compliment to the running game.

                                        Colorado is inexperienced almost everywhere including coaching. They were a hot mess last year. Athletic director fired, coach fired, quarterback arrested, a bunch of players left. How does a new coach come in and get any continuity with that mess. Not this quickly. Colorado couldn't beat State last year. Why would they this year? CU's offensive line is one of the worst in CFB. Powell is a good RB and Wood the QB is good but if you have a sucky line, good luck. They have a good receiving corps but how are you going to get them the ball when you're on your back?

                                        I like CSU in this one fairly easily...


                                        ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Money Line -125 for 1st Quarter
                                        Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Money Line -140 for 1st Half
                                        Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Spread -2½ -113 for Game
                                        ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Comment
                                        • wacked
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-13-09
                                          • 719

                                          #580
                                          Well, if you look at some of their 1st halves last year, it was about 50/50.
                                          Up in 6 games, tied in 1 and down in 6.
                                          In home games they were up 5 and down 2
                                          In away games they were tied 1 time, and down in the other 4.
                                          Neutral site they were up 1 time.

                                          You are right though, who knows who comes out in the 1st half.
                                          +14 points UK
                                          +11 points Missouri St
                                          +19 points UNC
                                          0 points FIU
                                          -5 points So. Miss
                                          -4 points Pitt
                                          +11 points USF
                                          -3 points Cincy
                                          +13 points Temple
                                          -18 points Cuse
                                          -10 points UCONN
                                          -11 points Rutgers
                                          +14 points Florida

                                          home vs UK up 22-7 @ half / Won 32-14
                                          home vs Missouri St up 18-7 @ half
                                          / Won 35-7 home vs UNC up 26-7 @ half / Won 39-34
                                          @ FIU tied 14-14 @ half
                                          / Won 28-21
                                          @ So. Miss down 17-12 @ half / Won 21-17
                                          @ Pitt down 21-17 @ half / Won 45-35
                                          home vs USF up 14-3 @ half / Won 27-25
                                          home vs Cincy down 17-14 @ half / Won 34-31 OT
                                          home vs Temple up 31-17 @ half / Won 45-17
                                          @ Cuse down 31-13 @ half / Lost 45-26
                                          home vs UCONN down 10-0 @ half / Lost 23-20 OT
                                          @ Rutgers down 14-3 @ half / Won 20-17
                                          vs Florida (Sugar Bowl) up 24-10 @ half / Won 33-23

                                          It looks clear to take Ohio +21 and theoretically the under 60 if you can get it.
                                          The 1st if probably a wash, but +12.5 Ohio looks slightly better.

                                          That's just what the numbers tell me.
                                          Comment
                                          • gojetsgomoxies
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-04-12
                                            • 4222

                                            #581
                                            perhaps stupid question, but what was your record if you reduce similar plays to one bet? some correlated's helped and some hurt you it looks like.

                                            i like the fact you love CSU. think i'm going to get on it with the -3... colorado though has a ton of experience coming back too.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48431

                                              #582
                                              I don't know. I'm not as thorough in keeping up like I was a few years ago. Too much data can often be a hindrance for me. I try to balance everything out which tends to be fairly even in the end. I'll sometimes post/take double digit dog MLs and a few juicy faves from time to time but try to balance my picks overall.

                                              I think Colorado bringing back a bunch of folks may be a strength for CSU. LOL. Nothing like bringing back a bunch of guys that know how to lose.

                                              Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                              perhaps stupid question, but what was your record if you reduce similar plays to one bet? some correlated's helped and some hurt you it looks like.

                                              i like the fact you love CSU. think i'm going to get on it with the -3... colorado though has a ton of experience coming back too.
                                              Comment
                                              • bigslimmyslim
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 08-31-13
                                                • 8

                                                #583
                                                Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                I don't know. I'm not as thorough in keeping up like I was a few years ago. Too much data can often be a hindrance for me. I try to balance everything out which tends to be fairly even in the end. I'll sometimes post/take double digit dog MLs and a few juicy faves from time to time but try to balance my picks overall.

                                                I think Colorado bringing back a bunch of folks may be a strength for CSU. LOL. Nothing like bringing back a bunch of guys that know how to lose.
                                                Comment
                                                • wacked
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-13-09
                                                  • 719

                                                  #584
                                                  Ohio looks timid, horrid and down right scared lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48431

                                                    #585
                                                    About what I expected. But I can see them covering 2nd half +10.

                                                    I'm throwing a little bit of my first half UL's winnings on Ohio 2nd half.

                                                    Originally posted by wacked
                                                    Ohio looks timid, horrid and down right scared lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wacked
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-13-09
                                                      • 719

                                                      #586
                                                      After watching that 1st half, I can't put any faith in their offense. As long as Bridgewater plays into the middle of the 4th and the 2nd string defense isn't out there for UL, I don't see much slacking off and I can see UL scoring 21 and Ohio struggling to find the end-zone, much less 10 total points, which puts it @ -11.

                                                      I'll probably do the same and do the live betting. The under with live betting was nice, and since Charlie Strong doesn't like to run up the score or press, they just sat on that last possession, which was what I was hoping.

                                                      Good luck, I might just continue with live betting, but I'll believe UL +10 for 2nd is going to take it.

                                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                      About what I expected. But I can see them covering 2nd half +10.

                                                      I'm throwing a little bit of my first half UL's winnings on Ohio 2nd half.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                        • 48431

                                                        #587
                                                        Ohio is a fukking mess. No 2nd half miracles today. I should have just kept my UL bet. Oh well, onto CSU.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jrbacon
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-16-11
                                                          • 235

                                                          #588
                                                          Looking at FSU later. I think they cover. Thoughts?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48431

                                                            #589
                                                            I'm leaning FSU but I'm off kilter after the Kentucky and Colorado State debacles. My ass hurts backing those two shit teams.

                                                            Originally posted by jrbacon
                                                            Looking at FSU later. I think they cover. Thoughts?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #590
                                                              I'm on FSU -10 x1 and having a hard time talking myself out of bumping that up to x2-3. I think Jameis Winston is going to make a big splash tonight in his debut, as a big upgrade over anyone else FSU has had under center for the last few years. Two quality RBs, 4/5 returning O-Linemen, and a big pool of WRs make for a pretty formidable offense, and I just don't see how Pittsburgh can possibly keep up for 60 minutes with so much new and unproven personnel.

                                                              Pitt is projected to be around 40th in F/+ going into this season, and I think that's a bit generous.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dolla-dolla
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-07-13
                                                                • 121

                                                                #591
                                                                FSU up half pt to 10.5 on 5 dimes
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                                  • 48431

                                                                  #592
                                                                  I like FSu too BUT first time on the road really scare me. Pitt could have a pulse on defense as well which could mean he makes a turnover or two.

                                                                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                  I'm on FSU -10 x1 and having a hard time talking myself out of bumping that up to x2-3. I think Jameis Winston is going to make a big splash tonight in his debut, as a big upgrade over anyone else FSU has had under center for the last few years. Two quality RBs, 4/5 returning O-Linemen, and a big pool of WRs make for a pretty formidable offense, and I just don't see how Pittsburgh can possibly keep up for 60 minutes with so much new and unproven personnel.

                                                                  Pitt is projected to be around 40th in F/+ going into this season, and I think that's a bit generous.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                                    • 48431

                                                                    #593
                                                                    Well that was an ass kicking. A trifecta butt whoopin...

                                                                    Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Money Line -125 for 1st Quarter
                                                                    Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Money Line -140 for 1st Half
                                                                    Colorado State 9/1/2013 3:00PM - (PST) Spread -2½ -113 for Game



                                                                    0-3 yesterday, 0-2 on bolded plays.

                                                                    Updated Record

                                                                    16-16 (50%)
                                                                    8-6 (57%) on bolded plays

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48431

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Added plays... I've been fade city ever since the Kentucky debacle so tread lightly.

                                                                      -----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                      Football - 219 Florida State -6 -110 for 1st Half
                                                                      Football - 219 Florida State/Pittsburgh U under 48 -110 for Game
                                                                      -----------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                      I'm getting good reports of a lot of FSU fans in town. FSU's defense needs to protect the long ball and shut down Pitt's tight ends. That said, Pitt played ND to 3 OT's, beat VT worse than FSU did, blew out Rutgers and USF and lost to UL by only a TD. This game may be a sweat out. I'm hopeing FSU bashes the smaller Pitt Dline with runs. I'm hoping Pitt's defense is worn out in the 2nd half as I may take a large FSU 2nd half too.


                                                                      I'm also adding this play right now as I think the line is going to go up the next few days...
                                                                      --------------------------------------------
                                                                      Football - 305 Florida -3 -103 for Game
                                                                      --------------------------------------------

                                                                      I'm a UF homer but I'm realistic about the pluses and minuses of the team. I usually bet against UF more than I play but this line is very off. UF's oline and dline is vastly better than Miami's. Miami's strength is running the ball but UF's defense is stout against it. Miami's passing game is a work in progress IMO and UF's defensive backs are probably the best in the business. UF's defense is under the radar for some reason but let me tell you it is unreal. Teams are going to have a hard time moving the ball against this defense.

                                                                      The questions are always around UF's offense. You are going to see a grind it out smash you in the face running game, mixed with pass sets. This game will not be close. UF by 20+. You heard it here first.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • wacked
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-13-09
                                                                        • 719

                                                                        #595
                                                                        I'm hoping FL was holding back and will opens it up more against Miami, I don't see how you can't take -3 on FL.


                                                                        Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                                        Added plays... I've been fade city ever since the Kentucky debacle so tread lightly.

                                                                        -----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        Football - 219 Florida State -6 -110 for 1st Half
                                                                        Football - 219 Florida State/Pittsburgh U under 48 -110 for Game
                                                                        -----------------------------------------------------------------

                                                                        I'm getting good reports of a lot of FSU fans in town. FSU's defense needs to protect the long ball and shut down Pitt's tight ends. That said, Pitt played ND to 3 OT's, beat VT worse than FSU did, blew out Rutgers and USF and lost to UL by only a TD. This game may be a sweat out. I'm hopeing FSU bashes the smaller Pitt Dline with runs. I'm hoping Pitt's defense is worn out in the 2nd half as I may take a large FSU 2nd half too.


                                                                        I'm also adding this play right now as I think the line is going to go up the next few days...
                                                                        --------------------------------------------
                                                                        Football - 305 Florida -3 -103 for Game
                                                                        --------------------------------------------

                                                                        I'm a UF homer but I'm realistic about the pluses and minuses of the team. I usually bet against UF more than I play but this line is very off. UF's oline and dline is vastly better than Miami's. Miami's strength is running the ball but UF's defense is stout against it. Miami's passing game is a work in progress IMO and UF's defensive backs are probably the best in the business. UF's defense is under the radar for some reason but let me tell you it is unreal. Teams are going to have a hard time moving the ball against this defense.

                                                                        The questions are always around UF's offense. You are going to see a grind it out smash you in the face running game, mixed with pass sets. This game will not be close. UF by 20+. You heard it here first.
                                                                        Comment
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