2013 Mac's Early Leans

[Mac4Lyfe]

Let's cash this bitch...

I need more booty in this thread...

Damn Skippy! With ya on FAU and SMU

[alabasterf]

Mmmm...I'd lick that crack like Whitney Houston

[Mac4Lyfe]

Texas Tech vs SMU

SMU has lost 14 straight games to Texas Tech. It's time to get off the schneide.

SMU likes to sling the ball and they will be going against a TT team that gave up 52+ in 4 of the last 7 games last year. Garrett Gilbert is going to want to stick it to TT and show as a top QB.

TT is starting a freshman QB. Can Mayfield make throws in order to gain respect from SMU's defense? I don't think so. I expect them to blitz him at will and force his hand. SMU's defense is very turnover hungry and I see them getting a couple of turnovers in this one. Kingsbury will find a way for TT to score and this should be a shootout but I think SMU will capitalize on the freshman QBs mistakes.

SMU for the cover. Over 60 looks good and SMU TT over 28.5.

[Mac4Lyfe]

[Romanov]

Mac's plays for saturday so far:

13 Toledo 8/31/2013 9:20AM - (PST) Spread +24 -120 for Game
Football - 165 No Illinois +3 -108 for Game
Football - 187 New Mexico State +44 -114 buying ½ for Game

The rest of the plays in post #247 are for tonight. Just doing this to help myself and others as I had to double check the schedule after i saw his list

[Mac4Lyfe]

N Dakota State vs Kansas State

This could go either way. NDS has a senior QB that doesn't make mistakes and dual running backs that could chew clock. If they can control the pace and put KSU on their heels it could be an upset win. They have beaten 3 straight FBS teams, so they ain't scurred.

KSU is undergoing a lot of change tonight which is why I like NDS. 4 new defensive linemen, they have a new starting QB in Jake Waters and a newly renovated stadium. Maybe too much pressure on the QB? Can KState stop NDS' running game?

I don't see a first quarter or first half line at Heritage? But this is a good spot to take NDS early. KSU's depth may wear on them in the 2nd half but it should be close early.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I have a lot of dogs barking...

Mac's plays for saturday so far:

13 Toledo 8/31/2013 9:20AM - (PST) Spread +24 -120 for Game
Football - 165 No Illinois +3 -108 for Game
Football - 187 New Mexico State +44 -114 buying ½ for Game

The rest of the plays in post #247 are for tonight. Just doing this to help myself and others as I had to double check the schedule after i saw his list

[Mac4Lyfe]

....

[Mac4Lyfe]

Northern Illinois vs Iowa

Be careful in this one and don't bet the farm. This is more of a fade of Iowa than a endorsement of NIU. NIU's defense is going to be a little small in the britches which is troubling. Their Dline will probably come in at only 235 average. Not good. The LB's are good but the safeties are going to have to help make plays. Jimmie Ward was the leading tackler last year and he's going to have to bring it tonight. Iowa will be able to run the ball but can they pass? That's the question. They didn't take too many deep shots last year.

Iowa's offense will be a lot of zone read with Rudock holding the rock a bunch, they will also try a bunch of WR screens and jet sweeps. I don't respect Iowa's offense. They have no identity. Do they want to hurry up, zone blocking, no huddle, deep passes? They don't know what they want to do.

NIU has a new head coach but they have Jordan Lynch. I think he will make enough plays to win this. But Iowa could use their depth and blow NIU off the ball in the 2nd half and win by double digits, so be careful.

I'm going with NIU because of Iowa's dysfunctional offense. The under may be a good play as well.

[jakeloftin2186]

Texas Tech vs SMU

SMU has lost 14 straight games to Texas Tech. It's time to get off the schneide.

SMU likes to sling the ball and they will be going against a TT team that gave up 52+ in 4 of the last 7 games last year. Garrett Gilbert is going to want to stick it to TT and show as a top QB.

TT is starting a freshman QB. Can Mayfield make throws in order to gain respect from SMU's defense? I don't think so. I expect them to blitz him at will and force his hand. SMU's defense is very turnover hungry and I see them getting a couple of turnovers in this one. Kingsbury will find a way for TT to score and this should be a shootout but I think SMU will capitalize on the freshman QBs mistakes.

SMU for the cover. Over 60 looks good and SMU TT over 28.5.

Biggest factor for me is coaching in this game. Tech hired kliff as a political hire to try and ease the pain of big money donors leaving or threating to leave. His coaching staff that he hired is joke a bunch of old tech players and have very little coaching experience at any level. June Jones will have his team ready while kliff and his staff will be learning the ropes. I think SMU wins this one straight up

[Mac4Lyfe]

[jrbacon]

Mmmm...I'd lick that crack like Whitney Houston

[Mac4Lyfe]

New Mexico State vs Texas.

NMSU +44

NMSU was horrible last year. They'll be horrible this year BUT Texas, like the Florida Gators are 2 programs that I have very little trust in their offenses. Texas can light it up one game then look like shit the next. Jekyll and Hyde for sure. Everyone is hyping up this years team because they return a lot but isn't that returning a lot of the same losers? This is another fade of the opponent not trust in the team I'm betting on. I'm hoping UT makes enough mistakes to slow the scoring and make it tough to cover this high line.

NMSU has a new coach in Doug Martin. He has experience and will be an upgrade. His QB is a senior but has thrown only 1 pass in his career. He could crumble under pressure which is a concern. Their top WR is also out which doesn't help. Their biggest weapon is their punter. This guy can kick the ball. He will be busy tonight but can flip the field and cause UT to have long drives which helps the line as well.

UT won't have any film on NMSU's offense or defense so the unexpected will cause Mack Brown to go conservative. That should mean less possessions and better chances for a cover.

[Mac4Lyfe]

[TPowell]

Texas Tech vs SMU

SMU has lost 14 straight games to Texas Tech. It's time to get off the schneide.

SMU likes to sling the ball and they will be going against a TT team that gave up 52+ in 4 of the last 7 games last year. Garrett Gilbert is going to want to stick it to TT and show as a top QB.

TT is starting a freshman QB. Can Mayfield make throws in order to gain respect from SMU's defense? I don't think so. I expect them to blitz him at will and force his hand. SMU's defense is very turnover hungry and I see them getting a couple of turnovers in this one. Kingsbury will find a way for TT to score and this should be a shootout but I think SMU will capitalize on the freshman QBs mistakes.

SMU for the cover. Over 60 looks good and SMU TT over 28.5.

numbers say its a no play, but I LOVE backing a 6th year coach at HOME against a YOUNG 1st year coach

[Romanov]

Hey mac what should the bet size ratio be between the bolded plays and the normal ones? I think i saw 2:1 early in the thread. Just wanna confirm

[jakeloftin2186]

Mac I thought you were a titty man until today brotha

[Mac4Lyfe]

It depends. Sometimes it's 5 to 1. Depends on how good I feel about it. Early in the season it's probably 2.5 to 1.

Hey mac what should the bet size ratio be between the bolded plays and the normal ones? I think i saw 2:1 early in the thread. Just wanna confirm

I love it all, titties, toes, hoes...

Mac I thought you were a titty man until today brotha

[Mac4Lyfe]

Mayfield looked dam good on that opening drive. Not good.

numbers say its a no play, but I LOVE backing a 6th year coach at HOME against a YOUNG 1st year coach

[Mac4Lyfe]

Holy shit. MSU can't move the ball for shit but this stupid ass WMU QB is throwing INT's all over the dam place. He threw a pick 6 a second ago and just threw another one. FUKKK, MSU can't move the ball you idiots. Just quit turning the ball over you bitch.

[Mac4Lyfe]

FAU hanging with Miami early. Miami with a lot of mistakes as expected. WR's dropping sure TDs is really helping.

[Mac4Lyfe]

SMU defense still shitty a year later...

FAU should be able to pick up some scores if they stop giving up drive killing sacks.

[jakeloftin2186]

SMU defense still shitty a year later...

FAU should be able to pick up some scores if they stop giving up drive killing sacks.

im looking for this game to be very close at half and then experience coaching will take over

[Mac4Lyfe]

I may hammer SMU 2nd half. Their offense is going to wake up soon.

im looking for this game to be very close at half and then experience coaching will take over

[Mac4Lyfe]

Come on FAU. Punch this shit in here. We need a TD.

NDSU - you too. Punch this shit in.

[Mac4Lyfe]

NDSU looks dam good. They are bringing it. I see an upset brewing.

Miami getting away with all kinda holding/penalties. Fukkk

[SamDiamond]

Love your NDSU and FAU selections Mac!

Cash 'em bud!

[Mac4Lyfe]

Them dogs are biting. FAU just needs to stop Duke Johnson (easier said then done). He's a grown ass man. Strong as shit.

WMU and MSU are in a rain delay. Unreal lightening in that one and it came down in buckets. That should really help slow things down. If WMU QB stop making mistakes this should easily cash.

Love your NDSU and FAU selections Mac!

Cash 'em bud!

[Mac4Lyfe]

SMU in the redzone again and looking like shit again. Gilbert is playing very poor. No pocket awareness at all. Dammit. Fukker is taking sacks on every fukking play.

[SamDiamond]

SMU in the redzone again and looking like shit again. Gilbert is playing very poor. No pocket awareness at all. Dammit. Fukker is taking sacks on every fukking play.

I remember when he was a 5-star recruit coming out of high school------ he is a hot mess right now.

Poor awareness, he doesn't see the field well at all.

[Mac4Lyfe]

He is scruggling. Just took another fukking sack. He can't see that rush off the edge???

SMU might be better punting on 3rd down. Shit.

I remember when he was a 5-star recruit coming out of high school------ he is a hot mess right now.

Poor awareness, he doesn't see the field well at all.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Holy shit... FAU with a huge goal line stand with 5:44 to go. Miami had the ball 1st and goal on the 1 and FAU stuffed them 4 times to keep the cover in play.

But, now it's first and 10 on the inch line. Don't want a safety or turnover here. I'd love a gift blown coverage TD here.

[Mac4Lyfe]

LOL - FAU driving in the red zone as time was ticking in the game. 4th down and short and the coach tells his QB to spike the ball to stop the clock. And the QB does it... Turnover on downs but a least it ended the game.

FAU covers... Salud

[Living The Dream]

Did you see how he clearly crossed the goal line, but I guess because it was a 28 pt game they never reviewed it? Even the announcers said when they replayed the tape he crossed the line... Its funny how it wasn't reviewed...

[Mac4Lyfe]

It sure looked like the Miami runner crossed the goal line. I was holding my breath that they wouldn't review it and overturn it. Huge break.

Did you see how he clearly crossed the goal line, but I guess because it was a 28 pt game they never reviewed it? Even the announcers said when they replayed the tape he crossed the line... Its funny how it wasn't reviewed...