Arizona -2.5

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  • Maladjusted
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-23-12
    • 9

    #1
    Arizona -2.5
    Arizona has been one of the more consistent teams in the Pac-12 this season. Both of these teams come in with an identical 4-4 conference record but something really stood out to me right away. Arizona States four wins in the conference came against Cal, Utah, Colorado, and Washington State. They lost all four games they had against teams with winning records in the conference and three of the four losses were by double digits with the fourth loss coming at home to UCLA. Arizona State just has not played well against the upper tier of the Pac-12 all season and hasn’t really even been close.
    Arizona on the other hand has played the upper teams in the conference well with wins against USC and Washington this season. Two of their four conference losses came by exactly three points to Stanford and Oregon State. While the records and the power records make this look like a pickem there is a clear picture that has been painted here by the way these two teams have played against similar opponents.
    This is a huge game for Rich Rodriguez and crew in year one and I expect that they are going to come out and do what they have done all year and that is score points. This offense is made to score and they will score plenty of points today as well and like all the other teams Arizona State has faced with a winning record they will win by double digits.
  • Maladjusted
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-23-12
    • 9

    #2
    1st Half ARIZONA U WILDCATS-.05 -105
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      shit, i believe ya bro...i was passing on this gm but now i wanna bet it...lol
      Comment
      • Maladjusted
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-23-12
        • 9

        #4
        2daBank (Handshake)
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          Might play the over small
          Comment
          • MagicDiceFlow
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-12
            • 4585

            #6
            I have a feeling this game is begging for Arizona money. Notice how conveniently the books set the line at just below a field goal at -2.5 ......AZ should be favored by more regardless that this is a rival game.

            This game will get rigged for AZ State to cover. Last game of the night to bury the public.

            Be careful
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Yupp ASU would be my play gun to my head
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                honestly had no interest in this gm, still really dont...over maybe? who knows, i didnt when i capped it so no point betting now..lots of good gms 2marro...
                Comment
                • Isaiah
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-12
                  • 1013

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Maladjusted
                  Arizona has been one of the more consistent teams in the Pac-12 this season. Both of these teams come in with an identical 4-4 conference record but something really stood out to me right away. Arizona States four wins in the conference came against Cal, Utah, Colorado, and Washington State. They lost all four games they had against teams with winning records in the conference and three of the four losses were by double digits with the fourth loss coming at home to UCLA. Arizona State just has not played well against the upper tier of the Pac-12 all season and hasn’t really even been close.
                  Arizona on the other hand has played the upper teams in the conference well with wins against USC and Washington this season. Two of their four conference losses came by exactly three points to Stanford and Oregon State. While the records and the power records make this look like a pickem there is a clear picture that has been painted here by the way these two teams have played against similar opponents.
                  This is a huge game for Rich Rodriguez and crew in year one and I expect that they are going to come out and do what they have done all year and that is score points. This offense is made to score and they will score plenty of points today as well and like all the other teams Arizona State has faced with a winning record they will win by double digits.
                  Arizona St. lost to UCLA by 2 pts and Oregon by 22. Arizona lost to UCLA by 56 and to Oregon by 49. So I think your comparative scores angle is really weak. Also Arizona lost to Oregon State by 6 not 3. Not saying your are wrong, just wonder about your rational for the pick. I'll be watching the first half then placing a 2nd half wager premised upon how play went in the 1st half. Good luck to you.
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    honestly had no interest in this gm, still really dont...over maybe? who knows, i didnt when i capped it so no point betting now..lots of good gms 2marro...
                    yeah good approach...
                    Comment
                    • mngambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-11
                      • 2890

                      #11
                      Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                      I have a feeling this game is begging for Arizona money. Notice how conveniently the books set the line at just below a field goal at -2.5 ......AZ should be favored by more regardless that this is a rival game.

                      This game will get rigged for AZ State to cover. Last game of the night to bury the public.

                      Be careful

                      we think alike...those rivalry games that open at a line this and don't budge a f*ckin inch all week just have a nasty stank to me...public thinking is home team by only a FG? late night/last game of the day bailoutburial?
                      Comment
                      • philliesfinest
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-13-09
                        • 1557

                        #12
                        the away team in last 10 yrs 7-3 i like arz. st
                        Comment
                        • vyomguy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-08-09
                          • 5794

                          #13
                          arizona..a ranked team at home....laying just -2.5.....the line should have been -6 or more....line seems very fishy. Stay away.
                          Comment
                          • mngambler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-11
                            • 2890

                            #14
                            Originally posted by philliesfinest
                            the away team in last 10 yrs 7-3 i like arz. st
                            good point..ya, their listed as the home team but not much of a true "home advantage" in this scenario...I'm not gonna force a bet esp. after a good day on Thanksgiving...I'll wait for a halftime play
                            Comment
                            • YoungAD7
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 02-03-12
                              • 273

                              #15
                              im on ASU and the Over Boys BOL
                              Comment
                              • MagicDiceFlow
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-15-12
                                • 4585

                                #16
                                Looks like the Wildcats QB just got the vegas call ....After that touchdown, he's gone 1 for 10 with two interceptions in the span of 3 minutes.

                                Public burial in the making ....sharp bettors spot this stank line from a mile away.
                                Comment
                                • WoopTdo
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-18-09
                                  • 269

                                  #17
                                  This game is far from over, and your shaps are smelling some chorizo farts and mistanking them for$$
                                  Comment
                                  • MagicDiceFlow
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-15-12
                                    • 4585

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by WoopTdo
                                    This game is far from over, and your shaps are smelling some chorizo farts and mistanking them for$$
                                    On lines like these, its decided before it started ......if you're sharp enough to see it.
                                    Comment
                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-15-12
                                      • 4585

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                      I have a feeling this game is begging for Arizona money. Notice how conveniently the books set the line at just below a field goal at -2.5 ......AZ should be favored by more regardless that this is a rival game.

                                      This game will get rigged for AZ State to cover. Last game of the night to bury the public.

                                      Be careful

                                      AZ State destroys the line, wins outright.
                                      Comment
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