I'll roll with Pitt tonight

[Machine Choice]

I'm buying half a point and rolling with the favorite. Not because of how Pitt played Notre Dame last week. Pitt was outgained in that game by more than 200 yards and ND coughed up two red-zone turnovers. Pitt had no business being in that game.

Pitt is not a good team, just average. But they have some things working for them tonight:

-UCONN has ZERO rushing attack.
-UCONN's coach is a joke and should not be coaching at the Division 1 level.
-UCONN's QB Whitmer is a turnover machine, while Pitt's QB Susneri doesn't make mistakes and completes 69% of his passes.

Pittsburgh needs to win 2 of their last three games to become bowl eligible. They have Rutgers still (probably a loss) so they need to win tonight and against USF even though they are in an emotional letdown spot tonight. Oh well, man up and get your shit together Pittsburgh! Meanwhile, UCONN knows they are not bowling this year. (still has to play Louisville and Cinci).

I like Pitt's freshman RB Shell (#3 freshman running back in the nation). And I like that RB Graham has finally looked like his 2011 self these last two weeks. Look for them and Susneri to get this done tonight.

Pasquoloni is 2-5 ATS this year and was 4-8 ATS last year. I look for him to be fired at the end of the year. UCONN can do better. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS overall.

Predicted score:
Pitt 24
UCONN 20

PITT -3

[hougigo]

No matter how I look at UConn..... I don't see a chance.
I'm on them too, but took the ML and 3.5 spread in some cases.

[BeantownBlue]

I agree. Pitt all the way.
Pound it hard. This is a no brainer. Don't overthink this. Just hit it.

[Stack-N-Chips]

I agree.. PITT rolls on this one..
I also like a small play on the UNDER
PITT wins 27-13

[grease lightnin]

We've been on the same side all week. Let's cash again.

[Bbfromgpt]

The road favorite has never covered in this series. Not once! While that should change tonight I just have a weird feeling about uconn. First time in awhile we are on different sides. GL man

[whatdafuxup]

On it!

[Machine Choice]

PITT will start sluggish and probably flat. No worries. UCONN gave up their season weeks ago and will also play like shit. These are two teams in a bad mental place, but PITT can still bowl and they make fewer mistakes.

PITT will pull it out in the 2h.

[eeezzzz]

I'm gonna have to pass on Pit. I bet against them earlier in the season when they played VT and got burned. I will be rooting for you to cover though. gl

[BlitzTheBooks]

Right there with ya. Had them at close to -10

[HatersGonnaHate]

yep pitt all the way

[Spedizzo]

Pitt wins by 2 or 3 if they win at all

[Machine Choice]

http://boston.sbnation.com/2012/10/14/3501294/uconn-temple-2012-reaction-paul-pasqualoni

[Surebet]

Duely Noted. I think Pittsburgh U at -3.5 is a deal. NO WAY PIT LOSES THIS GAME TONIGHT. They will pound the ground on running game, you'll just see. Also OVER looks good!!! It's Gonna be a cold one in Hartford with kickoff temp of 42 degrees. My Pick tonight: Pitt +points. Best of Luck Fellas.

[BMoreBird]

uconn is terrible. i just looked and its at 3.5... wasnt it pitt-1 yesterday?

[kobstopa]

I'm buying half a point and rolling with the favorite. Not because of how Pitt played Notre Dame last week. Pitt was outgained in that game by more than 200 yards and ND coughed up two red-zone turnovers. Pitt had no business being in that game.

Pitt is not a good team, just average. But they have some things working for them tonight:

-UCONN has ZERO rushing attack.
-UCONN's coach is a joke and should not be coaching at the Division 1 level.
-UCONN's QB Whitmer is a turnover machine, while Pitt's QB Susneri doesn't make mistakes and completes 69% of his passes.

Pittsburgh needs to win 2 of their last three games to become bowl eligible. They have Rutgers still (probably a loss) so they need to win tonight and against USF even though they are in an emotional letdown spot tonight. Oh well, man up and get your shit together Pittsburgh! Meanwhile, UCONN knows they are not bowling this year. (still has to play Louisville and Cinci).

I like Pitt's freshman RB Shell (#3 freshman running back in the nation). And I like that RB Graham has finally looked like his 2011 self these last two weeks. Look for them and Susneri to get this done tonight.

Pasquoloni is 2-5 ATS this year and was 4-8 ATS last year. I look for him to be fired at the end of the year. UCONN can do better. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS overall.

Predicted score:
Pitt 24
UCONN 20

PITT -3

wooho. Megatron
l am down with you too, I had Pittsburgh -3.5
parlay 4 unit on Pitt -3.5 x zalgiris +5.5. To win 14 unit
zalgiris have just won.

[Bbfromgpt]

uconn is terrible. i just looked and its at 3.5... wasnt it pitt-1 yesterday?

No! Opened at 3.5 and hasn't moved, even with 90% on pitt

[Surebet]

No! Opened at 3.5 and hasn't moved, even with 90% on pitt

Wynn Vegas opened at -4.5 Pitt;

[Ron29301]

Lets get it Machine.

[DennisT]

So Be It, Pitt -3 is the play, Luck to all!

[Aaron Stasko]

lets hear some predicted scores on game...

[BennyFang]

Pitt 17
UConn 9

[Aaron Stasko]

pitt 20
uconn 17

[kobstopa]

23-13 Pittsburgh

[WinningIsKeY]

28-7 pittsburgh

[BlitzTheBooks]

24-20 Pitt

[Bbfromgpt]

17-16 Uconn

[Pivotpoint]

Well Machine, went against you last night. Same side tonight.

I bet Pitt earlier and just logged into SBR.

Live in Ct and UCONN offense is horrible.

I'll contribute some brief stats from my earlier work that helped me make my decision.

Huskies 14 ppg last 8 . Shocking 8 ppg last 4

Huskies 49 rushing yards per game last 4.

Huskie QB Whitmer is horrible. 7 int 's vs 13 td.

Home team usually wins these, but I'm on the visitors tonight. Series host (9-2)

Sunseri lit those huskies up last year.

Last year Pitt - 10
Pitt won 35-20
Pitt 529 -316 yd edge, Sunseri 29 of 42 for 419 PYs.
Uconn has a good trend as a home dog. I see nothing else
that warrants backing them with $'s

Score guess.

Pitt 24 Uconn 13


gl

[kobstopa]

Pittsburge is already drawn dead. Oh well there go my 4 unit. on to next the bet.

[falconticket]

Good night to ya

[ColdBeerHere]

Op...i see you with different threads all over but do you have a daily thread somewhere ?

[Machine Choice]

I didn't get to watch the game but I just read about it. Looks like Pitt didn't give a shit until the fourth qtr and then it was too late. Hangover worse than I expected.Pitt just cost me almost $600

[Urbanwildlife]

You are absolutely correct Machine Choice. No worries, as I am sure you will be going to the pay window tomorrow many times!