Which way do you think the lines will move in these games?

bane · 11-06-12, 07:13 AM

Did you check Vegas Insider to see where the lines opened? Some have already inched up on ya.
Fresno was -2.5 -120, ND was -18.5. SJSU will likely trend upward. Public faves push the line or increase juice, generally. If the public loves Northwestern as a dog, that'll push the line down.... you know how it goes.
Wait on any teams that have key players as "questionable" on the injured list.

I'm still new at this & don't claim to understand line movement, but that's my 2 cents.

tto827 · 11-06-12, 11:53 AM

Didn't know about vegas insider, thanks for the help. I refuse to buy into the idea that how the line moves is relevant to the outcome of the game, I just want to get the best number possible.

nvrlose37 · 11-06-12, 11:56 AM

Where is la tech -19.5? Im hoping they inch up because Im liking Tex St.

tto827 · 11-06-12, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by nvrlose37

Where is la tech -19.5? Im hoping they inch up because Im liking Tex St.

dsi, but it seems they are -20 most places now

bane · 11-06-12, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by tto827

Didn't know about vegas insider, thanks for the help. I refuse to buy into the idea that how the line moves is relevant to the outcome of the game, I just want to get the best number possible.

Glad to help! Just noticed that when the public loves a side, that side becomes more expensive and/or the line creeps up. You can see a list of public faves at thespread to test the direct correlation.
While it's best not to read the tea leaves, don't ignore significant movement altogether. New information moves lines. Injuries, suspensions etc could very well affect the outcome of a game.

tto827 · 11-07-12, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by bane

Glad to help! Just noticed that when the public loves a side, that side becomes more expensive and/or the line creeps up. You can see a list of public faves at thespread to test the direct correlation.
While it's best not to read the tea leaves, don't ignore significant movement altogether. New information moves lines. Injuries, suspensions etc could very well affect the outcome of a game.

Thanks again. And yes, line movement is something to consider, but just cause its moving one way or the other does not make a certain side the correct pick, which some people here seem to believe. That's the only point I was trying to make.

bane · 11-07-12, 03:44 PM

Agreed. Some folks here are a little insane w/ the line movements & meaningless trends going back to 1999.

coitus_maximus · 11-07-12, 05:12 PM

Be careful of VegasInsider. Their player bets are not very accurate. Like the spread much better, but of course why would any casino really give out their bets.

tto827 · 11-08-12, 02:12 AM

Got sick of waiting locked these in a two days ago at...
NW +11 -110
Miami +1 -110
Kent st -6.5 -110
Tx AM +14.5 -130 (I know I shouldn't have bought the half, but gut feeling this ends at 14)
ND -19 -110
SJSU -22.5 -110
AZ -30.5 -110
Fresno -3 -115
Also had Ohio -2 -110 and ML
and Ball St ML and +6.5