How did the Noons fight end? I wasn't able to catch any of the fights, and am too bummed to watch it right now..
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Masvidal won by decision. Some periods outboxed noons, but most of the win can be credited to stalling, or control on the ground/up against the cage, and a cut in the first or second round. Not a dominant win, but a win.Comment -
Masvidal is a nasty up and coming kid
he destroyed noons
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UFC Live is set to air Sunday night where Nate Marquardt will battle Rick Story.
The steel city of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania will host the UFC Live Marquardt vs. Story Sunday Night, June 26th, as Dana White gives MMA fans what they deserve, a free UFC event for the fourth time on Versus.
The Main Event Originally was supposed to be between Nate Marquardt vs Anthony "Rumble'' Johnson, but Johnson got hurt and had to pull out of the fight. The UFC scrambled and now the Main Event features Nate Marquardt vs Rick "Horror" Story. Rick fought about a month ago when he beat Thiago Alves handily by unanimous decision in UFC 130. He came out of that fight untouched, so he was able to take this fight on a short notice.
A convincing win over a big name like Nate would catapult Story to a Title shot within the welterweight division. The other big fight of the night will be the co-main event between Cheick Kongo and Pat Barry, in what should be a striker slug fest. The other fighters on the main card who will be making their debut's at different weight classes are, Joe "Daddy" Stephenson (featherweight), who wants to break something on Javier Vazquez, and Tyson Griffin (featherweight) taking on Manvel Gambruyan.
Rick "The Horror" Story vs. Nate"The Great" Marquardt
The fighter: Nate Marquardt (31-10) (UFC 10-4)
Marquardt has been a top 5 fighter for years in the middleweight division, but with Anderson Silva sitting at the top of the division, he made a wise decision to drop down to welterweight. Nate is dropping down a weight class, but he barley had to cut any weight at 185 lb., so he might be better then most people are expecting with his body's adjustment to his new weight of 175 lb.
Many MMA critics are saying that Nate will be gassed after a few rounds of fighting Sunday night and that he may fade in the 2nd or 3rd round. He has had trouble with fighters who are aggressive and are great wrestlers such as Chael Sonnen, who took Nate to the mat at will.
Marquardt is the better striker (8 KO's) of the two fighters and has a great submission game off his back, accumulating 15 submissions over his career. He is also the taller of the two fighters with a 3 inch height advantage on Stor) and he has a 3 inch reach advantage over Rick's 71" reach. Nate has been only finished by a KO once in his career and that was done by Champion Anderson Silva in 2007.
Nate's fight stats:
Tale of the Tape: 6'1"; 170lb., 74 in. Reach, Stance, Orthodox, Age 32
The average fight length: 9:24 min.
Striking landed per min.: 2.73 Take downs avg./15 min.: 2,87
Striking accuracy: 52% Take down Accuracy: 73%
Strikes absorbed per Min.: 1.35 Take down Defense: 73%
Defense: 65% Submission Avg./15 min.: 1.38
The Fighter: Rick Story (13-3) (UFC 6-1)
Rick Story is riding a six fight win streak coming into this fight against Nate Marquardt, and he agreed to this fight only a week after beating Thiago Alves. During his six fight win streak in the UFC, he has won 4 fights by way of decision, one by KO, and one by submission. His only lose came to John Hathaway in his first fight in the UFC, by unanimous decision.
Story is the number Six welterweight in all of MMA and if he gets a impressive win over a big name like Marquardt, he could be next in line for a title shot vs GSP. The fighters ahead of Story in the rankings have either lost to GSP (Koscheck, Shields) already or are hurt right now (J. Finch ). If Rick wins by a decision in a lackluster way, he could have to fight one more fight before his title shot at GSP comes.
To all of you MMA fans who feel it is to soon for Story to be fighting again after the Alves win, you should know in the start of his MMA Career (Nov 6, 2007), he fought nine times in a ten month period (Sept 6, 2008) and went 7-2. Rick and his coach, Pat White, approached UFC matchmaker Joe Silva for a fight right away after his win over Alves. It si happened that Anthony Johnson had just pulled out of this fight and Rick took his spot.
He isn't worried about taking this fight on short notice, because he hasn't had time to get out of shape and has had enough time to install and work on a game plan. Story also plans to re-hydrate to between 187 to 190 pounds for the fight, so the size difference wont be that much of a issue.
Rick's fight stats:
Tale of the Tape: 5'10"; 170lb., 71 in. Reach, Stance, Southpaw, Age 26
Average fight length: 10:56 min.
Striking landed per min.: 3.54 Take downs avg./15 min.: 3.6
Striking accuracy: 40% Take down Accuracy: 49%
Strikes absorbed per Min.: 1.82 Take down Defense: 61%
Defense: 67% Submission Avg./15 min.: 1.54
The line: Rick Story -130, Nate Marquardt +100 is the line at most UFC betting shops, but be sure to check for the best price.
The pick: Rick Story (by decision) The weight cut and pressure that story will bring with 3.54 punches landed per minute along with his wrestling ability will be the difference in outpointing Nate for a decision win for Rick.
Cheick Kongo vs. Pat Barry
The fight will be a match-up between two former Kick Boxers with great striking games. Kongo, is known as one of the dirtiest fighters in all of MMA and Cheick, at -200 is the UFC odds favorite coming into the fight versus Pat +170.
Kongo is coming off a lower back injury that resulted in a year lay off from MMA and cage corrosion could be a issue come Sunday night. Kongo stand at 6'4 has a huge height advantage of 5 inches compared to Barry who stands at 5'11, Cheick's 82" reach gives him an advantage of 7.5 inches over Barry's 74.5".
Barry has insanely powerful leg kicks, that he has used alone before to win fights. Pat might not have to risk making up the 7.5 reach advantage of Congo Sunday night, as he could use his leg kicks to equal out the distance and stay outside.
One area that Cheick Kongo has a big advantage over Barry is in the clinch, where he can use his height (6'4) to create leverage. The leverage will help him to wear down the smaller Barry, by making him hold up his weight, while distributing his lethal and not always legal knees. The one place Barry doesn't want this fight to go is to the ground, considering he has a limited ground game and Kongo is capable somewhat on the mat . The fight should remain standing and it could go either way, but Chieck has more ways to beat Barry plus the height and reach advantage is to much of a advantage to ignore.
The fighter: Cheick Kongo (UFC 8-4-1) (MMA 15-6)
Cheick Kongo has the better overall game and as the stats show below, he has the height and reach advantage. He also lands more punches 3.74/min. at a higher accuracy 61% and he absorbs less punishment per round 1.41 per/min. by having a better reach then most of his opponents. Kongo has a existent ground game and takes his opponents down with a impressive 69% accuracy rate, he goes for take downs on average of 2.61% per fight, but he doesn't go for submissions much, as he has only 3 submission to his credit for his entire career.
Cheick's fight stats
Tale of the Tape: 6'4". 240lb., 82 in. Reach, Stance, Orthodox, Age 36
Average fight length: 9:02 min.
Striking landed per min.: 3.74 Take downs avg./15 min.: 2.61
Striking accuracy: 61% Take down Accuracy: 69%
Strikes absorbed per Min.: 1.41 Take down Defense: 48%
Defense: 53% Submission Avg./15 min.: 0.36
The Fighter: Pat Barry (UFC 3-2) (MMA 6-2)
Barry has leg kicks that could chop down a small tree and he will have to use them to keep his distance in this fight. His leg kicks should equal out Kongo's 7.5 inch reach advantage. The ground game of Barry's is basically none existent, but his take down defense is really good at 91%. Barry joined a new gym in Minnesota, where he is working with wrestlers to improve his ground game.
Pat Barry's fight stats
Tale of the Tape: 5'11". 232lb., 74.5 in. Reach, Stance, Switch, Age 31
Average fight length: 6.53 min.
Striking landed per min.: 2.64 Take downs avg./15 min.: 0
Striking accuracy: 45% Take down Accuracy: 0
Strikes absorbed per Min.: 3.05 Take down Defense: 91%
Defense: 65% Submission Avg./15 min.: 0
The Line: Cheick Kongo -230 Barry +170, and SBR's MMA Fourm is buzzing over the lines for this fight calling them "Too good to be true".
The Pick: not sure yet here guys like Barry a little more now since he has been training with wrestlers in the minny Gym. barry + money
Matt "The Immortal" Brown vs. John Howard
This fight between Matt Brown and John Howard is a battle for all the spoils, as the winner will get the right to stay in the UFC and the loser, his walking papers. Why the fight is a main card attraction is puzzling to many MMA fans, but the fact that the UFC careers of both fighters are on the line might be the reasoning Joe Silva put it in the spot light of National T.V.
Matt Brown enters the fight on a three fight losing streak and John Howard has lost two straight himself. Matt comes in with a serious height advantage at 6'0" compared to Howard who only stands 5'7" and he also could exploit a 4 inch reach advantage over Howard. The one thing John has over Matt is a great submission game and Brown has lost his last three fights by submission, plus he has eight loses by submission in his career.
Brown likes to stand and bang with his opponents and doesn't attempt many take downs at all in his fights, averaging only .9 per fight for his career. Brown better use his height and reach to his advantage come Sunday and float like a butterfly and sting like a bee or his UFC career is done.
The Line: Howard -210 // Brown +160
The Pick: Howard i like him a lot fight of the night written all over it
Matt Mitrione (4-0) vs Christian Morecraft (7-1)
The last fight on the main card is between two fighters who have a bright future in the heavyweight division. Matt is a former NFL player, who is still a bit green with his overall game but makes it up with determination, quickness, and his KO power. Morecraft is a beast of man who likes to take his opponents to the ground and take them out with his arsenal of submission skills.
Christian has never gone the distance in a fight, in fact before his last two fights with Stefan Struve and Sean McCorkle, none of his fights made it out of the first round. Mitrione wants no part of going to the ground just yet in his young MMA Career, as he would rather use his speed and slight reach advantage (82in) to pepper Morecraft (81in) with punches from a distance. The only way Morecraft wins if the fight goes to the ground and he submits Matt.
The Line: Matt Mitrione -220// Morecraft +200
The Pick: not sure yet i like Morecraft at +200 with a good ground game
Preliminary card:
Tyson Griffin (14-5) vs Manny Gamburyan (11-5)
Tyson is the latest fighter to drop down to the featherweight division after three straight loses. Two of his three straight loses came by close split decisions to Nick Lentz, (the most recent) and Evan Dunham, he also was KO'd by Takanori Gomi in the 1st round.
Manny returns to the UFC for the first time in two years after going 2-3 in his first stint, he then dropped down to featherweight and moved to the WEC where he went 3-0 before losing his last fight for the WEC Title to Champion Jose Aldo.
Tyson was a featherweight early in his career, he fought Urijah Faber (Urijah headlines UFC 132) in his third fight handing Faber his only loss in a 3 year period and first of his young career. He might benefit the most from the drop in weight class, as he was a small wrestler for the lightweight division, plus he would have a easier time of things with his style versus smaller competitors. Tyson has, "Five Fights Of The Night" under his belt while fighting in the UFC.
Manny is a tough competitor who has some notable wins in his last 3 fights, as he KO'd former UFC Champ Mike Brown (before Aldo) in the 1st round, plus he beat Leonard Garcia by unanimous decision the fight before Brown. The fight will have two guys who are hungry to get back on the road to a title shot and Tyson Griffin is desperate for a win after three straight loses with his UFC career on the line.
The Pick: Tyson Griffin in a close fight
Joe Lauzon (19-6) vs. Curt Warburton (7-2)
Joe Lauzon will take on England's Curt Warburton this Sunday night in Pittsburgh. Lauzon is coming off a loss to George Sotiropoulos (who fights Guillard in UFC 132), who's grappling skills dominated Joe. Curt is a wrestler with a good stand up game, he won his last fight vs Maciej Jewtuszko by out grappling the striker (1-1 UFC).
The Englishman has the strength advantage in this fight over Joe, but Joe is the better striker and has great Jiu-Jitsu, he will be looking to take the fight to the ground and submit Curt. Warburton will want to use his wrestling and strength to impose his will and gain control of Joe and bring him to the mat. The fighters will both want to take it to the ground, where Joe and his submission skills have the advantage.
Pick: Joe Lauzon most likely a submission
Daniel Roberts (12-2) vs. Rich Attonito (9-4)
Daniel Roberts was riding a three fight win streak before his last fight vs Claude Patrick at UFC 129, who beat a sick Roberts by decision. Rich is a wrestler who had a great college career at Hofstra, but doesn't seem to use it to his advantage as much as he should. He has fought as both a light heavyweight and Middleweight before dropping down to welterweight for his debut on Sunday vs Roberts. Roberts is a product of Cesar Gracie's camp where he trains in jiu-jitsu and he has worked on his stand up game with boxers like Allen Green (WBA Title challenger) and the Diaz brothers. The fight will end up on the ground where Robert's submission game will prevail.
The pick: Daniel Roberts this could go either way rich is the bigger man and his wrestling could be a factor
Joe Stevenson (31-13) vs. Javier Vazquez (15-5)
Joe Stevenson has lost three straight and is hanging onto his career by a thread. Since his loss to former Champion B.J. Penn three 1/2 years ago, Joe only has a record of 3-5. He was always small in size for the lightweight division, so the change to the featherweight division should even the odds. Joe is normally one of the nicest guys in MMA, but Javier let people Photo shop unflattering pictures of Joe on the Internet. This stunt by Vazquez pissed off Joe so bad, that he wants to hurt Vazquez and break something of his, if possible (arm, leg, ect.) Sunday night.
Stevenson is the dominate wrestler of the two fighters and their stand up games are about even statistically. Javier is no chump and is pissed off that heading into this fight, his old teammates are helping Joe train for the fight instead of him. Fighters who have fought for 11 years like Joe and have 44 fights under their belt usually start to run out of gas and are near the end of their careers.
Joe has been through some wars over the years, but he believes he still has some gas left in his tank, plus now that Javier made it personal and reignited is inner animal, I believe he at least wins this fight and saves his UFC career.
Joe has fought some of the best in the world. His experience and need for a win Sunday night will propel him to do just that.
The pick: Joe by breaking something on Javier or by Dec. i do like Joe for one last win
Michael Johnson (8-5) vs. Edward Faaloloto (2-1)
Johnson will dominate this fight with his ground game and he has KO power if the fight stays standing. Ed's lack of defense standing is evident, as the stat of absorbing 6.16 punches per minute shows he is a punching bag.
ED is a sacrificial seal in great white shark invested waters of the UFC and will be consumed this Sunday night.
The pick: Johnson by decision or KO. bury it no doubt here
Matt Grice (13-3 MMA, UFC 1-3) vs Ricardo Lamas ( MMA 9-2 )
The two fighters will both be making their debuts in featherweight division. Lamas was 4-2 in the WEC with wins over Bart Palaszewski and Dave Jensen and he will be making his UFC debut Sunday night. Grice lost three times in his first stint in the UFC, two of them came by guillotine chokes. He is a former Oklahoma, 4-time high school champion and a 3 time outstanding wrestler award winner, a feat which has never been duplicated. He was the highest recruited wrestler for his weight class in the whole nation, but a auto accident cut his college career short at Oklahoma State.
Grice has rattled off four straight wins since leaving the UFC and he knows this might be his last opportunity to show the UFC what he can do. Lamas has a good submission game and will look to capitalize on a Guillotine choke, a move that has led to Grice's demise in the past. I like Grice in this fight to win, his wrestling should make a difference . He is a wrestler, who has learned his lesson on how to protect his neck from chokes.
The Pick: Matt Grice wrestling i like his credentials
Nick Lentz (23-3-2) vs Charles Oliveira (14-1)
Charles is one of the rising stars in the UFC and won his first two fights before running into Jim Miller in his last fight, who made him tap out due to a Knee lock. Nick Lentz is a wrestler who has won five of his six fights (one a draw) in the UFC, all by decisions over fighters like Tyson Griffin and Andre Winner. Charles has the better stand up and submission game, but as we all know wrestling is king in MMA and that is where Nick has the edge over Charles. Charles will get a win by a close decision in Sunday nights fight.
The Pick: not sure yet mostly like charles but i like lentz 2Last edited by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN; 06-24-11, 05:12 PM.Comment -
strike force tonight let rip the fights apart and make some loot
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Nice writeup. So you're going with all favorites except for Grice? You don't see any other upsets? I can see about half of those fights going the other way. Should make for a pretty entertaining event.Comment -
Charles will win a close decision.....then your pick is charles by submission?
Gsot is fighting guillard??
Johnson all day long? Good enough for parlays?
Stevenson tapping vazquez???Comment -
Matt Grice has the better stand-up? What brought you to that conclusion?Comment -
[B]rough draft boy changed a few things
a few i'm thinking go the other way will post changes tomorrow in the amLast edited by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN; 06-24-11, 04:24 PM.Comment -
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my record is good guys
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Never seen anyone bet by the stats like that. Im curious to see how it works out. I tend to think its not a good idea, but I could be wrong and often am.Comment -
not the reason i bet grice but it he is a nasty wrestler but i figured he can hang on his feet and if it goes to the mat he has it with his wrestling 4 time oak champComment -
hey i'm mad dyslexic and not a great writer but my record is good so let's figure it out together and make some loot
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Strike force tonight let's break the shit down you guys up for it?Comment -
Strikeforce picks still to come, and already so much talk in the thread.
Lets keep it positive and get that chit fellas.Comment -
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You're kinda starting to scare me.
gl with your plays, though.
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"www.fdghfhfhlhhfjghh" what do you like for strike force guys?Comment -
"www.fdghfhfhlhhfjghh"Comment -
There's a reason the stats you are using to bet should be taken with a dump truck full of salt...significant strikes per minute doesnt take into account at all where the strikes are taking place. Are they in the standup? the clinch? the ground? Grice has a higher strikes per minute rate because he is a wrestler. His strikes are landed from top position. When you are on top of a guy for a minute, its much easier to land a significant volume of strikes than if they are in the standup. Those stats tell you very little about the striking aspect. For example...who do you think is the better striker? Anderson Silva or Chael Sonnen. Well lets use the stats:
Anderson Silva
Slpm 3.14
Sapm 1.32
Chael Sonnen
slpm 3.31
sapm 0.83
So by the looks of things Chael is better in both categories so he must be the better striker...well no. Chael is mainly a wrestler. He is in top position most of the time and therefore lands more strikes. As well he takes little damage because its very hard to generate "significant" strikes from the bottom.
Whenever you are using stats, its very important to understand what the represent. MMA is nothing like say baseball. There is a very small sample size of data and the categories offered are VERY generalized and really dont tell you much in terms of a fighters ability. From what Fightmetric provides, I would be very hesitant to use the striking stats. The TD stats are much more applicable IMO...
GL with your bets!Comment -
hey guys i like fodor tonight what do you guys think ?
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i agree stats dont mean much well put i only refer to them for grappling mostly and it depends on how many fights it's for ect.Last edited by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN; 06-24-11, 05:52 PM.Comment -
fodor impressed me a lot last time out when he destroyed douglas !Comment -
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Matt, your MMA pick record is great and should speak for itself. I don't know about Fodor I saw a writer at sherdog pick Terry by decision. What do you think of Couture/Ricehouse, Larkin/Villante & Terry/Fodor all completing 2 rounds?Comment -
terry -140 favorite right nowComment -
checking it out buddy i like larkin to win but randy's kid not sure about let me look a little more for youComment -
the larkin fight i think end quick or i think larkin ko's villante by the 2nd round
terry vs fodor goes dec not sure yet still lookingComment -
i like larkin tonight but the money is coming in on villante ???? still like larkin
Villante has a 2inch height 6'2 to 6'0 advantage and a reach adv.2.5 ,75 to 72Last edited by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN; 06-24-11, 06:02 PM.Comment -
Main Card: Live on Showtime at 11 pm ET/PT
Caros Fodor (155.5) vs. James Terry (156)
Ryan couture (155.5) vs. Matt Ricehouse (155.5)
Lorenz Larkin (205.5) vs. Gian Villante (205.5)
Jason High (171) vs. Quinn Mulhern (169)
Germaine de Randamie (145) vs. Julia Budd (145.5)Comment
