UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 (April 08, 2017)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Picks:
Magomed Bibulatov Round 2 Submission (Armbar)
Katlyn Chookagian Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Josh Emmett Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Gregor Gillespie Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Patrick Cummins Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Shane Burgos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Myles Jury Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Charles Oliveira Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Patrick Cote Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Cynthia Calvillo Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Gegard Mousasi Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Daniel Cormier Round 4 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500) 92.5 Points
Shane Burgos ($8,900) 71 Points
Gregor Gillespie ($8,600) 107 Points
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300) 94.5 Points
Thiago Alves ($7,700) 103.5 Points
Sean Strickland ($7,000) 13.5 Points

Risk: 1u
Total Points: 504.5 Points
Result: Cashed, +1u

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500) 92.5 Points
Shane Burgos ($8,900) 93.5 Points
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300) 94.5 Points
Anthony Johnson ($8,100) 16 Points
Patrick Cummins ($8,000) 84.5 Points
Charles Oliveira ($7,200) 104.5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 485.5 Points
Result: Cashed, +.4u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Bibulatov (DEBUT) vs. Lausa
Bibulatov Submission (+585) -.5u

Result: Magomed Bibulatov Unanimous Decision (29-26 x3)
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.5u

Fight #2: Chookagian vs. Aldana
Chookagian KO/TKO (+770) -.5u
Chookagian Round 3 (+1825) -.5u

Hedge:
Aldana ITD (+525) -1u

Result: Katlyn Chookagian Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -2u
Card: -2.5u

Fight #3: Emmett vs. Green (DEBUT)
Green Decision (+350) +1.75u

Result: Desmond Green Split Decision (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
Fight: +1.75u
Card: -.75u

Fight #4: Gillespie vs. Holbrook
Gillespie -3.5 (+170) +3.4u
Gillespie ITD (+501) +2.505u

Hedge(s):
Holbrook Submission (+470) -1u
Holbrook Decision (+815) -.5u

Result: Gregor Gillespie Round 1 KO (Punches)
Fight: +4.405u
Card: +3.655u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #5: Cummins vs. Blachowicz
Cummins KO/TKO (+820) -.25u
Cummins Round 3 (+2450) -.25u

Hedge:
Blachowicz Round 1 (+433) -.5u

Result: Patrick Cummins Majority Decision (29-28 x2, 28-28)
Fight: -1u
Card: +2.655u

Fight #6: Rosa vs. Burgos
Burgos -3.5 (-115) +1u
Burgos ITD (+171) +1.71u
Burgos Round 1 (+400) -.5u

Result: Shane Burgos Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +2.21u
Card: +4.865u

Fight #7: Usman vs. Strickland
Usman -3.5 (+120) +1.2u

Hedge:
Strickland Decision (+615) -.5u

Added:
Usman -3.5 (+105) +1.05u

Result: Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (30-26 x2, 30-27)
Fight: +1.75u
Card: +6.615u

Fight #8: Jury vs. De La Torre
Jury ITD (+100) +1u
Jury+De La Torre Under 1.5 (+160) +3.2u

Result: Myles Jury Round 1 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Fight: +4.2u
Card: +10.815u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Brooks vs. Oliveira
Oliveira (+250) +2.5u
Oliveira ITD (+380) +3.8u
Oliveira Submission (+475) +2.375u

Hedge(s):
Brooks ITD (+254) -1u
Brooks Round 3 (+1100) -.25u

Result: Charles Oliveira Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +7.425u
Card: +18.24u

Fight #10: Alves vs. Cote
Alves+Cote Under 2.5 (+165) -1u
Cote KO/TKO (+504) -.25u

Result: Thiago Alves Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -1.25u
Card: +16.99u

Fight #11: Calvillo vs. Gonzalez (DEBUT)
Calvillo ITD (+206) +1.03u
Calvillo Submission (+350) +3.5u

Hedge:
Gonzalez ITD (+560) -.25u

Result: Cynthia Calvillo Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +4.28u
Card: +21.27u

Fight #12: Mousasi vs. Weidman
Mousasi (-115) +2u
Mousasi KO/TKO (+465) +4.65u

Hedge:
Weidman Decision (+200) -1u

Added:
Mousasi Decision (+225) -.5u

Result: Gegard Mousasi Round 2 TKO (Knees)
Fight: +5.15u
Card: +26.42u

Fight #13: Cormier (C) vs. Johnson
Cormier (-120) +5u
Cormier Submission (+250) +2.5u
Cormier Decision (+700) -.5u
Cormier Unanimous Decision (+950) -.5u
Cormier Round 5 (+2000) -.1u
Cormier/Johnson Draw (+7000) -.2u

Hedge(s):
Johnson Round 1 (+300) -3.5u
Johnson Decision (+950) -.5u

Added Hedges:
Johnson ITD (+107) -2.5u
Johnson Decision (+805) -.5u

Result: Daniel Cormier Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: -.8u
Card: +25.62u

Straight Parlays:
Gillespie/Usman+Strickland Over 2.5 (+115) +1.15u
Gillespie/Usman (+133) +1.33u
Emmett/Gillespie (+145) -1u

Results: Gillespie, Usman, Usman+Strickland O2.5 Win, Emmett Loses
Fights: +1.48u
Card: +27.1u

Prop Parlays:
Bibulatov -3.5/Usman+Strickland Over 2.5 (+117) +2.34u
Bibulatov ITD/Chookagian/Emmett Decision (+801) -.25u
Gillespie -3.5/Cummins/Burgos -3.5 (+896) +2.24u
Calvillo ITD/Mousasi/Cormier (+990) +2.475u
Usman -3.5/Jury -3.5/Oliveira/Cote+Alves WGD (+1902) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +6.555u
Card: +33.655u

Full Card Props:
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+265) -1.5u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+685) -.75u
Over 10.5 Fights Go Distance (+2278) -.1u

Results: 6 Decisions
Fights: -2.35u
Card: +31.305u

Live-Betting:
Cummins+Blachowicz Goes Distance (+130) +.65u
Cormier (+145) +1.45u

Results: Cummins+Blachowicz Goes Distance, Cormier Both Win
Fights: +2.1u
Final Card Total = +33.405u

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

that Weidman loss is gonna piss me off all week now

[firekillex]

saved my night to barely go even by doubling up on cormier after that weidman loss
thiago alves came back looking like a new guy or he somehow went back in the past 5 years

i could debate that mousasi/weidman fight all night i think the call was garbage , mousasi hurt him but it looked like weidman wanted to milk clock thinking he had 5 minutes, the new rules and judge calling it wrong was just a messy situation , it wouldve been better to let him fight after and get a clear decision who was going to win...
respect to mousasi for not celebrating or anything, guys a legit fighter but weidman is a terrible matchup for him everytime , mousasi isnt good against wrestlers , Jacare, Yoel, Weidman and Rockhold all beat him imo, but he can beat Bisping

mousasi vs whitaker would be a sweet style fight but theyll most likely run back him vs weidman



side note UFC is still steadily going downhill imo, cards are getting less stacked and less exciting slowly but surely and 205 is the worst division ive ever seen rank 4-10 is pretty laughable
hoping some new starts / contenders come soon

[firekillex]

that Weidman loss is gonna piss me off all week now

right there with ya buddy

[Hugo de Naranja]

One of my biggest nights ever with over 33 units profit. Tape watching paid off this time. On to the next boys

[Hugo de Naranja]

@Fire. Hoping we get a rematch to settle that score. Agree that Jacare beats him again and Rockhold probably does too. I think Mousasi is a terrible matchup for Romero though.

[Sykes]

What you think that is buddy how was it done? I dont get this, its new to me. He like holding onto a wire or something? (guy on the left has a strong hand if hes doing that)

[firekillex]

@Fire. Hoping we get a rematch to settle that score. Agree that Jacare beats him again and Rockhold probably does too. I think Mousasi is a terrible matchup for Romero though.

3 rounds i like yoel , 5 rounds id lean mousasi by piecing him up on the feet
i think in that fight yoel would use a lot more of his wrestling like when he fought machida


hopefully rockhold comes back soon healthy still think hes the best 185er on the planet with jacare being close with him

congrats on tonight btw, glad somebody had a good card

starting to cool off now was really pissed after that weidman fight lolll, wrecklessly doubled up on cormier i coulda got buried if that didnt hit, when that head kick landed my heart stopped

[the1yankee]

Dont wanna get yur head any bigger than it is, lol. No, but on the serious tip. You are a falcon machine hugo!!

[firekillex]

What you think that is buddy how was it done? I dont get this, its new to me. He like holding onto a wire or something? (guy on the left has a strong hand if hes doing that)

cormier is putting slight weight on the towel, you see how the towel is stretching down, hes leaning his hands on the towel to take some weight off ... luckily hitting exactly the target weight its a vet wrestling tactic

[Hugo de Naranja]

Dont wanna get yur head any bigger than it is, lol. No, but on the serious tip. You are a falcon machine hugo!!

Everything broke in my favor tonight. We all have our good nights and our bad but this one was great. It's always nice to celebrate a win!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ranked #1 in the world for March-April and #15 overall in UFC Pick 'Em. I hope to keep that going on the next few events.

[firekillex]

next card solid obviously DJ wins
waterson vs rose is a wicked wicked fight
then whitaker vs jacare will be great as well ( jacare by sub )

[Hugo de Naranja]

next card solid obviously DJ wins
waterson vs rose is a wicked wicked fight
then whitaker vs jacare will be great as well ( jacare by sub )

DJ by KO/TKO on chinny Reis. Whittaker is a bad matchup for Jacare. Not sure how I feel about that one yet

[firekillex]

probably take DJ by tko/ko as well on the ground guy Reis
whittaker is a great striker but i think Jacare will get him down and work his magic to get his title shot
hopefully 185 mess can be solved soon

[Hugo de Naranja]

probably take DJ by tko/ko as well on the ground guy Reis
whittaker is a great striker but i think Jacare will get him down and work his magic to get his title shot
hopefully 185 mess can be solved soon

A lot of good fights to be made. Whittaker very good TDD with excellent counterpunching. Maybe live bet Whittaker if he survives R1?

[Shagdogy]

Burgos 3u, -220
Gillespie 2.5u, -240

That's it so far.

Added Gillespie/Burgos parlay to this - 1.5u to win 1.46u.

Card Total: 3-0, +3.86u

2017 YTD: 33-17, +19.42u

[Shagdogy]

One of my biggest nights ever with over 33 units profit. Tape watching paid off this time. On to the next boys

Silly night, Hugo. Isn't it the best when all that time watching tape doesn't end up wasted? Good work.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Silly night, Hugo. Isn't it the best when all that time watching tape doesn't end up wasted? Good work.

Yup definitely. I've had my fair share of stinkers but a big profit is always nice. Funny thing is that I risked less on this card than usual and hit some big props and parlays.

[JIBBBY]

One of my biggest nights ever

That's frigg'n AWESOME!!

Hugo if anyone deserves a big win on this forum I think it's you bud!!

You always share your picks, you're always happy for others when they win, you share your thoughts on fights.. Most of all you are extremely kind to others with your posts... I think you're a stand up guy Hugo, keep it up!!!

Good karma also gets lady luck on your side, I believe that.. Do good to others and good will come to you..

[JIBBBY]

Card Total: 3-0, +3.86u

2017 YTD: 33-17, +19.42u

Solid numbers Shag.. Keep it up...

[JIBBBY]

Looks like Rumble is retiring to pursue missionary work or something like that, I would guess.

Seemed like he didn't care if he won or lost the fight lol.

I'm sure the gameplan wasn't to wrestle DC.

If you watched the UFC tonight show Rumble looked really happy hanging out Nascar as I think he owns a racing team and car.. Rumble has cash and other interests. He's driving a new Bentley anyways...

Hard to tell where he was at mentally? Was a really a crazy game play.. Rumble should have swung for the fences but he didn't and tried to take DC down in this rematch....

Although when you really think about it, swinging for fences strategy didn't work in their first fight so maybe Rumble was trying to change things up? Give a different look so to speak, try to put DC on his back like Jon Jones did or something?... Who knows?

Rumble Johnson realized he can't beat the champ tonight is the bottom line and I don't blame him for retiring.. What's the goal at this point, to be second best? Rich Franklin can write a book on that when he was losing to Anderson Silva fight after fight...

Kinda like DC not being able to beat Jon Jones in a sense....

[brooks85]

thats penetrating crazy anthony is retiring. That is the worst too, backing a fighter when you have no idea retirement is on their mind. Johnson fought like an idiot which didn't bother me since I wanted DC to win. Though I'd much rather see johnson vs jones.

He said his move is "just business" and hopes the " world will still accept me" so it has to be WWE or movies. Something in the spotlight. He doesn't seem to have the personality for wwe.

[Sato]

NY commission really screwed up. Rumbles gameplan was retirement all along it seems. THat would have been great great to know

[GunShard]

One of my biggest nights ever with over 33 units profit. Tape watching paid off this time. On to the next boys

Nice win. As I mentioned on this forum before, I would recommend betting smaller after a big win.
After a big win, you will eventually run into a losing streak. This happens to all bettors.

[PaperTrail07]

nice work....too many dumb bets for me on the prelims parlays/props ect....moose and DC for the bailout

[Hugo de Naranja]

That's frigg'n AWESOME!!

Hugo if anyone deserves a big win on this forum I think it's you bud!!

You always share your picks, you're always happy for others when they win, you share your thoughts on fights.. Most of all you are extremely kind to others with your posts... I think you're a stand up guy Hugo, keep it up!!!

Good karma also gets lady luck on your side, I believe that.. Do good to others and good will come to you..

Thank you so much Jibs. That means a lot, especially coming from you!

[Hugo de Naranja]

If you watched the UFC tonight show Rumble looked really happy hanging out Nascar as I think he owns a racing team and car.. Rumble has cash and other interests. He's driving a new Bentley anyways...

Hard to tell where he was at mentally? Was a really a crazy game play.. Rumble should have swung for the fences but he didn't and tried to take DC down in this rematch....

Although when you really think about it, swinging for fences strategy didn't work in their first fight so maybe Rumble was trying to change things up? Give a different look so to speak, try to put DC on his back like Jon Jones did or something?... Who knows?

Rumble Johnson realized he can't beat the champ tonight is the bottom line and I don't blame him for retiring.. What's the goal at this point, to be second best? Rich Franklin can write a book on that when he was losing to Anderson Silva fight after fight...

Kinda like DC not being able to beat Jon Jones in a sense....

Do you think DC beats Jones in a rematch?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice win. As I mentioned on this forum before, I would recommend betting smaller after a big win.
After a big win, you will eventually run into a losing streak. This happens to all bettors.

Good advice. I'll keep that in mind.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Another trend that last night showed is that incumbent champs that are underdogs win frequently.

[JIBBBY]

Do you think DC beats Jones in a rematch?

No I don't think DC has the tools to ever beat Jon Jones... It's just a bad match up for DC IMO.. If they ever fight again I will bet the house on JJ to win.

[Hugo de Naranja]

No I don't think DC has the tools to ever beat Jon Jones... It's just a bad match up for DC IMO.. If they ever fight again I will bet the house on JJ to win.

I feel the same way. JJ > DC > Everyone Else at LHW (at least for now). Think Jones wins another wide UD or even gets a sub.

[Pinoy-T-X]

Jury/Usman parlay for me.
GL guys

Almost played Rumble, glad I didn't.