UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem (September 10, 2016)

[PaperTrail07]

Stipe is over hyped IMO>....it being in Cleveland also means a fuckload of nerves....here are the bets boys

1. 9/10/2016 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Alistair Overeem* +105 vs Stipe Miocic
2. 9/10/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1102 Fabricio Werdum* -220 vs Travis Browne
3. 9/10/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1502 Jessica Eye* -150 vs Bethe Correia
4. 9/10/2016 8:30 PM UFC Fighting 1702 Brad Tavares* -210 vs Caio Magalhaes
5. 9/10/2016 8:00 PM UFC Fighting 1802 Yancy Madeiros* -120 vs Sean Spencer

Didn't you say yourself that home field advantage doesn't matter in the higher weight divisions like when Gus fought Rumble in Sweden.

[PaperTrail07]

100% agree....its gets to 2:1 I am auto clicking Faber...

Faber up to (+160) damn that's surprising

[Hugo de Naranja]

Stipe is over hyped IMO>....it being in Cleveland also means a fuckload of nerves....here are the bets boys

1. 9/10/2016 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Alistair Overeem* +105 vs Stipe Miocic
2. 9/10/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1102 Fabricio Werdum* -220 vs Travis Browne
3. 9/10/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1502 Jessica Eye* -150 vs Bethe Correia
4. 9/10/2016 8:30 PM UFC Fighting 1702 Brad Tavares* -210 vs Caio Magalhaes
5. 9/10/2016 8:00 PM UFC Fighting 1802 Yancy Madeiros* -120 vs Sean Spencer

I like both HW picks a lot. Do you know if Yancy is still training with the Diaz bros at Cesar Gracie?

[Hugo de Naranja]

100% agree....its gets to 2:1 I am auto clicking Faber...

Strange not to see casual action on Faber against a guy not too many people know about. Was guessing the line would close something like (-180) Faber but it doesn't look like that now.

[PaperTrail07]

? Alvarez is the exact opposite of a glass chin lol...and Bis "glass chin" was hit with a penetrating truck LOL.....far from glass....reem for a heavyweight -have to agree lol..

Bisping, alvarez and maybe now overeem, UFC - where the glass chins reign

[Thrilla]

[PaperTrail07]

100% with his name and the line is still shooting the other way---Wowza-----

Strange not to see casual action on Faber against a guy not too many people know about. Was guessing the line would close something like (-180) Faber but it doesn't look like that now.

[PaperTrail07]

Honestly the only reason I went with him over Spencer is that Spencer does not dictate how the fight goes down....pretty much a counter guy with a strick or 2 tossed in....they really have not scored the counter guys well even if they are "winning"..control and center are about equal it seems....this also seems very very likely to go to decision...I am pretty sure he is but not 100%

I like both HW picks a lot. Do you know if Yancy is still training with the Diaz bros at Cesar Gracie?

[PaperTrail07]

Personally going to avoid-but it seems the "sharps" (podcasts ect) are all over Dober....while he may win the line seems off to me....the frame of Gonzales might make for a slow start and allow him to steal round 1....just think -180 is a tad too much....dober will need to wrestle to win this....over could be a play here...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Personally going to avoid-but it seems the "sharps" (podcasts ect) are all over Dober....while he may win the line seems off to me....the frame of Gonzales might make for a slow start and allow him to steal round 1....just think -180 is a tad too much....dober will need to wrestle to win this....over could be a play here...

I think Gonzalez will spend a lot of time on his back but still be live to finish Dober. I'm playing it Gonzalez straight + Scorecards = NA, hedged with Dober Decision. Over seems good

[PaperTrail07]

You would think so....lot depends on the 1st round aggression of Gonzales...strong round 1 might keep him off his back round 2-3...interesting fight...

I think Gonzalez will spend a lot of time on his back but still be live to finish Dober. I'm playing it Gonzalez straight + Scorecards = NA, hedged with Dober Decision. Over seems good

[JIBBBY]

Faber up to (+160) damn that's surprising

Yep I hit Faber at +155 on 5dimes.. That line really moved..

[UncleChael]

I bet Carlos, I bet Arlovski, I bet Diaz. I'm betting Stipe.

[bjpenn85]

? Alvarez is the exact opposite of a glass chin lol...and Bis "glass chin" was hit with a penetrating truck LOL.....far from glass....reem for a heavyweight -have to agree lol..

how often have these guys not been rocked? Common, please join me.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Locked and loaded

[Thrilla]

[getlucky2win]

Miocic rivera gall. Large

[Sykes]

I like the Reem. Hes the real deal. He could get knocked the fuk out KO'D don't think its happening tonight. IMO.

[Sykes]

Miocic rivera gall. Large

Seriously wouldnt do that. Go just a bet.

[Sykes]

Thats like 3 dices with 2 outcomes on each.

[JIBBBY]

Locked and loaded

Locked and loaded. Had to watch weigh ins and didn't see much.. I'm hedging alot on this card.. Prop + odds were workable for hedge play with this event..



Ready to go!!

Playing this event slightly conservative but looking to win money!!

[Thrilla]

Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum 2011.06.18
<iframe frameborder="0" width="560" height="315" src="//www.dailymotion.com/embed/video/xjepmq" allowfullscreen></iframe><br /><a href="http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xjepmq_alistair-overeem-vs-fabricio-werdum-2_sport" target="_blank">

[UncleChael]

I lied, stick with your guns that got you to the show. Alistair the Reem Overeem ITD +162 #AndNew
Post #20

Overeem is going to fight for the belt and he's going to take it. You heard it here first. I only post here.

Reem will be champ by the end of 2016 or I won't post for 24 hours.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/more-sports/how-to-bet-ufc-203-as-heavyweights-overeem-miocic-collide-/74575

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/3254313-ufc-fight-night-overeem-vs-arlovski-may-08-2016-a.html
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/8DTFimqKYJw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

[Hugo de Naranja]

I lied, stick with your guns that got you to the show. Alistair the Reem Overeem ITD +162 #AndNew
Post #20

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/more-sports/how-to-bet-ufc-203-as-heavyweights-overeem-miocic-collide-/74575
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/3254313-ufc-fight-night-overeem-vs-arlovski-may-08-2016-a.html
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/8DTFimqKYJw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Every time haha.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Locked and loaded. Had to watch weigh ins and didn't see much.. I'm hedging alot on this card.. Prop + odds were workable for hedge play with this event..



Ready to go!!

Playing this event slightly conservative but looking to win money!!

Who ya got?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Barroso vs. Dollaway Cancelled. Goddamn

[Thrilla]

[JIBBBY]

Barroso vs. Dollaway Cancelled. Goddamn

Was on CB Dollaway but wasn't really that confident.. No biggie...

[JIBBBY]

First fight...



Drew
Dober
vs
Jason
Gonzalez
"Nicoyas"

USA
Country
UNITED STATES

16-7-0, 1NC
Record
10-2-0

38%
KO/TKO
40%

31%
SUB
60%

31%
DEC
0%



Gonzales has some good length on Dober but Dober should be able to wrestle and ground his way to victory are my thoughts.. Out side chance Gonzales could get a sub win with those long limbs of his.. He wins most of his fights by way of sub also..

So I played it Dober by decision +130 and hedged with Gonzales by sub +555...

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Stipe is over hyped IMO>....it being in Cleveland also means a fuckload of nerves....here are the bets boys

1. 9/10/2016 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Alistair Overeem* +105 vs Stipe Miocic
2. 9/10/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1102 Fabricio Werdum* -220 vs Travis Browne
3. 9/10/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1502 Jessica Eye* -150 vs Bethe Correia
4. 9/10/2016 8:30 PM UFC Fighting 1702 Brad Tavares* -210 vs Caio Magalhaes
5. 9/10/2016 8:00 PM UFC Fighting 1802 Yancy Madeiros* -120 vs Sean Spencer

on every one of these as well

100% agree....its gets to 2:1 I am auto clicking Faber...

I took Faber by decision +300 at bookmaker...that is the only way he wins other than a guillotine.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Was on CB Dollaway but wasn't really that confident.. No biggie...

Any idea how it will affect overs on decisions? Are those props still live or are they cancelled?

[JIBBBY]

Any idea how it will affect overs on decisions? Are those props still live or are they cancelled?

If the fights are cancelled ALL bets are refunded.. Props, O/U's and straights Hugo.. You should know this..

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 203 Plays:

Fight #1: Medeiros vs. Spencer:
Medeiros (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Medeiros Round 2 (+675) .5u
Medeiros Submission (+865) .75u
Medeiros Round 3 (+1025) .5u

Fight #2: Dober vs. Gonzalez (DEBUT):
Gonzalez Scorecards = No Action (-107) 1.07u to win 1u
Gonzalez (+150) 1u
Gonzalez Decision (+430) .25u

Hedge:
Dober Decision (+155) .75u

Fight #3: Lentz vs. McBride (DEBUT):
Lentz Decision (-120) 1.2u to win 1u
Lentz Decision (+102) .5u
Lentz Round 3 (+925) .5u

Hedge(s):
McBride Scorecards = No Action (+315) .5u
McBride Submission (+1015) .5u
McBride Submission (+1225) .25u

Fight #4: Tavares vs. Magalhaes:
Magalhaes Scorecards = No Action (+125) 2.5u
Magalhaes (+160) 2u
Magalhaes KO/TKO (+540) 1u
Magalhaes Round 1 (+575) .25u

Hedge:
Tavares Decision (+155) 1u

Fight #5: Eye vs. Correia:
Correia Decision (+195) 1u
Correia Decision (+217) .5u

Fight #6: Andrade vs. Calderwood:
Calderwood Scorecards = No Action (+316) 1u
Calderwood KO/TKO (+1225) .25u
Calderwood Round 3 (+1800) .25u
Andrade/Calderwood Draw (+6000) .125u

Hedge(s):
Andrade Decision (+280) .5u
Andrade Decision (+305) .5u
Andrade Round 1 (+400) .5u

Fight #7: Faber vs. Rivera:
Faber/Rivera Over 2.5 Rounds (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
Rivera (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Rivera Decision (+165) 1u
Rivera -3.5 (+180) 1u

Hedge(s):
Faber Scorecards = No Action (+103) 1u
Faber ITD (+388) .5u
Faber Submission (+585) .5u

Fight #8: Punk vs. Gall:
Gall Submission (+110) .75u
Gall Submission (+135) .5u

Hedge:
Punk Round 1 (+1300) .25u

Fight #9: Werdum vs. Browne:
Werdum -3.5 (-115) 4.6u to win 4u
Werdum Decision (+175) .5u
Werdum Decision (+185) .25u
Werdum Decision (+220) .5u
Werdum KO/TKO (+515) .5u
Werdum Round 3 (+1025) .25u

Hedge:
Browne Round 1 (+400) 1u

Fight #10: Miocic (C) vs. Overeem:
Over 1.5 Rounds (-135) 1.35u to win 1u
Overeem ITD (+164) 1u
Overeem ITD (+170) 2u
Overeem Round 1 (+375) 1u
Fight Goes Distance (+400) 1u
Overeem Round 2 (+750) .75u

Hedge(s):
Miocic Decision (+845) .25u
Miocic Split/Majority Decision (+1925) .25u

Straight Parlays:
Werdum/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+108) 1u
Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

Prop Parlays:
Eye+Correia Over 2.5/Faber+Rivera Over 2.5 (+125) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+129) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Werdum (+132) 1u
Gall+Punk Won’t Start R2/Henderson+Bisping Won’t Go Distance (+135) 1u
Gall Submission/Werdum -3.5 (+339) .5u
Dober Decision/Tavares Decision (+492) .5u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision (+678) .25u
Spencer Decision/Correia Decision (+796) .5u
Browne KO/Overeem ITD (+872) .5u
Brown KO/Overeem KO (+967) .25u
Magalhaes KO/Miocic -5.5 (+1048) .5u
Correia Decision/Faber ITD (+1339) .25u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision/Tavares Decision (+1984) .25u
Correia Decision/Rivera Decision/Werdum Decision (+2014) .25u
Browne Round 1/Miocic Round 1 (+2375) .25u
Browne Round 1/Overeem Round 1 (+2525) .25u

Full Card Props:
Magalhaes Wins Fastest KO (+1200) .5u

[Hugo de Naranja]

If the fights are cancelled ALL bets are refunded.. Props, O/U's and straights Hugo.. You should know this..

To clarify, I meant the full card props for over decisions. Like I bet that there would be more than 5.5 fights that go the distance when there were 11 fights and now there are 10. Are those initial bets still live or do they cancel them and adjust full card props to reflect that there are only 10 fights?

[JIBBBY]

Barroso vs. Dollaway Cancelled. Goddamn

CB Dollaway jacked his back in the elevator incident.. Apparently that elevator fail deal was pretty violent.. Free fall I think for a few floors and then sudden stop maybe?

http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/CB-Dollaway-Injured-in-Elevator-Accident-UFC-203-Bout-vs-Barroso-Canceled-110997