Ty$'s Believe it or Not?!?

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  • Ty$
    SBR MVP
    • 03-20-16
    • 1241

    #1
    Ty$'s Believe it or Not?!?
    Fun fact about this last UFC card with Holly Holm vs Schenchenko.... 5 of 11 underdogs won that night. Had you bet one unit on each dog and even getting late lines like Chenko at +180 you would have still profited around a half unit. I know not much but it's still a winning night not even hitting half your plays. So that being said I'm using my Bovada acct here on out putting $5 on every dog blindlessly to do an experiment. I know on the Lineker/Mac card you would have made like 3-5 units. Believe it or not!
  • KushMoney
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-11-11
    • 658

    #2
    Good luck brotha!

    I would recommend against Bovada as although they are usually laying steeper odds on favorites(somewhat better dog odds), when their odds are around the same as other books the Underdog is usually priced worse than you can find elsewhere. (5d)

    Seems 201 may be a good card to start with.

    I like Woodley but not Kowalkiewicz.
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83686

      #3
      More dogs should hit on this next card as well.. Get it after it TY!!! Try the double up dog theory and I bet you come out on top...
      Comment
      • Ty$
        SBR MVP
        • 03-20-16
        • 1241

        #4
        Originally posted by JIBBBY
        More dogs should hit on this next card as well.. Get it after it TY!!! Try the double up dog theory and I bet you come out on top...
        How's the double up dog theory go?
        Comment
        • JIBBBY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-10-09
          • 83686

          #5
          Originally posted by Ty$
          How's the double up dog theory go?
          I've explained this several times on this forum..

          Let's use a $100 as a starting point..

          Bet $100 on the first fight dog on the card, if you lose double up and take the dog again in the next fight.. Keep doing this until a dog hits and you win and profit even though you lost your previous bets.. Double up amounts depend on the odds of course..

          Usually you can count on a dog hitting before every forth fight.. When you win start over and do it again until the card is finished.. If a bunch of dogs hit like last card you will get paid big.. If just a few hit you should still make out ok..

          Double up until a dog hits is the theory.. Just as sounds..
          Comment
          • KushMoney
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-11-11
            • 658

            #6
            Essentially an MMA martingale system banking on the fact the that underdogs almost always win at least once during UFC events.

            As long as every favorite doesn't win and you can afford it you should make some money.


            Makes sense.
            Comment
            • KushMoney
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-11-11
              • 658

              #7
              I like Rivera. Herman. Woodley.
              Comment
              • Ty$
                SBR MVP
                • 03-20-16
                • 1241

                #8
                Originally posted by KushMoney
                I like Rivera. Herman. Woodley.
                Your fave dogs? Or locks? I think Herman is Gona be too old and slow to hang. I like Rivera. I'm on Lawler and I usually love the underdogs. Maybe it's the fanside but also I've watched so much tape I jus don't think twood can do it. I really don't like him after watching all the preflight hype about it either.

                Parlay +200
                Graves
                Reis
                Krylov
                Comment
                • Mxs1332
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-08-16
                  • 661

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Ty$
                  Your fave dogs? Or locks? I think Herman is Gona be too old and slow to hang. I like Rivera. I'm on Lawler and I usually love the underdogs. Maybe it's the fanside but also I've watched so much tape I jus don't think twood can do it. I really don't like him after watching all the preflight hype about it either.

                  Parlay +200
                  Graves
                  Reis
                  Krylov
                  GL GL GL Ty$

                  Tailed this parlay and on another parlay as well.

                  +107
                  2 Team Parlay
                  Pending 7/30/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Justin Scoggins -245* vs Ian McCall
                  Pending 7/30/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Michael Graves -210* vs Bojan Velickovic
                  Comment
                  • Rich Benjamins
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-15-15
                    • 831

                    #10
                    The dog theory might work in the long run but I distinctly remember at least one night where not a single dog won.
                    Comment
                    • Ty$
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-20-16
                      • 1241

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Mxs1332
                      GL GL GL Ty$

                      Tailed this parlay and on another parlay as well.

                      +107
                      2 Team Parlay
                      Pending 7/30/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Justin Scoggins -245* vs Ian McCall
                      Pending 7/30/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Michael Graves -210* vs Bojan Velickovic
                      I like graves skeptical in Scoggins.
                      Comment
                      • Hugo de Naranja
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-16
                        • 14140

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Mxs1332
                        GL GL GL Ty$

                        Tailed this parlay and on another parlay as well.

                        +107
                        2 Team Parlay
                        Pending 7/30/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Justin Scoggins -245* vs Ian McCall
                        Pending 7/30/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Michael Graves -210* vs Bojan Velickovic
                        The trend of a bunch of people's parlays being halved because of late withdrawals continues...
                        Comment
                        • Mxs1332
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-08-16
                          • 661

                          #13
                          FK SCOGGINS!! Won't make weight.. Pulled out!? Unacceptable man. Just horrible
                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Mxs1332
                            FK SCOGGINS!! Won't make weight.. Pulled out!? Unacceptable man. Just horrible
                            Apparently he couldn't get below 132.5
                            Comment
                            • Mxs1332
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-08-16
                              • 661

                              #15
                              Wow. Not even close to the 125 lbs weight division. First thing i'd do is fire my personal trainer/nutritionist for allowing that to happen. Dana must be PISSED!
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Mxs1332
                                Wow. Not even close to the 125 lbs weight division. First thing i'd do is fire my personal trainer/nutritionist for allowing that to happen. Dana must be PISSED!
                                2 flyweight fights off this card. DJ injury now this ugh
                                Comment
                                • Ty$
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-20-16
                                  • 1241

                                  #17
                                  Parlay $5 wins $194
                                  Pearson by DEC
                                  Graves ITD
                                  Reis ITD

                                  Parlay $10 wins $143
                                  Lawler by KO
                                  Karolina by DEC
                                  Brown by KO
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Ty$
                                    Parlay $5 wins $194
                                    Pearson by DEC
                                    Graves ITD
                                    Reis ITD

                                    Parlay $10 wins $143
                                    Lawler by KO
                                    Karolina by DEC
                                    Brown by KO
                                    Like them both. Love the second one!
                                    Comment
                                    • GoBlue77
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-20-11
                                      • 9166

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by KushMoney
                                      I like Rivera. Herman. Woodley.
                                      yikes. negative on that
                                      Comment
                                      • KushMoney
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-11-11
                                        • 658

                                        #20
                                        Hope you made money Ty$ . You hit 3 in a row to end the event, right? That along with Jibby's system could have easily made you money.


                                        I went tilt and bet Woodley huge at terrible, terrible odds (+110 joking) because I was down almost $800 before main event.


                                        Also ended up taking Wilson Reis (layed juice) and Over 2.5 Pearson/Masivdal


                                        Lost on Herman ($200) , Rivera ($200), Namajunas($720)


                                        Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                        yikes. negative on that
                                        GoBlue77 . Lost 3 won 3 .
                                        Comment
                                        • Ty$
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-20-16
                                          • 1241

                                          #21
                                          I lost $30 hedged Woodley Round 1 to save a little face. Had Brown way too involved. If I had known they cut Jake then gave him one last chance I'd prolly would have bet on him.
                                          Comment
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