Stancui was a great bet, fight went exactly as I predicted it, with the other bitch not having enough power to back her style up, other bitch was getting dominated till Stancui got stupid going after a arm in gulltitione, her arms were like jello for the next round and a half, I saw the fight correctly, and she was worth it at the price tag I got, you fukin bet a favorite that had zero chance, you and everyone thought he could take down nganno, I told u all his wrestling was trash, I was correct to make both bets, your ignorant ass got lucky is all that was, like I tell jibby, even a blind squirrel finds a nut. JOSH KNOWS ALL, if you want to trash a bet, trash the big Ben bet. Some bets are wrong even if they win, some should have been no betd and some are correct even when you lose, you need to be able to assess your wins and loses correctly to be able to predict fights in the future, based on the implied probability I had, I made the correct bet. Pijec and big bengwere incorrect, some bets I win and they were incorrect plays some bets I should have invested less in even if they win, some bets I should have invested more in, it's apart of the game, it's varience, I'm correct alot more than any of you fuks.
-
Comment -
By you fuks, I'm referring to the jelious idiots on the forum, not the people I respect, and that respect me like bj, papertrail, and a few others that bring worth to this forum.Comment -
You're irrelevant, you won a bet, you want a fukin cookie, you lost your ass on the csrd, but u won a fukin bet, you know how many fukin bets I won, enough for it to be a absolute fukin shock when I lose, have you doubled your bankroll yet this year. Get the fuk outta her bro, you not getting a cookie from me....the king has dismissed you...Comment -
Am I missing something on the Machida line? I felt like it would be at -400 or higher by this time of the week. I feel like this is a horrible matchup for Hendo and based on his last few fights it is clear the only thing he can do to win the fight is land his H bomb, but with Machida's karate style, I just don't see it.Comment -
The line has actually dropped from when I took him in my original parlay. Don't get me wrong I love Hendo, but he should be a huge dog. Assuming his chin and legacy are the reason for the line.Comment -
Keep losing events and even your most loyal will turn on ya.. Feelings get hurt, pride is broken, shame is to follow when you start losing events on SBR.. Good luck with all that Josh..
Let's try and stay out of the RED in this event hot shot.. I'll be rooting for ya...
Comment -
I'm thinking that Machida will win similarly to how he beat Couture.Comment -
We cashed on your boy TJ pretty easy. So ready to throw down on Bamgbose with you. Line is -170 to -180, but I have him capped at -230 at least. The only question mark is how prepared he is on short notice, but as long as he's in decent shape, and he looks like hes a guy who stays in good shape, then he is going to steamroll Ferreira. Third straight KO loss and cut from the UFC. Bye bye Ferreira. Bamgbose big!Comment -
...Either guy could get finished in the 1st, the 1st round props for each guy and the under 1.5. Weak chin vs weak sub defense. Fight starts on the feet, so advantage Bamgbose...ALl Bamgbose fights end in the 1st, now facing one of the weakest chins in the game, no reason to bet him straight when the under 1.5 is at and was less pricey, also if your intent to bet him straight, might as well get added value on the first round finish. The under 1.5 being your base play, to protect yourself from a sub. We bet hall over Bamgbos straight, ko and 1st round finish then we cleaned up with betting Bamgbose last fight straight, ko and 1st round finish, I say we continue to ride the 1st round money train, this guy's fights are so easy to predict, he either kills are gets killed.Comment -
Oh, so you mean like when you said Chev had nothing for Nunes and that she would trash her no exceptions and just ''walk through'' her pillow fists. Yeah that was some brilliant capping right there, considering Chev landed the hardest strikes in that fight and hurt Nunes twice on the feet.Comment -
Write up and predictions.. This dude has a winning record so I respect his write ups.. MMAmania.... Worth the read and look in I think.. I don't completely agree with some of his prop predictions though but some are solid..
You guys can google sherdog records on your own I'm not gonna copy and paste for each fighter.. I will post the current odds on 5Dimes..
<header> UFC on FOX 19 predictions: 'Tampa' FOX 'Prelims' undercard preview, Pt. 2
By Patrick L. Stumberg on Apr 12, 2016, 10:00p 2
</header> <source type="image/webp">
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - Fox</small> Sat 4/16 1401 Mike Chiesa <input id="editx" name="M1_4" size="4"> +140 <input id="editx" name="L1_4" size="4"> o2½ -185 7:30PM 1402 Beneil Dariush <input id="editx" name="M2_4" size="4"> -160 <input id="editx" name="L2_4" size="4"> u2½ +160
155 lbs.: Beneil Dariush vs. Michael Chiesa
A knockout loss to Ramsey Nijem two fights into Beneil Dariush's (12-1) UFC career gave way to four consecutive victories, setting up a fight with fellow fast-riser Michael Johnson. Dariush ultimately got the nod in controversial fashion, but had to pull out of a January bout with Mairbek Taisumov because of an injury.
He will give up three inches of height to the 6’1" Michael Chiesa (13-2).
In April 2015, Chiesa rebounded from a stoppage loss to Joe Lauzon with a decision over Mitch Clarke, his fifth UFC victory. Eight months later, he squared off with Jim Miller and became just the second man to submit the venerable Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt.
Nine of his 13 wins have come by submission, six of them via rear-naked choke.
While I was quite disappointed that Dariush never got to throw down with Taisumov, this is a very intriguing fight. Chiesa’s a deceptively good wrestler and has phenomenal back control, while Dariush has been improving by leaps and bounds under the tutelage of Rafael Cordeiro and the Kings MMA staff.
However, I give the edge to Dariush’s striking and takedown defense.
Chiesa remains a bit slow and awkward on the feet, posing nowhere near the threat that Johnson did. In addition, Dariush ought to have the jiu-jitsu prowess to keep Chiesa off his back until he manages to scramble up. Expect three fun, competitive rounds that see Dariush in enough exchanges and shrug off enough takedowns for the decision win.
Prediction: Dariush via unanimous decision
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - Fox </small> Sat 4/16 1501 Raquel Pennington <input id="editx" name="M1_5" size="4"> -170 <input id="editx" name="L1_5" size="4"> o2½ -220 7:00PM 1502 Bethe Correia <input id="editx" name="M2_5" size="4"> +150 <input id="editx" name="L2_5" size="4"> u2½ +180
135 lbs.: Bethe Correia vs. Raquel Pennington
Three straight UFC victories, capped off by a knockout of Shayna Baszler, worked in tandem with persistent trash talk to put Bethe Correia (9-1) on a collision course with Ronda Rousey for the UFC women's Bantamweight title. Talk wasn’t enough, however, and Correia suffered her first-ever loss just 34 seconds into the first round.
She will give up three inches of height to the 5’7" Raquel Pennington (6-5).
A former Invicta and The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 18 competitor, Pennington has alternated wins and losses in UFC, beginning with a decision over Roxanne Modaferri on the show’s Finale. Her 2015 campaign saw her drop a decision to Holly Holm before avenging a loss to Jessica Andrade via second-round submission.
Three of her six victories are by form of choke.
Correia has massively overachieved in her UFC career; even her bread-and-butter (her boxing) lacks any real impact standout technical acumen. Pennington really should have the edge anywhere the fight goes but especially on the ground, where Correia has yet to demonstrate any real aptitude.
Pennington has the size and the grappling to make this a long night for "Pitbull," whom I do not expect to ever reach the heights she has again. "Rocky" puts together her first two-fight win streak since 2012 with a decision victory.
Prediction: Pennington via unanimous decision
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - Fox</small> Sat 4/16 1601 Santiago Ponzinibbio <input id="editx" name="M1_6" size="4"> -155 <input id="editx" name="L1_6" size="4"> o2½ -185 6:30PM 1602 Court McGee <input id="editx" name="M2_6" size="4"> +125 <input id="editx" name="L2_6" size="4"> u2½ +145
170 lbs.: Court McGee vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio
Court McGee's (17-4) two-fight streak at Welterweight came to an end at the hands of Ryan LaFlare, who soundly outwrestled TUF 11 winner for a unanimous decision win in Dec. 2013. Various circumstances kept "The Crusher" out of the cage for almost exactly two years, after which he picked up a decision over Marcio Alexandre Jr.
He has submitted seven opponents and knocked out another three.
Santiago Ponzinibbio (21-3)" reached the finals of TUF: "Brazil 2" before suffering a hand injury, then went on to lose a decision to LaFlare in his promotional debut. "Gente BkofAma" has since gone 3-1, rebounding from his knockout loss to Lorenz Larkin with a first-round stoppage of Andreas Stahl in Dec. 2015.
He has stopped 18 professional opponents, 12 of them via knockout.
McGee is badly outgunned here -- Ponzinibbio packs some nasty power in those hands of his, has quality takedown defense and can put together some lovely combinations. Then again, this isn’t exactly unfamiliar territory for McGee, who has overwhelmed bigger hitters in the past through his furious pace.
He’s going to struggle to do the same to Ponzinibbio.
In his fight with Sean Strickland, the Argentinian showed that he can stay dangerous and do damage for all three rounds. At the same time, McGee’s style isn’t as debilitating on his opponent as it could be. I simply don’t believe "The Crusher" can slow Ponzinibbio’s assault fast enough or significantly enough to take the decision. Power punching carries the day for Argentina.
Prediction: Ponzinibbio via unanimous decision
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - Fox</small> Sat 4/16 1701 Hacran Dias <input id="editx" name="M1_7" size="4"> +105 <input id="editx" name="L1_7" size="4"> o2½ -240 6:00PM 1702 Cub Swanson <input id="editx" name="M2_7" size="4"> -125 <input id="editx" name="L2_7" size="4"> u2½ +200
145 lbs.: Cub Swanson vs. Hacran Dias
From 2012 to 2014, Cub Swanson (21-7) tore through the featherweight division with furious abandon, scoring four knockouts among six consecutive victories. He’s since fallen into an 0-2 slump courtesy of Frankie Edgar and Max Holloway, both of whom scored final-round submissions on the Greg Jackson-trained product.
This will be his first fight in one year ... almost to the day.
Injuries on both his and opponents’ parts slowed the UFC career of Hacran Dias (23-3-1) to a crawl following his debut victory over Iuri Alcantara, causing him to miss all of 2013. He returned to action in May 2014 with a narrow loss to Ricardo Lamas, followed by consecutive victories over Darren Elkins and Levan Makashvili.
He has stopped 12 opponents overall, nine via knockout.
This fight really boils down to whether Swanson can regain the form he had during his rampage. He’s got a considerable speed and striking edge over Dias, who poses nowhere near the threat that Edgar and Holloway do on the feet. The problem is that Swanson looked worryingly vulnerable to the takedown in those fights and offered little from his back.
This is a toss up, really. Dias is a very capable grinder whom I do not believe Swanson can dislodge should the Brazilian wind up on top. Still, it’s hard to ignore Swanson’s history of violence against less-adept strikers. I say he returns to form with a late stoppage once Dias slows.
Prediction: Swanson via third-round technical knockout
Current UFC "Prelims" Prediction Record 2016: 35-28-1
Comment -
Part 1 mma mania...
<header> UFC on FOX 19 predictions: 'Tampa' Fight Pass 'Prelims' undercard preview, Pt. 1
By Patrick L. Stumberg on Apr 11, 2016, 10:00p 4
</header> <source type="image/webp">
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sat 4/16 1801 Manny Gamburyan <input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4"> +415 <input id="editx" name="L1_8" size="4"> o2½ -140 5:30PM 1802 John Dodson <input id="editx" name="M2_8" size="4"> -525 <input id="editx" name="L2_8" size="4"> u2½ +120
135 lbs.: John Dodson vs. Manny Gamburyan
Following his close loss to Demetrius Johnson, John Dodson (17-7) battled his way back into title contention with three straight victories, setting up a rematch with "Mighty Mouse" in Sept. 2015. "The Magician" wound up struggling mightily with his ever-adaptive opponent and ultimately lost by a much wider margin than before.
He returns to Bantamweight for the first time since his 2011 knockout of T.J. Dillashaw.
The final challenger to Jose Aldo’s crown in World Extreme Cagefighting (WEC), Manny Gamburyan (15-8) has gone 4-1 (1 NC) since a winless (0-2) start to his UFC career. "The Anvil" dropped to Bantamweight two Septembers ago, where he’s beaten Cody Gibson and Scott Jorgensen.
He stands two inches taller than Dodson at 5’5."
Dodson's biggest problem is that he relies too heavily on his speed to close the distance. He doesn’t have any real set ups for his power shots, instead just rushing in and, at times, getting countered in the process. This is nowhere near as big an issue for him at 135 pounds, were you can count the number of fighters capable of keeping up with him on one hand.
Gamburyan is not among them.
The judoka is strong and hits damn hard, but the massive speed difference is just too much for him to overcome. Combine that with Dodson’s ridiculous takedown defense and things lok grim for "The Anvil." Dodson sparks him out sometime in the first round.
Prediction: Dodson via first-round technical knockout
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sat 4/16 1901 Mike Graves <input id="editx" name="M1_9" size="4"> -115 <input id="editx" name="L1_9" size="4"> o2½ -180 5:00PM 1902 Randy Brown <input id="editx" name="M2_9" size="4"> -115 <input id="editx" name="L2_9" size="4"> u2½ +140
170 lbs.: Randy Brown vs. Mike Graves
Randy Brown (7-0) entered UFC as a product of Dana White’s "Looking for a Fight" series and drew tough-as-nails Canadian Matt Dwyer for his January debut. Solid striking and fancy throws carried Brown to victory, although he had to see the judges for the first time to do so.
His six stoppage wins include four submissions.
Mike Graves (5-0) stepped up to the plate for the very first bout on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 21, losing a majority decision to top prospect Kamaru Usman over two rounds. He righted the ship with a clutch comeback victory over Jason Jackson in the later rounds, then took a decision over Vicente Luque on the Finale.
He was originally set to face Danny Roberts in Dec. 2015 before pulling out because of injury.
Brown did better than I expected against Matt Dwyer, I’ll admit. I still think he’s too raw to go far in the Welterweight division, a fact I expect Graves to clearly demonstrate. While Dwyer was just an okay striker, the American Top Team (ATT)-trained product is extremely durable and a very solid grappler
Despite the improvements he showed against Dwyer, I highly doubt Brown’s ground game has evolved sufficiently to win this. Graves ground him early and either taps him or puts him out with punches.
Prediction: Graves via first-round submission
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sat 4/16 2001 Islam Makhachev <input id="editx" name="M1_10" size="4"> -185 <input id="editx" name="L1_10" size="4"> o2½ -190 4:30PM 2002 Drew Dober <input id="editx" name="M2_10" size="4"> +155 <input id="editx" name="L2_10" size="4"> u2½ +150
155 lbs.: Drew Dober vs. Islam Makhachev
Drew Dober's (16-7) bogus submission loss to Leandro Silva may have been overturned, but the guillotine Efrain Escudero put him in afterward was all too real, causing the first true submission loss of Dober’s career. He managed to re-enter the win column in January with an upset decision over Scott Holtzman at UFC 195.
At 5’8", he is two inches shorter than Islam Makhachev (12-1).
Makhachev, a training partner of Khabib Nurmagomedov, showed off the terrific grappling that made him a blue-chip prospect in his debut win over Leo Kuntz. Unfortunately for him, his aggressive style came back to bit him against Adriano Martins, who timed him coming in with a brutal check hook knockout in Oct. 2015.
He has submitted six of his 13 opponents.
Makhachev is still an elite prospect in my book, while Martins is an absolute monster and one of the more underrated fighters in the division. Sure, the Dagestani grappler has some holes in his striking defense, but his Sambo stylings seem well-suited to taking out the light-punching Dober.
Dober’s a good, well-rounded fighter. He just doesn’t have the takedown defense to stay on his feet against Makhachev, nor the power to spark him out on the counter. Makhachev rides to victory on a steady diet of takedowns.
Prediction: Makhachev via unanimous decision
<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Middleweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sat 4/16 2101 Cezar Ferreira <input id="editx" name="M1_11" size="4"> +150 <input id="editx" name="L1_11" size="4"> o1½ +155 4:00PM 2102 Oluwale Bamgbose <input id="editx" name="M2_11" size="4"> -180 <input id="editx" name="L2_11" size="4"> u1½ -195
185 lbs.: Cezar Ferreira vs. Oluwale Bamgbose
Cezar Ferreira (8-5) built on his TUF: "Brazil" win to start his UFC career with three straight wins, including a decision over castmate Daniel Sarafian in 2013. He’s just 1-3 since, all three losses coming via brutal first-round knockout.
He returns to Middleweight after a one-fight stint at 170 pounds.
Oluwale Bamgbose (6-0) entered UFC on the heels of five straight first-round knockouts, only to bite off more than he could chew in his short-notice debut against Uriah Hall. He returned to his winning ways two months ago with a brutal head kick knockout of Daniel Sarafian just 60 seconds into the fight.
He replaces the injured Caio Magalhaes on one week’s notice.
The single greatest piece of MMA media ever created is and always will be Seanbaby’s history of Kazuyuki Fujita’s ever-abused skull. In it, he discussed a notion that’s stuck with me: The idea that a result can be so blindingly obvious that you actually don’t expect it to happen. This is how I feel here.
On one side, you have Ferreira, a glass-chinned fighter with porous defense. On the other, you have the gigaton punches of Bamgbose. Things point to a brutal Bamgbose knockout victory so clearly that all I can do is wait for the other shoe to drop.
I don’t think there is one. Bamgbose smash.
Prediction: Bamgbose via first-round knockout
170 lbs.: Omari Akhmedov vs. Elizeu Zaleski<small>UFC on Fox 19 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Amalie Arena - Tampa, Florida - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sat 4/16 2201 Elizeu Zaleski <input id="editx" name="M1_12" size="4"> +125 <input id="editx" name="L1_12" size="4"> o2½ -140 3:30PM 2202 Omari Akhmedov <input id="editx" name="M2_12" size="4"> -155 <input id="editx" name="L2_12" size="4"> u2½ +100
Omari Akhmedov (15-3) entered his Dec. 2015 bout with Sergio Moraes on a two-fight winning streak and looked on track to make it three against the Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu ace. Partway through the third round, however, Akhmedov fell victim to a comeback knockout loss that dropped his UFC record to 3-2.
He has just one decision among his last 11 victories.
Elizeu Zaleski (14-5) joined UFC with the Jungle Fight welterweight title and one successful defense under his belt. In his debut against Danish prospect Nicolas Dalby, "Capoeira" put forth a tremendous effort, but ultimately lost the split decision.
He has knocked out 11 opponents and submitted another two.
Akhmedov has some serious power and solid wrestling. That said, he also has a tendency to fade late and managed to get knocked out by Sergio Moraes of all people. Zaleski has some fast and powerful striking in his own right and, unlike Akhmedov, can maintain his offense for all three rounds.
Akhmedov should find success in the early going, but the fight will favor Zaleski more and more as it progresses. "Capoeira" lands something brutal late in the second or partway through the third.
Prediction: Zaleski via second-round technical knockoutComment -
I agree that sub is Cezar's path to victory, BUT I don't think it's likely. First, I don't think he will get the takedown. Second, on the ground he's too patient and technical and I think Bamgbose's strength and athleticism will be just enough for him to avoid the sub. Cezar isn't that aggressive with top position, especially with strikes, so I think OB can survive there at least once. Also - didn't see the under less pricey than Bamgbose straight. Agree with you on the 1st rd props for each guy. If Cezar is gonna get the sub then he's either getting it right away or not at all IMO.Comment -
I agree with everything your saying as well, but Bamgbose style breeds itself to a early finish, he could leave a opening in a scrabble trying to rush back to his feet, i also agree he needs to get it early or get his lights put out, and we should get a great number on ferriera 1st round finish to where we have to put very little on him to cover a Bamgbose bet 1st round, with the under being the base play.Comment -
Parlay of :
Machida
Namajunas
Dariush
Ponzinibbio
2 units to win 9 unitsComment -
Its the easy pick, like rothwell. On the surface, theres everything that you mention cardio, bambos has fought nobody. The day he want KO people was plan B? If he doesnt KO Ferreira, whos the most likely winner? -200 for something that uncertain isnt worth it, under is probably more valuable. Ferreiras chin is totally shot though, so hard to side with him, but ill guess hes vastly the best overall fighters. He can make the necessary adjustments to avoid getting put to sleep.Comment -
wont....Comment -
Cardio won't be a factor, sub or ko early.if it stays standing longer then 2 minutes ferriera is kod, saferdine is a bad comparasion, he punches soft as a kitten....we don't bet on who the overall better fighter is, though that is a question mark, we bet on matchups. Ferrira certianly isn't the better striker, even if he was he doesnt have the chin to last a round if he cant get it down, so he betta get the fight to the ground in a hurry, and if he's the better overall fighter he should sub Bamgbose in transition, under is golden here, if the fight starts the 2nd that means ferrira allowed Bamgbose on his feet once more because he didn't finish in the first, it's just hard to imagine if ferrira is just able to lay n pray the first, Bamgbose doesn't finish him in the first half of the 2nd...you could also skip the ferrira 1st round prop play, and go with sub if your worried about it getting out the first and ferriera showing the better cardio. Bamgbose is so much more fluent and athletic and powerful, and his strengths match up well with ferrira main weakness, his chin.Comment -
I don't think Bamgbose has much sub defense, that's why the under should be your base play, doesnt make sense from a value standpoint or matchup stand point to bet Bamgbose straight when u can bet the under at the same value.if it goes longer then a round and a half your most likely looking to live bet ferrira at that point.Comment -
I think the biggest factor is Hendo and Cezar jus can't take damage anymore. Hard jabs will stumble and drop these guys right now. On a side note Bamgbose has never lost by sub. And this could be Dans last fight I don't see him trying to win a decision which is Gona get him KTFO. Superior strikers vs GlassjawsComment -
Him not being subbed isn't saying much, low level of comp outside the ufc, and 2 strikers inside the ufc, his ground game isn't tested, he's also never subbed anyone, only 7 fights, and around 13 minutes of fight time, there's reason to believe the ground game is the weaker part of his game, if only because his striking is so devastating. Hall TKOd him with gnp, shows a defecency in defending on the ground.Comment
