UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs. Dos Santos (April 10, 2016)
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JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#36Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#37Wheres the fukin lines for this??...Only 3, maybe 4 guys on here that have significant matchup advantages, the rest of the card is unpredictable, so beside my bets I'm making, the rest of the card, I'm putting atleast a unit on every underdog, and if the first underdog loses, I'll do 2 units on the next, and if that one loses, 3 units on the next, when I win, IL start back at 1 unit, and I'll do this the entire card, exept for the 4 bets I'm making. I'm ready to get these lines. The black beast and Cummings fights are not on my list,, both coin flips, so I'll be on both underdogs once I get the prices I want. May play Dalby 3rd round finish, as Cummings gasses, but I'll be on Cummings straight as part of my underdog strategy based on heavy hitters and no significant advantages through out the card on the majority of these matches... I need some linesComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#38^^ Only 3 fight lines out so far.. Sure they will all be up by tomorrow night..
<small>UFC Fight Night 86 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Zagreb Arena - Zagreb, Croatia - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sun 4/10 1001 Ben Rothwell <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4"> -105 <input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4"> o1½ -145 4:30PM 1002 Junior dos Santos <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4"> -115 <input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4"> u1½ +125 <small>UFC Fight Night 86 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Zagreb Arena - Zagreb, Croatia</small> Sun 4/10 1101 Gabriel Gonzaga <input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> +160 <input id="editx" name="L1_1" size="4"> o1½ +120 4:00PM 1102 Derrick Lewis <input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> -185 <input id="editx" name="L2_1" size="4"> u1½ -140 <small>UFC Fight Night 86 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Zagreb Arena - Zagreb, Croatia - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sun 4/10 1601 Zak Cummings <input id="editx" name="M1_2" size="4"> +135 <input id="editx" name="L1_2" size="4"> o2½ -245 1:30PM 1602 Nicolas Dalby <input id="editx" name="M2_2" size="4"> -175 <input id="editx" name="L2_2" size="4"> u2½ +175 Comment -
WohlfordSBR Sharp
- 11-12-11
- 292
Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#40Will 5Dimes have these fights on the "reduced juice" menu around the same time do you think?Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#41Will 5Dimes have these fights on the "reduced juice" menu around the same time do you think?Comment -
WohlfordSBR Sharp
- 11-12-11
- 292
#42Thanks for the helpful replies Josh.
Rothwell/JDS is the only fight I have an opinion on (or the time to formulate an opinion on).
My target price on Rothwell is +110, which I doubt I'll see without reduced juice and some more line movement.Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#43Wait till about a hour before the weigh ins, I think that's when you'll get the best price on rothwell, but i dont expect much movememt, think folks are split on this fight.Comment -
Ty$SBR MVP
- 03-20-16
- 1241
#44Wheres the fukin lines for this??...Only 3, maybe 4 guys on here that have significant matchup advantages, the rest of the card is unpredictable, so beside my bets I'm making, the rest of the card, I'm putting atleast a unit on every underdog, and if the first underdog loses, I'll do 2 units on the next, and if that one loses, 3 units on the next, when I win, IL start back at 1 unit, and I'll do this the entire card, exept for the 4 bets I'm making. I'm ready to get these lines. The black beast and Cummings fights are not on my list,, both coin flips, so I'll be on both underdogs once I get the prices I want. May play Dalby 3rd round finish, as Cummings gasses, but I'll be on Cummings straight as part of my underdog strategy based on heavy hitters and no significant advantages through out the card on the majority of these matches... I need some linesComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#46
Gangsta roll coming up
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ShagdogySBR MVP
- 06-16-10
- 3564
#47Any chance that Taisumov won't be a huge favorite? Hadzovic is solid and his chin and takedown defense can make ppl work, but he doesn't throw enough volume when he respects his opponent's striking though, especially when backing up. Taisumov has a much more varied striking attack, can throw going forward or backing up, and has great explosiveness and is aggressive when he senses he's hurt a guy. Biggest advantage should be cardio though. Hadzovic slows down as fights go deep and Taisumov is a machine. I like for him to tee off and get some takedowns later in the fight and take over with pace and cardio. Similar to how I see Dalby winning. If there's enough hype around Hadzovic to keep this line close I will look to hit Taisumov.Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#49Comment -
harorldisgenuisSBR Rookie
- 04-04-16
- 21
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#51Predicting my future winnings is not lying.. It's called being confident and that's something you do Josh even when you lose.. Justifying your losses in other words..
In gambling you must believe to achieve as it goes in business and in relationships. The will to win, radiate confidence... Combine that with smart play and vision and you become unstoppable.. Years of experience and always trying to improve is golden.. You also need lady luck and good karma on your side as well and that is aquired by giving to others that are less fortunate then you...
Example, find a struggling homeless woman on the street and buy her a meal.. Karma points..
A lesson taught by the Jibster...
Comment -
Ty$SBR MVP
- 03-20-16
- 1241
#52
Huh?? Hold on you think the sportsbooks that are worth hundreds of millions are woried about your 1-10k bets? What?Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#53It doesn't take much to move a line in mma, it's not bet as much as the other major sports, it's not just my money, it's the thousands of people that follow me, i had a huge following even before i came to this forum, you should see how many pms I get after each card. I have sometimes up to 6,000 to 10,000 views on a thread that's only 3 weeks old, people offer me money because they are up so much, people are confident to put their money behind me. But that's not what I was referring to, I'm referring to my knowledge, these idiots that set the lines don't know what they are doing, I'm not gonna help them out, I want the best line possible, that's why I make some bets months in advance, they without a doubt watch forums to see what people are leaning to, they want even action, I'm the best in the world at this, they watch me, if I tip my hand, then we get a shitty line, I move lines, once my bets placed and I post it, the lines move. Mma is a very small percentage of their profit, it doesnt matter how much they make in other sports, they want even action on this sport.Comment -
Ty$SBR MVP
- 03-20-16
- 1241
#54How'd the best in the world not give Nate a chance? I banked hard on that card.. Do you have mma experience or jus a viewer?Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#55I'm not gonna talk too much about this fight, because a rematch is coming up, but I told people this is conor's toughest fight, and gave reasons why it would last longer then they thought, that was my smallest bet on connor ever,you can look through the threads, I've made over 20k on him, never having less then 10 units on him, $3,000. I only has 3 units on him straight in a parlay, didn't see him gassing half way through the 1st round, I hit Diaz hard live, I know when a guy is gassed, too much touch butt in the park and weight training, not enough conditioning, he also fought like he never has before, he turned into a head hunting flat footed fuk, he fought like lombard. That said, it has a small bet for me, and I warned people this is the best boxer he's ever faced, best chin, first reach disadvantage, it would take time for connor to find his range, and he's moving up two weight classes, this is why I only had 3 units on him, 4.3 units with the props. I made a huge play on diaz over micheal johnson, at bigger odds then this, he's one of my favorite fighters, i'm well aware of how good he is. thing is, i'm the best becuase i never lose, i only gain knowledge, i havn't had a losing month in over 3 years, i had 4 much bigger plays on this mcgrgeor card, all 4 of my big plays hit, and i profited this event, the main event and co-mian event where overly juiced, that's why they were only 1.3, and 4.3 units. you bet what i bet, for the amount i bet it according to your unit size, you'll never have a losing month again.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#56It doesn't take much to move a line in mma, it's not bet as much as the other major sports, it's not just my money, it's the thousands of people that follow me, i had a huge following even before i came to this forum, you should see how many pms I get after each card. I have sometimes up to 6,000 to 10,000 views on a thread that's only 3 weeks old, people offer me money because they are up so much, people are confident to put their money behind me. But that's not what I was referring to, I'm referring to my knowledge, these idiots that set the lines don't know what they are doing, I'm not gonna help them out, I want the best line possible, that's why I make some bets months in advance, they without a doubt watch forums to see what people are leaning to, they want even action, I'm the best in the world at this, they watch me, if I tip my hand, then we get a shitty line, I move lines, once my bets placed and I post it, the lines move. Mma is a very small percentage of their profit, it doesnt matter how much they make in other sports, they want even action on this sport.
News flash - all those views you get on your threads and even the ones on the Event Threads are repeat look ins. Probably 25x or more repeat look ins from the regulars.. So your 10,000 views are really like 500 new views tops... Most of those views come in during the live event also.. I know they do on the Event threads..
Sorry to burst your bubble buddy but we aren't end all here on SBR for MMA gambling.. Feel free to talk about straight plays as the lines won't move, trust me.. There are many other MMA forums that get more views then here and many other very good MMA gamblers that even charge for their picks and those picks are already out.
These books have so much action coming in on both directions it doesn't matter with the straights especially in the big name fights..
For example - WE AND OTHERS ANNOUNCED ON THIS FORUM SEVERAL TIMES THAT WE WERE ALL BETTING ON BEN ROTHWELL and that line is dropping not increasing.. JDS is getting all the action right now..Comment -
Killer_DemoSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-08
- 8409
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JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#58Ok enough is enough, dude you are delusional if think posting on this tiny SBR MMA subforum section moves straight lines in MMA!!! Props we can possibly move early on but no way on the straights..
News flash - also all those views you get on your threads and even the ones on the Event Threads that get more views are repeat look ins. Probably 25x or more repeat look ins from the regulars.. So your 10,000 views are really like 500 new views tops... Most of those views come in during the live event also.. I know they do on the Event threads..
Sorry to burst your bubble buddy but we aren't end all here on SBR for MMA gambling.. Feel free to talk about straight plays as the lines won't move, trust me.. There are many other MMA forums that get more views then here and many other very good MMA gamblers that even charge for their picks and those picks are already out.
These books have so much action coming in on both directions it doesn't matter with the straights especially in the big name fights..
For example - WE AND OTHERS ANNOUNCED ON THIS FORUM SEVERAL TIMES THAT WE WERE ALL BETTING ON BEN ROTHWELL and that line is dropping not increasing..Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
-
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#61
Look at the old $100 bill vs the new one. In the new version they gave my man Ben J broad shoulders AF. Mean mugging bitches n shitComment -
Killer_DemoSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-08
- 8409
#62Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#65I need Villanova to close out here biiitches!!! This is coming down to the wire now..Comment -
harorldisgenuisSBR Rookie
- 04-04-16
- 21
#66Line on Rothwell moved to +116 on Nitrogen SportsComment -
LBfightlifeSBR High Roller
- 03-31-16
- 240
#69Looking forward to your other bets on this card Josh and fellas.Comment -
Ty$SBR MVP
- 03-20-16
- 1241
#70
Tim Johnson in Croatia looking fast!!!Comment
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