UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Barnett (September 26, 2015)

**UncleChael** · 09-24-15, 12:31 PM

I'm too big of a Nelson fan to bet the main event. No play, boys.
Edit: I will bet the over, because like I said before you're gonna have to beat the hell outta Nelson to finish, and the Warmaster is as though as they come also.

**UncleChael** · 09-24-15, 02:50 PM

I'll put together a 5 play parlay that I will hope to hit.
Gl, us.
1. Over 1.5 rounds Nelson/Barnett @-165
2. Over 2.5 rounds Hall/Mousasi -160
3. Over 2.5 rounds Bader/Evans -235
4. Hendricks ML. -300
5. Julianna Pena ML. -260
5 team Parlay - $100 to win $587.

**JIBBBY** · 09-24-15, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by UncleChael

I'll put together a 5 play parlay that I will hope to hit. Gl, us.

Nice looking parlay I hope it hits Unc...

More I think about the Roy Nelson match up the more I think Barnett is going to close the distance, take away Roy's big looping shots and wear down the fat 40 year old.. I think I made a bad move betting on Roy Nelson hoping for the big KO win..

Too late bets are in!!!!!.... If I lose at least I placed the prop bets and got massive odds on the fat slob for the 1st round finish and Ko props....

**UncleChael** · 09-24-15, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Nice looking parlay I hope it hits Unc...

More I think about the Roy Nelson match up the more I think Barnett is going to close the distance, take away Roy's big looping shots and wear down the fat 40 year old.. I think I made a bad move betting on Roy Nelson hoping for the big KO win..

Too late bets are in!!!!!.... If I lose at least I placed the prop bets and got massive odds on the fat slob for the 1st round finish and Ko props....

You got it, Pal.

**JIBBBY** · 09-24-15, 07:09 PM

Unc you Ninja edited and posted up your parlay after all..

Sharing top secret information I see..

**UncleChael** · 09-24-15, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Unc you Ninja edited and posted up your parlay after all..

Sharing top secret information I see..

I'll just leave it there. Last and only 5 team Parlay posted.

**ffffffff** · 09-25-15, 12:20 AM

Interesting. I respect your parlay picks.
Some thoughts:
IF you believe "Hall/Mousasi over 2.5 rounds", then wouldn't you rather pick "Mousasi win by decision at +101"
IF Hall/Mousasi goes over 2.5rds, do you think it's more likely for Mousasi to finish Hall in the last 2.5 mins (out of whole 15 minute fight) than to win with decision?
Also, we all assume that Mousasi will win the fight, right?
I hope he does, as this is my first post on SBR.

**UncleChael** · 09-25-15, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by ffffffff

Interesting. I respect your parlay picks.
Some thoughts:
IF you believe "Hall/Mousasi over 2.5 rounds", then wouldn't you rather pick "Mousasi win by decision at +101"
IF Hall/Mousasi goes over 2.5rds, do you think it's more likely for Mousasi to finish Hall in the last 2.5 mins (out of whole 15 minute fight) than to win with decision?
Also, we all assume that Mousasi will win the fight, right?
I hope he does, as this is my first post on SBR.

I'm only assuming the fight goez over 2.5. Gegard or Hall can win in the decision, I could care less. I will probably play Hall at these odds+400 and it probably gets better. Hall fought the exact same fighter in Natal. He knows whats coming, he lost a close decision and I bet he's gonna try his ass off for this fight. Gegard is better than Natal but I hope to see a improved Hall and I'm not counting him out of a decision that's going to be on the feet the majority of the time.

**JIBBBY** · 09-25-15, 11:59 AM

Nelson wins in round 1 prop is now at +775..

Can fat boy Roy land the bomb early on when he is fresh???

1015 Nelson wins in round 1

<input id="radiox" value="M1_30" name="radiox" type="radio">+775

**the xx** · 09-25-15, 04:05 PM

love the over in the main event

**Unwritten Law** · 09-25-15, 10:55 PM

Barnett looking in better shape than usual. Baby Face Assassin gets it done tomorrow!

**Unwritten Law** · 09-25-15, 11:05 PM

Barnett
Mousasi
Horiguchi
Brandao

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 11:12 AM

Parlaying up these 2 fights early on to win even money... 150 to win 150

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	9/26/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1602 Diego Brandao -240* <small>vs</small> Katsunori Kikuno
		Pending	9/26/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Nick Hein -270* <small>vs</small> Yusuke Kasuya

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 11:23 AM

George Roop seems like a solid dog play also.. Gonna hammer this bum at +195...

Pending9/26/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 George Roop +195* <small>vs</small> Takeya Mizugaki

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 11:55 AM

Still photo side by side weigh in pics slide show.. http://mmajunkie.com/2015/09/ufc-fig...lideIdslide-27

Nothing stands out to me.. George Roop is anorexic that's about it.. Roy keeps his shirt on because he's fat and sloppy.. Nothing new.. Barnett looks leaner then ever which isn't making me feel any better about my Roy Nelson bets..

**BELM0NT** · 09-26-15, 12:19 PM

Barnett Vs Nelson...Fight completes 2nd round (-120) Good luck Everyone

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by BELM0NT

Barnett Vs Nelson...Fight completes 2nd round (-120) Good luck Everyone

Not if Roy Nelson connects on Josh Barnetts suspect chin early on..

I give Roy Nelson a strong punchers chance of landing that Bomb in the first round.. I hope to see Josh pressing to clinch up carelessly and Roy catching him with the clubbing right hook before gassing out... Lights out Josh...

**BELM0NT** · 09-26-15, 01:19 PM

Ive havent been impressed with Roys last few fights, I dont like hes far from going to Bellator. I think hes just peoples favorite fat fighter. I like Roy but I can see this as his 3rd straight loss.

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by BELM0NT

Ive havent been impressed with Roys last few fights, I dont like hes far from going to Bellator. I think hes just peoples favorite fat fighter. I like Roy but I can see this as his 3rd straight loss.

I agree to some extent, but ya gotta consider Roy was facing a bigger version of himself in Mark Hunt with the strong chin and more size... Allister Overeem was just to good of a striker and too fast for Roy.. Bad Match ups..

Josh has been out of the cage for a while and he has never had outstanding striking and even has been known to take a few on the chin in past fights.. He gets careless with the chin exposed Roy could tap it.. Better match up for Roy perhaps anyways was my thinking weeks ago if he can keep the fight standing...

War master could successfully clinch up and wear down Roy also.. Get the take downs and grind out a decision win or maybe even get a submission win if Roy is gassed and beat up... Who frigg'n knows???.. I'm just going with the massive value as Roy always has that punchers chance...

Roy Nelson has also never lost 3 fights in a row. He's lost 2 in row 3 times in his MMA career and has always found a way to comeback to win that 3rd fight to save his job.. Same applies here if you are into trends.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Roy-Nelson-10249

**BELM0NT** · 09-26-15, 01:41 PM

I hope Roy does pull one out, as long as it goes over 2 rounds I'm golden. I dont see Roy getting knocked out here so Im hoping Barnett can at least grind thru 2 rounds.

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by BELM0NT

I hope Roy does pull one out, as long as it goes over 2 rounds I'm golden. I dont see Roy getting knocked out here so Im hoping Barnett can at least grind thru 2 rounds.

Good luck Belmont..

I personally don't like the over 1.5 as Roy Nelson is always most dangerous early on, and Josh Barnett has not gotten out of the 1st round in his last 2 fights.. If it's not going Roy's way early on he may look for an early exit as he begins to gas out at 40 years old, kinda like he did with Mark Hunt..

At -190 I don't like the over at all.... I'm actually tempted to take the under myself at +165...

<small>UFC Fight Night 75 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Saitama Super Arena - Saitama, Japan - FS1</small>
Sat 9/26	1001 Roy Nelson	<input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4"> +270	<input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4"> o1½ -190
11:59PM	1002 Josh Barnett	<input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4"> -330	<input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4"> u1½ +165

**Unwritten Law** · 09-26-15, 01:51 PM

Gate opens 8am and first prelim fight at 9am for me over here!

**BELM0NT** · 09-26-15, 02:06 PM

Good luck to you as well Jibbs, I can really see this fight going either way. I think my chances are close to 50/50. It was -120 on doesnt complete 2 rounds

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 04:42 PM

For some of you guys on Hall ya may wanna consider the KO prop.. Can't see Hall beating Mousasi any other way.. Don't think he can sub out or beat Mousasi by decision if he does win.. Hall has 7 KO's in 11 wins.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Uriah-Hall-14210

Value in this prop I believe....

$30.00

$313.50

Pending

9/26/15 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1129 Hall wins by TKO/KO +1045* <small>vs</small> Any other result

I personally think Mousasi wins this fight but this makes for a good hedge play anyways (insurance).. Hit it for 30 bucks, why not.....

**GoBlue77** · 09-26-15, 06:02 PM

trash card. maybe i throw a hundo on diego otherwise i don't care about any of these stiffs

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 06:24 PM

Going with the Asian fade system of play today.. Starting off with this 2 teamer for the first 2 bouts.... Small stuff to start it all off...

$50.00	$80.20	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	9/26/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Kajan Johnson -300* <small>vs</small> Naoyuki Kotani
				Pending	9/26/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Roger Zapata -105* <small>vs</small> Shinsho Anzai

Let's get this card started!!!!

**nanderson1134** · 09-26-15, 06:53 PM

Zapata !!!!

And brandao kikuno for fight of the night!

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 07:03 PM

Chico Camus is a live dog I think. Even the guys on the UFC panel are picking Chico at +345.. Not sure what the odds makers were thinking with that fight.. Chico Camus is no joke in this division... Solid chance to win this one...

**nanderson1134** · 09-26-15, 07:21 PM

Aww shit !

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 07:22 PM

Zapata just missing those wicked head kicks in the 1st 2 rounds.. He getting smothered and needs a ko in this 3rd I think..

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 07:26 PM

Stop the fight because of a finger jam.. Lol .. That was a crap stoppage as Zapata was coming on... I've never seen a fight stopped on a finger jamb or even dislocation.. Wasn't even a thumb injured.. Pathetic... Next...

The judging I expect to be funky tonight but the doctors too.. OH lord!!!

**nanderson1134** · 09-26-15, 07:28 PM

Anzai fought like a punk.

Need kajan and hein to make it up!

**JIBBBY** · 09-26-15, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by nanderson1134

Anzai fought like a punk.

Need kajan and hein to make it up!

Big on Hein and Brandao in a parlay myself.. Let's get that make up Nanderson!!.

**nanderson1134** · 09-26-15, 07:58 PM

Can't believe he couldn't finish him. Kotani been KO'd plenty of times.

**nanderson1134** · 09-26-15, 08:02 PM

Niceeee jibbbbbbbbb6yyyyyyy!