UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Manuwa (November 08, 2014)

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Having second thoughts about betting on Shogun.. This doesn't happen often but I just don't think Shogun can bully OSP and KO him, and I can see Shogun trying and gassing out himself...

I'm changing my bet to OSP at +140 and against my better judgement... PLACED!!!

I have 1 unit on OSP via Submission @ +1015. I've been unstoppable lately! Take it to the bank Jibs!

[scofflaw]

Hey everyone it's been awhile. Stopping by to share something I heard today that you may be interested in.

I know someone who occasionally trains with Brenneman. Today at work I ask him if he knows that Charlie is down in Brazil and if he's going to watch. He says "You mean his last UFC fight?". I was confused because the odds are basically even and I figured someone that trains with him would have a positive outlook. He tells me that the game has passed him by and he thinks Brenneman's personal life has gotten too chaotic for him to be successful as a UFC calibre fighter with obligations to his daughter and recently buying a house sapping his focus.. Paraphrasing here.. "It's a fight and anything can happen, but he probably won't win."

So for what it's worth, There may be some added value in Silva that oddsmakers are unaware of. I'm on Silva: $600 to win $538.

[JIBBBY]

^Couldn't pay me to bet on Charlie Bren... Dude more often then not finds ways to lose his fights.. Further more he shouldn't even be fighting in the UFC today if you ask me.. CAN!!! The guy he is fighting tonight isn't anything special either though.. Gotta take the dog with the least amount of flees and that's Silva..

[Ron_Paul_2012]

^Couldn't pay me to bet on Charlie Bren... Dude more often then not finds ways to lose his fights.. Further more he shouldn't even be fighting in the UFC today if you ask me.. CAN!!! The guy he is fighting tonight isn't anything special either though.. Gotta take the dog with the least amount of flees and that's Silva..

Or........ Take a pass & use the money on something with greater value. Just something to consider Jibs.

[JIBBBY]

I have 1 unit on OSP via Submission @ +1015. I've been unstoppable lately! Take it to the bank Jibs!

I like OSP wins in round 3 better at +1050 if we are shooting for long shots....

[areallycoolguy]

i wouldnt touch the main event... way too many x factors

im thinking dhiego lima will take it in r2 via sub put a little there

he's not the fastest starter but once he gets serious he should get oliviera down, beat him up and get a tap

[Skel]

I have a big freeroll through arbitrage for Silva to beat Brenneman. Big on Warlley Alves. Small on Alves sub and OSP sub.

[mirinquads]

OSP una dec +850.

Brenneman +150

[areallycoolguy]

OSP una dec +850.

Brenneman +150

jumping on that first play thats a nice spot

[Skel]

jumping on that first play thats a nice spot

Yeah. Just put 1u on OSP decision +675 to cover a split.

[JIBBBY]

^^ Going the other direction with this 2 teamer..... $80 to win $140

Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/8/14 11:59pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -265* <small>vs</small> St. Preux/Rua goes 5 round distance
				Pending	11/8/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1804 Fight won't go 3 round distance -105* <small>vs</small> Silva/Brenneman goes 3 round distance

[NunyaBidness]

Or........ Take a pass & use the money on something with greater value. Just something to consider Jibs.

Unless you're a brokeass you should never pass on any bet of any value.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Unless you're a brokeass you should never pass on any bet of any value.

Um... Yeah and 1 +1 = 2. So what is your point? He's not positive on the value on that particular fight. So if he is not sure then he should use the money on something of equal odds but greater certainty in his mind. Are you still butt hurt about last night? Just adapt & overcome bubba. Maybe you'll have better luck tonight. Cheers!

[areallycoolguy]

leandro silva a dog now

[JIBBBY]

Here we go!!!! Prelim time.....


Colby for the first fight win I say!!!

[Jim_Gunn]

Hope there are a lot of finishes on this card like last night!

UFN 56 Risk $789.50

Mauricio Rua (-155) vs Ovince St. Preux $155.00 for $100.00
Rua/St. Preux Over 2½ (-125) $62.50 for $50.00
Alves/Jouban Under 2½ (-110) $55.00 for $50.00
Edwards/Silva Under 1½ (+125) $40.00 for $50.00
Jorge Oliveira (+375) vs Dhiego Lima $40.00 for $150.00
Nina Ansaroff/Juliana Lima Under 2½ (+200) $25.00 for $50.00

Rivas/Rubio won't go 3 round distance (+105) $40.00 for $42.00
Magalhaes wins by TKO/KO (+305) $25.00 for $76.25
Charlie Brenneman (+105) vs Leandro Silva $40.00 for $42.00
Brenneman wins by 3 round decision (+225) $20.00 for $45.00
Almeida/Gorman Under 1½ (+100) $40.00 for $40.00
Covington/Silva Under 1½ (+100) $40.00 for $40.00
Covington wins by submission (+330) $10.00 for $33.00

Parlays:
Warlley Alves (-240) + Colby Covington (-450) $137.00 for $100.21
Warlley Alves (-305) + Caio Magalhaes (-255) $60.00 for $50.92

[Skel]

Added 1u Silva ITD +216 and 0.4u Silva in Rd1 +450

[JIBBBY]

Wrasling 101 Covington thru 2...

[areallycoolguy]

that wouldve been a nice live bet, 3rd round sub

[JIBBBY]

^ Yeah... Well the heavy favorite got that one as to be expected.... Nice RN..

Gotta like another heavy favorite in this next fight as well...

[scofflaw]

How do you guys think the 90 degree arena affects our betting tonight? I'd guess slightly greater tilt to grapplers over strikers and 3 round distance props look a little more appealing now.

[JIBBBY]

How do you guys think the 90 degree arena affects our betting tonight? I'd guess slightly greater tilt to grapplers over strikers and 3 round distance props look a little more appealing now.

Muscular and heavier guys will gas faster.. Good point... You sure it 90 degrees? I don't see sweaty shirts and some at ring side are dressed warm... Ref is not sweating

1st round was fireworks in this scrap....

[Celtics08]

nice fight this

[Snicklefritz]

Guys what channel is this on??

[JIBBBY]

Guys what channel is this on??

FS2HD channel 618 Directv

[Beelzebubzy]

Fox sports 2

[Snicklefritz]

FS2HD channel 618 Directv

[Imsmarterthanu]

streams aren't loading

[Skel]

I'd like to see Gorman get another fight. Almeida and Gagnon are beasts and he went the distance with them both.

[JIBBBY]

Decision win for sure in this one in Brazil... Moving on.. Now the fights get tricky... Charlie Bren going down hopefully..

[scofflaw]

You sure it 90 degrees?

That's what Anik said during the first fight. No AC in the building.

[Bumdeal]

Just need Lima now. Going with brenneman as well.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

29-28?! I had the fight 30-26

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Just need Lima now. Going with brenneman as well.

2 units on Brenneman via Decision @ +185

[Bumdeal]

2 units on Brenneman via Decision @ +185

Was on decision as well but decided to play it straight. I Think decision hits though