Huge Play for Tomorrow

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  • conferi
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-08-13
    • 152

    #1
    Huge Play for Tomorrow
    Frank Mir vs Overeem, take the u 1 1/2 -205. This fight will end in 1 round. Mir has no chin, but gets lucky sometimes. Someone is getting knocked out quick in this one.
  • MD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-31-12
    • 9728

    #2
    Originally posted by conferi
    Frank Mir vs Overeem, take the u 1 1/2 -205. This fight will end in 1 round. Mir has no chin, but gets lucky sometimes. Someone is getting knocked out quick in this one.
    I agree, I'm on the under, too.
    Comment
    • Jim_Gunn
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-20-13
      • 542

      #3
      I took the under too at -195. It opened at -130 if you were quick enough.
      Comment
      • Ron_Paul_2012
        SBR MVP
        • 01-31-13
        • 3953

        #4
        I took the under @ -185 via Bookmaker.
        Comment
        • dww123
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-06-11
          • 441

          #5
          I like the over. 2 fighters desperate for a win both questionable chins and recent Ko losses will make for a more cautious approach from both. Overeem gassing and arrogance have cost him last 2 fights. He'll look to keep it slower pace and extend the bout a bit. Look for a lot of low risk clinch work. Mir's #1 objective is not get ko'd quickly which is probably the only way he gets cut. Overeem's #1 objective is to just get a W. which he will on points.
          Comment
          • Tommy Blingshyne
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-11-12
            • 821

            #6
            Originally posted by dww123
            I like the over. 2 fighters desperate for a win both questionable chins and recent Ko losses will make for a more cautious approach from both. Overeem gassing and arrogance have cost him last 2 fights. He'll look to keep it slower pace and extend the bout a bit. Look for a lot of low risk clinch work. Mir's #1 objective is not get ko'd quickly which is probably the only way he gets cut. Overeem's #1 objective is to just get a W. which he will on points.
            nah
            Comment
            • DoggyStyle
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-14-13
              • 890

              #7
              Originally posted by Tommy Blingshyne
              nah
              Word
              Comment
              • Dwil125
                SBR MVP
                • 11-08-12
                • 2048

                #8
                I played it really safe and took fight wont start round 3.
                Comment
                • kornuts
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-11-13
                  • 432

                  #9
                  Low risk clinch? If Mir gets clinch, he's done. Knees all day
                  Comment
                  • NunyaBidness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-26-09
                    • 9345

                    #10
                    Originally posted by dww123
                    I like the over. 2 fighters desperate for a win both questionable chins and recent Ko losses will make for a more cautious approach from both. Overeem gassing and arrogance have cost him last 2 fights. He'll look to keep it slower pace and extend the bout a bit. Look for a lot of low risk clinch work. Mir's #1 objective is not get ko'd quickly which is probably the only way he gets cut. Overeem's #1 objective is to just get a W. which he will on points.

                    I think the under cashes, but I think you are right that there is some value here on the over.

                    The fact that Reem has clearly changed his bodymass indicates he is at least coming in with a different gameplan here. Granted, the first time he hurts Mir he probably turns it on, but its got a shot.
                    Comment
                    • Thor4140
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-09-08
                      • 22296

                      #11
                      What if Mir Cheick Kongo's him?
                      Comment
                      • NunyaBidness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-26-09
                        • 9345

                        #12
                        Heh, Chet Kongo, that's when he wears the glasses, right?
                        Comment
                        • brodie
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-25-13
                          • 2212

                          #13
                          Mir's gonna rock this dude, them choke him out in the 2nd round.

                          on my mama
                          Comment
                          • dww123
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 07-06-11
                            • 441

                            #14
                            Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                            I think the under cashes, but I think you are right that there is some value here on the over.

                            The fact that Reem has clearly changed his bodymass indicates he is at least coming in with a different gameplan here. Granted, the first time he hurts Mir he probably turns it on, but its got a shot.

                            Just playing devil's ad. I don't do over unders i just took Reem straight up. But I really do see this as a somewhat similar situation as with melvin guillard coming off 2 loses and fighting Cameos.
                            Comment
                            • MD
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-31-12
                              • 9728

                              #15
                              Originally posted by dww123
                              Just playing devil's ad. I don't do over unders i just took Reem straight up. But I really do see this as a somewhat similar situation as with melvin guillard coming off 2 loses and fighting Cameos.
                              Any reason? If there's value, why not take it?
                              Comment
                              • dww123
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-06-11
                                • 441

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MD
                                Any reason? If there's value, why not take it?
                                Because of a lack of success with them in the past. Good point though. value is value.
                                Comment
                                • MD
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-31-12
                                  • 9728

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by dww123
                                  Because of a lack of success with them in the past. Good point though. value is value.
                                  I can understand that. I have an ass-load of plays every UFC card, but I've voluntarily chosen to play a lot less boxing, even if I think there's an edge, simply because I don't think I'm beating certain boxing markets. Hopefully I'll feel differently in the future.
                                  Comment
                                  • dww123
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-06-11
                                    • 441

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MD
                                    I can understand that. I have an ass-load of plays every UFC card, but I've voluntarily chosen to play a lot less boxing, even if I think there's an edge, simply because I don't think I'm beating certain boxing markets. Hopefully I'll feel differently in the future.
                                    Yeah i personally have no desire to gamble on sports whatsoever. I do it for the extra income but less bets the better for me. If i was rich, forget it. I'd just enjoy the fights and not fret. Mayweather's and Jordan's of the world i cannot understand.
                                    Comment
                                    • forthewin
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 06-15-12
                                      • 561

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by conferi
                                      Frank Mir vs Overeem, take the u 1 1/2 -205. This fight will end in 1 round. Mir has no chin, but gets lucky sometimes. Someone is getting knocked out quick in this one.
                                      Mir won't be getting lucky, in this fight..
                                      Comment
                                      • conferi
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-08-13
                                        • 152

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by forthewin
                                        Mir won't be getting lucky, in this fight..
                                        Unlikely to happen, but damn he gets lucky a lot when hes rocked. I dont care though as long as the fight ends in the 1st.
                                        Comment
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