Tremendous 2014 MMA Thread

**dankeykang** · 01-22-14, 02:40 AM

is he hard to take down? His stance seems horrible for take down defense

**dankeykang** · 01-22-14, 02:43 AM

market agrees with tremendous, wonder where donald will close?

**Tremendous** · 01-22-14, 09:59 AM

RDA took Cerrone down two or three times. If Martins mixes it up well, I think he'll have the opportunity to take it to the ground. Cerrone has shown good TDD, but he hasn't faced a wrestler since his WEC days. Martins is not exactly a D1 wrestler, but he has decent takedowns.

**Tremendous** · 01-22-14, 11:10 AM

1 unit --- Ramiro Hernandez (+260)

**Tremendous** · 01-22-14, 06:26 PM

3 units --- Nicholas Musoke (+145)

**Tremendous** · 01-22-14, 07:11 PM

2.3 units --- Ali Bagautinov (-115)

**Tremendous** · 01-23-14, 03:56 PM

UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014)

Wineland + Cruickshank ----- 2.5 units to win 2.4 units
Josh Thomson ----- 2 units to win 4.1 units
Miocic-Gonzaga Under 1.5 ----- 1.35 unit to win 1 unit
Miocic + Wineland + Rhodes ----- 1.1 unit to win 1.735 unit
Caceres-Pettis Over 2.5 ----- 1.1 unit to win 1 unit
Ramiro Hernandez ----- 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Adriano Martins ----- 1 unit to win 1.85 unit
Darren Elkins ----- 1 unit to win 1.25 unit
Miocic + Pettis ----- 1 unit to win 1.25 unit
Wineland-Jabouin Under 2.5 + Harris-Krylov Under 1.5 ----- 0.6 unit to win 1.105 unit
Miocic + Martins + Elkins + Pettis + Wineland + Cruickshank + Rhodes ----- 0.1 unit to win 2.995 units

**Wilbo86** · 01-23-14, 08:22 PM

I'm going heavy on Caceras straigt, moderate on Martins. Could be a bad night, but such are the fortunes of those seeking value (real or imaginary).

Considering Moicic by KO but its only paying 1.71 (implied ~58%). Gonzaga's chin is weak even for a HW.

**Dwil125** · 01-24-14, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by Tremendous

2.3 units --- Ali Bagautinov (-115)

Do you like the u2.5 here?

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Wilbo86

I'm going heavy on Caceras straigt, moderate on Martins. Could be a bad night, but such are the fortunes of those seeking value (real or imaginary).

Considering Moicic by KO but its only paying 1.71 (implied ~58%). Gonzaga's chin is weak even for a HW.

Yeah, I got Miocic SU. I expect him to finish Gonzaga, but it might be a replay of Gonzaga vs. Schaub.

Gonzaga has to land something big early, it's his only chance.

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Do you like the u2.5 here?

Both of them can finish a fight, but I expect this one to go the distance.

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 10:13 AM

Actually, I don't have Miocic SU...

As you can see, I parlayed him with some other fighters.

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 03:31 PM

UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014) - Part II

Wineland + Camus ----- 1.4 TW 1.5
Miocic + Cruickshank ----- 1.2 TW 1.27
Cruickshank by submission ----- 0.2 TW 3.44
Miocic by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.89
Viana by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.89
Harris by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.71
Caceres by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.45
Martins by submission ----- 0.2 TW 1.76
Rhodes by submission ----- 0.2 TW 1.44
FOTN: Elkins vs. Stephens ----- 0.2 TW 2
FOTN: Wineland vs. Jabouin ----- 0.2 TW 2
FOTN: Viana vs. Hernandez ----- 0.15 TW 2.1

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 10:52 PM

RFA 12 (24/01/2014)

Kevin Casey ----- 0.9 TW 0.5
Billy Daniels ----- 0.2 TW 2.5

**Tremendous** · 01-24-14, 11:35 PM

RFA 12 (24/01/2014): 1.1 unit --- 1.4 unit (+0.3 unit)

**Tremendous** · 01-25-14, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by Tremendous

UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014)

Wineland + Cruickshank ----- 2.5 units to win 2.4 units
Josh Thomson ----- 2 units to win 4.1 units
Miocic-Gonzaga Under 1.5 ----- 1.35 unit to win 1 unit
Miocic + Wineland + Rhodes ----- 1.1 unit to win 1.735 unit
Caceres-Pettis Over 2.5 ----- 1.1 unit to win 1 unit
Ramiro Hernandez ----- 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Adriano Martins ----- 1 unit to win 1.85 unit
Darren Elkins ----- 1 unit to win 1.25 unit
Miocic + Pettis ----- 1 unit to win 1.25 unit
Wineland-Jabouin Under 2.5 + Harris-Krylov Under 1.5 ----- 0.6 unit to win 1.105 unit
Miocic + Martins + Elkins + Pettis + Wineland + Cruickshank + Rhodes ----- 0.1 unit to win 2.995 units

Originally posted by Tremendous

UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014) - Part II

Wineland + Camus ----- 1.4 TW 1.5
Miocic + Cruickshank ----- 1.2 TW 1.27
Cruickshank by submission ----- 0.2 TW 3.44
Miocic by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.89
Viana by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.89
Harris by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.71
Caceres by submission ----- 0.2 TW 2.45
Martins by submission ----- 0.2 TW 1.76
Rhodes by submission ----- 0.2 TW 1.44
FOTN: Elkins vs. Stephens ----- 0.2 TW 2
FOTN: Wineland vs. Jabouin ----- 0.2 TW 2
FOTN: Viana vs. Hernandez ----- 0.15 TW 2.1

UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014): 17.3 units --- 16.725 units (-0.575 unit)

**Tremendous** · 01-25-14, 10:39 PM

Robbed... AGAIN.

Those fking cockroaches.

**Dwil125** · 01-26-14, 01:15 AM

Thought your wineland/Jabouin Fotn was going to cash for you. That was my favorite one.

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 06:42 AM

Yeah, that was a good fight, but Caceres vs. Pettis was very entertaining, so I'm ok with that.

That fking BS decision is what pisses me off (also took Thomson LIVE)...

Sal D'Amato is a fking clown.

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 06:52 AM

JANUARY 2014

UFC Fight Night 34 (04/01/2014): 6.5 units --- 8.395 units (+1.895 unit)
UFC Fight Night 35 (15/01/2014): 14.2 units --- 11.96 units (-2.24 units)
MFC 39 (17/01/2014): 0.5 unit --- 1.575 unit (+1.075 unit)
WSOF 8 (18/01/2014): 3.75 units --- 5.35 units (+1.6 unit)
RFA 12 (24/01/2014): 1.1 unit --- 1.4 unit (+0.3 unit)
UFC on Fox 10 (25/01/2014): 17.3 units --- 16.725 units (-0.575 unit)

January 2014: 43.35 units --- 45.405 units (+2.055 units)

**gizmo2431** · 01-26-14, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by Tremendous

Yeah, that was a good fight, but Caceres vs. Pettis was very entertaining, so I'm ok with that.

That fking BS decision is what pisses me off (also took Thomson LIVE)...

Sal D'Amato is a fking clown.

That was a Thomson win. I was at the fight and the crowd in Chicago was clearly behind Henderson cheering at the start of the fight. But by the end, they booed the decision because Thomson had put on a better show than Henderson. People were not pleased. Robbery for sure.

**BIGDAY** · 01-26-14, 10:40 AM

Holy balls that's some action.

Are there fights that you don't touch in some way? I swear you had a play on every fight.

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 11:22 AM

Go degen or go home, brother.

TBH, it works for me. Did the same thing last year, won some good money. Yeah, it affects my ROI, but that's ok, I don't care about "sexy numbers".

I cherry-pick my soccer/NFL/NBA plays, though. Their lines are much sharper, can't go degen...

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by gizmo2431

That was a Thomson win. I was at the fight and the crowd in Chicago was clearly behind Henderson cheering at the start of the fight. But by the end, they booed the decision because Thomson had put on a better show than Henderson. People were not pleased. Robbery for sure.

Yeah, man, Bendo just got another gift decision...

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 03:17 PM

1 unit --- Abel Trujillo by decision (+370)

**shabang** · 01-26-14, 03:35 PM

My parlays for last night's ufc on fox 10 card. Missed one more hitting by 20 seconds!I do these every ufc and usually hit.

1/25/14 3:49pm	$50.00	$418.53	$468.53	Win	6 Team Parlay
				Win	1/25/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Benson Henderson -290* vs Josh Thomson
				Win	1/25/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1201 Donald Cerrone -175* vs Adriano Martins
				Win	1/25/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Darren Elkins/Jeremy Stephens Over 1½ -205*
				Win	1/25/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Eddie Wineland -325* vs Yves Jabouin
				Win	1/25/14 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1801 Mike Rio/Daron Cruickshank Over 1½ -180*
				Win	1/25/14 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Mike Rhodes/George Sullivan Over 1½ -215*

1/25/14 5:08pm	$35.00	$502.17	$537.17	Win	8 Team Parlay
				Win	1/25/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1102 Stipe Miocic -255* vs Gabriel Gonzaga
				Win	1/25/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1401 Alex Caceres/Sergio Pettis Over 2½ -190*
				Win	1/25/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Eddie Wineland -420* vs Yves Jabouin
				Win	1/25/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1701 Hugo Viana -330* vs Ramiro Hernandez Jr.
				Win	1/25/14 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Daron Cruickshank -245* vs Mike Rio
				Win	1/25/14 9:30pm Props Fighting 1003 Thomson/Henderson goes 5 round distance -185* vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
				Win	1/25/14 6:30pm Props Fighting 1635 Camus/Meza starts round 3 -188* vs Fight won't start round 3
				Win	1/25/14 5:00pm Props Fighting 1937 Rhodes/Sullivan starts round 2 -288* vs Fight won't start round 2

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 03:51 PM

Congratulations!

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by Tremendous

1 unit --- Abel Trujillo by decision (+370)

Down to +295.

Varner has never been knocked out.

**Tremendous** · 01-26-14, 03:58 PM

0.5 unit --- Alistair Overeem by decision (+800)

**shabang** · 01-26-14, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by Tremendous

Down to +295.

Varner has never been knocked out.

I will be on abel as well ..There is always a first.

**Tremendous** · 01-27-14, 11:38 AM

1.5 unit --- Abel Trujillo (+133)

1 unit --- Nick Catone (+175)

**mirinquads** · 01-27-14, 05:17 PM

Any reason you like CANtone or just for the value? Thought about betting him, but he has been out for a while, with injury as well. Watsons TDD seems bad though, and Catone was handling Camozzi before the cut stoppage and he's bigger than Watson. Watsons TDD is not very good either.

**Vaughany** · 01-27-14, 05:24 PM

Obvious grappling advantage...will he be able to do it for three rounds tho if he doesnt finish kong with a choke or sumin in early round.

As beelze said to me earlier, kinda feels like he is jus fighting for a paycheck is past his peak. He had tht one fight and WW, got choked unconscious and is now going back to MW. He's got his own gym now in Brick township and trains there with no high level guys. His boxing coach is frank savannah, just a local guy. Had another kid in December as well, lookin for one final paycheck to cover tht maybe! Dont think i can back Kong tho as a fave...guy jus gets by on toughness and grit... Not athletic, average grappling, not a lot of power

**PunisherIND** · 01-27-14, 05:31 PM

cantone is undefeated in jerzey

this fight takes place in jerzey

you do the maff...

**Tremendous** · 01-27-14, 05:40 PM

Exactly, guys. I think Catone can take advantage of Watson's grappling deficiencies. Simple as that.

I also believe that Catone's gas tank won't look so bad this time (he's back to MW).