Tremendous 2014 MMA Thread

[Tremendous]

Titan FC 27 (28/02/2014)

Riddle-Kuiper Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.75
Ricci-Gurgel Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.4


Bellator 110 (28/02/2014)

Jackson ITD ----- 1 to win 1.76
Lawal ITD ----- 1 to win 1.75
Lawal + Nunes + Richman ----- 1 to win 1.476
Jackson-M'Pumbu Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.45
Lawal-Zayats Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.1
Yamauchi + Nunes -3.5 ----- 1 to win 0.946
Jackson + Lawal + Nunes + Richman + Yamauchi ----- 0.5 to win 1.338

[Tremendous]

UFC Fight Night 37 (01/03/2014)

DHK + Gustafsson ITD ----- 2.5 to win 2.605
Mitrione ----- 2 to win 2.5
Hioki + Nam ----- 1.5 to win 1.393
Tuerxun-Eddiva Under 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.4
Nam-Tokudome ITD ----- 1 to win 1.25
Phan-Lee Over 2.5 + Tuerxun ----- 1 to win 1.079
DHK + Phan ----- 1 to win 1.065
DHK + Sai + Hioki + Nam + Phan + Tuerxun ----- 0.5 to win 3.067
Mitrione-Jordan GTD ----- 0.5 to win 1.61
Hioki ITD ----- 0.5 to win 1.38
DHK -5.5 + Hioki -3.5 + Tuerxun -3.5 ----- 0.5 to win 1.122
DHK by submission ----- 0.3 to win 3.225
Mitrione +3.5 + Nam ITD + Phan by decision ----- 0.2 to win 2.783

[Tremendous]

Titan FC 27 (28/02/2014): 2 units --- 5.15 units (+3.15 units)

Bellator 110 (28/02/2014): 6.5 units --- 5.21 units (-1.29 unit)

UFC Fight Night 37 (01/03/2014): 10 units --- 7.393 units (-2.607 units)

YTD: +12.753 units

[Tremendous]

Michael Johnson --- 2.3 to win 2

Danny Mitchell --- 2 to win 3

[Tremendous]

Bellator 111 (07/03/2014)

Dantas-Leone Under 2.5 ----- 1.1 to win 1
Lavar Johnson ----- 1 to win 1.45
Johnson-Martinez Under 1.5 + Dantas ITD ----- 1 to win 1.271
Mark Holata ----- 0.5 to win 1.875
Lavar Johnson by decision ----- 0.1 to win 1.413

[Dwil125]

Nice. I'm on a Johnson/Martinez under, mighty mo o1.5, volkov holata u1.5 parlay.

Then small on chidi njoukani

[Tremendous]

Nice. I'm on a Johnson/Martinez under, mighty mo o1.5, volkov holata u1.5 parlay.

Then small on chidi njoukani

Well done, buddy!

[Tremendous]

Bellator 111 (07/03/2014)

Dantas-Leone Under 2.5 ----- 1.1 to win 1
Lavar Johnson ----- 1 to win 1.45
Johnson-Martinez Under 1.5 + Dantas ITD ----- 1 to win 1.271
Mark Holata ----- 0.5 to win 1.875
Lavar Johnson by decision ----- 0.1 to win 1.413

Bellator 111 (07/03/2014): 3.7 units --- 6.821 units (+3.121 units)

YTD: +15.874 units

[Tremendous]

UFC Fight Night 38 (08/03/2014)

Alexander Gustafsson ----- 8 to win 2
DHK (UFC Fight Night 37) + Gustafsson ITD ----- 2.5 to win 2.605
Michael Johnson ----- 2.3 to win 2
Danny Mitchell ----- 2 to win 3
Nelson + Gaudinot ----- 2 to win 2.157
Ilir Latifi ----- 1.1 to win 1
Gustafsson by submission ----- 1 to win 2.85
Scott + Gaudinot ----- 1 to win 1.398
Barnatt + Pickett ITD ----- 1 to win 1.359
Scott-Mineiro Over 1.5 + Gustafsson-Manuwa ITD ----- 1 to win 1.113
Gustafsson + Johnson-Guillard Over 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.078
Gustafsson -5.5 + NOT Araujo ITD ----- 1 to win 1.062
Nelson + Mitchell-Araujo Over 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.057
Barnatt + Scott ----- 1 to win 1.054
Scott + Gustafsson-Manuwa ITD ----- 1 to win 1.053
Gustafsson + Nelson + Mitchell + Gaudinot ----- 0.5 to win 2.782
Latifi by decision ----- 0.5 to win 1.2
Johnson + Latifi + Scott + Pickett ITD + Nelson ITD + Barnatt ITD + NOT Araujo ITD ----- 0.1 to win 5.208

TOTAL RISK: 28 units

[Tremendous]

UFC Fight Night 38 (08/03/2014): 28 units --- 33.972 units (+5.972 units)

YTD: +21.846 units

[Tremendous]

Robbie Lawler ----- 2 to win 7.2

Condit ITD ----- 2 to win 2.96

Sanchez-Jury Over 2.5 + Shields-Lombard Over 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.19

[Tremendous]

Scoggins-Campuzano Under 2.5 ----- 2 to win 3.35

Condit + Scoggins ----- 2 to win 2.108

Story-Gastelum Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.75

Bermudez-Hettes Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.65

Rick Story ----- 1 to win 1.35

[Tremendous]

UFC 171 (15/03/2014)

Condit + Lombard ----- 5 to win 6.1
Lombard + NOT Jury ITD ----- 2.5 to win 2.057
Robbie Lawler ----- 2 to win 7.2
Scoggins-Campuzano Under 2.5 ----- 2 to win 3.35
Rick Story ----- 2 to win 2.975
Condit ITD ----- 2 to win 2.96
Condit + Scoggins ----- 2 to win 2.108
Woodley by decision + Shields by decision ----- 1 to win 12.02
Scoggins by submission ----- 1 to win 8
Lombard by decision ----- 1 to win 3.75
Raquel Pennington ----- 1 to win 2.3
Jimy Hettes ----- 1 to win 2.1
Gastelum-Story Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.75
Renee Forte -3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.7
Hettes-Bermudez Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.65
McDaniel-Strickland Over 1.5 + Garcia -3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.403
Lombard + Pineda-Whiteford ITD ----- 1 to win 1.371
Sanchez +3.5 + OSP -3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.302
Sanchez-Jury Over 2.5 + Lombard-Shields Over 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.19
Garcia + McDaniel +3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.134
Pineda ITD ----- 1 to win 1.06
Condit + NOT Hendricks ITD + Sanchez +3.5 + Lombard -3.5 + OSP -3.5 ----- 0.5 to win 5.163
Condit by submission ----- 0.5 to win 4.475
Fastest KO: Alex Garcia ----- 0.5 to win 3.675
Gastelum by submission ----- 0.5 to win 3
Fight of the Night: Sanchez vs. Jury ----- 0.5 to win 2.75
Fastest SUB: Daniel Pineda ----- 0.5 to win 2.5
Forte ITD ----- 0.5 to win 1.215

TOTAL RISK: 35 units

[Tremendous]

UFC 171 (15/03/2014): 35 units --- 11.497 units (-23.503 units)

YTD: -1.657 unit

[Tremendous]

Yeah, I got fking killed tonight.

[Dwil125]

That sucks man, I had story winning the fight and didn't see Woodley winning itd at all. Woodley decision made sense. Next weekend you'll win it back

[Tremendous]

That sucks man, I had story winning the fight and didn't see Woodley winning itd at all. Woodley decision made sense. Next weekend you'll win it back

Yeah, man.

Some bad bets, some unlucky ones...

[SherdogGOD]

Tremendous, you have shown great potential. I love your bet sizing and attention to detail. You look like a very skilled handicapper. Do you happen to post on sherdog by chance? Would love to pick your brain. Looking forward to your full bets for the next card. Good luck! I will be subscribing to your thread.

[Tremendous]

Tremendous, you have shown great potential. I love your bet sizing and attention to detail. You look like a very skilled handicapper. Do you happen to post on sherdog by chance? Would love to pick your brain. Looking forward to your full bets for the next card. Good luck! I will be subscribing to your thread.

Thank you.

I don't post there, but I do read the betting threads.

[Tremendous]

Jason + Brandão ----- 3 to win 3.603

Gian Villante ----- 3 to win 2.222

Lahat + Shogun-Henderson ITD ----- 2 to win 2.793

Shogun-Henderson Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.45

[fitguy67]

Tremendous, you have shown great potential. I love your bet sizing and attention to detail. You look like a very skilled handicapper. Do you happen to post on sherdog by chance? Would love to pick your brain. Looking forward to your full bets for the next card. Good luck! I will be subscribing to your thread.

^^^ditto for me^^^
regarding the bet-sizing (the essence of what people more vaguely refer to as "money management)...i have one important question...

what % of your bankroll do you define as a unit...

or, if you prefer...the same thing could be asked/answered in reciprocal fashion: how many units do you divide your bankroll up into

betting is firing bullets (units) at valuable game, but some obviously hit and some miss...the number of bullets you create with your stock of gunpowder (bankroll) is a key decision you must make...you seem to know what you're doing, so i wonder how you handle the bullets-management side of things (lotsa small-calibre ones or fewer large-calibre ones)


I'd assume your answer(s) will be in the neighbourhood of: 1 unit = 1% of roll (aka. the roll is broken into 100 units)...but i thought I'd ask to make sure...i'm always interested in different styles and the different "risk (aka. variance) tolerance" implied by them...

[Tremendous]

Yeah, you got it right, 1 unit is 1% of my initial bankroll (01/01/2014).

[Tremendous]

Dollaway ITD ----- 1 to win 6.5

Dollaway ----- 1 to win 2

Parke + Jorgensen ----- 1 to win 1.104

Parke-Santos Over 2.5 + Jorgensen-Formiga Over 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.029

Shogun by submission ----- 0.5 to win 4.3

[Tremendous]

Bellator 113 (21/03/2014)

Vegh ----- 1 to win 2
Girtz ----- 1 to win 1.6
Rickels + Held + Campos ----- 1 to win 1.386

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Bellator 113 (21/03/2014)

Vegh ----- 1 to win 2
Girtz ----- 1 to win 1.6
Rickels + Held + Campos ----- 1 to win 1.386

Got 2 units on Girtz.

[Tremendous]

Bellator 113 (21/03/2014)

Vegh ----- 1 to win 2
Girtz ----- 1 to win 1.6
Rickels + Held + Campos ----- 1 to win 1.386

Rickels-Freire Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.45

[Tremendous]

Bellator 113 (21/03/2014): 4 units --- 2.45 units (-1.55 unit)

YTD: -3.207 units

[Tremendous]

UFC Fight Night 39 (23/03/2014)

Jason + Brandão ----- 3 to win 3.603
Villante ----- 3 to win 2.222
Lahat + Shogun-Henderson ITD ----- 2 to win 2.793
Markes ITD ----- 2 to win 2.035
Barroso ----- 1.5 to win 1.25
Perpétuo ----- 1.5 to win 1.25
Dollaway ITD ----- 1 to win 6.5
Taisumov ITD ----- 1 to win 2.05
Dollaway ----- 1 to win 2
Parke -3.5 ----- 1 to win 2
Shogun-Henderson Under 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.45
Maldonado-Villante Over 2.5 + Barroso-Stringer Over 1.5 ----- 1 to win 1.377
Dollaway-Ferreira ITD + Brandão-Chope ITD ----- 1 to win 1.327
Taisumov -3.5 + Markes -3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.321
Shogun + Jorgensen ----- 1 to win 1.138
Parke + Jorgensen ----- 1 to win 1.104
Dollaway +3.5 ----- 1 to win 1.05
Shogun + Parke ----- 1 to win 1.02
Parke-Santos Over 2.5 + Jorgensen-Formiga Over 2.5 ----- 1 to win 1.029
Shogun by submission ----- 0.5 to win 4.3
Shogun + Parke + Jason + Jorgensen + Lahat ----- 0.5 to win 2.813
Villante + Perpétuo + Barroso ----- 0.5 to win 2.546

TOTAL RISK: 27.5 units

[Tremendous]

UFC Fight Night 39 (23/03/2014): 27.5 units --- 23.909 units (-3.591 units)

YTD: -6.798 units

[Tremendous]

I actually won 6 units tonight, but those non-posted plays are irrelevant to the thread record.

[Dwil125]

I actually won 6 units tonight, but those non-posted plays are irrelevant to the thread record.

Did you add more on Dollaway? Craziest night ever with all these underdogs, line movement was insane too.

[Tremendous]

Did you add more on Dollaway? Craziest night ever with all these underdogs, line movement was insane too.

Yeah, I did, CB saved me big time.

Added on Shogun as well, but also took Hendo after round 2...

What a night.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I actually won 6 units tonight, but those non-posted plays are irrelevant to the thread record.

I believe you. 6 units is great on a card like this. I lost over half my BR. I learned a few important lessons though. So it was still a good night.

[Dwil125]

Yeah, I did, CB saved me big time.

Added on Shogun as well, but also took Hendo after round 2...

What a night.

I did that too. lost on shogun after winning more on Cb. Hedged with Henderson itd +325 parlayed with phil davis like a dummy. If I did a live bet after round 2 on Hendo I would have been good to go with the +1100 odds.

[Tremendous]

I did that too. lost on shogun after winning more on Cb. Hedged with Henderson itd +325 parlayed with phil davis like a dummy. If I did a live bet after round 2 on Hendo I would have been good to go with the +1100 odds.

Bet365 was offering +1500, but my cash there was tied up, so I had to take +900 (5Dimes).