UFC 162 Line Movement

[Noleafclover]

Where do you all see the lines going as we come into the fight?

Silva/Weidman - hard to say, see a lot of action coming in on both. May have settled.

Edgar/Oliveira - Probably settled, but more action may come in on Edgar, don't see very many people talking about Oliveira having a shot or realistically willing to put money down on it.

Gracie/Kennedy - I think Gracie's name will bring action on him.

Boetsch/Munoz - Munoz pretty popular, see more action coming in on him.

Siver/Swanson - Seems settled? May see a little more action on the favorite, but as it gets bet up I think people will be willing to take a shot on Siver and bring it back down.

Craig/Leben - I think money may come in on the favorite here.

Tokudome/Parke - No idea.

Herman/Gonzaga - Money may come in on herman here, nothing seems certain to me in this fight and I see people as seeing value on Herman if anywhere.

Oliveira/Barboza - See more money coming in on Barboza, seems highly likely.

Baczynski/Melancon - Would love to say I see it otherwise, but think more money comes in on Baczynski ?

Pierce/Mitchell - May stay fairly static... if anything move a little away from Pierce but 5dimes Pierce-backers may be better off still waiting for reduced juice.

[MD]

Late money will come in on Tokudome and Leben, but money will come in on Craig before that. I think Oliveira will get late steam, too. I actually think Edgar will move to -380 or there around.

This is a bad thing to discuss in public though.

[Vaughany]

I dont see how people could back likes of Raffaelo Oliveira, Mitchell and Melancon or at least not enough to make lines move significantly.

Melancon has been out for 18 months and Seth is going to considerably bigger. Maybe he can take Seth down and grind him out to a decision but cant imagine his cardio will be good enough for that considering the long-layoff and first fight in UFC

[MD]

I dont see how people could back likes of Raffaelo Oliveira, Mitchell and Melancon or at least not enough to make lines move significantly.

Melancon has been out for 18 months and Seth is going to considerably bigger. Maybe he can take Seth down and grind him out to a decision but cant imagine his cardio will be good enough for that considering the long-layoff and first fight in UFC

Melancon is a very good talent. He's like a better version of Dan Henderson. I thought he got f-cked in the decision with Flagg, and his offensive boxing is lethal. The layoff is the only reason I'm not pounding him. If I knew he'd try to wrestle, I'd be all over him, too. He can definitely beat Baczynski with wrestling if he wants to.

[omalley21]

I already locked in melancon +210 shouldve waited though. MD your inbox is full but ur the judo expert... U like tokudome?

[MD]

I already locked in melancon +210 shouldve waited though. MD your inbox is full but ur the judo expert... U like tokudome?

Sorry about that, should be room now.

[mmaed]

Sorry about that, should be room now.

You dont think seths size advantage will be enough to stuff melancon?

[MD]

You dont think seths size advantage will be enough to stuff melancon?

No.

[mmaed]

So far i like pierce, edgar and barboza. I dont see any of their opponents having very much for them.

i have some reservations about frankie. He always puts it together though so ill trust him. If read some interviews and he seems to be very motivated to win this fight.

oliviera lot the first round to yves edwards before getting koed. He was pretty much shut out by andre winner.
he also hasnt fought in a year. Barboza is better then the both of them. I like his td defense as well.

mitchells only chance against pierce is to sub him off his back which is probably not likely. Pierce sat in rochad guard and rochad guard is beastly. Very beasty. Standing pierce is better as well imo. Mitchell might have a reach advantage but i dont think his power is anything to write home about.

[Thor4140]

[Thor4140]

So far i like pierce, edgar and barboza. I dont see any of their opponents having very much for them.

i have some reservations about frankie. He always puts it together though so ill trust him. If read some interviews and he seems to be very motivated to win this fight.

oliviera lot the first round to yves edwards before getting koed. He was pretty much shut out by andre winner.
he also hasnt fought in a year. Barboza is better then the both of them. I like his td defense as well.

mitchells only chance against pierce is to sub him off his back which is probably not likely. Pierce sat in rochad guard and rochad guard is beastly. Very beasty. Standing pierce is better as well imo. Mitchell might have a reach advantage but i dont think his power is anything to write home about.

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