ive parlayed every bet since superbowl with gsp -470

[Beelzebubzy]

Patrick cote won by dq

please deposit 2 points

[Vaughany]

[MD]

you must have no clue on how moneyline parlays work otherwise you wouldnt have said this

LOL.

[NunyaBidness]

Other gems in this guy's posting history:

magic have gone over 11x in a row,so the under is due to hit bigtime

bj will role

(in reference to edgar)

aldo will win in decession

No idea what that word means.

And then there's this thread:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/2109742-65-nba-picking-every-game-schedule-ats-all-picks-posted.html

[Beelzebubzy]

Decision in a recession

[Vaughany]

Decision in a recession

lmao was about to type out exact same witty comment! 2 points to u Sir!

[tbird509]

Other gems in this guy's posting history:



(in reference to edgar)



No idea what that word means.

And then there's this thread:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ks-posted.html

magic did go under,aldo did go to judjes..(english not 1st language)stop posting nba thread cause i wasnt hitting 65%,and bj lost,so whats you point

[Beelzebubzy]

Tbird you owe me 2 points

[fitguy67]

tbird, study...don't just read this thread...

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-betting/646563-rubber-duckie-plays-90-winners-guaranteed.html

what you are doing is basically parlaying two
of these hiWin%/lo-payout plays "Rubber Duckie" plays

the serious logical flaw is in equating LOW-probability-of-loss plays with NO-probability-of-loss plays...but they are different, very different beasts and grow increasingly so the longer you continue acting as if they are

eventually the unthinkable will happen...George gets caught by Diaz the same way Koscheck got caught by Lawlwer (or lots of other "improbable" things can happen...like Jones "losing" to Hamill or Silva "losing" to Okami...these are NOT sure things....they are bets...and the reciprocal of the decimal odds tells you roughly what probability the book's are giving to the event...GSP at -470 means Diaz has almost 1 chance in 5 to win...it is NOT that unlikely...you want to put up a loved one's life to win $10,000 knowing u have a 1 in 5 chance of losing...replace wife with your full bankroll...including all the $ you've accumulated to this point thinking you can't lose...

the "rubber duckie" plays in this thread were all much safer (90%+win%)...much better than parlaying two 80%-ish plays as ur doing here...

read this thread and think about it...what you think as "unthinkable" is actually mathematically a "certainty"...and you're tying everything onto just ONE rubber-ducky play (a rubber ducky called George)...magnifying the ALL or NOTHING VOLATILITY of the situation...if it all comes down to George...you've got an 80% chance of dodging the bullet and winning money at the rate of 50% on all your alive parlays (which will be almost all of your roll by the time the fight comes around...5 figures for sure)...you discount something with a 20%-ish probability as if has a ZERO% probability...huge mistake dude

until the rubber-ducky play loses u'll think ur the cleverest guy on the planet...WHEN it happens and the "sure" half of your pile of parlays loses u'll remember lotsa bros tried to warn u...

gud luk on wiising up and hedging out in tym...if u don't, the money u win by dodging the bullet yet again will only ingrain your stubborn stupidity that u've got a golden goose when it's in fact a guarantted one-way ticket to bankroll wipe out...

[Grabaka]

(Wish Gabers was here for this. . .)

Delicious irony.

LOL

[Kaladarus]

I really like GSP in this fight. Diaz doesn't really have too many threats here so you should be fairly safe. Things happen though so don't get carried away with your bank roll.

[tbird509]

guys ive been doing this with anderson silva since 2007,and only had to sweat it out once,and ive been riding gsp since his last loss which is the same year,so for those of you that this this is stupid,i understand your logic,but this has worked more than a few years.....heres some plays for you 2mor...gsp/ind/mia/lac all moneyline theirs a 4teamer for u haters...cash it...

i would tell you what it pays but money lines wont be out till 2mor

[NunyaBidness]

Have fun parlaying those -2000 favorites dumb dumb.

[hobbesITD]

guys ive been doing this with anderson silva since 2007,and only had to sweat it out once,and ive been riding gsp since his last loss which is the same year,so for those of you that this this is stupid,i understand your logic,but this has worked more than a few years.....heres some plays for you 2mor...gsp/ind/mia/lac all moneyline theirs a 4teamer for u haters...cash it...

i would tell you what it pays but money lines wont be out till 2mor

You don't really, do you?

[MD]

Have fun parlaying those -2000 favorites dumb dumb.

Joke's on you: you don't pay the juice if you win.

What now bro?

[tbird509]

Have fun parlaying those -2000 favorites dumb dumb.

we will see whos dumb 2mor...pay attention nunyabizz,this is to you
gsp/mia/lac
gsp/lac/mia/ind
gsp/mia
gsp/lac

ill update what they pay out when moneylines come out 2mor and show you how to get gsp at a good price

[sideloaded]

It's over guys, this guy figured out how to beat the bookies.

Last one out turn off the lights

[tbird509]

theirs no juice paying win or lose on parlays,this is guarding your money on heavy favs

[MD]

theirs no juice paying win or lose on parlays,this is guarding your money on heavy favs

For tbird's next trick, he's going to pull a Polish middle out of an Oscar bet.

[NunyaBidness]

we will see whos dumb 2mor...pay attention nunyabizz,this is to you
gsp/mia/lac
gsp/lac/mia/ind
gsp/mia
gsp/lac

ill update what they pay out when moneylines come out 2mor and show you how to get gsp at a good price

Any decent sharp would know where those lines are going to open.

[NunyaBidness]

For tbird's next trick, he's going to pull a Polish middle out of an Oscar bet.

That's a good one.

I think I hit the world's first middle on an Oscar bet yesterday. I'm saving the polish middle for next year.

[Beelzebubzy]

Where do we find these characters?

[NunyaBidness]

Where do we find these characters?

In the other sub-forums there's a million guys saying shit like this, and the rest of em all agree.

My favorite was some thread about MLB chase systems (basically just a martingale) where everybody was winning because 8-1 favorites usually win. And then suddenly those 12%ers starting coming in over and over and everyone went broke.

I didn't need porn for an entire month.

[tbird509]

anybody in here betting diaz,because i havent seen anyone even mention his name in this thread,after all, isnt the main topic how confident i am in gsp....and get out of hear saying a eye poke or broken hand etc...lets hear some pov on what diaz can be superior at

[hobbesITD]

In the other sub-forums there's a million guys saying shit like this, and the rest of em all agree.

My favorite was some thread about MLB chase systems (basically just a martingale) where everybody was winning because 8-1 favorites usually win. And then suddenly those 12%ers starting coming in over and over and everyone went broke.

I didn't need porn for an entire month.

Talking about Wallco99?

I keep waiting for his NHL thread to implode. It's amazing how many people can be talked into laying $100s on Team A just because Team A lost their last three home games and are "due". It's the same idiots who chase in roulette.

[sideloaded]

anybody in here betting diaz,because i havent seen anyone even mention his name in this thread,after all, isnt the main topic how confident i am in gsp....and get out of hear saying a eye poke or broken hand etc...lets hear some pov on what diaz can be superior at

look man gsp hasnt looked super durable in his last 3-4 fights. One punch behind the ear and he's gonzo

[tbird509]

i didnt start this thread to start posting nba plays in,im just telling you guys what works for me,so after 2mors games i wont post plays,im just using 2mor games as example of how im doing this....basically i wana hear some pov from diaz backers

[tbird509]

diaz has no power,and wont beable to defend gsp's jab....gsp will beable to take diaz down at will,and keep him their if thats what he wants too,diaz emotions will be all over the place and the fight game at this stage is over 50%mental...this will be a showcase fight for gsp and will leave people talking for awhile

[sideloaded]

diaz did drop noons who has a good beard

[Sacrelicious]

Honestly, the difference between this sub forum and the other sub forums is astounding. I sometimes read them to see how many "best bet of the year/lock of the century" threads there are on any given day.

[GunShard]

There's no such thing as a lock. Be aware of that Tbird.

[Sacrelicious]

There's no such thing as a lock bet. Be aware of that.

[GunShard]

I was talking to the OP.

As you mentioned, Best bet of the year threads and Lock threads always loses.

[Vaughany]

There's no such thing as a lock. Be aware of that Tbird.

#LISTENTOGUNSHARD

[tbird509]

ok mia and clipper spreads are to high(their both -3000) so we will just stick with gsp-470/indiana-350 500 pays 280....diaz isnt built to beat gsp,he'll never be a champ in ufc,dana cant stand this guy,and his attitude sucks...gsp all day.....this will be the only post on nba picks,this indiana game is perfect example how i lowered odds on gsp,once pacers win,2nd leg of bet will be waggering 500 and collecting 280,thats even better thann2/1