Highly Cerebral MMA Plays for the Weekend

[Sacrelicious]

Plays for the weekend!




Bellator:

Moderate-light on Cupcake
Very small parlay on Freire/Sarnavisky, ****** up due to injury, now just a one team play.
Been reading up on "Saad Awad", never heard of the guy. Gonna try find some video of his fights, he sounds like a bit of a can. May make a tiny play fading him.

UFC:

Moderate on Creepy
Heavy on Fitch
Parlay filler galore with Reem/Rashad
Moderate on Volkmann
Moderate on Edgar

I made a series parlays a while back with Aldo as the last pick to act as a hedge on the Edgar play. Thankfully, this gives me some room to play around and live bet the fight. If this fight goes as Edgar's recent outings have, and he gets tagged hard in the first round or two, I intend to throw another half unit or so onto him after his line shoots up live in play.




Best of luck to all of you this weekend.

[Bradbatross]

I'm having a lot of trouble deciding who's going to win the Woodard/Rickels fight.

edit: nvm I'm going with Woodard. The only way I see Rickels winning is if he gets the submission off his back.

For Bellator tomorrow I'm going with Brooks, Woodard and Sarnavskiy... and Guillaume I guess.

[Sacrelicious]

Interesting picks.

Can I get you to list them by % chance of winning?

[Bradbatross]

They're not that interesting, all these guys are the favorites. Percentage chances are just an opinion based on the way both fighters fight... obviously anything can happen in a fight.

[Sacrelicious]

Edgar and Creepy are favorites...?

[Bradbatross]

I picked Brooks, Woodard, Sarnavskiy and Guillaume..... I do have Edgar though. He's going to outbox Aldo and take him down repeatedly in the later rounds.

[Sacrelicious]

Can I get you to give me your percent chances of all fighters winning this weekend? I would like to know where to place my entire bankroll.

[Dwil125]

Can I get you to give me your percent chances of all fighters winning this weekend? I would like to know where to place my entire bankroll.

Hahaha

[Sacrelicious]

For those who are unsure what I am talking about: http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...edictions.html

[Bradbatross]

Yea I made some bad picks...... Jesus this place is full of losers, I can't even imagine what some of you people are like in real life.

[Sacrelicious]

I'm charming, witty and a working professional. I'd give myself a solid 7/10 as well.

[Vaughany]

Ebersole was a 95% lock brah

[pouyasophy]

Yea I made some bad picks...... Jesus this place is full of losers, I can't even imagine what some of you people are like in real life.

My thoughts every time I come here. So much negativity, bitterness and tension....

[pouyasophy]

Don't bet on Edgar unless you hate money

[sideloaded]

[Sacrelicious]

Don't bet on Edgar unless you hate money

Stop posting in my threads.

[Dwil125]

For those who are unsure what I am talking about: http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...edictions.html

I get it now

[Mercersux]

Don't bet on Edgar unless you hate money

I can see value on Edgar where the lines sitting but I'm concerned that the leg kicks will be the difference. Aldo's leg kicks are easily a notch above Henderson's. Leg kicks early on will take the away the spring in Edgar's step and its downhill form there.

[Grabaka]

Don't bet on Edgar unless you hate money

You complain about SBR but then you make a comment like this one. Why would your opinion be better?

[Sacrelicious]

pouyasophy: stop posting in my threads.

[Sacrelicious]

Threw in the under prop on Rickels/Cupcake.

[Sacrelicious]

Tiny play on DeLorenzi.

[Sacrelicious]

Tiny play on brooks.

[Sacrelicious]

Bellator was a losing night. 2-3, with one of those losses being a little more substantial then the other plays.

Ah well, onto bigger and better things named "Jon Fitch".

[Sacrelicious]

Okay, took out a little play on Cisco, as well as a tiny bit on Volkmann by sub.

Still have not put down any of the money on Edgar yet, I'm gonna hit that live.

[vikesbills24]

im sorry, but your betting strategy is horrible.

[vikesbills24]

the only play I like is you being heavy on fitch. anything heavy with rashad and creepy is laughable. same goes for edgar. I dont know what youre thinking....but you are going to lose big if you choose your op betting strategy.

[MD]

the only play I like is you being heavy on fitch. anything heavy with rashad and creepy is laughable. same goes for edgar. I dont know what youre thinking....but you are going to lose big if you choose your op betting strategy.

No one cares what you think.

[Sacrelicious]

No money is on Edgar yet, I have parlays with Aldo, I intend to hit Edgar once his line shoots up as a hedge and possible bet, but all will be done live. We'll see what happens...

[Sacrelicious]

Cisco hit, tiny tiny play on Camus.