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I don't see either fighter finishing one another, I hope the over 4.5 line isn't -300Leave a comment:
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This could well be the best bet to make, interested in adding this to fight goes the distance play. Really dont see Henderson finishing DiazYTD 2-1 +$1,162.50
Gonna play this now and prolly again closer to Saturday.
I'm playing Diaz +3.5 points on the cards...I think we all can say that Bendo prolly isn't gonna finish Diaz...I think if this goes to the cards it's cause it's a closely fought affair with both guys having their moments...at this time I think Bendo is gonna win a controversial decision that most see going Diaz way....so as of now I'm taking the points....in a few days I may decide I also want a bet on Diaz straight...but we shall see.
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I disagree. In Baseball, you have nine players on the field, each of whom have the ability to make an error and change the outcome of the game. In MMA you have two people who can really control what the outcome of the fight may be... Well, minus the ref and the judges. Has there been some bad judging? sure.. But most of the time, they get it correct. I have lost money on some stoppages due to cuts and DQ's also. Other than that I don't know how you can say MLB has the lowest variance and MMA the highest...?
In baseball, you have to worry about weather, your bullpen, offense, defense, who is injured and who isn't, etc.. The whole team needs to align and work together correctly in order to work. Kinda like a well oiled automobile. If anyone of those listed above has a bad night, the outcome of the game becomes completely different. I personally feel more confident in MMA myself. I understand there is random shit in MMA also that happens all the time. But in some fights, if I feel a fighter will follow through on a smart game plan, and execute what I think he needs to win, it's money. These fights do not come up very often, but to give you a few examples:
Larkin vs Lawler - Strikeforce
Barao vs Faber - UFC
Alistar vs Lesnar - UFC
Jones vs Shogun - UFC
Anyways, I think those fights were gifts for the odds offered at the time.Leave a comment:
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I mean I suppose theres always fine print on these things, I'm just asking out of curiosity.Leave a comment:
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I think I'm either misunderstanding your answer or you my question.. I'm saying if DIAZ, hypothetically, scores a four point lead over the first round, thus fufilling the circumstances of the wager. Then Henderson knocks him out, winning the fight, but giving, in terms of the cards and the judges total a plus 4 lead, betting the wager, would this still be a win?
Which also raises the other point, if you handicap your pick to win x amount of points in a decision and then they knock out thier opponent prior to doing so, does that also count as a win on your part?Leave a comment:
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Hey question about a prop like this. Lets assume Diaz does score 4 rounds and then hendo makes a freak finish, does it still cash? I'm assuming not, but just wondering.YTD 2-1 +$1,162.50
Gonna play this now and prolly again closer to Saturday.
I'm playing Diaz +3.5 points on the cards...I think we all can say that Bendo prolly isn't gonna finish Diaz...I think if this goes to the cards it's cause it's a closely fought affair with both guys having their moments...at this time I think Bendo is gonna win a controversial decision that most see going Diaz way....so as of now I'm taking the points....in a few days I may decide I also want a bet on Diaz straight...but we shall see.
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Nun, meet me at a poker table in vegas. i wanna take u for all you've got.Leave a comment:
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I really have no respect for you as far as sports betting and handicapping goes. The fact that you think you would have to use actual data to predict a half-time score only goes to show how little you really know and how poorly I'm sure you do. I still can't believe you thought Kyle Kingsbury stood a chance against Jimi Manuwa lol
Note: You have never posted any plays (aside from politics) that people could tail and profit. Me, I've posted more than you can keep track of.Leave a comment:
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YTD 2-1 +$1,162.50
Gonna play this now and prolly again closer to Saturday.
I'm playing Diaz +3.5 points on the cards...I think we all can say that Bendo prolly isn't gonna finish Diaz...I think if this goes to the cards it's cause it's a closely fought affair with both guys having their moments...at this time I think Bendo is gonna win a controversial decision that most see going Diaz way....so as of now I'm taking the points....in a few days I may decide I also want a bet on Diaz straight...but we shall see.
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You don't cap a halftime bet with data, but yes I did have knowledge. Knowledge of these teams, how they play each other, how I predicted they would play each other. I was pretty much right on the money. If it was a Sunday morning game, it would have cashed. Eli Manning never risks doing anything in the final minute of the 2nd quarter. Because it was MNF, they moved down field, using time outs. It was 3rd down and 10 at the 50 yard line, and he threw a 28 yard pass, and they took a time out with 4 seconds left, for a 40something yard field goal... terrible luck, but good prediction. sorry for calling your wife ugly. xoLeave a comment:
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Sample size.
The score could've been 60-0 at halftime and it could've theoretically have been a good bet. It could've won and still been a bad bet.
You don't have the data or knowledge of how to deal with it to determine whether or not it was a good bet.Leave a comment:
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You could say "No." if the score at halftime was 10-21... but to say that when it was tied with 4 seconds remaining only proves you're a dumbass... go read a calculus book. all you're good for.
i capped that game having a great chance of being tied at halftime, anybody who says it was poorly capped deserves to be slapped by their ugly, aspergers-tolerating wives.Leave a comment:
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yeah big time...oddschecker.com said Crewe moneyline was most popular play of the day!Leave a comment:
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Lot of people have been buried from that play, fortunately I took the draw-no-bet and -0.25 which meant I got stake back on one play which was over a grand, and half stake back on a play that was 950 so lost about 425. Their opponent had a load of injuries and illnesses so they had to play 5 youth team players who'd never played pro before so everybody was on Crewe! Then Crewe go and get a player sent off in 92nd min and concede a minute later. Just ridicularse...people are going crazy on twitter!Leave a comment:
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ha Tell me about it! Was also literally 4 seconds away from winning £1,450 tonight on Crewe in the ol' soccer then they conceded an equalizer in the 93rd minute of game (almost last kick of match). Sickening
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I've made a killing in NFL and NCAAF this year, and have been doing pretty well w/ NBA too.
I was literally 4 seconds away (time left when they went for a field goal) from hitting a $550 bet on a +1500 line, so it's safe to say I'm kinda good at capping NFL.
And there are a lot of variables in MMA, too. Cote vs Sakara, Kim vs Maia, unpredictable shit happens kinda frequently... Poor judging and reffing are the worst. Poor reffing has cost me, especially in the Papazian vs Pague, Rumble vs Vitor, and Caceres vs Figuroea fights... Bad judging has screwed me much more...Leave a comment:
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thats painful. not to rub it in, but this was my glorious play from the weekend
A.Rodgers passing yards over 285½* +135 @ 5dimes
A.Rodgers passing yards under 287½ (-115) @ bovada
Aaron Rodgers(notes) QB
27-35, 286 yds
i was doing the "discount double check" dance in my living room!
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This is why I want to tail his next plays....I've seen many times when guys take bad beats like this and then they go on a run like an absolute beast soon after... happend with Jesus not too long ago if I remember correctly...Leave a comment:
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My heart is still broken from back to back nights of INCREDIBLY bad beats where I was SECONDS away from profiting THOUSANDS. Hurts...Leave a comment:
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Wow, man. It was 10-10 with 40 seconds left to go. Can't believe the Giants made it down the field that fast for a field goal. In situations like that this season, they have killed the last minute and gone into halftime. That was out of character for the Giants. I guess they did it because it was MNF. So pissed. Two bad beats, two days in a row.Leave a comment:
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That was such a penetrating bad beat. Threw some $ on those HT plays myself.Leave a comment:
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I think this is a very important game for both teams, though technically not as important for Washington, I think their playoff chances are done. They will have to win every game for the rest of the season for a shot at a wild card, and they will be playing their best in front of all of America on Monday Night Football. I expect both offenses and defenses to be on top of their game. Really hope its tied going to half-time, and not just a 3 point difference =/Leave a comment:
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