Dwils mma thread

**Bradbatross** · 02-28-13, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

was planning on betting big on rickels vs brooks, assuming he won.

Now you can bet big on Awad.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-01-13, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Should have faded brooks this time, but I didnt know anything about his opponent

he only wrestles every single fight

Told ya bro, guys got huge holes in his game.

I think Awad rolls over Rickels, it will be a goddamn joke, they might even open around even money.

**Dwil125** · 03-01-13, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by Bradbatross

Now you can bet big on Awad.

I still dont really know much about awad, I know will brooks though we've both fought on the same cards before. He has holes in his game, and not only in stand up either. Thats why I thought tirloni might beat him. I probably wont bet on that fight at all, im not sure I believe Caveman will just stand up with him the whole time.

**Dwil125** · 03-01-13, 02:04 AM

Waiting on weigh ins tomorrow before I lock in my plays on lim and hirota.

**Dwil125** · 03-02-13, 06:23 PM

Ufc on Fuel: Diego sanchez .4 u to win 1.2u (parlay anchor)

Hirota/Fight doesnt go to decision Stann/silva, Gsp .35u at +190
Limm/sanchez/gsp decision/ Jones Itd .3u at +220

**Dwil125** · 03-02-13, 06:24 PM

If sanchez wins im doing doing a parlay with fight starts r2 stann/silva and gsp straight

**Dwil125** · 03-03-13, 02:54 AM

Ufc on Fuel: + .81u.
Ytd: -4.24u

**Dwil125** · 03-03-13, 10:47 PM

Anyone know where I Can find Mizugaki's fight?

**Vaughany** · 03-04-13, 04:58 AM

should be on mma-core.com pal

**Sacrelicious** · 03-04-13, 05:18 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

I still dont really know much about awad, I know will brooks though we've both fought on the same cards before. He has holes in his game, and not only in stand up either. Thats why I thought tirloni might beat him. I probably wont bet on that fight at all, im not sure I believe Caveman will just stand up with him the whole time.

I'm glad I did not bet Brooks, I was geniunely surprised by Awad, that being said, he has done this twice now, if he pulls it off again against someone with the fight IQ of Rickels I would not be shocked. That being said, the last 2 fights we've only seen blitzes that were over in a minute, and footage of Awad is damn near impossible to find, I have no idea what his game is like if the fight goes on.

I think there may be value here on him at anything over about +175.

**Dwil125** · 03-04-13, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

should be on mma-core.com pal

I found it on there yesterday, but it was missing parts of round 1 and most of round 2. It was cool seeing takeya win in Japan.

**Dwil125** · 03-04-13, 11:36 AM

I haven't bet on bellator in a couple weeks, but I like their card a lot this week so I'll have a couple plays. Are those openers around Tuesday afternoon usually?

**fitguy67** · 03-04-13, 11:57 AM

BetOnline seems to have made it a point (at the last Bellator) to release their opening-lines first...but don't get lured into that Financial "Hotel California" (you know...$ goes in, but can't ever leave)...the BetOnline openers are good for "conversation starters" but best to wait till the only real book available to MMA bettors resident in the LOTF (land of the free)...5dimes...comes out a bit later...

**Dwil125** · 03-04-13, 12:02 PM

Lol I only have dimes and bm anyway. Awhile ago it seemed like bm was the first to release any lines, I prefer dimes though easily. As soon as my bankroll is a little higher ill be using bm to do live betting and continue using dimes for all the options.

**Vaughany** · 03-04-13, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Lol I only have dimes and bm anyway. Awhile ago it seemed like bm was the first to release any lines, I prefer dimes though easily. As soon as my bankroll is a little higher ill be using bm to do live betting and continue using dimes for all the options.

Kalikas sets lines for 5dimes/sportbet now so that's why they open most the time

**Dwil125** · 03-04-13, 06:15 PM

Adding: Gsp By decision -180, Daniel Cormier -387, Jones Itd -380.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-04-13, 11:59 PM

Sick line on GSP, I was able to get it at -195 on the way back up.

Jones ITD is going in some parlays as well, as for DC I have him in a GSP/Cain/DC parlay, pays about -125.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-05-13, 12:00 AM

Jones ITD looks like a bizarre oversight on the part of the books...its going all over my parlays.

**Dwil125** · 03-05-13, 02:46 AM

Md brought up a good point, even though I already have money down on gsp decision.. Its worth it to wait for the gsp by unanimous decision for a better number. Gsp tries to win every round and should win at least 4/5 rounds against diaz. Im not sure why that jones line is so low like that, im going to keep playing it until it gets adjusted.

**Dwil125** · 03-05-13, 02:48 AM

I caught Magomedrasul Khasbulaev at +120 for thursday. his line moved quickly

**Dwil125** · 03-05-13, 05:22 PM

3 plays for bellator this thursday so far.

Attached Files

**Dwil125** · 03-05-13, 05:28 PM

Half a unit on popo straight up, Little over a quarter unit on a frodo parlay to win .8 then I have a three team parlay finishing with gsp (.33u). Thats all so far for Bellator 92.

**Dwil125** · 03-05-13, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Sick line on GSP, I was able to get it at -195 on the way back up.

Jones ITD is going in some parlays as well, as for DC I have him in a GSP/Cain/DC parlay, pays about -125.

I think Dc is going to do really well, I just watched his interview on ultimate insider he seems like a cool guy too.

**gabe** · 03-06-13, 12:24 AM

Frank Mir by Sub in Under 1.5

**Dwil125** · 03-06-13, 01:24 AM

Not sure if serious... How's Mir going to get him on the ground?
I'll take Mir sotn opener if Dc completes a bunch of parlays and I get scared. I doubt i will though DC > frank Mir.

**gabe** · 03-06-13, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Not sure if serious... How's Mir going to get him on the ground?
I'll take Mir sotn opener if Dc completes a bunch of parlays and I get scared. I doubt i will though DC > frank Mir.

DC is going to go to the ground with him. Either gonna hurt Mir and follow him to the ground, get hurt on the feet and get taken down, Mir getting lucky and getting a straight up takedown, and slim but pulling guard. In order of greatest to least in chance.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-06-13, 04:06 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

I caught Magomedrasul Khasbulaev at +120 for thursday. his line moved quickly

I capped him at about -170. I suspect either I suck at capping MMA (most likely), or people are giving Sandro far too much credit here.

**Dwil125** · 03-06-13, 10:40 AM

Sandro has just been declining badly in his last couple, but I think the public still recognize sandro's name. I still think it will be a close fight, but sandro should lose. It's hard to do fights back to back like especially at his age.

**Dwil125** · 03-06-13, 10:41 AM

I think the over 2.5 in Cramer/copper is going to hit for sure, there's alot of juice to pay though

**Dwil125** · 03-06-13, 06:01 PM

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	3/7/13 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3005 Doug Marshall/Sultan Aliev Under 1½ -135*
		Pending	3/7/13 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3007 Frodo Khasbulaev +121* vs Marlon Sandro

**Dwil125** · 03-06-13, 06:04 PM

3/16/13 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1002 Georges St-Pierre -485* vs Nick Diaz
	Pending	3/7/13 11:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Dan Cramer/Brett Cooper Over 2½ -265*
	Pending	3/7/13 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3006 Sultan Aliev -288* vs Doug Marshall

**Dwil125** · 03-07-13, 06:52 PM

If popo cashes, ill be betting more on frodo. probably a parlay with gsp straight.

**Dwil125** · 03-07-13, 11:25 PM

sucks that popo lost a split

. Im glad the over 2.5 cashed with cooper. I need aliev and the under now

**Dwil125** · 03-07-13, 11:52 PM

Wow really? 29-28 marshall what two rounds did he win? I hope popo's fight wasnt this bad im going to watch it on my dvr now Bellator 92: -1u Ytd: -5.24u

**Sacrelicious** · 03-08-13, 12:26 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Wow really? 29-28 marshall what two rounds did he win? I hope popo's fight wasnt this bad im going to watch it on my dvr now Bellator 92: -1u Ytd: -5.24u

He didn't win any of them.