Dwils mma thread

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  • Bradbatross
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-27-12
    • 201

    #281
    Originally posted by Dwil125
    was planning on betting big on rickels vs brooks, assuming he won.
    Now you can bet big on Awad.
    Comment
    • Sacrelicious
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-29-12
      • 5984

      #282
      Originally posted by Dwil125
      Should have faded brooks this time, but I didnt know anything about his opponent he only wrestles every single fight
      Told ya bro, guys got huge holes in his game.

      I think Awad rolls over Rickels, it will be a goddamn joke, they might even open around even money.
      Comment
      • Dwil125
        SBR MVP
        • 11-08-12
        • 2048

        #283
        Originally posted by Bradbatross
        Now you can bet big on Awad.
        I still dont really know much about awad, I know will brooks though we've both fought on the same cards before. He has holes in his game, and not only in stand up either. Thats why I thought tirloni might beat him. I probably wont bet on that fight at all, im not sure I believe Caveman will just stand up with him the whole time.
        Comment
        • Dwil125
          SBR MVP
          • 11-08-12
          • 2048

          #284
          Waiting on weigh ins tomorrow before I lock in my plays on lim and hirota.
          Comment
          • Dwil125
            SBR MVP
            • 11-08-12
            • 2048

            #285
            Ufc on Fuel: Diego sanchez .4 u to win 1.2u (parlay anchor)

            Hirota/Fight doesnt go to decision Stann/silva, Gsp .35u at +190
            Limm/sanchez/gsp decision/ Jones Itd .3u at +220
            Comment
            • Dwil125
              SBR MVP
              • 11-08-12
              • 2048

              #286
              If sanchez wins im doing doing a parlay with fight starts r2 stann/silva and gsp straight
              Comment
              • Dwil125
                SBR MVP
                • 11-08-12
                • 2048

                #287
                Ufc on Fuel: + .81u.
                Ytd: -4.24u
                Last edited by Dwil125; 03-03-13, 03:18 AM.
                Comment
                • Dwil125
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-08-12
                  • 2048

                  #288
                  Anyone know where I Can find Mizugaki's fight?
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #289
                    should be on mma-core.com pal
                    Comment
                    • Sacrelicious
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-29-12
                      • 5984

                      #290
                      Originally posted by Dwil125
                      I still dont really know much about awad, I know will brooks though we've both fought on the same cards before. He has holes in his game, and not only in stand up either. Thats why I thought tirloni might beat him. I probably wont bet on that fight at all, im not sure I believe Caveman will just stand up with him the whole time.
                      I'm glad I did not bet Brooks, I was geniunely surprised by Awad, that being said, he has done this twice now, if he pulls it off again against someone with the fight IQ of Rickels I would not be shocked. That being said, the last 2 fights we've only seen blitzes that were over in a minute, and footage of Awad is damn near impossible to find, I have no idea what his game is like if the fight goes on.

                      I think there may be value here on him at anything over about +175.
                      Comment
                      • Dwil125
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-08-12
                        • 2048

                        #291
                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                        should be on mma-core.com pal
                        I found it on there yesterday, but it was missing parts of round 1 and most of round 2. It was cool seeing takeya win in Japan.
                        Comment
                        • Dwil125
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-08-12
                          • 2048

                          #292
                          I haven't bet on bellator in a couple weeks, but I like their card a lot this week so I'll have a couple plays. Are those openers around Tuesday afternoon usually?
                          Comment
                          • fitguy67
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-13-11
                            • 5082

                            #293
                            BetOnline seems to have made it a point (at the last Bellator) to release their opening-lines first...but don't get lured into that Financial "Hotel California" (you know...$ goes in, but can't ever leave)...the BetOnline openers are good for "conversation starters" but best to wait till the only real book available to MMA bettors resident in the LOTF (land of the free)...5dimes...comes out a bit later...
                            Comment
                            • Dwil125
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-08-12
                              • 2048

                              #294
                              Lol I only have dimes and bm anyway. Awhile ago it seemed like bm was the first to release any lines, I prefer dimes though easily. As soon as my bankroll is a little higher ill be using bm to do live betting and continue using dimes for all the options.
                              Comment
                              • Vaughany
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 03-07-10
                                • 45563

                                #295
                                Originally posted by Dwil125
                                Lol I only have dimes and bm anyway. Awhile ago it seemed like bm was the first to release any lines, I prefer dimes though easily. As soon as my bankroll is a little higher ill be using bm to do live betting and continue using dimes for all the options.
                                Kalikas sets lines for 5dimes/sportbet now so that's why they open most the time
                                Comment
                                • Dwil125
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-08-12
                                  • 2048

                                  #296
                                  Adding: Gsp By decision -180, Daniel Cormier -387, Jones Itd -380.
                                  Comment
                                  • Sacrelicious
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-29-12
                                    • 5984

                                    #297
                                    Sick line on GSP, I was able to get it at -195 on the way back up.

                                    Jones ITD is going in some parlays as well, as for DC I have him in a GSP/Cain/DC parlay, pays about -125.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sacrelicious
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-29-12
                                      • 5984

                                      #298
                                      Jones ITD looks like a bizarre oversight on the part of the books...its going all over my parlays.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dwil125
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-08-12
                                        • 2048

                                        #299
                                        Md brought up a good point, even though I already have money down on gsp decision.. Its worth it to wait for the gsp by unanimous decision for a better number. Gsp tries to win every round and should win at least 4/5 rounds against diaz. Im not sure why that jones line is so low like that, im going to keep playing it until it gets adjusted.
                                        Comment
                                        • Dwil125
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-08-12
                                          • 2048

                                          #300
                                          I caught Magomedrasul Khasbulaev at +120 for thursday. his line moved quickly
                                          Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-15-15, 12:04 PM. Reason: link does not work
                                          Comment
                                          • Dwil125
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-08-12
                                            • 2048

                                            #301
                                            3 plays for bellator this thursday so far.
                                            Attached Files
                                            Last edited by Dwil125; 03-05-13, 07:28 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dwil125
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-08-12
                                              • 2048

                                              #302
                                              Click image for larger version

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                                              Half a unit on popo straight up, Little over a quarter unit on a frodo parlay to win .8 then I have a three team parlay finishing with gsp (.33u). Thats all so far for Bellator 92.
                                              Last edited by Dwil125; 03-05-13, 06:29 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Dwil125
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-08-12
                                                • 2048

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                Sick line on GSP, I was able to get it at -195 on the way back up.

                                                Jones ITD is going in some parlays as well, as for DC I have him in a GSP/Cain/DC parlay, pays about -125.
                                                I think Dc is going to do really well, I just watched his interview on ultimate insider he seems like a cool guy too.
                                                Comment
                                                • gabe
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                  • 7405

                                                  #304
                                                  Frank Mir by Sub in Under 1.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dwil125
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-08-12
                                                    • 2048

                                                    #305
                                                    Not sure if serious... How's Mir going to get him on the ground?
                                                    I'll take Mir sotn opener if Dc completes a bunch of parlays and I get scared. I doubt i will though DC > frank Mir.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gabe
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                      • 7405

                                                      #306
                                                      Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                      Not sure if serious... How's Mir going to get him on the ground?
                                                      I'll take Mir sotn opener if Dc completes a bunch of parlays and I get scared. I doubt i will though DC > frank Mir.
                                                      DC is going to go to the ground with him. Either gonna hurt Mir and follow him to the ground, get hurt on the feet and get taken down, Mir getting lucky and getting a straight up takedown, and slim but pulling guard. In order of greatest to least in chance.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sacrelicious
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-29-12
                                                        • 5984

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                        I caught Magomedrasul Khasbulaev at +120 for thursday. his line moved quickly
                                                        I capped him at about -170. I suspect either I suck at capping MMA (most likely), or people are giving Sandro far too much credit here.

                                                        Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-15-15, 12:04 PM. Reason: link does not work
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dwil125
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-08-12
                                                          • 2048

                                                          #308
                                                          Sandro has just been declining badly in his last couple, but I think the public still recognize sandro's name. I still think it will be a close fight, but sandro should lose. It's hard to do fights back to back like especially at his age.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dwil125
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-08-12
                                                            • 2048

                                                            #309
                                                            I think the over 2.5 in Cramer/copper is going to hit for sure, there's alot of juice to pay though
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dwil125
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-08-12
                                                              • 2048

                                                              #310
                                                              Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                              Pending 3/7/13 10:30pm
                                                              Bellator Fighting 3005
                                                              Doug Marshall/Sultan Aliev Under 1½ -135*
                                                              Pending 3/7/13 10:00pm
                                                              Bellator Fighting 3007
                                                              Frodo Khasbulaev +121*
                                                              vs Marlon Sandro
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dwil125
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-08-12
                                                                • 2048

                                                                #311
                                                                3/16/13
                                                                11:00pm UFC Fighting 1002
                                                                Georges St-Pierre -485*
                                                                vs Nick Diaz
                                                                Pending 3/7/13 11:30pm
                                                                Bellator Fighting 3001
                                                                Dan Cramer/Brett Cooper Over 2½ -265*
                                                                Pending 3/7/13 10:30pm
                                                                Bellator Fighting 3006
                                                                Sultan Aliev -288*
                                                                vs Doug Marshall
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dwil125
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-08-12
                                                                  • 2048

                                                                  #312
                                                                  If popo cashes, ill be betting more on frodo. probably a parlay with gsp straight.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dwil125
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-08-12
                                                                    • 2048

                                                                    #313
                                                                    sucks that popo lost a split . Im glad the over 2.5 cashed with cooper. I need aliev and the under now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dwil125
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-08-12
                                                                      • 2048

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Wow really? 29-28 marshall what two rounds did he win? I hope popo's fight wasnt this bad im going to watch it on my dvr now Bellator 92: -1u Ytd: -5.24u
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Sacrelicious
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 11-29-12
                                                                        • 5984

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                                        Wow really? 29-28 marshall what two rounds did he win? I hope popo's fight wasnt this bad im going to watch it on my dvr now Bellator 92: -1u Ytd: -5.24u
                                                                        He didn't win any of them.
                                                                        Comment
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