Dwils mma thread

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  • plekz
    SBR MVP
    • 07-28-13
    • 1491

    #701
    Originally posted by NunyaBidness
    About 7580% of the time, IMO. If Zombie can't implement his gameplan, he's in for a rough night.

    Hopefully zombie twists his body in half though. . .
    Aldo destroys KZ on the ground if it get's there, Aldo still trains GI all the time, and the people he was tooling when he competed in BJJ are the kind of people who are multiple mundials abu-dhabi pro's now. KZ might be good with going for subs, but he has nothing for Aldo down there.
    Comment
    • Dwil125
      SBR MVP
      • 11-08-12
      • 2048

      #702
      I need aldo by ko in any round but one. It's a pretty small play, I got it at -160 before it jumped to -240. If aldo wins by decision I'm still alright.
      Comment
      • Dwil125
        SBR MVP
        • 11-08-12
        • 2048

        #703
        I'm thinking zombie takes a bunch of damage but survives the second round, then ends up getting finished in the third round.
        Comment
        • Dwil125
          SBR MVP
          • 11-08-12
          • 2048

          #704
          Added .2 on fight won't start rd 3 with yahya not covering. Also added machida -274 Into this parlay. Also put machida with aldo tko/ko
          Last edited by Dwil125; 08-03-13, 09:55 PM.
          Comment
          • Dwil125
            SBR MVP
            • 11-08-12
            • 2048

            #705
            .23u on spong, moraes, papazian
            .30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza
            small on spong under 1.5, Hackaba +231, moraes -530. open spots for u. hall in two parlays. 163: -1.25u (vinny & Machida) -1.7u ytd.
            Comment
            • Ron_Paul_2012
              SBR MVP
              • 01-31-13
              • 3953

              #706
              Originally posted by Dwil125
              .23u on spong, moraes, papazian
              .30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza
              small on spong under 1.5, Hackaba +231, moraes -530. open spots for u. hall in two parlays. 163: -1.25u (vinny & Machida) -1.7u ytd.
              Are those separate or parlays?
              Comment
              • MD
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-31-12
                • 9728

                #707
                Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                Are those separate or parlays?
                Parlays.
                Comment
                • Ron_Paul_2012
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-31-13
                  • 3953

                  #708
                  Originally posted by MD
                  Parlays.
                  Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?
                  Comment
                  • MD
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-31-12
                    • 9728

                    #709
                    Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                    Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?
                    With your track record, I'd believe you're this dumb.
                    Comment
                    • Ron_Paul_2012
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-31-13
                      • 3953

                      #710
                      Originally posted by MD
                      With your track record, I'd believe you're this dumb.
                      I knew the "Marcus" would get ya.
                      Last edited by Ron_Paul_2012; 08-09-13, 09:01 PM.
                      Comment
                      • Dwil125
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-08-12
                        • 2048

                        #711
                        Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                        Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?
                        Comment
                        • Ron_Paul_2012
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-31-13
                          • 3953

                          #712
                          Originally posted by Dwil125
                          Just a little joke. Nothing serious. I know that MD has had ghosts in the past.
                          Comment
                          • Dwil125
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-08-12
                            • 2048

                            #713
                            Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?
                            Comment
                            • Ron_Paul_2012
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-31-13
                              • 3953

                              #714
                              Originally posted by Dwil125
                              Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?
                              I have around 20 units in parlays with Moraes in them all. This fight will stay on the feet. Moraes has too much for Hempleman at this stage of his career. After this loss Hempleman will have another fight in WSOF & will be more favorably matched and win.
                              Comment
                              • MD
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-31-12
                                • 9728

                                #715
                                Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                                Just a little joke. Nothing serious. I know that MD has had ghosts in the past.
                                No ghosts for me, Poupou.

                                Originally posted by Dwil125
                                Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?
                                Moraes has good balance and he reacts pretty quickly. I doubt Hempleman can get him down for any meaningful period of time.
                                Comment
                                • Dwil125
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-08-12
                                  • 2048

                                  #716
                                  wow wtf McKee just stopped fighting in the third round? (.30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza)
                                  Comment
                                  • Ron_Paul_2012
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-31-13
                                    • 3953

                                    #717
                                    Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                                    I have around 20 units in parlays with Moraes in them all. This fight will stay on the feet. Moraes has too much for Hempleman at this stage of his career. After this loss Hempleman will have another fight in WSOF & will be more favorably matched and win.
                                    I just noticed that you gave me a point for my post. Thanks Dwil125! It feels good to be appreciated. After all, I bring the goods every week!
                                    Comment
                                    • mirinquads
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-22-13
                                      • 3927

                                      #718
                                      Dwil clear your private messages
                                      Comment
                                      • mmaed
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-11
                                        • 1327

                                        #719
                                        Dwil what is your take on conor mcgregor vs max holloway?
                                        Comment
                                        • Dwil125
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-08-12
                                          • 2048

                                          #720
                                          Originally posted by mirinquads
                                          Dwil clear your private messages
                                          Done.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dwil125
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-08-12
                                            • 2048

                                            #721
                                            Originally posted by mmaed
                                            Dwil what is your take on conor mcgregor vs max holloway?
                                            I think Holloway can make it to a decision, so I like the ov 2.5 and McGregor decision at the +500 opener.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dwil125
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-08-12
                                              • 2048

                                              #722
                                              I would look into a fight of the night prop for these two also.
                                              Comment
                                              • mmaed
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-25-11
                                                • 1327

                                                #723
                                                My concern would be mcgregor getting the knockout. He looks for it in every fight. Hes also in boston where i think he will desire to impress. Sounds silly but i think he will come guns ablazin.
                                                Comment
                                                • mirinquads
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-22-13
                                                  • 3927

                                                  #724
                                                  +500 is good odds on the dec, but I do see Mcgregor getting the KO as well. Holloway for the first time in the UFC doesn't enjoy a reach advantage and gets counter punched and front kicked all night, til he gets frustrated and chases, gets clipped with one of Mcgregors nicely angled bolo punches or counterhook, gets finished on the ground. I believe he could take him down as well, maybe work him over on the ground for a GnP finish.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mmaed
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-25-11
                                                    • 1327

                                                    #725
                                                    I hope Mcgregor doesn't take him down. I wouldn't be surprised to see Holloway has been working on his guard a lot. Those long legs...you know how they go.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mmaed
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-11
                                                      • 1327

                                                      #726
                                                      Originally posted by mirinquads
                                                      +500 is good odds on the dec, but I do see Mcgregor getting the KO as well. Holloway for the first time in the UFC doesn't enjoy a reach advantage and gets counter punched and front kicked all night, til he gets frustrated and chases, gets clipped with one of Mcgregors nicely angled bolo punches or counterhook, gets finished on the ground. I believe he could take him down as well, maybe work him over on the ground for a GnP finish.
                                                      How do you see Gamburyan/Miller and MTB/Siler. I think MTB should be able to take down Siler and grind him out but I worry about his long layoff and Siler subs off his back and his muay thai is decent. I don't know what to think about miller and Gamburyan. I don't like to bet against Miller just because he is such a good finisher but I feel like Manny might win this one.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mirinquads
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-22-13
                                                        • 3927

                                                        #727
                                                        Gamburyan is a very talented grappler, who's strong as an ox, short limbs no neck build. I have a really hard time seeing him getting subbed here, and i think he grinds Cole out. I have seen some interviews with Cole where he seems very timid and not confident, knows it will be a hard matchup etc. This is unlike Cole usually he likes to pump him self up and boost his own confidence. Thing is Gamburyan has been injured a lot, and so its hard to know where hes at. Do believe he takes the win though. Massive value on Gamburyan when the line was released.

                                                        Staying away from Brown/Siler, Favorable matchup for Brown I would say, but he seems to have one foot out the door and he had several major surgeries, one in his neck which will likely limit his mobility.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dwil125
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-08-12
                                                          • 2048

                                                          #728
                                                          Originally posted by mmaed
                                                          How do you see Gamburyan/Miller and MTB/Siler. I think MTB should be able to take down Siler and grind him out but I worry about his long layoff and Siler subs off his back and his muay thai is decent. I don't know what to think about miller and Gamburyan. I don't like to bet against Miller just because he is such a good finisher but I feel like Manny might win this one.
                                                          I haven't really looked into those man, I don't have many plays for tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dwil125
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-08-12
                                                            • 2048

                                                            #729
                                                            -1.9u Ytd. Fox Sports 1: .38u on mo -719, aldo/jung starts round 3 (-115), not sonnen Itd -500 to win .6u .43u on hall, not pineda Itd -400, Mendes
                                                            .5u on sonnen/rua starts r2, mendes by decision
                                                            .5u on mike chandler, king mo, hall, mendes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dwil125
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-08-12
                                                              • 2048

                                                              #730
                                                              Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                              -1.9u Ytd. Fox Sports 1: .38u on mo -719, aldo/jung starts round 3 (-115), not sonnen Itd -500 to win .6u .43u on hall, not pineda Itd -400, Mendes
                                                              .5u on sonnen/rua starts r2, mendes by decision
                                                              .5u on mike chandler, king mo, hall, mendes
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dwil125
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-08-12
                                                                • 2048

                                                                #731
                                                                Totally forgot to post my plays, won just over a quarter unit. I'm Glad my guy Takeya took care of business, I was hoping he would get fotn.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • NunyaBidness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-26-09
                                                                  • 9345

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                                  Totally forgot to post my plays, won just over a quarter unit. I'm Glad my guy Takeya took care of business, I was hoping he would get fotn.
                                                                  Was getting a little scary not hearing from you after your last post!

                                                                  Glad to hear you had a profitable night.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dwil125
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-08-12
                                                                    • 2048

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Haha I was just joking, I could have lost a lot more going like 0-4 or 0-5. All those plays from shogun vs sonnen killed most of my money that wasn't pending on other bets, so I have to either redeposit or wait around for a little bit. I have a bunch of units on the nfl regular season win over unders tying up my money.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dwil125
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-08-12
                                                                      • 2048

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Win Bellator Fighting 3006
                                                                      Vitaly Minakov -638*
                                                                      vs Ron Sparks
                                                                      6/18/13
                                                                      7:03pm
                                                                      Win 6/19/13 9:30pm
                                                                      Bellator Fighting 3001
                                                                      Muhammed Lawal -687*
                                                                      vs Seth Petruzelli
                                                                      6/23/13
                                                                      1:11am
                                                                      Pending 8/31/13
                                                                      11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101
                                                                      Josh Barnett -221*
                                                                      vs Frank Mir
                                                                      I have about .7u on Barnett, then a couple of small parlays with Henderson and Mendes Included. -3.76u Ytd
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                        • 45563

                                                                        #735
                                                                        You got a fight scheduled yet Dwil?
                                                                        Comment
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