I leaned that way at first (guess I still do) but I got scared off by Iwakuma's 4.78 FIP while pitching half his games in a pitcher's park.
Comment
zenith8181
SBR Rookie
08-27-12
25
#8
well, I think the Dodgers will go over 6 points for their team total, for the game would be over 10.5, so be careful betting under 10.5
Comment
Omaga
SBR Sharp
07-10-12
460
#9
LT talk to me....I've been looking at this CLE game since last night. If your wondering way so long..well couple of reasons but most importantly I'm looking for a live dog preferably in the +140 rage, so that I can closeout 6 team parlay that are mostly dog picks.
I think the line says it all here (CLE) with the help of the pitching match-up ect..
So my question to you would be, do you think CLE can win by 2 here in this spot or this a 1 run game? I know the run support is not there for CLE, but the pitching match-up and line tells the full story and I believe if CLE wins it's by more then 2 runs...I'm thinking (-1.5 +200). I would like to know your thoughts from this angle (positive or negative).
Comment
tatddy
SBR Posting Legend
03-02-10
10779
#10
Originally posted by Omaga
LT talk to me....I've been looking at this CLE game since last night. If your wondering way so long..well couple of reasons but most importantly I'm looking for a live dog preferably in the +140 rage, so that I can closeout 6 team parlay that are mostly dog picks.
I think the line says it all here (CLE) with the help of the pitching match-up ect..
So my question to you would be, do you think CLE can win by 2 here in this spot or this a 1 run game? I know the run support is not there for CLE, but the pitching match-up and line tells the full story and I believe if CLE wins it's by more then 2 runs...I'm thinking (-1.5 +200). I would like to know your thoughts from this angle (positive or negative).
Don't get greedy. You're getting + money on a home team. Taking a RL for a home team...let lone a low scoring home team...is almost always a bad idea.
Comment
nic9212
SBR MVP
03-19-12
1536
#11
a lot of good pitchers tonight
Comment
Omaga
SBR Sharp
07-10-12
460
#12
Originally posted by tatddy
Don't get greedy. You're getting + money on a home team. Taking a RL for a home team...let lone a low scoring home team...is almost always a bad idea.
somewhat agree to the greed part considering you may be aware of my circumstances a little more, however what's intrigued me to really go out on a limb here is McAllister hasn't given up more then 3 earned runs in any of his 9 starts at Progressive Filed and totals all over the place 7.5, 8, 8.5. I have a feeling this game is CLE 5-2 5-3 type of game. covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/umpires/2012/umpire8329.html is umping this game and his last 8 of 10 we saw the under; which tells me he may possibly be due for the over.
Also another interesting fact is... if you look at CLE last 10 wins their WIN run margin sits at 2.6 and if you go 20 games back that they have won there win run margin sits at 3.55. Hopefully LT or anyone else can shed some light
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#13
Originally posted by Omaga
somewhat agree to the greed part considering you may be aware of my circumstances a little more, however what's intrigued me to really go out on a limb here is McAllister hasn't given up more then 3 earned runs in any of his 9 starts at Progressive Filed and totals all over the place 7.5, 8, 8.5. I have a feeling this game is CLE 5-2 5-3 type of game. covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/umpires/2012/umpire8329.html is umping this game and his last 8 of 10 we saw the under; which tells me he may possibly be due for the over.
Also another interesting fact is... if you look at CLE last 10 wins their WIN run margin sits at 2.6 and if you go 20 games back that they have won there win run margin sits at 3.55. Hopefully LT or anyone else can shed some light
I am with tatddy here, laying -1.5 with a home team is always dicey and I wouldn't do it with a low scoring team either. Look at the posted total on this game, every 1/2 run is precious.
Comment
Omaga
SBR Sharp
07-10-12
460
#14
Originally posted by LT Profits
I am with tatddy here, laying -1.5 with a home team is always dicey and I wouldn't do it with a low scoring team either. Look at the posted total on this game, every 1/2 run is precious.
I held off...it was -1.5 or nothing for me. Thanks for the reply!
Comment
Donkeys2012
SBR MVP
01-11-12
2771
#15
Kemp just ****** the dodger under trying to be a Hard ass and stay in the game and getting a terrible jump on a pop up. Victorino would have caught it easily