MLB - Tuesday, 8/28/12

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 8/28/12
    1 MLB Play Tuesday


    Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 10.5 +112 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 283-244-21, +47.50
  • scottsins
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-05-11
    • 103

    #2
    Thoughts on under 11 at -120? Seems like a steep price paid for the 1/2 run to me, correct?
    Comment
    • swayzeexpress
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-27-12
      • 43

      #3
      BOL

      Im on it as well
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by scottsins
        Thoughts on under 11 at -120? Seems like a steep price paid for the 1/2 run to me, correct?
        Definitely not worth 32 cents from 10.5 to 11.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          MLB 5-Pack

          Originally posted by LT Profits
          1 MLB Play Tuesday


          Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 10.5 +112 (5 Dimes)


          YTD: 283-244-21, +47.50
          Adding:

          Indians +106 (Heritage)
          Rays +116 (Rebate Wager)
          Rays / Rangers UNDER 9 +105 (5 Dimes)
          Reds / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)

          .
          MLB Card complete
          Comment
          • cboogie
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-23-12
            • 568

            #6
            thought on the uñder in sea/min
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by cboogie
              thought on the uñder in sea/min
              I leaned that way at first (guess I still do) but I got scared off by Iwakuma's 4.78 FIP while pitching half his games in a pitcher's park.
              Comment
              • zenith8181
                SBR Rookie
                • 08-27-12
                • 25

                #8
                well, I think the Dodgers will go over 6 points for their team total, for the game would be over 10.5, so be careful betting under 10.5
                Comment
                • Omaga
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-10-12
                  • 460

                  #9
                  LT talk to me....I've been looking at this CLE game since last night. If your wondering way so long..well couple of reasons but most importantly I'm looking for a live dog preferably in the +140 rage, so that I can closeout 6 team parlay that are mostly dog picks.

                  I think the line says it all here (CLE) with the help of the pitching match-up ect..

                  So my question to you would be, do you think CLE can win by 2 here in this spot or this a 1 run game? I know the run support is not there for CLE, but the pitching match-up and line tells the full story and I believe if CLE wins it's by more then 2 runs...I'm thinking (-1.5 +200). I would like to know your thoughts from this angle (positive or negative).
                  Comment
                  • tatddy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-02-10
                    • 10779

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Omaga
                    LT talk to me....I've been looking at this CLE game since last night. If your wondering way so long..well couple of reasons but most importantly I'm looking for a live dog preferably in the +140 rage, so that I can closeout 6 team parlay that are mostly dog picks.

                    I think the line says it all here (CLE) with the help of the pitching match-up ect..

                    So my question to you would be, do you think CLE can win by 2 here in this spot or this a 1 run game? I know the run support is not there for CLE, but the pitching match-up and line tells the full story and I believe if CLE wins it's by more then 2 runs...I'm thinking (-1.5 +200). I would like to know your thoughts from this angle (positive or negative).
                    Don't get greedy. You're getting + money on a home team. Taking a RL for a home team...let lone a low scoring home team...is almost always a bad idea.
                    Comment
                    • nic9212
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-19-12
                      • 1536

                      #11
                      a lot of good pitchers tonight
                      Comment
                      • Omaga
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-10-12
                        • 460

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tatddy
                        Don't get greedy. You're getting + money on a home team. Taking a RL for a home team...let lone a low scoring home team...is almost always a bad idea.
                        somewhat agree to the greed part considering you may be aware of my circumstances a little more, however what's intrigued me to really go out on a limb here is McAllister hasn't given up more then 3 earned runs in any of his 9 starts at Progressive Filed and totals all over the place 7.5, 8, 8.5. I have a feeling this game is CLE 5-2 5-3 type of game. covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/umpires/2012/umpire8329.html is umping this game and his last 8 of 10 we saw the under; which tells me he may possibly be due for the over.

                        Also another interesting fact is... if you look at CLE last 10 wins their WIN run margin sits at 2.6 and if you go 20 games back that they have won there win run margin sits at 3.55. Hopefully LT or anyone else can shed some light
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Omaga
                          somewhat agree to the greed part considering you may be aware of my circumstances a little more, however what's intrigued me to really go out on a limb here is McAllister hasn't given up more then 3 earned runs in any of his 9 starts at Progressive Filed and totals all over the place 7.5, 8, 8.5. I have a feeling this game is CLE 5-2 5-3 type of game. covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/umpires/2012/umpire8329.html is umping this game and his last 8 of 10 we saw the under; which tells me he may possibly be due for the over.

                          Also another interesting fact is... if you look at CLE last 10 wins their WIN run margin sits at 2.6 and if you go 20 games back that they have won there win run margin sits at 3.55. Hopefully LT or anyone else can shed some light
                          I am with tatddy here, laying -1.5 with a home team is always dicey and I wouldn't do it with a low scoring team either. Look at the posted total on this game, every 1/2 run is precious.
                          Comment
                          • Omaga
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 07-10-12
                            • 460

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            I am with tatddy here, laying -1.5 with a home team is always dicey and I wouldn't do it with a low scoring team either. Look at the posted total on this game, every 1/2 run is precious.
                            I held off...it was -1.5 or nothing for me. Thanks for the reply!
                            Comment
                            • Donkeys2012
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-11-12
                              • 2771

                              #15
                              Kemp just ****** the dodger under trying to be a Hard ass and stay in the game and getting a terrible jump on a pop up. Victorino would have caught it easily
                              Comment
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