is verlander worth the -290

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  • HardCore
    SBR MVP
    • 06-05-12
    • 3615

    #1
    is verlander worth the -290
    he's verlander and he's home and det bats are hot
  • HardCore
    SBR MVP
    • 06-05-12
    • 3615

    #2
    let me basically ask what i wanna know i need a 3rd gm det/laa/az which 1 something tells me to just roll with cin but i cant bet bad pitching i just cant and last night wth homer baily verified that
    Comment
    • sju1745
      SBR Rookie
      • 11-24-11
      • 48

      #3
      parlay that shit with Reds , zona and Nationals
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        simple answer here,,,,fukk no....no disrespect to zoolander and sure he will prob win but you should never have to lay damn near 3 to 1 on a fukkin baseball gm, i cant imagine it even that huge a help in a parlay, which im sure was the idea...
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          what is really messed up is the guys that didnt wanna play Price at damn near pick'em yesterday will now line up to lay this shit on zoolander...beyond puzzling to me..
          Comment
          • pattymayo
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-19-09
            • 10221

            #6
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            what is really messed up is the guys that didnt wanna play Price at damn near pick'em yesterday will now line up to lay this shit on zoolander...beyond puzzling to me..
            Baffling. It's because most cappers are lazy and want a "sure thing" so they pay ridic juice and ignore other games on tr board that have much better value at a better price
            Comment
            • HardCore
              SBR MVP
              • 06-05-12
              • 3615

              #7
              i did fade price last night for the same reason im fading weaver tonight laa's hitting u just dont know but yea -290 kills the parlay aswell thats why im fading its just not worth the risk
              Comment
              • HardCore
                SBR MVP
                • 06-05-12
                • 3615

                #8
                are the reds a lock tonight i'm scared of bad pitching and cant figure out why arroyo is -205
                Comment
                • HardCore
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-05-12
                  • 3615

                  #9
                  when did arroyo get good i no its the cubs but really
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by HardCore
                    i did fade price last night for the same reason im fading weaver tonight laa's hitting u just dont know but yea -290 kills the parlay aswell thats why im fading its just not worth the risk
                    see i feel like you almost have to take weaver here or pass or if you trust Shields just play the under...weaver in about as good a spot as Price yesterday, team off a shutout loss, weaver off a very rare home loss, and not all that expensive by weaver standards anyways... personally i hate the angels (mainly cause of albert phoney ass, even tho im glad he left stl as i said plenty of times last yr it would kill franchise to give that asssclown a 10 yr deal)..
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HardCore
                      when did arroyo get good i no its the cubs but really
                      i basically never trust arroyo enough to play him, even tho the dude is solid he is always a candidate to get shelled imo
                      Comment
                      • agendaman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-01-11
                        • 3731

                        #12
                        2dabank /some real good rationale there/ i simply just cant bet vs, weaver at home where his ers is less than 1 and the entire league l/r is batting around .203 vs.him /i would be worried if price was vs. him /what a steal he was yesterday eh /anyway 2d same overall thoughts for verlander i looked this up guys verlander is alltime 7-0 w/2.71era vs. orioles / i need winners/cashes everyday so i pay -.290 finally matt cain is alltime 6-11 vs.s.diego gl all
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by agendaman
                          2dabank /some real good rationale there/ i simply just cant bet vs, weaver at home where his ers is less than 1 and the entire league l/r is batting around .203 vs.him /i would be worried if price was vs. him /what a steal he was yesterday eh /anyway 2d same overall thoughts for verlander i looked this up guys verlander is alltime 7-0 w/2.71era vs. orioles / i need winners/cashes everyday so i pay -.290 finally matt cain is alltime 6-11 vs.s.diego gl all
                          cain kinda been a mess since the perfecto..actually have faded him quite a bit, that said pads usually turn back into a pumpkin when they get back to petco...

                          im with you, it either Weaver, pass, or under...
                          Comment
                          • HardCore
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-05-12
                            • 3615

                            #14
                            U make a good point
                            Comment
                            • face
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-31-11
                              • 14740

                              #15
                              tommy hunter will get shelled, safe as cherry pie. orioles also used their bullpen a lot yesterday. chalky so just threw it in some parlays. good luck.

                              Justin Verlander (det) - throws R vs. bal - 7:05 PM ET - Comerica Park
                              BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
                              Jim Thome L 52 14 2 0 7 11 14 15 .269 .424 .712 1.136
                              Mark Reynolds R 9 2 0 0 1 1 0 4 .222 .222 .556 .778
                              Matt Wieters S 12 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 .167 .167 .417 .583
                              Nolan Reimold R 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 .286 .286 .286 .571
                              Brian Roberts S 22 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 .136 .269 .273 .542
                              Nick Markakis L 34 7 2 0 0 1 2 10 .206 .250 .265 .515
                              Robert Andino R 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 .250 .250 .250 .500
                              Taylor Teagarden R 7 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 .143 .250 .143 .393
                              J.J. Hardy R 24 3 1 0 0 3 1 6 .125 .154 .167 .321
                              Chris Davis L 9 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 .111 .200 .111 .311
                              Adam Jones R 18 1 0 0 0 0 1 6 .056 .105 .056 .161
                              Nate McLouth L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
                              Comment
                              • Monchito
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-20-11
                                • 1928

                                #16
                                Travis Wood Pitching very good !!!!Cincinnati awful last night !!! i mean NYM kick their ass!!!
                                Comment
                                • R.P. McMurphy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-15-12
                                  • 9654

                                  #17
                                  Some people crack me up! No offense Monchito but that was simply a "spot" win and a pitching mismatch for the Muts last night. Everyone on here has been riding the Reds nuts for weeks and now since they lose to NY we assume the Cubs are gonna roll in and beat them? Not just the Reds lost last night to a team trying to avoid the brooms. Zona, Pitt, Texas, Oakland, and even the disaster reality show Red Sox all won. It's hard to sweep a team in mlb. Be careful with Wood that last game he won vs. Cincy was in a little more pitcher friendly Wrigley with the wind at his back fyi.
                                  Comment
                                  • R.P. McMurphy
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-15-12
                                    • 9654

                                    #18
                                    And hell no.. you NEVER lay 3-1 odds on a fukkin baseball game unless you are crazy. Gl though I'm sure some people will bite and they probably win but not worth the risk. Also keep in mind how bad that Tiger pen is. If Balty even gets 1 inning with them anything can happen.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mantle7
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-05-12
                                      • 3138

                                      #19
                                      It's all relative. Let's say you got a $500 parlay and you have your two picks and you want a 3rd leg. I mean that payout is gonna be pretty big even with that -260. I like Verlander here but I would never lay that kind of juice. I'm gonna throw him in on a parlay but I got 3 others to go with it so it'll pay big.

                                      On a side note.. Weaver was -250 and lost @ home last game so keep in mind it's baseball and anything can happen. Ive bet every single Weaver game except that one because I just didn't like it. I pay heavy juice if I like it enough. I really like Weaver tonight @ that price.
                                      Comment
                                      • briedward
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-24-12
                                        • 982

                                        #20
                                        Yeah I recommend Weaver/Verlander first five innings parlay. Personally, I only bet Weaver first five innings for tonight because I'm on the defensive due to losing. With outstanding pitchers who have low ERAs, I find doing first five innings keeps me in the Win or Push column, and away from the Loss column. Last week for instance, Weaver was a push in five innings when his team lost vs Seattle. Verlander's game where he lost to Rangers was a push for 5 innings - those who bet on the full game ended up losing. Felix when he got shelled by Halos - that was a push for five innings. When Price's team loses, it's typically a push for five innings.

                                        The downside to 5 innings is that sometimes you get a push instead of a win - but I don't mind - better than losing.

                                        Outstanding pitchers who don't have superb ERAs but who have a strong bullpen - like Burnett - I bet on the whole game.
                                        Comment
                                        • briedward
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-24-12
                                          • 982

                                          #21
                                          And then once I build up my bankroll, I take more risk, like tailing Mantle7 - lol
                                          Comment
                                          • matt1216
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-27-11
                                            • 14683

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HardCore
                                            he's verlander and he's home and det bats are hot
                                            Det RL -125 get some
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                                              Some people crack me up! No offense Monchito but that was simply a "spot" win and a pitching mismatch for the Muts last night. Everyone on here has been riding the Reds nuts for weeks and now since they lose to NY we assume the Cubs are gonna roll in and beat them? Not just the Reds lost last night to a team trying to avoid the brooms. Zona, Pitt, Texas, Oakland, and even the disaster reality show Red Sox all won. It's hard to sweep a team in mlb. Be careful with Wood that last game he won vs. Cincy was in a little more pitcher friendly Wrigley with the wind at his back fyi.
                                              ya i like cincy to figure it out tonight
                                              Comment
                                              • Mantle7
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-05-12
                                                • 3138

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by briedward
                                                And then once I build up my bankroll, I take more risk, like tailing Mantle7 - lol
                                                Buddy, I'm 14-3 on posted plays. lol.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mantle7
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-05-12
                                                  • 3138

                                                  #25
                                                  I told you that Yankees game yesterday was just convo.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mantle7
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-05-12
                                                    • 3138

                                                    #26
                                                    And there's not a single -200 in there. Most of those are totals @ even money or sub -150. Guys busting my balls and I swept 4 games last time I posted. Lol
                                                    Comment
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