Pirates still don't get any respect.
They are also +335 to win the NL Central.
They are also +335 to win the NL Central.
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Right hand column is the chance (in percent) of each NL team making the playoffs
National League EAST W L PCT GB HOME ROAD RS RA DIFF STRK L10 POFF Washington 49 34 .590 - 24-16 25-18 348 290 +58 Lost 1 6-4 78.2 Atlanta 46 39 .541 4 20-22 26-17 391 357 +34 Won 4 6-4 53.3 NY Mets 46 40 .535 4.5 26-20 20-20 394 374 +20 Lost 1 6-4 41.2 Miami 41 44 .482 9 22-22 19-22 334 390 -56 Lost 2 6-4 2.0 Philadelphia 37 50 .425 14 17-27 20-23 368 396 -28 Lost 4 1-9 0.7 CENTRAL W L PCT GB HOME ROAD RS RA DIFF STRK L10 POFF Pittsburgh 48 37 .565 - 29-14 19-23 345 313 +32 Won 2 8-2 72.4 Cincinnati 47 38 .553 1 23-16 24-22 358 316 +42 Won 3 6-4 64.3 St. Louis 46 40 .535 2.5 23-20 23-20 426 356 +70 Won 2 6-4 60.4 Milwaukee 40 45 .471 8 22-21 18-24 384 393 -9 Won 1 6-4 6.7 Chicago Cubs 33 52 .388 15 19-20 14-32 317 386 -69 Won 1 7-3 0.1 Houston 33 53 .384 15.5 24-21 9-32 344 416 -72 Lost 1 1-9 0.1 WEST W L PCT GB HOME ROAD RS RA DIFF STRK L10 POFF San Francisco 46 40 .535 .5 26-16 20-24 338 346 -8 Lost 2 3-7 51.3 LA Dodgers 47 40 .540 - 27-16 20-24 332 322 +10 Lost 3 4-6 43.5 Arizona 42 43 .494 4 23-21 19-22 375 365 +10 Won 3 4-6 25.3 Colorado 33 52 .388 13 18-25 15-27 413 479 -66 Won 1 4-6 0.4 San Diego 34 53 .391 13 17-27 17-26 305 381 -76 Lost 3 6-4 0.2 Comment -
there is no such thing. no math can calculate a percentage chance
which does not exist. past results are not indicative of future performance.Comment -
coolstandings.com calculates exactly that, for EVERY team, EVERY day. The following "coolstats" are updated daily:
DIV - % chance each team has of winning division WC - % chance each team has of winning the wild card POFF - % chance each team has of making the playoffs
A DIV of 50.0 means your team has a 50% chance of winning the division. A WCof 100.0 means you've got the wild card wrapped up. And a POFF of 0.0 means "wait till next year!"
How do we calculate these statistics? Basically we simulate the rest of the season millions of times, based on every team's performance to date and its remaining schedule. We then look at how many "seasons" a team won its division or won the wildcard, and voila - we have our numbers.
The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of beating every other team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. runs scored and runs against) to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of you familiar with baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" to predict results. Pretty smart, huh? That's why we call this prediction mode "Smart mode".
Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of beating any other team. You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method isn't too realistic, but it usually gives Chicago teams a better shot at the division. For lack of a better term, we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode".
For the playoffs, we calculate a different set of coolstats:
WIN - % chance each team has of winning series PW - projected number of wins PL - projected number of losses EW - expected number of wins EL - expected number of losses
The projected wins and losses are the most likely results given the predicted series winner actually wins the series. The expected wins and losses are the average results, no matter which team wins.
If you have any questions about either the playoffs or the regular season, check our FAQ page.
So keep track of your team, and check back with us daily to see how last night's scores changed the playoff landscape!
Comment -
i guess it's a tool for setting lines, but i don't see any
use for it. if you see a specific use for it from our perspective
and put money on it, let us know.Comment -
^
Actually that site I linked is pretty good. Not intrade good, but pretty accurate.
You turned me on to this future bet, I consulted a couple of websites I refer to, and said to myself "Snowball is on to something here"
So I banged in 100 +115 on the Pirates.
Looks like we are getting + money on a better than even chance.
Good eyeComment -
people just don't trust them yet.
St Louis and Cincy are the pedigrees.
Pitt is the Mutt.
I just booked some also. I don't think the Pirates will let down
all the excited fans who've waited a long time for something to feel excited about.
But I would not take them to win the division, too iffy.Comment -
If its a game of the year play it has a shot, if it is floundering flipping coin guess it has no chance on planet earth. Good luck!Comment -
Pirates don't seem willing to make a move or trade some of their young guys.... that in itself is enought to fade because i know other teams will make the moveComment -
All I see is expected w/l, but I don't see projected w/lComment -
I also think the Pirates don't fade this year. They only have 22 games left against the Reds, Cards, Braves, Nats, Giants & LAD, but 32 games against the Cubs, Stros, Padres & Rockies left. There's even rumors that they may try for Upton, but I think Quentin is a better fit because they need a veteran presence & he will cost much less in prospects to acquire, not to mention his home stats at Petco suck. .318/.636./.477 on the road.Comment -
i like the playoff bet but cincy/stlouis win the divComment -
they cant win on the roadComment -
Neither can the Giants.
19-23 isn't God awful on the road, almost .500
What's the old adage? Win 2 out of 3 at home, Pirates are doing just that (29-14) and play .500 on the road gets you to October.
Pirates are doing pretty much just that.
James McDonald's numbers are off the chart outstanding.
AJ is thriving in a small market.
They have a stud closer in Hanrahan.
Jason Grilli is the best non closing reliever in the NL. His numbers are on another planet. 14+ K's per nine, 0.95 WH/IP ratio, 1.87 ERA, 21 holds.........
McCutchen is having an MVP season, Walker is solid at second, Alvarez, it took him 3 years, but he's living up to his potential finally.
Pirates have enough to get to the playoffs this season.Comment
