Plays for 6/21/2012 (23-16 YTD, + 9.93 units)

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    Plays for 6/21/2012 (23-16 YTD, + 9.93 units)
    I still cannot believe I got f*cked yesterday with the nationals not scoring a F*cking run after being up 3-0 in the first inning and winning the game by 1 run....unreal, just unreal


    Also my record is 23-16, my bad on the mistake. I counted my play on the cubs as a double play (even though it was just 1 play with double units).



    There are 3 plays I really love


    Washington - 135
    - Washington is the better team with a better bullpen playing at home with a big advantage in pitching. Vegas does not believe in Gio Gonzalez but I do, his auxiliary stats indicate that he's for real. Matt Moore has been mediocre away from home


    Pittsburg 1.5 + 135
    - I love this play. James McDonald has pitched great and he's facing a guy who has been a batting practice pitcher this year. You can play the 2.5 here if you really have some confidence. I think Pirates win like 8-1



    Heat - 2.5 (120 - for extra insurance)
    Series is over. All the momentum and confidence is on Miami. Big psychological advantage. They'll wrap it up
  • ShogunRua
    SBR MVP
    • 12-23-09
    • 4668

    #2
    Aren't you forgetting about all those losses you had before you restarted your spreadsheet for the 3rd time? Why aren't those included in your 'YTD'? Your bookie let you start over like the spreadsheet does?
    Comment
    • jbess
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-03-11
      • 359

      #3
      What do you mean Vegas doesn't believe in Gio? Gio is sick nasty, I think we all believe in Gio.
      Comment
      • brahmabull117
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-08-10
        • 8622

        #4
        Originally posted by jbess
        What do you mean Vegas doesn't believe in Gio? Gio is sick nasty, I think we all believe in Gio.

        Vegas believes his success is a fraud - only reason for why this line is only - 135
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by brahmabull117
          Vegas believes his success is a fraud - only reason for why this line is only - 135
          Moore has given up 7 ER in his last 4 starts with 31 K's in 26 IP.
          Comment
          • taxe91
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-16-12
            • 610

            #6
            Vegas also has a lot of respect for Moore. His last 5 lines were -147, +104, -158, -110 (against Chris Sale), -134. I think that's why Gio is -135.

            There's more value here with Moore @ +121, he looked like he did at the end of 2011 in his last start. I won't be playing it though.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              cant believe Brahma doesnt see how good Moore is/can be...that line not about Gio, both will pitch well, both teams rather see rhp's..un 7 +110 for me..
              Comment
              • brahmabull117
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 8622

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Moore has given up 7 ER in his last 4 starts with 31 K's in 26 IP.

                Good pitcher but he's struggled away from Home and I'll take the nationals' bullpen in a close game by a big margin



                I actually think it will be close, like 3-2. Marlins just won't be able to score off the Nationals' pen
                Comment
                • brahmabull117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 8622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  cant believe Brahma doesnt see how good Moore is/can be...that line not about Gio, both will pitch well, both teams rather see rhp's..un 7 +110 for me..


                  Gonzalez at home vs Moore on the road is a big advantage. Washington also has about 4 dominant relievers to win a close game
                  Comment
                  • taxe91
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-16-12
                    • 610

                    #10
                    What do you guys think about a play on the under 7.0? I think I will play that once I see the lineups/umpire/weather etc

                    Also brahma did you watch the nats game today? Did any of the nats guys get hit? Pretty much expected at least one of them to get hit after they ratted out Peralta
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                      Gonzalez at home vs Moore on the road is a big advantage. Washington also has about 4 dominant relievers to win a close game
                      i dont question that nats can win bro, just think this has pitcher duel written all over it, nats park is fair and Moore getting to see the pitcher in nl park as well.... not to mention i scooped +110 on a under i like so either way i can live with it, dont care who wins just hope 3 runs gets it done..gl w your play
                      Comment
                      • brahmabull117
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 8622

                        #12
                        Originally posted by taxe91
                        What do you guys think about a play on the under 7.0? I think I will play that once I see the lineups/umpire/weather etc


                        I don't do totals but it's not a bad play
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by taxe91
                          What do you guys think about a play on the under 7.0? I think I will play that once I see the lineups/umpire/weather etc

                          Also brahma did you watch the nats game today? Did any of the nats guys get hit? Pretty much expected at least one of them to get hit after they ratted out Peralta

                          Cuzzi the ump, has umped unusual number of over gms for him this season but he call a high % of k's and is a under ump in my mind...took the u7 @ +110..think +106 still out there if you like it..
                          Comment
                          • taxe91
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-16-12
                            • 610

                            #14
                            I've only got it at +100 at the moment. I'll probably just wait it out till I see some lineups, I reckon it will close at about -110. I'll just hope for some early runs and see if i can get a line around 7.5 or 8 in live betting instead.
                            Comment
                            • brahmabull117
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 8622

                              #15
                              Cardinals at - 118 look awesome to me


                              Very good offense facing a rookie pitcher with mediocre numbers in the minors. Kyle Lohse is the real deal and Detroit continues to get wayyyyyyyyyyyy too much respect from Vegas
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Loshe is slightly above avg at best (he does like day gms) he should be good early but i question his ability to get through det lineup the 3rd time which would put cards shithole pen in the gm for enough time to possibly get lit up...the kid pitching for det is a good prospect and from the stl area, big deal when you a stl hometown product facing your lifelong team my guess is he pitches well against a cards team struggling as of late..pens probably decide it and both are trash, imo you betting -118 on a coinflip..
                                Comment
                                • TheBack
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-26-12
                                  • 839

                                  #17
                                  Line opened @ Card -108 now moving up fast it looks like.

                                  Heres some good info on the Tigers rookie Jacob Turner.

                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    and where the hell you laying that much juice? you can get under -110 in a bunch of shops if you really want it..
                                    Comment
                                    • brahmabull117
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 8622

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      Loshe is slightly above avg at best (he does like day gms) he should be good early but i question his ability to get through det lineup the 3rd time which would put cards shithole pen in the gm for enough time to possibly get lit up...the kid pitching for det is a good prospect and from the stl area, big deal when you a stl hometown product facing your lifelong team my guess is he pitches well against a cards team struggling as of late..pens probably decide it and both are trash, imo you betting -118 on a coinflip..

                                      I don't know how much I believe in Turner. He was terrible last year and his minors stats are not very good...his ERA is decent but his K to BB ratio is awful, that's what I pay more attention for minor league pitchers


                                      Cardinals average about 5 runs per game on the road. I don't see any reason why they can't get that many here. I really like Lohse as a control pitcher who never gives up any walks. I see it like a 6-4 STL win
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Cards have only scored 5 runs or more in 2 of last 11, im fully aware what they capable of (my team) but they are playing bad baseball in all facets as of late....did notice turner walked quite a bit but believe it been down recently, dont discount a stl kid getting to pitch against cards (big deal)... not even saying cards lose, just dont think they worth any money right now... if you play it i certainly hope you cash..
                                        Comment
                                        • Barnes & Whine
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-29-11
                                          • 3103

                                          #21
                                          Cards are playing pathetic right now, got their asses handed to them by the Royals, and Manager Mike Matheeny is making wacko lineups like Larussa trying to spark something and it isn't working offensively. STAY AWAY!
                                          Comment
                                          • hey buddy
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-26-10
                                            • 362

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            Cuzzi the ump, has umped unusual number of over gms for him this season but he call a high % of k's and is a under ump in my mind...took the u7 @ +110..think +106 still out there if you like it..
                                            Where are you seeing Cuzzi as the ump? He's not even in the group umping this series.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hey buddy
                                              Where are you seeing Cuzzi as the ump? He's not even in the group umping this series.

                                              you right, either i was stoned and looking at wrong gm or site i was looking at had it wrong last nite (either is very possible)...Blaser in dc
                                              Comment
                                              • brahmabull117
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 8622

                                                #24
                                                I played all 4 plays, I got Cards at - 105 in the morning
                                                Comment
                                                • Jago2008
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-18-11
                                                  • 3047

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  i dont question that nats can win bro, just think this has pitcher duel written all over it, nats park is fair and Moore getting to see the pitcher in nl park as well.... not to mention i scooped +110 on a under i like so either way i can live with it, dont care who wins just hope 3 runs gets it done..gl w your play
                                                  I am also on this, Gonzalez pitched very well against the Yanks but the Yankees managed to get clutch hits with RISP. Obviously the Rays are not the Yanks (not taking anything away from the Rays lineup) but lets be honest, this game should be a pitchers duel. @ 7 the books in my opinion are giving us a free + 1/2 at +110 value. I will take that anyday. This game should be close, Nationals have not hit well recently, Matt Moore should lock down the first few innings as well as Gonzalez.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                    I played all 4 plays, I got Cards at - 105 in the morning


                                                    tried to keep you off this bro..Cards offense is anemic right now, furcal has decided he is a fukkin power hitter instead of a leadoff man like he tends to do (swinging out of his shoes on everything), id be skeptical of backing them much at least until Jay gets back and gives them some kind of spark and either furcal starts acting right or gets moved from the leadoff spot to bottom of order.. ..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brahmabull117
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 8622

                                                      #27
                                                      I gotta stop being such an action junkie. Fck. I still can't believe Cardinals went like 0-8 with runners in scoring position. They had chances all damn night. I wouldn't have played that game if it wasn't so early



                                                      Only 2-3 plays for me from now on. With that being said - I'm doing 3 MLB plays tonight - Washington ML, Phillies RL (+110) and Pittsburg RL +130 in addition to my NBA play. Good luck to all
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Donkeys2012
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-11-12
                                                        • 2771

                                                        #28
                                                        You are such a loser. Cant even post your correct record you ******* piece of scum.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hezawizard
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-23-11
                                                          • 250

                                                          #29
                                                          bases loaded, 2 out, and pitcher at bats, strikes out swinging, yea thats nice, fck it
                                                          Comment
                                                          • remeedella
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-17-12
                                                            • 4089

                                                            #30
                                                            15 year olds could have hit those pitches better. Bases loaded when you're losing and these rich coaches don't have a single brain cell in their head to add 2 + and 2 together
                                                            Comment
                                                            • taxe91
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-16-12
                                                              • 610

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by remeedella
                                                              15 year olds could have hit those pitches better. Bases loaded when you're losing and these rich coaches don't have a single brain cell in their head to add 2 + and 2 together
                                                              are you suggesting they should have pinch hit for gio?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brahmabull117
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 8622

                                                                #32
                                                                Looks like a 3-2 day. Miami up huge


                                                                I'm going to see what the 2nd half line is going to be in that game cause I think Miami will win this game by 20+...OKC just seems completely demoralized
                                                                Comment
                                                                • brahmabull117
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 8622

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Miami + 2.5 - 2nd half
                                                                  Comment
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