The Tigers are off a 5-0 win against the Rockies at home on Sunday. This sets up a bad spot for them as they are 1-17 since Aug. 2006 in a first game series coming off a five plus win in which they never trailed and did not give up more than 3 runs. Verlander is 0-2 in this situation.
Tuesday is the big day for Dogs in the MLB. Since 2004, if you blindly tailed all dogs on Tuesday you have massed a record of 1309-1676 (+51.13 units) ave. line +136. FYI, Home Dogs alone on Tuesday. produce 8.4% more ROI than betting them all. Therefore I always look for a way to fade favorites on the particular day of the week.
That, being said..we have an all team system "fading favorites of -110 or higher with a win% of 46-49 on the season, playing Tuesday. Fading these teams since 2004 as produced a 125-102 record and a profit of (55.61 units). Ave line, -140. This year stand 11-2 +11.86u fading these team. The Tigers are the best fade team within this system, producing 14-2 fade record since 2004. They are a 3-0 fade in this spot this year and Verlander is a 1-0 fade losing to the Red Sox as a -155 favorite of May 29th.
Following we have a play on all team system that fit STL today. This is simply to play on road dogs of +100 to +150 who is a winning team between 51-54% on the year vs. a losing team 46-49% on the season..again on Tuesday. This system is 2-0 on the season and is 20-5 the last five years.
Some specific team trends that favor STL today. This year, the Tigers are 7-11 as -150 or more home favorite. Verlander is 2-3 this year in this spot. Further, the Tigers are 5-14 following 3 or more consecutive home games this year. Verlander is 0-2 this year in this spot.
Not taking anything away from Verlander as he is an awesome 37-9 as a -150 or more fav the last 3 years and the Tigers are a scary 11-1 in interleague play when Verlander starts.
However, I think the value lies with the Cardinals tonight. GL
Tuesday is the big day for Dogs in the MLB. Since 2004, if you blindly tailed all dogs on Tuesday you have massed a record of 1309-1676 (+51.13 units) ave. line +136. FYI, Home Dogs alone on Tuesday. produce 8.4% more ROI than betting them all. Therefore I always look for a way to fade favorites on the particular day of the week.
That, being said..we have an all team system "fading favorites of -110 or higher with a win% of 46-49 on the season, playing Tuesday. Fading these teams since 2004 as produced a 125-102 record and a profit of (55.61 units). Ave line, -140. This year stand 11-2 +11.86u fading these team. The Tigers are the best fade team within this system, producing 14-2 fade record since 2004. They are a 3-0 fade in this spot this year and Verlander is a 1-0 fade losing to the Red Sox as a -155 favorite of May 29th.
Following we have a play on all team system that fit STL today. This is simply to play on road dogs of +100 to +150 who is a winning team between 51-54% on the year vs. a losing team 46-49% on the season..again on Tuesday. This system is 2-0 on the season and is 20-5 the last five years.
Some specific team trends that favor STL today. This year, the Tigers are 7-11 as -150 or more home favorite. Verlander is 2-3 this year in this spot. Further, the Tigers are 5-14 following 3 or more consecutive home games this year. Verlander is 0-2 this year in this spot.
Not taking anything away from Verlander as he is an awesome 37-9 as a -150 or more fav the last 3 years and the Tigers are a scary 11-1 in interleague play when Verlander starts.
However, I think the value lies with the Cardinals tonight. GL