Plays for 6/18/2012

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    Plays for 6/18/2012
    18-11-1 last 30 plays. Back on track after f*cking up for a bit with some total plays...no more total plays from now on




    Yankees -1.5 RL -100

    - CC against a mediocre pitcher - auto play (this is one of the most profitable betting propositions in the sport)




    I really love the idea of backing Matt Cain against Jerome Williams, but is it just me or has every pitcher throwing a no hitter has been terrible in his starts after that?
  • Utah_Jay
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-01-11
    • 258

    #2
    What are your thoughts on Dickey and the mets tomorrow
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by Utah_Jay
      What are your thoughts on Dickey and the mets tomorrow

      I love backing Dickey but there's 2 issues. 1 issue is the mets offense has been struggling and I hate backing a pitcher where I feel like they might have to get a shutout to win. 2nd problem is terrible mets bullpen. It's not a bad play and you're much better off just playing the RL at +125 but I doubt I'm going to play it



      edit: If you're going to play it, definitely play the RL + 125. Nearly all of Dickey's wins have been by 2+ runs
      Comment
      • Rone247
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-01-12
        • 385

        #4
        I agree with the Yankees pick but it kills me to bet against my Braves. Minor is terrible and what he did in Atlanta last time was an aberration.
        Comment
        • brahmabull117
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-08-10
          • 8622

          #5
          Originally posted by Rone247
          I agree with the Yankees pick but it kills me to bet against my Braves. Minor is terrible and what he did in Atlanta last time was an aberration.

          yep Yanks win this like 8-2
          Comment
          • Vinnie Paz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-27-12
            • 12177

            #6
            Yankee will get to minor....Brahm im gonna hit the yanks team total over hard tomorrow. Gonna hope to get a line at an even 5 & at worst catch a push. I think they at very least get to 5.
            Comment
            • brahmabull117
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-08-10
              • 8622

              #7
              Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
              Yankee will get to minor....Brahm im gonna hit the yanks team total over hard tomorrow. Gonna hope to get a line at an even 5 & at worst catch a push. I think they at very least get to 5.


              why not take the yanks RL in case it's like a 4-2 game?




              I agree on 5 TT, hell I think they'll get to 7-8
              Comment
              • Vinnie Paz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-27-12
                • 12177

                #8
                Was just gonna come back & say rl looks safer at least we arent backing some piece of shyt bullpen. Got plus 100 for it gonna nail this from now make it one of my few plays. Been playing way too much shyt lately it fukks up the profit
                Comment
                • brahmabull117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 8622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                  Was just gonna come back & say rl looks safer at least we arent backing some piece of shyt bullpen. Got plus 100 for it gonna nail this from now make it one of my few plays. Been playing way too much shyt lately it fukks up the profit


                  I'm 15-6 on sides and runlines. I am done f*cking with totals



                  Totals are bullsht...just way too unpredictable. Follow me on sides and runlines and we shall dominate
                  Comment
                  • Vinnie Paz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 12177

                    #10
                    Anything else catch your eye? Not seeing much. Possibly reds
                    Comment
                    • face
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-11
                      • 14740

                      #11
                      cc not so great anymore. he is overweight. good luck though, might hit anyway.
                      Comment
                      • Vinnie Paz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-27-12
                        • 12177

                        #12
                        Originally posted by face
                        cc not so great anymore. he is overweight. good luck though, might hit anyway.
                        This is why i kinda leaned to team total, hes not as reliable anymore, guys are getting to him on routine but braves are too slumped ill take my chances
                        Comment
                        • brahmabull117
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 8622

                          #13
                          Originally posted by face
                          cc not so great anymore. he is overweight. good luck though, might hit anyway.

                          CC's advanced stats are quite good. He's just having some bad luck in terms of BABIP



                          I am debating backing Cain against Jerome Williams but is it just me or has every pitcher this season struggled after throwing a no hitter?
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Take the Angels
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                              Take the Angels
                              This.
                              Comment
                              • OzLand
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 05-22-12
                                • 14

                                #16
                                Williams has yielded 5 earned runs in his last 2 games to the Dodgers and Mariners.. at -110, Cain and SF looks attractive..

                                GL to everyone!
                                Comment
                                • brahmabull117
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 8622

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  Take the Angels

                                  I can't fade somebody as good as Matt Cain, unless you can show me some stats that say that pitchers following a no hitter are posting terrible numbers



                                  Originally posted by OzLand
                                  Williams has yielded 5 earned runs in his last 2 games to the Dodgers and Mariners.. at -110, Cain and SF looks attractive..

                                  GL to everyone!

                                  also this, I think williams sucks
                                  Comment
                                  • taxe91
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-16-12
                                    • 610

                                    #18
                                    ^ most pitchers after a perfect game tend to struggle the rest of the season (aside from roy halladay)
                                    Comment
                                    • brahmabull117
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 8622

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by taxe91
                                      ^ most pitchers after a perfect game tend to struggle the rest of the season (aside from roy halladay)

                                      Well Jered Weaver threw a no hitter and then went on to throw quality starts in 3 of his next 4 games (all LAA wins)


                                      I think Verlander dominated last season after his no hitter as well, didn't he? Johan S is the one guy who has really struggled in 2 outings since his no hitter


                                      Looking like a pass for me
                                      Comment
                                      • taxe91
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-16-12
                                        • 610

                                        #20
                                        perfect games =/= no hitters
                                        Comment
                                        • Darkside Magick
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-28-10
                                          • 12638

                                          #21
                                          Coin toss game....slight lean to angels
                                          Comment
                                          • brahmabull117
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 8622

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by taxe91
                                            perfect games =/= no hitters

                                            very similar



                                            The other pitchers throwing perfect games were all mediocre pitchers anyways though - Phil Humber and Dallas Braden suck balls and are nowhere near Matt Cain's league
                                            Comment
                                            • NYSportsGuy210
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-07-09
                                              • 11347

                                              #23
                                              Yankees RL, Cubs and Rangers RL all have my eye so far.
                                              Comment
                                              • brahmabull117
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 8622

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                Yankees RL, Cubs and Rangers RL all have my eye so far.

                                                Agreed on Rangers RL. I'll play that if Hamilton's in the lineup
                                                Comment
                                                • NYSportsGuy210
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 11347

                                                  #25
                                                  Also liking Indians ML and Mets ML tommorow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NYSportsGuy210
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                    • 11347

                                                    #26
                                                    Yankees -Braves OVER looks enticing too.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brahmabull117
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 8622

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                      Also liking Indians ML and Mets ML tommorow.

                                                      Mets RL is much better play than ML. They'll win by 2+ runs if they do win


                                                      Indians ML? I'd actually go the other way. Derek Lowe's advanced stats are terrible. He's due for some huge regression
                                                      Comment
                                                      • taxe91
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-16-12
                                                        • 610

                                                        #28
                                                        lowes gotten lit up by the tigers and white sox in recent starts, his cracks are starting to show. latos isnt that good either though
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brahmabull117
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 8622

                                                          #29
                                                          yea only play tomorrow will be yanks and maybe Rangers. If yanks win, I might just take my money for the day and go home
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jbart28
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-16-11
                                                            • 3387

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                            Agreed on Rangers RL. I'll play that if Hamilton's in the lineup
                                                            They don't need hamilton and he will not be playing anyways. they are playing the padres for fuks sake and it is jason marque. LMAO

                                                            This is the play of the day. Matt harrison is dominant and the rangers will go to petco and show those twigs how to reach the fences at petco.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • brahmabull117
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 8622

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jbart28
                                                              They don't need hamilton and he will not be playing anyways. they are playing the padres for fuks sake and it is jason marque

                                                              Josh is playing brah, go on espn
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brahmabull117
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 8622

                                                                #32
                                                                Rangers - 2.5 + 158



                                                                If rangers win, it's going to likely by be a huge margin. In fact, 19 out of the rangers 35 road wins have been by at least 3 runs, this is one of the most profitable betting props in the sport
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Donkeys2012
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-11-12
                                                                  • 2771

                                                                  #33
                                                                  You brahma are the #3 biggest joke on this site. Noone gives a crap about your garbage picks other then those of us that profit of fading your dumass.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brahmabull117
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 8622

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Donkeys2012
                                                                    You brahma are the #3 biggest joke on this site. Noone gives a crap about your garbage picks other then those of us that profit of fading your dumass.


                                                                    Oh brother



                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brahmabull117
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 8622

                                                                      #35
                                                                      God I'm so glad I stopped playing totals. That was a horrible idea on my part and it's the reason why I went into my slump. Totals in baseball are just a crapshoot and impossible to win over the long term. I won 3 overs with the Rockies and it just lured me back into playing totals



                                                                      I'm now 15-6 on Runlines and Moneylines. I'm just going to play runlines and moneylines from now on. I feel like I can dominate on those
                                                                      Comment
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