Why are the Brewers +1800 to win NL Central

[andywend]

At the beginning of the season, the Brewers were +250 to win the division.

The Reds pre-season win total was 87 with the Brewers and Cardinals next in line at 84 1/2 with a ways back to the Cubs @ 73 1/2.

The Brewers are 4 1/2 games back and they are a stunning +1800 to win the division and I just don't get it.

They have a few players injured but no real major ones.

Why are the Brewers +1800 to win the NL Central being 4 1/2 games back?

They are also +7500 to win the NL Pennant from a +1500 pre-season line and with 2 wildcard teams from each league, I believe they have a reasonable chance to make the playoffs.

Thoughts anyone?

Recent Injuries

May 28, 2012	15-Day DL	Fractured right hand, out 4-6 weeks
May 26, 2012	15-Day DL	Strained left oblique
May 26, 2012	15-Day DL	Strained left hamstring
May 24, 2012	15-Day DL	Right quadriceps strain
May 6, 2012	60-Day DL	Right knee injury
May 3, 2012	60-Day DL	Torn right ACL - out for season
Apr 16, 2012	60-Day DL	Torn left rotator cuff - out for season

[taxe91]

This is just my opinion, but I think they'll finish 4th in that division behind Reds, Cards, Pirates. They did start off at a .500 pace last year and then end up with 96 wins though so who knows, they could be a fast finishing team. Interesting to see what they do at the trade deadline, could get a good haul for Greinke and Wolf. I think those odds have priced in the possibility that they sell off some assets at the trade deadline