Adjusted Run Lines = Some of the Best Value in Baseball

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    Adjusted Run Lines = Some of the Best Value in Baseball
    And I'm not just talking about taking a -150 fave and making them +130, alternative underdog run lines that turn a +150 into a +250 are phenomenal value as well depending on what team you're betting on. The Yankees last year for example lost 42 out of their 65 games on the season by 2+ runs. The Rangers this year, for another example, have only lost 8 out of their 26 games by 1 run (about 70% of the time an alternative adjusted run line would win if they lose the game)



    With that being said, what books have underdog adjusted run lines?
  • JT OZ
    SBR MVP
    • 08-16-10
    • 2076

    #2
    5dimes is great for it.
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by JT OZ
      5dimes is great for it.

      I gotta start using 5 dimes. I used to avoid them in the past because it was too difficult to do deposits and I hate how they do bonuses


      I'm going to start playing some real dogs though. None of that +120 shit. I'm going to be doing +200 or +250 dogs fading the rangers or yankees when they're in cold streaks
      Comment
      • HoulihansTX
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-12-09
        • 30566

        #4
        Jazzsports has RRL, and -2.5RL's.
        Comment
        • brahmabull117
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-08-10
          • 8622

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          Jazzsports has RRL, and -2.5RL's.

          -2.5 is excellent as well. Yankees and Rangers have won a ton of games by 5+ runs



          Hell, you wanna hear an incredible stat? CC Sabathia win 16 out of his 33 starts last season by 3+ Runs. Most of those starts were probably like +200 or +250 for -2.5 RL. Incredibly profitable
          Comment
          • JT OZ
            SBR MVP
            • 08-16-10
            • 2076

            #6
            Originally posted by brahmabull117
            -2.5 is excellent as well. Yankees and Rangers have won a ton of games by 5+ runs



            Hell, you wanna hear an incredible stat? CC Sabathia win 16 out of his 33 starts last season by 3+ Runs. Most of those starts were probably like +200 or +250 for -2.5 RL. Incredibly profitable
            You're definitely starting to dabble in some serious value plays so it will take a lot of research and in some cases a little luck but it can be profitable if you are able to be selective with it.
            Comment
            • Squirrel Kokomo
              Restricted User
              • 04-25-12
              • 345

              #7
              Originally posted by brahmabull117

              I'm going to start playing some real dogs though. None of that +120 shit. I'm going to be doing +200 or +250 dogs
              you average -120 to -130. i'm looking forward to more comedy.
              Comment
              • Dclan86
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-18-12
                • 231

                #8
                Brah where do you get your statistics and info from. Do you do it yourself or what? I would love to know how to find these types of stats. Let me know when you have a second.
                Comment
                • brahmabull117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 8622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dclan86
                  Brah where do you get your statistics and info from. Do you do it yourself or what? I would love to know how to find these types of stats. Let me know when you have a second.


                  I'm good as fu*ck at math, son






                  I mainly use ESPN and this website, sometimes covers as well
                  Comment
                  • Dclan86
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-18-12
                    • 231

                    #10
                    Nice. Also i am confused by what you mean by alternative under dog run lines? Can you explain?
                    Comment
                    • brahmabull117
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 8622

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Dclan86
                      Nice. Also i am confused by what you mean by alternative under dog run lines? Can you explain?

                      well the runlines for dogs is usually a +1.5


                      I'm thinking about starting to do alternative runlines for dogs where its - 1.5. This has been very very profitable against the Rangers this year, for example
                      Comment
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