Brewers +103

[BigDofBA]

Brewers have underperformed.

Dodgers have over performed

I think we're getting a good number on the team that will have the better lineup in this game. Brewers it is for me. If that isn't enough for you here is the kicker....

Brahmabull and Brock Landers love the Dodgers. I wonder if they even know that Matt Kemp (an Oklahoma native that I played high school ball against) is injured.

I saw them taking stats about the Dodgers lineup which might as well be irrelevant now since Kemp isn't even playing.

[brahmabull117]

Dodgers are like 8-2 without Kemp


Brewers aren't underperforming. That team was a fluke last year and they lost Fielder in the off season (a huge blow to their offense which had little depth anyways). I actually think the 2012 Dodgers will be the 2011 Brewers. Surprise team that wins their division by a landslide. They're good all around - good offense, good pen and GREAT starting staff



To be honest, I wouldn't even take the 2011 Brewers team that won 96 games on the road as a favorite against a good team. They were 39-42 on the road last year and 8-15 on the road this year, they simply do not perform well on the road

[BigDofBA]

Dodgers are like 8-2 without Kemp


Brewers aren't underperforming. That team was a fluke last year and they lost Fielder in the off season (a huge blow to their offense)


I actually think the 2012 Dodgers will be the 2011 Brewers. Surprise team that wins their division by a landslide

Fair enough.

Are you taking the Dodgers then?

[brahmabull117]

Fair enough.

Are you taking the Dodgers then?

It's the best play of the baseball season I've seen so far so yes I'm playing them. Only putting about 1 unit on it though, I'm trying to do something close to flat betting for a while

[BigDofBA]

It's the best play of the baseball season I've seen so far so yes I'm playing them. Only putting about 1 unit on it though, I'm trying to do something close to flat betting for a while

Best play of the season is the Dodgers tonight?

I just added a unit to the Brewers.

[No coincidences]

You're putting 1 unit on a team that is undervalued by 94 cents in your mind? What?

[brahmabull117]

Best play of the season is the Dodgers tonight?

From all factors that you would use to evaluate a matchup, absolutely


The brewers are 47 - 57 on the road last 2 seasons. I wouldn't take them as an even play against even a .500 team on the road, much less a team with the best record in the league

[BigDofBA]

You're putting 1 unit on a team that is undervalued by 94 cents in your mind? What?

They should be -200 here No Coin......

Best team in baseball.

[BigDofBA]

From all factors that you would use to evaluate a matchup, absolutely


The brewers are 47 - 57 on the road last 2 seasons. I wouldn't take them as an even play against even a .500 team on the road, much less a team with the best record in the league

OK. I appreciate the input. GL.

[Dclan86]

I am a little worried about Harang on this one, does that not have you guys a little concerned? I wanted to go with Dodgers as well but Harang worries me against Marcumm who has been doing better lately. Also Brewers hit Harang better than Dodgers hit Marcum. Any advice you can give me at this point?

[brahmabull117]

They should be -200 here No Coin......

Best team in baseball.

Stop listening to what ESPN tells you and evaluate their team for yourself


- Very solid offense that puts up good numbers in a terrible hitters park and has 5 runs or more in 8 of 10 games without their best hitter and arguably the best player in the NL (who they get back tomorrow)


- Very good staff with probably the best pitcher in the NL in Kershaw and a very good #2 in Capuano (who I think is for real this year because of his excellent whip and k to bb ratio, which are better indicators of success than things like ERA)


- Very good bullpen with a dominant closer and 2 quality relievers


They'll win 90+ games this year and win that division in a landslide IMO. The fact that they have continued to dominate with Kemp on the DL is an EXCELLENT sign. Their offense will be much better starting tomorrow

[BigDofBA]

Stop listening to what ESPN tells you and evaluate their team for yourself

I did. That's why I took the Brewers even though the Dodgers have the best record in baseball.

They'll win 90+ games this year and win that division in a landslide IMO

If they win 90, that means they will lose around 70.

Did you back Kershaw when he was like -210 against the Astros the other night? I'm pretty sure the Dodgers lost that game.

At any rate, I'm on the Brewers for 2 units. GL.

[brahmabull117]

I did. That's why I took the Brewers even though the Dodgers have the best record in baseball.


If they win 90, that means they will lose around 70.

Of course, but they'll face much much more difficult matchups than a mediocre Brewers team with a terrible road record


You're letting your image of the 2011 Brewers cloud your judgement. This team is just not that good. Their offense had little depth last year and it's even worse now without Fielder in there. The starting staff is so so with 1 dominant starter in Zack Greinke and a mediocre pen. Everything points to the Brewers finishing around .500 or even below .500 this year


If you want to back the Brewers, go ahead. I'm just telling you I watched a lot of that team's games last year and this year and they're just not nearly as good

Did you back Kershaw when he was like -210 against the Astros the other night? I'm pretty sure the Dodgers lost that game.

Of course I was, that was a very rare Kershaw home loss and I'll put money on him every time he's at home. I've been pretty much on the dodgers nonstop for the last 2 weeks

[Dclan86]

I think I may go Dodgers on this one, I don't know about Brewers man, Harang has already beat them once, and the Dodgers have done great this year in the 2nd series at home games they have had. Although as this business goes, you may nail it. Good luck to you!

[brahmabull117]

I am a little worried about Harang on this one, does that not have you guys a little concerned? I wanted to go with Dodgers as well but Harang worries me against Marcumm who has been doing better lately. Also Brewers hit Harang better than Dodgers hit Marcum. Any advice you can give me at this point?

Why do people here respect Marcum so much? The brewers are 2-8 in his last 10 starts

[BigDofBA]

I can't believe the Brewers went from +104 to -102 in the last 30 minutes....they are clearly inferior to the Dodgers in every way. I'm so confused.

[No coincidences]

Stop listening to what ESPN tells you and evaluate their team for yourself

Oh the irony.

[brahmabull117]

I can't believe the Brewers went from +104 to -102 in the last 30 minutes....they are clearly inferior to the Dodgers in every way. I'm so confused.

Even if you believe the dodgers to be an avg team, I still wouldn't back Milwaukee as an even play on the road


They're 2-7 last 9 road games and those weren't against exactly world beaters - Arizona, NY and Houston

[brahmabull117]

Oh the irony.

I don't know why you think I get all my baseball views from espn



ESPN barely even covers baseball. They're all about basketball in April/May/June and all about football in September. Baseball barely gets some coverage in August and July and it's usually all about the big market teams in the east like NY and Boston

[HOT WINGS]

Brewers look good tonight

[ShogunRua]

Stop listening to what ESPN tells you and evaluate their team for yourself

I did. That's why I took the Brewers even though the Dodgers have the best record in baseball.

Oh the irony.

[BigDofBA]

Brahmabull and Brock are on the Dodgers.

Do we go all-in now?

[ShogunRua]

Took it last night for a small/medium play. May have to add more though...have to decide quickly

[brahmabull117]

The bottom line is that if the brewers did not win 96 games last year, everybody would think a 19-27 team being an even play against even a .500 team on the road would be outrageous


It's not 2011 guys, Prince Fielder is not still playing for the Brewers. This team will be lucky to finish .500

[BigDofBA]

The bottom line is that if the brewers did not win 96 games last year, everybody would think a 19-27 team being an even play against even a .500 team on the road would be outrageous


It's not 2011 guys, Prince Fielder is not still playing for the Brewers. This team will be lucky to finish .500

If you're so confident and this should be the play of the year, according to you, why are you going bigger on it?

[brahmabull117]

If you're so confident and this should be the play of the year, according to you, why are you going bigger on it?

I'm trying to restrain myself and have good bankroll management as much as possible


Ideally, I would go all on in this play but NEVER again will I do anything like that. Hell I'm not even gonna put more than 5% of my BR on any game anymore

[Dclan86]

I think the Dodgers should take it, buy Marcum is statistically better than Harang. I guess that is probably where people are hung up.

[BigDofBA]

I'm trying to restrain myself and have good bankroll management as much as possible


Ideally, I would go all on in this play but NEVER again will I do anything like that. Hell I'm not even gonna put more than 5% of my BR on any game anymore

Oh, so you used to go all-in a lot? Gotcha.

I'm on the Brew Crew for two units so if it loses, no big deal.

[brahmabull117]

If the brewers lose today, I hope you guys get the sense to join me on the dodgers bandwagon the rest of the series. They get Matt Kemp back tomorrow and they will make this lineup just deadly


Kemp might be the best all around player in the entire league (definitely the best in the NL)

[BigDofBA]

If the brewers lose today, I hope you guys get the sense to join me on the dodgers bandwagon the rest of the series. They get Matt Kemp back tomorrow and they will make this lineup just deadly


Kemp might be the best all around player in the entire league (definitely the best in the NL)

Kemp is awesome. I played against the guy in High School when he played against for Midwest City. The Dodgers are good, I just liked the Brewers tonight.

1-0 Dodgers.

[brahmabull117]

Kemp is awesome. I played against the guy in High School when he played against for Midwest City. The Dodgers are good, I just liked the Brewers tonight.

1-0 Dodgers.

Dodgers win 3 of 4 in this series and maybe have a chance at 4 game sweep with Kemp returning I think. I just hope they keep getting outrageously low lines like this

[BigDofBA]

Brew Crew take the lead and looking for more.

[Dclan86]

Yea you may get this one. You still have a ways to go though.

[brahmabull117]

jesus christ, dodgers just leaving guys on base non stop. Somebody get a clutch hit. 8 baserunners in 6 innings with 1 run

[BigDofBA]

It's the best play of the baseball season I've seen so far so yes I'm playing them. Only putting about 1 unit on it though, I'm trying to do something close to flat betting for a while

The Dodgers were the best play of the season today. A play you would have gone all-in on....They lost.

Cash Milwaukee! Glad I doubled down on this.