Yankees +129

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Yankees +129
    Bombers are red-hot, Hughes actually showing signs of life and you rarely get NYY at any kind of + number, let alone this much. Definitely worth considering.
  • DudleyDawson
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-10-12
    • 5658

    #2
    Originally posted by No coincidences
    Bombers are red-hot, Hughes actually showing signs of life and you rarely get NYY at any kind of + number, let alone this much. Definitely worth considering.
    What are the Angels? I see tremendous value here with Weaver.
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      +130 with 2 equally hot teams when you have hughes facing Weaver is not a favorable matchup. You're looking at nearly a 2.50 difference in starter ERA
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #4
        Over and Angels, Pujols has 6 homers in 12, Hughes is mutt
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by brahmabull117
          +130 with 2 equally hot teams when you have hughes facing Weaver is not a favorable matchup. You're looking at nearly a 2.50 difference in starter ERA
          Granted they aren't the same opponents, but over their last four starts:

          Hughes: 3-1 record, 25.2 IP, 8 ER, 23 K
          Weaver: 2-1 record, 24.1 IP, 12 ER, 12 K
          Comment
          • brahmabull117
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-08-10
            • 8622

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Granted they aren't the same opponents, but over their last four starts:

            Hughes: 3-1 record, 25.2 IP, 8 ER, 23 K
            Weaver: 2-1 record, 24.1 IP, 12 ER, 12 K


            2 of these 3 wins for hughes was Kansas City and Seattle at home


            Hughes hasn't had an era below 5 in a couple seasons. The odds of him continuing to pitch as well as he did in may are very small
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by brahmabull117
              2 of these 3 wins for hughes was Kansas City and Seattle at home


              Hughes hasn't had an era below 5 in a couple seasons. The odds of him continuing to pitch as well as he did in may are very small
              Hughes has always had plus stuff. He was a major prospect coming up. His problem has always been between his ears.
              Comment
              • brahmabull117
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 8622

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Hughes has always had plus stuff. He was a major prospect coming up. His problem has always been between his ears.

                That's true for literally a few hundred baseball players in the history of the league. No real reason to think he can put it together all of a sudden I would say



                I don't think he'll be terrible, my guess is maybe 3 runs in 6 innings, Question is can the yanks score 3 or 4 runs off Weaver? Keep in mind Weaver's home ERA is about 2.20 last 3 seasons. He's very very hard to hit at home at that big ballpark
                Comment
                • lunchbawks
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-31-10
                  • 12873

                  #9
                  over looks good
                  Comment
                  • Smogs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-08
                    • 4173

                    #10
                    Weaver will see this one thru, hughes will get abused tonight
                    Comment
                    • ebelisle22
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 4726

                      #11
                      yanks easiest play on the board
                      Comment
                      • brahmabull117
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 8622

                        #12
                        I ended up playing angels - 138


                        Weaver's home record recently is just awesome. Not too often you get a price like this and I'll take it everytime
                        Comment
                        • brahmabull117
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 8622

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ebelisle22
                          yanks easiest play on the board

                          Jered Weaver's results against good offenses at home last 2 seasons


                          2012 Baltimore (Very good team so far) - win
                          2011 NYY - win
                          2011 Texas - win
                          2011 Texas - win
                          2011 NYY - win
                          2011 Toronto (Good offensive squad) - win


                          Angels are 6-0 last 2 seasons in his matchups against teams with good offenses at home. Sorry not taking + 130 against Weaver unless you give me Justin Verlander
                          Comment
                          • ebelisle22
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 4726

                            #14
                            Originally posted by brahmabull117
                            Jered Weaver's results against good offenses at home last 2 seasons


                            2012 Baltimore (Very good team so far) - win
                            2011 NYY - win
                            2011 Texas - win
                            2011 Texas - win
                            2011 NYY - win
                            2011 Toronto (Good offensive squad) - win


                            Angels are 6-0 last 2 seasons in his matchups against teams with good offenses at home. Sorry not taking + 130 against Weaver unless you give me Justin Verlander
                            good luck man, honestly i hope it hits for you- if i played it i would take yanks for the value but i will only be playing the NBA playoffs game tonight live betting ...hit my big play phillies today- best of luck to you man
                            Comment
                            • NardVa
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-02-07
                              • 8325

                              #15
                              Yanks are a dog and the public is not pounding them. Hughes may give up 3-4 runs but Yanks can get 2-3 off Weaver and blast the Angels bull pen late for a win.
                              Comment
                              • brahmabull117
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 8622

                                #16
                                Originally posted by NardVa
                                Yanks are a dog and the public is not pounding them. Hughes may give up 3-4 runs but Yanks can get 2-3 off Weaver and blast the Angels bull pen late for a win.

                                Weaver hasn't even given up a single run at home in 3 out of 4 starts this year and had a 1.84 era at home last year. 2-3 runs are not guaranteed, not at all


                                As far as bullpen goes, the Angels have an awesome closer and a couple solid relievers as set up men. Weaver usually goes very deep into games as well
                                Comment
                                • BigDofBA
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-09
                                  • 19313

                                  #17
                                  Not a big fan of fading the Dream Weaver at home....

                                  Also, the Angels offense is starting to pick it up. I might take the Angels -1.5.
                                  Comment
                                  • DudleyDawson
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-10-12
                                    • 5658

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                    What are the Angels? I see tremendous value here with Weaver.
                                    Things change. Yankees are the play.
                                    Comment
                                    • Koldazzice
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-08-11
                                      • 2392

                                      #19
                                      Halo's looking to build on momentum - got the ace on the mound at home vs a team you cant help but get up for.... the yanks lose tonight imo - Line is where is should be - place will be packed a far cry from what its like in oakland.
                                      Comment
                                      • brahmabull117
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 8622

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Koldazzice
                                        Halo's looking to build on momentum - got the ace on the mound at home vs a team you cant help but get up for.... the yanks lose tonight imo - Line is where is should be - place will be packed a far cry from what its like in oakland.

                                        I would handicap this closer to - 160 for LAA


                                        I think the 2 teams will have similar records at the end of the year - 120-30 is just homefield advantage with 2 even teams. You gotta account of the huge difference in starting pitcher matchup
                                        Comment
                                        • DudleyDawson
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-10-12
                                          • 5658

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                          I would handicap this closer to - 160 for LAA


                                          I think the 2 teams will have similar records at the end of the year - 120-30 is just homefield advantage with 2 even teams. You gotta account of the huge difference in starting pitcher matchup
                                          stats and handicapping are a flat out waste of time. it's a factored into the line. get yourself a good paid line service and be able to tell the difference between real and phony movement and roll the cash in. it's as simple as that.
                                          Comment
                                          • brahmabull117
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 8622

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                            stats and handicapping are a flat out waste of time.

                                            Which is why there are guys like Hawley and Acoochy who hit 65% on a sample size of 100-150 plays relying on just stats and handicapping?


                                            Another guy hit 58% on a sample size of 500 plays just relying on handicapping
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              Weaver out.
                                              Comment
                                              • brahmabull117
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 8622

                                                #24
                                                weaver out with an injury, 2 errors in the first inning


                                                pretty obvious indicator whose gonna win this game
                                                Comment
                                                • Pauulzcappin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-23-10
                                                  • 20295

                                                  #25
                                                  Wish I had seen the posts on this thread earlier.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ebelisle22
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                    • 4726

                                                    #26
                                                    hughes doesnt really want to be out there lucky for angels fans
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brahmabull117
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 8622

                                                      #27
                                                      Weaver out, Angels give the yankees a gift of 3 runs with 2 errors and they end up giving it all back and another run in the first inning




                                                      Comment
                                                      • ebelisle22
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                        • 4726

                                                        #28
                                                        yanks done, congrats angels backers
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brahmabull117
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 8622

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ebelisle22
                                                          yanks done, congrats angels backers

                                                          I wish. Yanks are FAR from done
                                                          Comment
                                                          • FindTheLock
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-27-10
                                                            • 7194

                                                            #30
                                                            geeze I wish I could bet at bet365 for baseball. You could kill them off the shit they offer. Right now they have yankees +235. That's ridiculous only down a single run when the Angels ace isn't even on the field.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ebelisle22
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 4726

                                                              #31
                                                              i think everyone on live betting and in the stadium knew angels were going to win it with a homer in the 9th.
                                                              Comment
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