Verlander at home against the Pirates?? Is it worth the risk?!
I mean its one of (if not THE) best pitcher in the league, at home, against the Pirates?! -250 is A LOT but you dont pay juice when you win.
Anyone have a good reason not to take this?
nrok2118
SBR MVP
02-10-12
1182
#2
"
Few pitchers in recent years have dominated Interleague Play like Verlander, 15-2 with a 2.94 ERA for his career against the National League. He won all three of his Interleague starts last year, allowing two runs on 15 hits over 24 innings."
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taxe91
SBR Wise Guy
03-16-12
610
#3
could take the -1.5 if you dont want the juice
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nrok2118
SBR MVP
02-10-12
1182
#4
Originally posted by taxe91
could take the -1.5 if you dont want the juice
I dont play runlines, everytime I do they win by 1 and it drives me insane
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antifoil
SBR MVP
11-11-09
3993
#5
what percentage chance do you think the tigers win?
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nrok2118
SBR MVP
02-10-12
1182
#6
Originally posted by antifoil
what percentage chance do you think the tigers win?
I think at least 70%-80%...whats that translate to moneyline wise?
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#7
Verlander is 10-1 at home in his career in interleague play. Respectable, he is 8-3 on the RL in those starts. Yet his average win margin by 2.8. Further, the Tigers as a team are very good interleague team. Since 2004, as a home fav they are 47-16. However, they never had a losing season until last where they went 4-5 as a home fav. Yet, Verlander was two of those wins.
Ideally, it's a solid play, but I personally do not play home RL's due to the moderate percentage of home team not batting in the bottom of the ninth. I will probably play them in a 2T parlay(only) or -1, or just pass.
gl
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antifoil
SBR MVP
11-11-09
3993
#8
10 percent is a wide range. you should narrow it down more.
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#9
I have Verlander at 16-6 career in interleague play...
Losses...
10-21-06 v. STL
10-27-06 v. STL
06-16-08 v. SF
06-16-09 v. STL
06-29-09 v. HOU
06-22-10 v. NYM
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nrok2118
SBR MVP
02-10-12
1182
#10
Gonna be a nice sunny day, Friday evening game coming off a loss to a bad team at home (no travel)...they bounce back hard under their ace against an inferior team....80%
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mbs4
SBR Sharp
05-14-10
388
#11
Originally posted by nrok2118
I think at least 70%-80%...whats that translate to moneyline wise?
-233 to -400
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antifoil
SBR MVP
11-11-09
3993
#12
yeah that shows you how far off you are at guessing. when was the last time you saw a mlb team at -400 for 80 percent chance?