Terrible first two starts.....does he turn it around tomorrow or is the arm dead and needs surgery? Oddmakers are wondering as well, no one is posting a line yet.....probably will be Lincecum -130.
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I don't know how one can back him until he shows some command.Comment -
Yes he owns the Mets will get his first win bank on it he told me himself Big Timmy JimComment -
Ahhh...its little Timmy! I just pulled a 2nd mortgage on the house too. I'm fukkking dumping on him tomorrow. In fact, I'll give you some inside info...... put your whole bankroll on him.Originally posted by MagicDiceFlowComment -
Take out a line of equity and pound on this gameComment -
DoneComment -
yes lone star/dh on mon./giants need him to come up big /believe he willComment -
Odds on jbart coming in here and letting us all know that lincecum has a tear in his arm is -150.
Why would you take a pitcher who is struggling so much? Jamie moyer used to be good too but I'd never back him with my money...Comment -
no way i'm backing him until i see him look right first.Comment -
Agree. Not backing him until he gets a fuggin hair cut! Damn hippy.Originally posted by BiffTFinancial.Comment -
thats what I'm talking about Tony.....I'm selling everything I own for little Timmy today.Originally posted by tony_come
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I like the over........Wind blowing out pretty good 7.5 I'm taking itComment -
7.5 runs is kind of low for Lincecum vs a relief pitcher. I think its safe to say the game will go overComment -
Don't play the total. Lincecum had 1 bad inning in his last start and settled down to pitch nicely.
It will be cold in the northeast today and the Mets play in a pitcher friendly ball park. Don't forget the Giants are not a very good hitting team.Comment -
Lincecum will be fine. If you have ever watch Lincecum for a full season you would know he always has a stretch like this where he can't get anybody out. His velocity drops down and then he finds it again. It's a combination of mechanics and a bit of an arm strength issue. This early in the season I would not call it a dead arm but instead an arm that is not in peak shape yet.
he will be fine. the kid did not forget how to pitch.Comment -
Moderate breeze out to left-center
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4 runs last 3 out of 4.......Mets go over 3 last four....and the wind my only reasonsOriginally posted by Big BearComment -
I mean play if ya want to . But I'm just saying even if Timmy is still out of form this is one of the easiest placest to pitch in the big leagues. The Mets don't have a very threatening line-up.
If he Timmy was going to pitch against the Rangers he would get shelled right now. Or even the St Louis Cardinals but this is a pretty good matchup for Timmy.Comment -
I parlayed the mets (+135) with the over (7.5), huge. I think both of these clubs' offense is much improved over last year. Timmy's fastball is 91 right now (usually tops at 94), and he can't seem to keep the ball down.
The mets' stats against Lincecum historically are pretty awful, but Timmy's just not right at the moment, and I think the Mets get to him early in this game, and come out on top 6-4.Comment -
DBP Thanks for contributing to my winnings. The lines says it all, if he's "NOT RIGHT AT THE MOMENT" why is he favorite -150ish right now? It's probably because he's do for a win and the books know this, so they want you to pay for him...in fact dump your whole bank roll on him. I promise you little Timmy will not let the backers down 3 games in a row. There is a reason the Mets are +135 and bound to lose...because they have a spot pitcher starting. Anyone with only 5IP with 5.40 ERA and a WHIP of 2.20 I would be concerned about backing.Originally posted by Dirty Bay PlayerComment -
Timmy is minus 150 cause your paying for the name... certain pitchers and teams are always over valued... if they know they can get people on him at 150 why not make it 150 rather than 120... more juice for themComment -
Due for a win? So that's how you pick them? Wow. So if you were at the roulette wheel and it hit black five times, you know that the odds are no better that it's going to hit red, right?Originally posted by LoneStarComment -
I'm taking Giants first five innings -155 .....Let's see if Timmy can put in a good 4-5 innings today.Comment -
But you're not concerned with laying juice on a pitcher who's velocity is down, whose opponents have batted .345 against him in his first three starts, on the road, pitching for a light-hitting team? Just because he's "due" and somehow you can magically predict this is going to be the game where he pulls it together? You should be playing the lotto.Originally posted by LoneStar
With this two run lead the Giants have jumped out to, I like my NYM / over parlay even more. If this is the game that the real Timmy shows back up, obviously not gonna happen. But I don't bet based on trying to guess when an expensive pitcher is going to come out of a funk. I'd rather take the juicy lines and bet that they're going to continue to struggle a little longer before they figure it out.Comment -
Not sure whats worse...your assumption of the way I'm capping this game or you comparing roulette to MLB, but anyhow that don't say much for your thoughts. So, right now were even until the game is over. I didn't think I needed to pull stats out since its available to the public and I'm not here to make you lean either way, but if you feel better about yourself by criticizing more power to you pal.Originally posted by Dirty Bay PlayerComment -
You're the one who jumped in initially with a snarky comment, LoneStar. I shared my thoughts about why I was on NYM and over parlayed. 2 game parlay has 25% chance of hitting, so obviously I don't think I'm on a lock, but I like the value. I didn't compare baseball betting to roulette - I compared paying big odds on a struggling pitcher, on the road, after the kind of stretch that Timmy's had to roulette. You're laying 3:2 to hit on a game where you have at best 50/50 odds of winning.Originally posted by LoneStarComment -
How do you come to that conclusion?Originally posted by Dirty Bay PlayerComment -
Timmy's been getting rocked, do you agree? If he pitches like he's been pitching the last three, he's very likely to lose. If the real Timmy shows up, he's equally as likely to win. I'm saying it's a coin toss which Timmy shows up.Originally posted by aznbluff
I'm not trying to pretend to have any beat on this game that no one else does, or give a math lesson. I'm saying that the Giants were too expensive for me to jump on today, given that it costs 3:2, and I don't think the odds are any better than 50/50.
My Mets +135 / over 7.5 parlay cost $100 to win $300. I think the odds of Timmy getting blown up in this game are better than 33%.
LoneStar obviously only wanted to hear from Giants backers, so felt the need to put me in my place. I'm just pointing out that my guess that Tim gets rocked again is no less reasonable than his guess that Tim pulls out of his tailspin in this game. The difference is that my wager pays 3x.Comment -
But you forgot to factor Bautista in the equation.Comment -
Hence the over.Originally posted by MagicDiceFlowComment -
Inexcusable mistake there, unrealComment -
Mike baxter???Comment -
Originally posted by BiffTFinancialOriginally posted by Optional
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<br>[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
All that weed Timmy's been smokin' , he forgot to pitch around Baxter with pitcher on deck.Comment -
That one was Nutted!! 5-1 SFGComment
