Rays came over 1 in 278,000,000 odds

[DemoralizdDreamr]

http://ca.sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew/post/You-won-8217-t-believe-the-actual-odds-the-Rays?urn=mlb-wp21395&active_dimension=carousel_ept_sports_mlb_experts&ysp_frm_woah=1

[No coincidences]

That's an awesome read. Thanks!

[iwanttowin]

It happened only because Yankees lost the last 3 games on purpose. Rays will accomplish nothing in the playoffs.

[DemoralizdDreamr]

That's an awesome read. Thanks!

No worries, i liked it so i thought i should share it

[TR88]

what were the actual odds on top of 8 when rays were down 7 ? Any book offered that ?

[No coincidences]

what were the actual odds on top of 8 when rays were down 7 ? Any book offered that ?

I was wondering that last night too.

[TR88]

I was wondering that last night too.

guy in chat said $100, he put 10 and won 1000

[LLXC]

Numbers are a little off, but it makes the odds appear much larger.

Go Rays, heh.

[bradleysnyder]

It happened only because Yankees lost the last 3 games on purpose. Rays will accomplish nothing in the playoffs.

Rays will not do anything in the playoffs eh??????are you smoking paint thinner?????????

This is the hottest team in baseball right now

[hawley]

Rays will not do anything in the playoffs eh??????are you smoking paint thinner?????????

This is the hottest team in baseball right now

bit of a stretch.

[bradleysnyder]

bit of a stretch.

you must be blind and smoking some of what he is smoking to say the rays are done!

seriously go check the last 20 games history of the rays and tell me what you come up with!

[bradleysnyder]

seriously i want to know why its such a stretch?The rays have done the impossible and they will continue to do it.Young team that is hungry.Your CRAZY if you bet against the rays.GOOD LUCK!

[hawley]

are you a rays fan?

[asdfghasdfgh]

That article is sensationalism at its finest. All the events used to come up with 1-in-278 million are correlated in some way so you can't just multiply the percentage of each individual outcome and treat each like it's an independent event.

Why not treat each pitch after the Rays went down 7-0 as an independent event and multiply the Rays' chance of winning to come up with some arbitrary, inflated statistic? I'm sure we could come up with a number of incomprehensible magnitude that surpasses 1-in-278 million.

I don't mean to take anything away from the Rays. The comeback the Rays had and the downfall of Boston were remarkable, but I don't need some old statistician to tell me how incredible it was by creating an artificial number to quantify it.

[dontbuythehook]

^ agreed

[BetterBizness]

That article is sensationalism at its finest. All the events used to come up with 1-in-278 million are correlated in some way so you can't just multiply the percentage of each individual outcome and treat each like it's an independent event.

Why not treat each pitch after the Rays went down 7-0 as an independent event and multiply the Rays' chance of winning to come up with some arbitrary, inflated statistic? I'm sure we could come up with a number of incomprehensible magnitude that surpasses 1-in-278 million.

I don't mean to take anything away from the Rays. The comeback the Rays had and the downfall of Boston were remarkable, but I don't need some old statistician to tell me how incredible it was by creating an artificial number to quantify it.

wow debbie downer

Are you pissed off someone beat you to it or something???

It's a "cute"/'Fairy tail way to look at things, putting a big number in the middle and comparing it among other type of incredible events...

why so glum chum?

[mossmk16]

The Yanks wanted T.B to WIN. Yankees hate the Red Sox and love seeing them get ripped apart from the inside out right now!!!!!!!!!!!!

[DemoralizdDreamr]

That article is sensationalism at its finest. All the events used to come up with 1-in-278 million are correlated in some way so you can't just multiply the percentage of each individual outcome and treat each like it's an independent event.

Why not treat each pitch after the Rays went down 7-0 as an independent event and multiply the Rays' chance of winning to come up with some arbitrary, inflated statistic? I'm sure we could come up with a number of incomprehensible magnitude that surpasses 1-in-278 million.

I don't mean to take anything away from the Rays. The comeback the Rays had and the downfall of Boston were remarkable, but I don't need some old statistician to tell me how incredible it was by creating an artificial number to quantify it.

how much did u lose on the rays??

[HenPrivilege]

the statistician must not have consider the significant outlier that the yankees were.. wasn't like they were throwing out their "A" game players out there at the Trop

[asdfghasdfgh]

how much did u lose on the rays??

$0. My only bets that night were Orioles +1.5, Orioles ML, Phillies +1.5, and Phillies ML. Everything went exactly as I expected that night, but the manner in which it happened was incredible. I understand how epic of a collapse the Red Sox had and how the stars aligned for the Rays. I was just pointing out that the math in the OP's article is misleading and wrong. You can skew statistics to say whatever you want if you're specific enough and this article is just another example of that.